Risk-stratified surveillance protocol improves cost-effectiveness after radical nephroureterectomy in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma

Oncologic surveillance intensity after endoscopic treatment of upper tract urothelial carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The optimal oncologic surveillance in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) elected for conservative treatment is still a matter of debate.

METHODS

Patients elected for endoscopic treatment of UTUC were followed up according to EAU guidelines recommendations after treatment. Bladder cancer recurrence-free survival (BCa-RFS), UTUC recurrence-free survival (UTUC-RFS), radical nephroureterectomy-free survival (RNU-FS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The crude risks of BCa and UTUC recurrences over time were estimated with the Locally Weighted Scatterplot Smoothing method.

RESULTS

Overall, 54 and 55 patients had low- and high-risk diseases, respectively. Median follow-up was 46.9 (IQR: 28.7-68.7) and 36.9 (IQR: 19.8-60.1) months in low and high-risk patients, respectively. In low-risk patients, BCa recurrence risk was more than 20% at 24 months follow-up. At 60 months, time point after which cystoscopy and imaging should be interrupted, the risk of BCa recurrence and UTUC recurrence were 14% and 7%, respectively. In high-risk patients, the risk of BCa and UTUC recurrence at 36 months was approximately 40% and 10%, respectively. Conversely, at 60 months, the risk of bladder recurrence and UTUC recurrence was 28% and 8%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

For low-risk patients, cystoscopy should be performed semi-annually until 24 months, while upper tract assessment should be obtained up to 60 months, as per current EAU guidelines recommendations. For high-risk patients, upper tract assessment should be intensified to semi-annually up to 36 months, then obtained yearly. Conversely, cystoscopy should be ideally performed semi-annually until 60 months and yearly thereafter.

Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma: A Narrative Review of Current Surveillance Strategies for Non-Metastatic Disease

Non-metastatic upper urinary tract carcinoma (UTUC) is a comparatively rare condition, typically managed with either kidney-sparing surgery (KSS) or radical nephroureterectomy (RNU). Irrespective of the chosen therapeutic modality, patients with UTUC remain at risk of recurrence in the bladder; in patients treated with KSS, the risk of recurrence is high in the remnant ipsilateral upper tract system but there is a low but existent risk in the contralateral system as well as in the chest and in the abdomen/pelvis. For patients treated with RNU for high-risk UTUC, the risk of recurrence in the chest, abdomen, and pelvis, as well as the contralateral UT, depends on the tumor stage, grade, and nodal status. Hence, implementing a risk-stratified, location-specific follow-up is indicated to ensure timely detection of cancer recurrence. However, there are no data on the type and frequency/schedule of follow-up or on the impact of the recurrence type and site on outcomes; indeed, it is not well known whether imaging-detected asymptomatic recurrences confer a better outcome than recurrences detected due to symptoms/signs. Novel imaging techniques and more precise risk stratification methods based on time-dependent probabilistic events hold significant promise for making a cost-efficient individualized, patient-centered, outcomes-oriented follow-up strategy possible. We show and discuss the follow-up protocols of the major urologic societies.

Risk factors for extraurothelial recurrence in upper tract urothelial carcinoma after radical nephroureterectomy: a retrospective study based on a Chinese population

Objectives

The risk factors for extraurothelial recurrence (EUR) after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) in patients with upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) are currently inconsistent and unclear. In this study, we aimed to identify these risk factors and develop a grading system for EUR.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 220 patients who underwent RNU for UTUC in our center from January 2009 to December 2020. Overall survival (OS) and extraurothelial recurrence-free survival (EURFS) were compared using the Kaplan-Meier curve with a log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were applied to identify the independent risk factors related to EUR.

Results

The median follow-up period was 42 (range: 2-143) months. Of the 220 patients, 61 patients developed EUR in our cohort, which had worse survival outcome. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed pathologic stage, lymph node (LN) status, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), Ki-67, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were independent risk factors for EUR. The Kaplan-Meier curves revealed a significant difference in EUR among the three risk groups.

Conclusion

Our study suggests that pathologic stage, LN status, LVI, Ki-67, NLR, and PLR are independent risk factors for EUR in UTUC patients after RNU. The development of a grading system for EUR risk stratification may assist urologists in making clinical decisions regarding the management of UTUC.

Multicenter validation of the PREDICT score for prediction of local recurrence after total mesorectal excision of rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Total mesorectal excision (TME) is the gold standard treatment for rectal cancer. Although TME has managed to decrease the rates of local recurrence after rectal cancer resection, local recurrence is still recorded at varying rates. The present study aimed to validate the PREDICT score in the prediction of local recurrence of rectal cancer after TME with curative intent.

METHODS

This was a retrospective multicenter study on patients with nonmetastatic low or middle rectal cancer who underwent TME. The total PREDICT score was calculated for every patient and related to the onset of local recurrence. According to the final score, patients were allocated to one of three risk groups: low, moderate, and high, and the rates of local recurrence in each group were calculated and compared.

RESULTS

The present study included 262 patients (50.4% males) with a mean age of 47.1 years. The overall local recurrence rate was 12.6%. 29.4% of patients were in the low-risk group, 63.7% in the moderate-risk group, and 6.9% in the high-risk group. The local recurrence rate was 3.9% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.8-10.9) in the low-risk group, 13.2% (95% CI: 8.4-19.3) in the moderate risk group, and 44.4% (95% CI: 21.5-69.2) in the high-risk group (p < 0.0001). The sensitivity of the PREDICT score was 72.7%, the specificity was 88.1%, and the accuracy was 86.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

The PREDICT score had good diagnostic accuracy in the prediction of local recurrence after TME and a good discriminatory ability in the differentiation between patients at different risks to develop local recurrence.

A Novel Risk-based Approach Simulating Oncological Surveillance After Radical Nephroureterectomy in Patients with Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The current guideline lacks evidence for creating individualized surveillance strategies for upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) patients after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU).

OBJECTIVE

To create a novel risk model and to simulate individualized surveillance duration that dynamically illustrates the changing risk relationship of UTUC-related death and non-UTUC death, considering the impact of cigarette smoking.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This multicenter cohort study comprised 714 pTa-T4N0M0 UTUC patients, with a median follow-up duration of 65mo. There were 279 (39.1%) nonsmokers, 260 (36.4%) current smokers, and 175 (24.5%) ex-smokers.

INTERVENTION

All patients underwent RNU.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

The risks of UTUC death and non-UTUC death over time were estimated using parametric models for time to failure with Weibull distributions. Age-specific, stage-specific, and smoking status-specific surveillance durations were simulated based upon Weibull estimates.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

The hazard rate (HR) of non-UTUC death gradually increased over time in all age groups regardless of the smoking status, whereas that of UTUC-related death decreased markedly according to the pathological T (pT) stage and was affected by the smoking status. Among current smokers, the baseline HR of UTUC-related death in pT3/4 was higher than that of pT ≤2 and remained high even 10yr after RNU. Among heavy smokers, the HR of UTUC-related death in all pT stages was highest at baseline and remained high after RNU, compared with nonsmokers, current smokers, or ex-smokers. We simulated specific time points when the risk of non-UTUC death was greater than that of UTUC-related death. Among patients ≥80yr of with pT3N0M0, the risk of non-UTUC death was greater than that of UTUC-related death 1yr after RNU in nonsmokers, but 7yr for heavy smokers.

CONCLUSIONS

Our result revealed that smokers bear a long-term risk burden of UTUC-related death more than the risk of non-UTUC death. For UTUC smokers, longer-term surveillance duration is recommended even in elderly stage.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In the present study, we evaluated the risk transition of upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC)-related death and non-cancer-related death over time. We found that smoking weighed a huge impact upon UTUC-related death compared with death from other cause, and therefore, we created a more individualized surveillance duration model.

Asymptomatic recurrence detection and cost-effectiveness in urothelial carcinoma

For the management of muscle-invasive bladder cancer or upper tract urothelial carcinoma, the set guidelines recommend regular surveillance after radical cystectomy or radical nephroureterectomy. However, the prognostic benefit of regular oncological surveillance remains controversial in the absence of prospective studies although several retrospective studies with relatively large sample sizes have demonstrated the association between asymptomatic recurrence and better oncological outcomes. Seven out of eight studies reported that patients diagnosed with symptomatic recurrence showed significantly poorer prognosis in comparison to those diagnosed with asymptomatic recurrence. However, potential lead-time and length-time biases prevent the determination of any benefit of regular surveillance. In addition, an optimal surveillance protocol has yet to be established because conventional pathology-based protocols cannot identify the heterogenetic tumor biology of urothelial carcinoma, such as rapid- or slow-growing form of the disease. Several studies suggest that conventional pathology-based surveillance resulted in reduced cost-effectiveness. Recurrence risk-score stratified surveillance protocol including clinical and pathological factors may improve cost-effectiveness. The establishment of optimal risk stratification and surveillance strategies are required to improve the efficacy of regular oncological surveillance. Well-planned prospective studies are necessary to address the prognostic benefit of regular oncological surveillance and shared decision making.