Prognostic significance of cancer family history for patients with gastric cancer: a single center experience from China

Family cancer history and smoking habit associated with sarcoma in a Japanese population study

Sarcoma is a rare cancer, and little is known about the etiology, lifestyle epidemiology, and actual circumstances of treatment in hospitals in Japan. Understanding these issues is essential for the effective prevention and treatment of sarcoma. We therefore investigated the incidence of a personal and family cancer history in a total of 1320 sarcoma patients at the National Cancer Center Hospital. In addition, obesity, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus, drinking, smoking, age and sex were compared in a descriptive study of 1159 of these sarcoma patients who were ≥ 20 years of age, and 7738 controls derived from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey in Japan. A total of 8% of sarcoma patients had a personal history of another cancer, and 30% of soft tissue sarcoma patients had a family cancer history in a first-degree relative (malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumor, 52%; leiomyosarcoma, 46%). A smoking habit was associated with the development of sarcoma (odds ratio [OR], 2.05; 95% confidence interval, 1.78-2.37; p < 0.01). According to the histology, the ORs for undifferentiated pleomorphic sarcoma (UPS) of bone, UPS of soft tissue, and liposarcoma were 5.71, 3.04, and 2.92, respectively. A family cancer history may be associated with certain soft tissue sarcomas, and a smoking habit was significantly associated with the development of sarcomas; however, further studies are necessary.

Family history of malignant tumor is a predictor of gastric cancer prognosis: Incorporation into a nomogram

The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of a family history of malignant tumor on the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer and develop a nomogram that incorporates a family history of malignant tumor to predict overall survival (OS) in patients with gastric cancer to aid clinicians and patients in decision making. Four hundred eighty-eight patients with gastric cancer undergoing radical gastrectomy in our center were included and randomly split into a training set (n = 350) and a validation set (n = 138) at a ratio of 7:3. Cox univariate regression analysis was used to evaluate the influence of clinicopathological characteristics and family history of malignant tumors on their prognosis, and variables were screened by multivariate Cox regression analysis and consensus on clinical evidence. A nomogram was constructed for OS based on the filtered variables, and the C-index, receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve), and calibration curve were used to validate the nomogram and decision curve analysis curve (DCA curve) was used for clinical practicality assessment. Six variables related to OS, including the pathological differentiation degree, Lauren type, infiltration depth, lymph node metastasis, tumor deposit, and family history of malignant tumor, were screened to construct a nomogram. The nomogram developed in this study performed well in the training set and the validation set, with C-index of 0.776 and 0.757, and the area under the ROC curve(AUC) for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates are 0.838, 0.850, 0.820 and 0.754, 0.789, 0.808, respectively. The calibration curve shows that the estimated death risk of the nomogram in the 2 data sets is very close to the actual death risk. The net benefits of nomogram-guided prediction of patient survival at 1-, 3-, and 5 years were demonstrated by the DCA curves, which showed high clinical practicability. Family history of malignant tumors is an independent risk factor affecting the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer. The nomogram developed in this research can be used as an important tool to predict the prognosis of gastric cancer patients with family history data.

Cancer Etiology and Prevention Principle: "1 + X"

Cancer was previously thought to be an inevitable aspect of human health with no effective treatments. However, the results of in-depth cancer research suggest that most types of cancer may be preventable. Therefore, a comprehensive understanding of the disparities in cancer burden caused by different risk factors is essential to inform and improve cancer prevention and control. Here, we propose the cancer etiology and prevention principle "1 + X," where 1 denotes the primary risk factor for a cancer and X represents the secondary contributing risk factors for the cancer. We elaborate upon the "1 + X" principle with respect to risk factors for several different cancer types. The "1 + X" principle can be used for precise prevention of cancer by eliminating the main cause of a cancer and minimizing the contributing factors at the same time.

Viennese risk prediction score for Advanced Gastroesophageal carcinoma based on Alarm Symptoms (VAGAS score): characterisation of alarm symptoms in advanced gastro-oesophageal cancer and its correlation with outcome

INTRODUCTION

The prognostic value of symptoms at disease presentation of advanced gastro-oesophageal cancer is unknown. Thus, the aim of this study was to characterise these symptoms and correlate them with the outcome, so new prognostic markers can be defined.

METHODS

We analysed clinical data including symptoms, therapies and survival of patients with stage IV gastro-oesophageal cancer treated between 2002 and 2018 at the Vienna General Hospital, Austria. Initial symptoms as well as stenosis in endoscopy and HER2 positivity were evaluated in a cross-validation model to ascertain the impact of each variable on patient survival.

RESULTS

In total, 258 patients were evaluated. Five factors (stenosis in endoscopy, weight loss, HER2 positivity, dyspepsia, ulcer or active bleeding) have proven to be statistically relevant prognostic factors and were given a count of +1 and -1, if applicable. The resulting score ranges between -3 and +2. The survival probability for 180 days with a score of -3/-2, -1, 0, +1 and +2 is 90%, 80%, 73%, 72% and 42%, whereas for 2 years, it is 30%, 30%, 8%, 7% and 3%, respectively. The median overall survival of a score of -3/-2, -1, 0, +1 and +2 was 579 (95% CI 274 to not measurable), 481 (95% CI 358 to 637), 297 (95% CI 240 to 346), 284 (95% CI 205 to 371), 146 (95% CI 120 to 229) days, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The data from this retrospective study indicate that the Viennese risk prediction score for Advanced Gastroesophageal carcinoma based on Alarm Symptoms score provides independent prognostic information that may support clinical decision making at diagnosis of advanced gastro-oesophageal cancer. Our findings should be evaluated in prospective studies.

Second primary cancers and survival in patients with gastric cancer: association with prediagnosis lifestyles

To quantify the association between prediagnosis lifestyles with the risk of second primary cancers (SPCs) and survival of patients with gastric first primary cancer (FPC). We recruited 574 gastric patients from two major public hospitals in North Portugal (2001-2006). Smoking, alcohol and dietary habits in the year before FPC diagnosis were evaluated. Patients were followed up to 31 December 2011 for an SPC and to 31 May 2017 for vital status. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios for incidence of an SPC or death. During follow-up, SPCs were diagnosed in five women and 23 men, and 409 patients died, corresponding to an estimated 10-year cumulative incidence of 5.2% for SPC and an estimated 15-year cumulative mortality of 72.1%. A significantly higher hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for SPCs was observed in patients reporting a higher consumption of red and processed meat versus the lowest third (4.49: 1.31-15.37), and for mortality in those with heavy alcohol intake versus never drinkers (1.73: 1.00-2.99) and excess weight versus normal weight (1.31: 1.04-1.65); no other significant associations were observed according to prediagnosis lifestyle. Prediagnosis lifestyles may affect the occurrence of an SPC and survival among gastric FPC survivors in the long term.