Significance of endometrial thickness change after human chorionic gonadotrophin triggering in modified natural cycles for frozen-thawed embryo transfer

Endometrial compaction to predict pregnancy outcomes in patients undergoing assisted reproductive technologies: a systematic review and meta-analysis

STUDY QUESTION

Does endometrial compaction (EC) help predict pregnancy outcomes in those undergoing ART?

SUMMARY ANSWER

EC is associated with a significantly higher clinical pregnancy rate (CPR) and ongoing pregnancy rate (OPR), but this does not translate to live birth rate (LBR).

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

EC describes the progesterone-induced decrease in endometrial thickness, which may be observed following the end of the proliferative phase, prior to embryo transfer. EC is proposed as a non-invasive tool to help predict pregnancy outcome in those undergoing ART, however, published data is conflicting.

STUDY DESIGN SIZE DURATION

A literature search was carried out by two independent authors using PubMed, Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, Embase, Science Direct, Scopus, and Web of Science from inception of databases to May 2023. All peer-reviewed studies reporting EC and pregnancy outcomes in patients undergoing IVF/ICSI treatment were included.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS SETTING METHODS

The primary outcome is LBR. Secondary outcomes included other pregnancy metrics (positive pregnancy test (PPT), CPR, OPR, miscarriage rate (MR)) and rate of EC. Comparative meta-analyses comparing EC and no EC were conducted for each outcome using a random-effects model if I 2 > 50%. The Mantel-Haenszel method was applied for pooling dichotomous data. Results are presented as odds ratios (OR) with 95% CI.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

Out of 4030 screened articles, 21 cohort studies were included in the final analysis (n = 27 857). No significant difference was found between LBR in the EC versus the no EC group (OR 0.95; 95% CI 0.87-1.04). OPR was significantly higher within the EC group (OR 1.61; 95% CI 1.09-2.38), particularly when EC ≥ 15% compared to no EC (OR 3.52; 95% CI 2.36-5.23). CPR was inconsistently defined across the studies, affecting the findings. When defined as a viable intrauterine pregnancy <12 weeks, the EC group had significantly higher CPR than no EC (OR 1.83; 95% CI 1.15-2.92). No significant differences were found between EC and no EC for PPT (OR 1.54; 95% CI 0.97-2.45) or MR (OR 1.06; 95% CI 0.92-1.56). The pooled weighted incidence of EC across all studies was 32% (95% CI 26-38%).

LIMITATIONS REASONS FOR CAUTION

Heterogeneity due to differences between reported pregnancy outcomes, definition of EC, method of ultrasound, and cycle protocol may account for the lack of translation between CPR/OPR and LBR findings; thus, all pooled data should be viewed with an element of caution.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

In this dataset, the significantly higher CPR/OPR with EC does not translate to LBR. Although stratification of women according to EC cannot currently be recommended in clinical practice, a large and well-designed clinical trial to rigorously assess EC as a non-invasive predictor of a successful pregnancy is warranted. We urge for consistent outcome reporting to be mandated for ART trials so that data can be pooled, compared, and concluded on.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS

H.A. was supported by the Hewitt Fertility Centre. S.G.P. and J.W. were supported by the Liverpool University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust. D.K.H. was supported by a Wellbeing of Women project grant (RG2137) and MRC clinical research training fellowship (MR/V007238/1). N.T. was supported by the National Institute for Health and Care Research. D.K.H. had received honoraria for consultancy for Theramex and has received payment for presentations from Theramex and Gideon Richter. The remaining authors have no conflicts of interest to report.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

PROSPERO CRD42022378464.

Association between proliferative-to-secretory endometrial compaction and pregnancy outcomes after embryo transfer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

STUDY QUESTION

Does the change in endometrial thickness (EMT) from the end of the follicular/estrogen phase to the day of embryo transfer (ET) determine subsequent pregnancy outcomes?

SUMMARY ANSWER

Endometrial compaction from the late-proliferative to secretory phase is not associated with live birth rate (LBR) and other pregnancy outcomes.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

Endometrial compaction has been suggested to be indicative of endometrial responsiveness to progesterone, and its association with ET outcome has been investigated but is controversial.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

A systematic review with meta-analysis was carried out. PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science were searched to identify relevant studies from inception to 18 November 2022. The reference lists of included studies were also manually screened for any additional publications.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

Cohort studies comparing ET pregnancy outcomes between patients with and without endometrial compaction were included. A review of the studies for inclusion, data extraction, and quality assessment was performed by two independent reviewers. The effect size was synthesized as odds ratio (OR) with 95% CI using a random-effects model. Heterogeneity and publication bias were assessed by the I2 statistic and Egger's test, respectively. The primary outcome was LBR. Secondary outcomes included biochemical pregnancy rate (BPR), clinical pregnancy rate (CPR), miscarriage rate (MR), ongoing pregnancy rate (OPR), and ectopic pregnancy rate (EPR).

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

Seventeen cohort studies involving 18 973 ET cycles fulfilled the eligibility criteria. The pooled results revealed that there were no significant differences between endometrial compaction and non-compaction groups in LBR (crude OR (cOR) = 0.95, 95% CI 0.87-1.04; I2 = 0%; adjusted OR (aOR) = 1.02, 95% CI 0.87-1.19, I2 = 79%), BPR (cOR = 0.93, 95% CI 0.81-1.06; I2 = 0%; aOR = 0.88, 95% CI 0.75-1.03, I2 = 0%), CPR (cOR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.81-1.18; I2 = 70%; aOR = 0.86, 95% CI 0.72-1.02, I2 = 13%), MR (cOR = 1.09, 95% CI 0.90-1.32; I2 = 0%; aOR = 0.91, 95% CI 0.64-1.31; I2 = 0%), and EPR (cOR = 0.70, 95% CI 0.31-1.61; I2 = 61%). The OPR was marginally higher in crude analysis (cOR = 1.48, 95% CI 1.01-2.16; I2 = 81%) among women with compacted endometrium, but was not evident in adjusted results (aOR = 1.36, 95% CI 0.86-2.14; I2 = 84%). Consistently, the pooled estimate of LBR remained comparable in further subgroup and sensitivity analyses according to the degree of compaction (0%, 5%, 10%, 15%, or 20%), type of ET (fresh, frozen, or euploid only), and endometrial preparation protocol (natural or artificial). No publication bias was observed based on Egger's test.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

Although the number of included studies is sufficient, data on certain measures, such as EPR, are limited. The inherent bias and residual confounding were also inevitable owing to the observational study design. Furthermore, inconsistent definitions of pregnancy outcomes may affect the accuracy of our pooled analysis.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

Given the lack of prognostic value, assessing endometrial compaction or repeated EMT measurement on the day of ET may not be necessary or warranted.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

This work was supported by Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province (20224BAB216025), National Natural Science Foundation of China (82260315), and Central Funds Guiding the Local Science and Technology Development (20221ZDG020071). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42022384539 (PROSPERO).

Does endometrial compaction before embryo transfer affect pregnancy outcomes? a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective

There is no clear evidence of clinical significance of endometrial compaction, which can be measured by a reduction in endometrial thickness (EMT) during the follicular-luteal transition before the day of embryo transfer. In this study, we aim to determine whether endometrial compaction has an effect on in vitro fertilization (IVF) success.

Methods

We searched PubMed, Cochrane, Embase, and Web of Science electronic databases for studies published in English up to March 2023. Heterogeneity between studies was assessed using the I2 statistic. The random effects model and fixed effects model was used to pool the risk ratio (RR) with a corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). A subgroup analysis was performed based on different methods of ultrasonic measurement and different endometrial compaction rates (ECR). Stata 17.0 software was used for meta-analysis. Pregnancy outcomes, which included clinical pregnancy rate, ongoing pregnancy rate, live birth rate, and spontaneous abortion rate, were evaluated.

Results

In this study, 18 cohort studies were included, involving 16,164 embryo transfer cycles. Pooled results indicated that there was no significant difference between the endometrial compaction group and the non-compaction group in terms of clinical pregnancy rate (RR [95% CI]=0.98 [0.90,1.08]; I2 = 69.76%), ongoing pregnancy rate (RR [95% CI]=1.18 [0.95,1.47]; I2 = 78.77%), live birth rate (RR [95% CI]= 0.97 [0.92,1.02]; I2 = 0.00%) or spontaneous abortion rate (RR [95% CI]= 1.07[0.97,1.26]; I2 = 0.00%). According to the subgroup analysis of ultrasonic measurement methods, in the transvaginal ultrasound (TVUS) combined with abdominal ultrasonography (AUS) cycles of the endometrial compaction group, the rate of ongoing pregnancy (RR [95% CI] = 1.69 [1.26, 2.26]; I2 = 29.27%) and live birth (RR [95% CI] = 1.27 [1.00,1.61]; I2 = 62.28%) was significantly higher than that of the non-compaction group. Additionally, subgroup analysis based on ECR revealed a significantly higher rate of ongoing pregnancy when ECR ≥ 15% (RR [95% CI] = 1.99 [1.61, 2.47]; I2 = 0.00%).

Conclusion

Endometrial compaction has no adverse effect on clinical pregnancy rate, ongoing pregnancy rate, live birth rate, or spontaneous abortion rate. A possible explanation for the contradictory findings of previous studies lies in the method by which the EMT is measured.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42023430511, identifier CRD42023430511.

Can endometrial compaction predict live birth rates in assisted reproductive technology cycles? A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Endometrial compaction (EC) is defined as the difference in endometrial thickness from the end of the follicular phase to the day of embryo transfer (ET). We aimed to determine the role of EC in predicting assisted reproductive technology (ART) success by conducting a meta-analysis of studies reporting the association between EC and clinical outcomes of ART.

METHODS

MEDLINE via PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) were searched from the date of inception to May 19, 2023. The primary outcome was live birth rate (LBR) per ET. Secondary outcomes were live birth or ongoing pregnancy per ET, ongoing pregnancy per ET, clinical pregnancy per ET, and miscarriage per clinical pregnancy.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies were included. When data from all studies reporting live birth were pooled, overall LBR rates were comparable in cycles showing EC or not [RR = 0.97, 95%CI = 0.92 to 1.02; 10 studies, 11,710 transfer cycles]. In a subgroup of studies that included euploid ET cycles, a similar LBR for patients with and without EC was noted [RR = 0.99, 95%CI = 0.86 to 1.13, 4 studies, 1172 cycles]. The miscarriage rate did not seem to be affected by the presence or absence of EC [RR = 1.06, 95%CI = 0.90 to 1.24; 12 studies].

CONCLUSION

The predictive value of EC in determining LBR is limited, and assessment of EC may no longer be necessary, given these findings.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42023410389.

Estradiol on trigger day: Irrelevant to live birth rates of fresh cycles but positively associated with cumulative live birth rates

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effects of estradiol (E2) on trigger day on cumulative live birth rates (CLBRs), and pregnancy outcomes after fresh and frozen-thawed embryo transfer (FET).

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective cohort study included 42 315 patients from five reproductive centers. Six subgroups were divided according to E2 on trigger day (<1000, 1000-2000, 2000-3000, 3000-4000, 4000-5000, >5000 pg/mL). Smooth curve fitting and nonlinear mixed-effects models were used.

RESULTS

When E2 was <5500 pg/mL, the CLBR increased by 10% for every 1000 pg/mL increase in E2. When E2 was between 5500 and 13 281 pg/mL, CLBR increased by 1.8% for every 1000 pg/mL increase in E2. When E2 was >13 281 pg/mL, CLBR decreased by 3% for every 1000 pg/mL increase in E2. From group E2 < 1000 to group E2 > 5000 pg/mL, pregnancy and live birth rates in fresh cycles were not related to E2. The live birth rate after FET was higher in the E2 ≥ 5000 pg/mL group than in the E2 < 1000 pg/mL group (odds ratio [OR] 4.03, and 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.74-4.35; adjusted OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.05-1.37).

CONCLUSION

CLBR is associated with E2 on trigger day in a segmented manner. Pregnancy and live birth rates in fresh cycles were not associated with E2. The live birth rate in FET cycles was highest when E2 ≥ 5000 pg/mL.

Frozen-thawed embryo transfer in modified natural cycles: a retrospective analysis of pregnancy outcomes in ovulatory women with vs. without spontaneous luteinizing hormone surge

Background

Timing of frozen embryo transfer (FET) in natural endometrial preparation cycles is often based on luteinizing hormone (LH) surge. However, some patients do not show spontaneous LH surge despite follicular maturation. The objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of spontaneous LH surge on pregnancy outcomes in modified natural cycles (mNC).

Methods

This retrospective analysis included 1897 FET cycles with modified natural endometrial preparation in normo-ovulatory women between January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2019, at our center: 920 cycles with spontaneous LH surge (≥ 20 IU/L) and 977 without. For cleavage embryos, FET was conducted 4 and 5 days after hCG injection in women with and without LH surge, respectively. For blastocysts, FET was conducted 6 and 7 days after hCG injection in women with and without LH surge, respectively. Multivariate regression was conducted to examine the factors associated with live birth.

Results

Live birth rate was 43.7% in patients with spontaneous LH surge vs. 43.8% in women without LH surge (P = 0.961). The two groups also had similar implantation rate (36.2% vs. 36.7%, P = 0.772), biochemical pregnancy rate (54.8% vs. 55.4%, P = 0.796) and clinical pregnancy rate (50.9% vs. 51.7%, P = 0.721). In multivariate regression, live birth was not associated with LH surge (aOR, 0.947, 95% CI, 0.769, 1.166).

Conclusion

Pregnancy outcomes were similar in mNC-FET in cycles with vs. without spontaneous LH surge if FET timing is adjusted.

The role of timing in frozen embryo transfer

The process of implantation is characterized by a complex cross-talk between the endometrium and the blastocyst, with the endometrium only being receptive to implantation during a transient window of implantation of approximately 2-3 days during the midsecretory phase. The timing of embryo transfer, including frozen embryo transfer, is therefore critical to the success of implantation. In this article, we discuss various elements that may guide the timing of frozen embryo transfer, including the role of endometrial characteristics such as thickness, days postovulation or length of progesterone administration, stage of the embryo, and the application of endometrial receptivity tests to guide personalized embryo transfer.

Endometrial compaction is associated with increased clinical and ongoing pregnancy rates in unstimulated natural cycle frozen embryo transfers: a prospective cohort study

PURPOSE

To investigate the association between endometrial compaction and pregnancy rates in unstimulated natural cycle frozen embryo transfers.

DESIGN

A single-center prospective cohort study. Endometrial thickness by transvaginal ultrasound and blood progesterone levels on the day of ovulation and the day of embryo transfer were evaluated in patients undergoing natural cycle frozen embryo transfer. Compaction was defined as > 5% decrease in endometrial thickness between ovulation day and day of transfer. Clinical and ongoing pregnancy rates in cycles with and without compaction were compared.

RESULTS

Seventy-one women were included, of which 44% had endometrial compaction, with similar rates when subdividing the patients by day of transfer (day 3 or day 5). Clinical and ongoing pregnancy rates were higher in the compaction group compared to the non-compaction group (0.58 vs. 0.16, P < 0.001; 0.52 vs. 0.13, P < 0.001 respectively). Subdividing by degree of compaction > 10% and > 15% revealed similar pregnancy rates as > 5%, with no added benefit to higher degrees of compaction.

CONCLUSIONS

About half the patients in our study undergoing unstimulated natural cycle frozen embryo transfer experienced compaction of the endometrium, occurring as early as day 3 post-ovulation. This was significantly correlated with increased clinical and ongoing pregnancy rates.

Preparation of the Endometrium for Frozen Embryo Transfer: A Systematic Review

Despite the worldwide increase in frozen embryo transfer, the search for the best protocol to prime endometrium continues. Well-designed trials comparing various frozen embryo transfer protocols in terms of live birth rates, maternal, obstetric and neonatal outcome are urgently required. Currently, low-quality evidence indicates that, natural cycle, either true natural cycle or modified natural cycle, is superior to hormone replacement treatment protocol. Regarding warmed blastocyst transfer and frozen embryo transfer timing, the evidence suggests the 6th day of progesterone start, LH surge+6 day and hCG+7 day in hormone replacement treatment, true natural cycle and modified natural cycle protocols, respectively. Time corrections, due to inter-personal differences in the window of implantation or day of vitrification (day 5 or 6), should be explored further. Recently available evidence clearly indicates that, in hormone replacement treatment and natural cycles, there might be marked inter-personal variation in serum progesterone levels with an impact on reproductive outcomes, despite the use of the same dose and route of progesterone administration. The place of progesterone rescue protocols in patients with low serum progesterone levels one day prior to warmed blastocyst transfer in hormone replacement treatment and natural cycles is likely to be intensively explored in near future.