Prediction of early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria after radical resection

Prediction of early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after resection based on Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced magnetic resonance imaging: a preliminary study

BACKGROUND

Early recurrence (ER) after radical resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) affects the prognosis of patients. Gadolinium ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriaminepentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can improve the detection rate of small HCC. This study innovatively introduces a new quantitative index combined with qualitative index to compare the differences in clinical and imaging characteristics between ER and non-ER groups and evaluate the feasibility of Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI in predicting ER.

METHODS

A total of 68 patients with HCC confirmed by operation and pathology in the Shandong Cancer Hospital and Institute were included retrospectively. All participants were examined by Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI within 3 weeks before surgery. Regular follow-up was performed every 2 months within 1 year after operation. Among them, 18 cases with new lesions were in ER group, and 50 cases without new lesions were in non-ER group. The clinical and imaging data of the 2 groups were collected, and the differences of clinical data and preoperative MRI signs between the ER group and non-ER group were compared. The predictive factors of ER after HCC were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTS

The quantitative parameter lesion-to-liver contrast enhancement ratio (LLCER) can predict the pathological grade of HCC (P=0.023). The results of univariate analysis between the ER group and non-ER group showed that there were significant differences in pathological grade (P=0.008), lesion morphology (P=0.011), peritumoral low signal intensity in hepatobiliary phase (HBP) (P<0.001), satellite nodules (P<0.001), and LLCER (P<0.001) between the 2 groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that HBP peritumoral low signal intensity [odds ratio (OR) =7.214, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.230-42.312, P=0.029], satellite nodules (OR =9.198, 95% CI: 1.402-60.339, P=0.021), and parameter LLCER value (OR =0.906, 95% CI: 0.826-0.995, P=0.039) were independent predictors of ER of HCC after resection.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative Gd-EOB-DTPA enhanced MRI has important predictive value for early recurrence after radical resection of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Phase Attention Model for Prediction of Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma With Multi-Phase CT Images and Clinical Data

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a primary liver cancer that produces a high mortality rate. It is one of the most common malignancies worldwide, especially in Asia, Africa, and southern Europe. Although surgical resection is an effective treatment, patients with HCC are at risk of recurrence after surgery. Preoperative early recurrence prediction for patients with liver cancer can help physicians develop treatment plans and will enable physicians to guide patients in postoperative follow-up. However, the conventional clinical data based methods ignore the imaging information of patients. Certain studies have used radiomic models for early recurrence prediction in HCC patients with good results, and the medical images of patients have been shown to be effective in predicting the recurrence of HCC. In recent years, deep learning models have demonstrated the potential to outperform the radiomics-based models. In this paper, we propose a prediction model based on deep learning that contains intra-phase attention and inter-phase attention. Intra-phase attention focuses on important information of different channels and space in the same phase, whereas inter-phase attention focuses on important information between different phases. We also propose a fusion model to combine the image features with clinical data. Our experiment results prove that our fusion model has superior performance over the models that use clinical data only or the CT image only. Our model achieved a prediction accuracy of 81.2%, and the area under the curve was 0.869.

Re-Recognizing the Cellular Origin of the Primary Epithelial Tumors of the Liver

The primary epithelial tumors of the liver (PETL) are composed of a series of heterogeneous tumors. Although the classification of PETLs has been updated several times by the World Health Organization, the cellular origins of some tumors in this family remain to be precisely depicted. In addition, certain tumors in different categories have similar histology, molecular phenotypes and biological characteristics, suggesting that they may have the same cellular origin. In this work, a narrative review method was adopted to review the relevant papers. By comparing the expression profiles of biomarkers of liver epithelium at different lineages and stages of differentiation, the cells-of-origin of some major members of the PETL family were reassessed. We propose that 1) hepatic adenomas, hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) and pure fetal hepatoblastomas (HBs) share the same spectrum in their cellular origin including the hepatocytic-committed progenitors (HCP) and their differentiated descendants. 2) Bile duct adenomas, peribiliary cysts and intrahepatic cholangiocellular carcinomas (ICCs) can share the same spectrum in their cellular origin including the cholangiocytic-committed progenitors (CCP) and their differentiated descendants. 3) The cells-of-origin of embryonal HBs include liver stem cells (LSCs), hepatoblasts, and transitional cells between them. Embryonal HB with small cell element, small cell undifferentiated HB and small cell neuroendocrine carcinoma of the liver can have the same or similar cells-of-origin from LSC. Embryonal HB lacking the small cell component of the LSC phenotype and presenting both hepatocytic and bile duct/ductule components may originate from actual hepatoblasts/hepatic progenitor cells (HPCs) as the combined HCC-ICC does. 4) Teratoid hepatoblastoma and mixed epithelial/mesenchymal HBs can be derived from the LSCs or even less committed extrahepatic pluripotent stem cell. 5) Many members of the PETLs family, including those derived from LSCs, hepatoblasts/HPCs, early HCPs and CCPs, have neuroendocrine potentiality. Except for those primary hepatic neuroendocrine tumor (PHNET) exhibit hepatocytic and/or cholangiocytic phenotypes, other PHNETs subtype may be derived from the descendants of LSC that differentiate towards the upper digestive tract, pancreas or other lineages.

Prognosis after Curative Resection of Single Hepatocellular Carcinoma with A Focus on LI-RADS Targetoid Appearance on Preoperative Gadoxetic Acid-Enhanced MRI

Objective

To evaluate the prognostic implications of preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with a focus on those with targetoid appearance based on the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS), as well as known microvascular invasion (MVI) features.

Materials and Methods

This retrospective study included 242 patients (190 male; mean age, 57.1 years) who underwent surgical resection of a single HCC (≤ 5 cm) as well as preoperative gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI between January 2012 and March 2015. LI-RADS category was assigned, and the LR-M category was further classified into two groups according to rim arterial-phase hyperenhancement (APHE). The imaging features associated with MVI were also assessed. The overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and their associated factors were evaluated.

Results

Among the 242 HCCs, 190 (78.5%), 25 (10.3%), and 27 (11.2%) were classified as LR-4/5, LR-M with rim APHE, and LR-M without rim APHE, respectively. LR-M with rim APHE (vs. LR-4/5; hazard ratio [HR] for OS, 5.48 [p = 0.002]; HR for RFS, 2.09 [p = 0.042]) and tumor size (per cm increase; HR for OS, 6.04 [p = 0.009]; HR for RFS, 1.77 [p = 0.014]) but not MVI imaging features (p > 0.05) were independent factors associated with OS and RFS. Compared to the 5-year OS and RFS rates in the LR-4/5 group (93.9% and 66.8%, respectively), the LR-M with rim APHE group had significantly lower rates (68.0% and 45.8%, respectively, both p < 0.05), while the LR-M without rim APHE group did not significantly differ in the survival rates (91.3% and 80.2%, respectively, both p > 0.05).

Conclusion

Further classification of LR-M according to the presence of rim APHE may help predict the postoperative prognosis of patients with a single HCC.

Extrapolating Prognostic Factors of Primary Curative Resection to Postresection Recurrences Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatable by Radiofrequency Ablation

Objective

Recurrence after curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of death from this disease. Factors of primary curative resection are available and potential in the prognosis of follow-up treatment. Our aim was to assess the prognostic significance of primary curative resection factors in recurrent HCC patients undergoing radiofrequency ablation therapy (RFA).

Methods

In this retrospective study, we assessed 235 patients who underwent limited RFA of HCC recurrences (tumors ≤ 5 cm; nodules ≤ 3) after primary curative resection. Factors of primary curative resection were collected, and overall survival and recurrence-free survival were evaluated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify significant prognostic factors.

Results

After a median follow-up of 36 months, 54 patients died, and 128 patients had hepatic recurrence. On univariate analyses, patients whose primary tumors were less differentiated (p = 0.032 and p = 0.048) and required less time to recur (p = 0.013 and p = 0.001) after curative resection displayed poorer overall survival and higher recurrence rates following RFA. On multivariate analyses, the pathologic tumor grade (p = 0.026 and p = 0.038) and recurrence-free survival after primary curative resection (p = 0.028 and p < 0.001) emerged as independent risk factors of survival and HCC recurrence.

Conclusions

Primary tumor differentiation and time to recurrence after curative resection are viable prognostic factors of overall survival and further recurrence risk in patients undergoing RFA of recurrent HCC.

Radiomics Analysis Based on Multiparametric MRI for Predicting Early Recurrence in Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Partial Hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Preoperative prediction of early recurrence (ER) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) plays a critical role in individualized risk stratification and further treatment guidance.

PURPOSE

To investigate the role of radiomics analysis based on multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) for predicting ER in HCC after partial hepatectomy.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

In all, 113 HCC patients (ER, n = 58 vs. non-ER, n = 55), divided into training (n = 78) and validation (n = 35) cohorts.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

1.5T or 3.0T, gradient-recalled-echo in-phase T₁ -weighted imaging (I-T₁ WI) and opposed-phase T₁ WI (O-T₁ WI), fast spin-echo T₂ -weighted imaging (T₂ WI), spin-echo planar diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI), and gradient-recalled-echo contrast-enhanced MRI (CE-MRI).

ASSESSMENT

In all, 1146 radiomics features were extracted from each image sequence, and radiomics models based on each sequence and their combination were established via multivariate logistic regression analysis. The clinicopathologic-radiologic (CPR) model and the combined model integrating the radiomics score with the CPR risk factors were constructed. A nomogram based on the combined model was established.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the discriminative performance of each model. The potential clinical usefulness was evaluated by decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

The radiomics model based on I-T₁ WI, O-T₁ WI, T₂ WI, and CE-MRI sequences presented the best performance among all radiomics models with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.771 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.598-0.894) in the validation cohort. The combined nomogram (AUC: 0.873; 95% CI: 0.756-0.989) outperformed the radiomics model and the CPR model (AUC: 0.742; 95% CI: 0.577-0.907). DCA demonstrated that the combined nomogram was clinically useful.

DATA CONCLUSION

The mpMRI-based radiomics analysis has potential to predict ER of HCC patients after hepatectomy, which could enhance risk stratification and provide support for individualized treatment planning.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

4.

TECHNICAL EFFICACY

Stage 4.

Liver stiffness measured by MR elastography is a predictor of early HCC recurrence after treatment

OBJECTIVES

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is a non-invasive tool for measuring liver stiffness (LS) with high diagnostic accuracy. This study investigated whether quantified LS by MRE could predict early recurrence of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within the Milan criteria.

METHODS

A prospectively collected cohort, which included the HCC patients who underwent MRE before treatment (an HCC-MRE cohort), was analyzed. In the HCC-MRE cohort, only patients under the Milan criteria, who underwent hepatic resection, radiofrequency ablation (RFA), or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), were reviewed. We investigated whether LS assessed by MRE was an independent predictor of early recurrence using Cox regressions and Kaplan-Meier analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 192 HCC patients under the Milan criteria who underwent hepatic resection (n = 96), RFA (n = 23), or TACE (n = 73) were included. Higher LS ratings (kPa; hazard ratio [HR] = 1.12; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.01-1.25; p = 0.040) emerged as an independent risk factor for early tumor recurrence. In the subgroup analysis, higher LS ratings were associated with higher risks of early HCC recurrence in both the resection/RFA group (> 4.5 kPa; HR = 2.95; 95% CI = 1.26-6.94; p = 0.013) and the TACE group (> 6 kPa; HR = 2.94; 95% CI = 1.27-6.83; p = 0.012).

CONCLUSION

LS assessed by MRE was an independent predictor of early recurrence among HCC patients under the Milan criteria after achieving a complete response.

KEY POINTS

• Liver parenchymal stiffness measured by MRE predicts early recurrence of treated HCC under Milan criteria. • A liver stiffness > 5.5 kPa was associated with worse recurrence-free survival. • Patients with high pre-treatment LS may benefit from stringent follow-up.

Prediction of Early Recurrence of Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Orthotopic Liver Transplantation

Hepatocellular carcinomas(HCC) consisted of heterogeneous subtypes with different recurrence probabilities after liver transplantation(LT). Our study aimed to develop an improved model for predicting the recurrence of solitary HCC after LT. In this retrospective study, 151 solitary HCC patients who received orthotopic LT over a period of 10 consecutive years were included. All recipients received graft from deceased donors. The first eligible 50 patients were used as validation cohort and others were utilized to construct the model. A two-tailed P < 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance for all analysis. Based on the maximisation of the Youden’s index, the optimal cutoff values for alpha-fetoprotein(AFP) and tumor diameter were 261.6 ng/mL and 3.6 cm, respectively. Vascular involvement includes gross and microscopic vascular invasion. Variables potentially affecting recurrence-free survival(RFS) were examined using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Univariate and multivariate analysis revealed that AFP, tumor diameter, vascular invasion and cytokeratin-19/glypican-3 sub-typing were independent prognostic factors for RFS, thus comprised the risk scoring model. The AUC values of the model in the cohorts were significantly higher than that of the Milan, UCSF, Fudan and Hangzhou criteria. These findings suggest the model has high performance in predicting early recurrence of solitary HCC patients after LT.

A simplified prediction model for early intrahepatic recurrence after hepatectomy for patients with unilobar hepatocellular carcinoma without macroscopic vascular invasion: An implication for adjuvant therapy and postoperative surveillance

BACKGROUND

An accurate prediction model of early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy is important to ascertain the postoperative adjuvant treatment and surveillance.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study including 1125 patients with HCC underwent curative hepatic resection. They were randomly divided into training (n = 562) and validation (n = 563) sets. Early intrahepatic recurrence within 18 months from surgery is the primary outcome. In the training set, a prediction scoring model (Recurrent Liver Cancer Score RLCS) was developed, which was legitimised in the validation set.

RESULTS

RLCS was developed based on four clinicopathologic risk factors (serum alpha fetoprotein, tumor size, multiple tumors or satellite nodules, and microvascular invasion). Low-risk and high-risk groups had statistically significant differences in early recurrence rates (18% vs. 43.8%). The 5-year recurrence-free survival rates of low risk and high risk groups were 52.9% and 27.8%, respectively. This model showed good calibration and discriminatory ability in the validation set (c-index of 0.647).

CONCLUSION

RLCS is a user-friendly prediction scoring model which can accurately predict the occurrence of early intrahepatic recurrence of HCC. It establishes the basis of postoperative adjuvant treatment and surveillance in future studies.

Histopathological characteristics of needle core biopsy and surgical specimens from patients with solitary hepatocellular carcinoma or intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Pathological manifestations of hepatic tumours are often associated with prognosis. Although surgical specimens (SS) can provide more information, currently, pre-treatment needle core biopsy (NCB) is increasingly showing important value in understanding the nature of liver tumors and even in diagnosis and treatment decisions. However, the concordance of the clinicopathological characteristics and immunohistochemical (IHC) staining between NCB and SS from patients with hepatic tumours were less concerned.

AIM

To introduce a more accurate method for interpreting the IHC staining results in order to improve the diagnostic value of hepatic malignancy in NCB samples.

METHOD

A total of 208 patients who underwent both preoperative NCB and surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) between 2008 and 2015 were enrolled in this study. The expression of CK19, GPC3, and HepPar1 were detected by IHC staining. Clinicopathological, NCB, and surgical data were collected and analysed using χ² and kappa statistics.

RESULTS

Morphologically, the presence of compact tumour nests or a cord-like structure in NCB was considered the primary cause of misdiagnosis of HCC from ICC. The kappa statistic showed a moderate agreement in histomorphology (k = 0.504) and histological grade (k = 0.488) between NCB and SS of the tumours. A 4-tier (+++, ++, +, and -) scoring scheme that emphasized the focal neoplastic cell immunoreactivity of tumour cells revealed perfect concordance of CK19, GPC3 and HepPar1 between NCB and SS (k = 0.717; k = 0.768; k = 0.633). Furthermore, with the aid of a binary classification derived from the 4-tier score, a high concordance was achieved in interpreting the IHC staining of the three markers between NCB and final SS (k = 0.931; k = 0.907; k = 0.803), increasing the accuracy of NCB diagnosis C (k = 0.987; area under the curve = 0.997, 95%CI: 0.990-1.000; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

These findings imply that reasonable interpretation of IHC results in NCB is vital for improving the accuracy of tumour diagnosis. The simplified binary classification provides an easy and applicable approach.

Heterogeneity analysis of triphasic CT scan perfusion parameters in differential diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma and hemangioma

This study is to investigate quantitative measures and heterogeneity of perfusion parameters in the differential diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and hemangioma.In total, 32 HCC and 44 hemangioma (types 1, 2, and 3) cases were included in this retrospective study. Hepatic artery coefficient (HAC), portal vein coefficient (PVC), and arterial enhancement fraction (AEF) were calculated. Tumor heterogeneity was analyzed. Perfusion parameters and corresponding percentiles were compared between the HCC and hemangioma (especially atypical hemangioma) cases, as well as between the substantial lesion part and surrounding normal tissue.The mean value, and the 10th, 50th, 75th, and 90th percentiles of PVC were significantly lower in the HCC cases than the types 1 and 2 hemangioma cases (P < .01). Moreover, the 90th percentile PVC in the HCC cases was also significantly lower than the type 3 hemangioma case (P < .01), while the mean value, and all the percentiles of AEF in the HCC cases were higher than the types 2 and 3 hemangioma cases (P < .01). The 10th percentile HAC in the HCC cases was higher than the type 2 hemangioma cases (P < .05). The mean value, and the 10th and 50th percentile HAC in the HCC cases were higher than the type 3 hemangioma case (P < .05). However, there was no statistically significant difference in HAC between the HCC and type 1 hemangioma cases (P > .05).Quantitative measurement of perfusion parameters and heterogeneity analysis show significance differences in the early detection and differential diagnosis of HCC and hemangioma cases, which might contribute to increasing the diagnostic accuracy.