Predictive role of intraoperative clinicopathological features of the central compartment in estimating lymph nodes metastasis status

A new prediction model for lateral cervical lymph node metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma: Based on dual-energy CT

PURPOSE

The current study aimed to develop and validate a prediction model to estimate the independent risk factors for lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients based on dual-energy computed tomography (DECT).

METHOD

This study retrospectively conducted 406 consecutive patients from July 2015 to June 2019 to form the derivation cohorts and performed internal validation. 101 consecutive patients from July 2019 to June 2020 were included to create the external validation cohort. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate independent risk factors for LLNM. A prediction model based on DECT parameters was built and presented on a nomogram. The internal and external validations were performed.

RESULTS

Iodine concentration (IC) in the arterial phase (OR 2.761, 95% CI 1.028-7.415, P 0.044), IC in venous phase (OR 3.820, 95% CI 1.430-10.209, P 0.008), located in the superior pole (OR 4.181, 95% CI 2.645-6.609, P 0.000), and extrathyroidal extension (OR 4.392, 95% CI 2.142-9.004, P 0.000) were independently associated with LLNM in the derivation cohort. These four predictors were incorporated into the nomogram. The model showed good discrimination in the derivation (AUC, 0.899), internal (AUC, 0.905), and external validation (AUC, 0.912) cohorts. The decision curve revealed that more advantages would be added using the nomogram to estimate LLNM, which implied that the lateral lymph node dissection was recommended.

CONCLUSIONS

DECT parameters could provide independent indicators of LLNM in PTC patients, and the nomogram based on them may be helpful in treatment decision-making.

Prediction of ipsilateral lateral cervical lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma: a combined dual-energy CT and thyroid function indicators study

BACKGROUND

Predicting the possibility of ipsilateral lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (ipsi-LLNM) was crucial to the operation plan for patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). This study aimed to investigate the independent risk factors for ipsi-LLNM in PTC patients by combining dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) with thyroid function indicators.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 406 patients with a pathological diagnosis of PTC from Jan 2016 to Dec 2019. Ensure the DECT images were clear and the thyroid function indicators were complete. Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses explored the independent risk factors for ipsi-LLNM. To evaluate the cutoff value of each risk factor by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

A total of 406 patients with PTC were analyzed, including 128 with ipsi-LLNM and 278 without ipsi-LLNM. There were statistical differences of parameters between the two groups (P < .0001), including serum Tg, Anti-Tg, Anti-TPO, the volume of the primary lesion, calcification, extrathyroidal extension (ETE), and iodine concentration (IC) in the arterial and the venous phases. Independent risk factors for ipsi-LLNM included serum Tg, Anti-Tg, ETE, and IC in the arterial and the venous phases (P < .05). The combined application of the above independent risk factors can predict the possibility of ipsi-LLNM, with an AUC of 0.834. Ipsi-LLNM was more likely to occur when the following conditions were met: with ETE, Tg >  100.01 ng/mL, Anti-Tg >  89.43 IU/mL, IC in arterial phase > 3.4 mg/mL and IC in venous phase > 3.1 mg/mL.

CONCLUSIONS

The combined application of DECT quantitative parameters and thyroid function indicators can help clinicians accurately predict ipsi-LLNM before surgery, thereby assisting the individualized formulation of surgical procedures.