A novel preoperative predictive model of 90-day mortality after liver resection for huge hepatocellular carcinoma

Stratifying risk of failure to achieve textbook outcomes among patients undergoing hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter score validation study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The concept of textbook outcomes (TOs) has gained increased attention as a critical metric to assess the quality and success of outcomes following complex surgery. A simple yet effective scoring system was developed and validated to predict risk of not achieving textbook outcomes (non-TOs) following hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Using a multicenter prospectively collected database, risk factors associated with non-TO among patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC were identified. A predictive scoring system based on factors identified from multivariate regression analysis was used to risk stratify patients relative to non-TO. The score was developed using 70 % of the overall cohort and validated in the remaining 30 %.

RESULTS

Among 3681 patients, 1458 (39.6 %) failied to experience a TO. Based on the derivation cohort, obesity, American Society of Anaesthesiologists score(ASA score), Child-Pugh grade, tumor size, and extent of hepatectomy were identified as independent predictors of non-TO. The scoring system ranged from 0 to 10 points. Patients were categorized into low (0-3 points), intermediate (4-6 points), and high risk (7-10 points) of non-TO. In the validation cohort, the predicted risk of developing non-TOs was 39.0 %, which closely matched the observed risk of 39.9 %. There were no differences among the predicted and observed risks within the different risk categories.

CONCLUSIONS

A novel scoring system was able to predict risk of non-TO accurately following hepatectomy for HCC. The score may enable early identification of individuals at risk of adverse outcomes and inform surgical decision-making, and quality improvement initiatives.

Preoperative Antiviral Therapy and Long-Term Outcomes for Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Liver Resection: A Multicenter Analysis

Background & Aims

To examine the association of the history of preoperative antiviral therapy (AVT) with the tumor recurrence and overall survival in HBV-related HCC patients undergoing curative-intent hepatectomy.

Methods

Patients who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for HBV-related HCC between 2014 and 2019 at 4 Chinese hospitals were analyzed. Patients were categorized as having undergone preoperative antiviral therapy (AVT) > 1 year or without antiviral therapy (non-AVT). Patient clinical features, short-term outcomes, overall survival (OS), and time-to-recurrence (TTR) were also compared. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to identify the impact of preoperative AVT on the OS and TTR.

Results

Among the 565 patients, 190 (33.6%) underwent continuous AVT > 1 year before surgery. Patients in the non-AVT group were more likely to have worse liver function and more advanced tumor pathological characteristics than those in the AVT group. Postoperative morbidity and mortality rates were comparable between the two groups. Multivariate analyses revealed that a preoperative HBV viral level ≥ 2000 IU/mL was independently associated with poorer TTR (hazard ratio, 1.328; 95% CI, 1.049-1.682) and preoperative AVT was a protective factor for OS (hazard ratio, 0.691; 95% CI, 0.484-0.986).

Conclusion

A high preoperative HBV DNA level was an independent risk factor for tumor recurrence. Preoperative AVT > 1 year was associated with better OS and a reduced incidence of tumor recurrence by inhibiting the preoperative level of HBV DNA.

Predictive factors of 90-day mortality after curative hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma: a western single-center observational study

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to identify predictive risk factors associated with 90-day mortality after hepatic resection (HR) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

All patients undergoing elective resection for HCC from a single- institutional and prospectively maintained database were included. Multivariate regression analysis was conducted to identify pre- and intraoperative as well as histopathological predictive factors of 90-day mortality after elective HR.

RESULTS

Between August 2004 and October 2021, 196 patients were enrolled (148 male /48 female). The median age of the study cohort was 68.5 years (range19-84 years). The rate of major hepatectomy (≥ 3 segments) was 43.88%. Multivariate analysis revealed patient age ≥ 70 years [HR 2.798; (95% CI 1.263-6.198); p = 0.011], preoperative chronic renal insufficiency [HR 3.673; (95% CI 1.598-8.443); p = 0.002], Child-Pugh Score [HR 2.240; (95% CI 1.188-4.224); p = 0.013], V-Stage [HR 2.420; (95% CI 1.187-4.936); p = 0.015], and resected segments ≥ 3 [HR 4.700; (95% 1.926-11.467); p = 0.001] as the major significant determinants of the 90-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

Advanced patient age, pre-existing chronic renal insufficiency, Child-Pugh Score, extended hepatic resection, and vascular tumor involvement were identified as significant predictive factors of 90-day mortality. Proper patient selection and adjustment of treatment strategies could potentially reduce short-term mortality.

An Overview of Liver Transplantation: Current Status, Recent Techniques, and Challenges-Perspectives From a Center in China

Liver transplantation is the best way to treat end-stage liver disease.With benefits from enhanced techniques, refined management, and advanced medications, liver transplant boasts a commendable 5-year survival rate for recipients. Nevertheless, acquiring the perioperative management and surgical skills essential for liver transplant is a time-consuming process for new surgeons. In addition, COVID-19 has also affected the field. Based on our actual situation in China, we have provided an overview of donor evaluation,recipient selection,transplant procedures, postoperative complications and management, longterm management, and pandemic strategies to guide new clinical surgeons in the field.

Prealbumin as a Predictor of Short-Term Prognosis in Patients with HBV-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Purpose

Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a serious medical condition with a high short-term mortality rate, making accurate prognostic assessment essential for informed clinical decision-making. In this study, we aimed to develop a simple and effective prognostic model for predicting short-term mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF.

Patients and Methods

To achieve our objective, we enrolled both a cross-sectional cohort (n = 291) and a retrospective cohort (n = 185) in this study. We collected laboratory and clinical data from these cohorts and performed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify independent predictors of short-term mortality. Subsequently, we developed a novel prognostic score for HBV-ACLF, which was validated and assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to determine its performance.

Results

Our analysis revealed that the admission prealbumin (PAB) level was a robust independent predictor of 30-day mortality, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.760. Moreover, we developed the HIAPP score, a prognostic-score model based on PAB. The HIAPP score was significantly lower in survivors compared to non-survivors (-2.80±0.21 vs 0.97±0.41, P < 0.001). The HIAPP score's AUROC value was 0.899, which was found to be superior to the MELD score (AUROC = 0.795) and the CLIF-C ACLF score (AUC =0.781) and comparable to the COSSH-ACLF II score (AUC =0.825) for predicting 30-day mortality. These findings were also validated in a separate cohort, further supporting the utility of the HIAPP score as a prognostic tool for HBV-ACLF patients.

Conclusion

Our study identifies the admission PAB level as a simple and valuable predictive index for 30-day mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. Furthermore, the HIAPP score, which incorporates PAB, PLT, INR, HE, and age, is an easy-to-use and pragmatic prognostic score in predicting short-term mortality.

Efficacy and safety of drug-eluting bead transarterial chemoembolization (DEB-TACE) plus apatinib versus DEB-TACE alone in treating huge hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Background

Apatinib, a tyrosine kinase inhibitor, inhibits angiogenesis under the tumor hypoxic environment induced by drug-eluting bead transarterial chemoembolization (DEB-TACE), which is hypothesized to have synergic effect with DEB-TACE in treating hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of DEB-TACE plus apatinib in treating huge HCC patients.

Methods

Totally, 73 huge HCC patients (tumor size > 10 cm) were screened and divided into DEB-TACE plus apatinib group (N = 34) or DEB-TACE group (N = 39) based on the treatment they received. Their clinical response and adverse events were retrieved. The progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were calculated.

Results

DEB-TACE plus apatinib achieved a trend of higher objective response rate (64.7% vs. 43.6%, P = 0.071), but similar disease control rate (88.2% vs. 79.5%, P = 0.314) than DEB-TACE alone. Moreover, DEB-TACE plus apatinib reached an improved PFS (median (95%CI): 19.0 months (15.5–22.5) vs. 10.9 months (8.0–13.8), P = 0.025) and OS (median (95%CI): 25.1 months (20.3–29.9) vs. 13.7 months (9.8–17.6), P = 0.042) than DEB-TACE alone. After adjustment by multivariate Cox’s regression analyses, DEB-TACE plus apatinib (vs. DEB-TACE alone) was independently correlated with better PFS (HR: 0.420, P = 0.004) and OS (HR: 0.477, P = 0.022). Regarding safety, adverse events were mostly mild and manageable; also, they were of no difference between DEB-TACE plus apatinib and DEB-TACE alone (all P > 0.05).

Conclusion

DEB-TACE plus apatinib achieves prolonged PFS and OS, while similar adverse events occurrence compared to DEB-TACE alone in huge HCC treatment.

Supplementary information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11845-021-02884-w.