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Ukegjini K, Müller PC, Warschkow R, Tarantino I, Jonas JP, Oberkofler CE, Petrowsky H, Schmied BM, Steffen T. Discharge C-reactive protein predicts 90-day readmission after pancreatoduodenectomy: a conditional inference tree analysis. HPB (Oxford) 2024:S1365-182X(24)02229-9. [PMID: 39164121 DOI: 10.1016/j.hpb.2024.08.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/11/2024] [Revised: 07/14/2024] [Accepted: 08/02/2024] [Indexed: 08/22/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The aim of this study was to assess the predictive value of discharge C-reactive protein (CRP) and white blood cell (WBC) levels for 90-day readmission after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). METHODS A two-centre, retrospective study was performed between 2008 and 2022. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine the predictive value of CRP level and WBC count at discharge. A conditional inference tree (CTREE) was constructed to identify combined risks within subgroups using variables associated with readmission. RESULTS Of 438 patients, 54 (12%) were readmitted. The median WBC count at discharge was comparable between the readmitted and not readmitted groups (9.1 vs. 8.5 G/l). The CRP levels at discharge were predictive of 90-day readmission, with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.63 (95% CI: 0.55-0.63). A CRP concentration below 105 mg/l ruled out 90-day readmission, with a negative predictive value (NPV) of 90% (95% CI: 81%-95%). CTREE confirmed the diagnostic value of CRP at discharge (AUC = 0.68, 95% CI 0.60-0.68). CTREE additionally identified previous wound infection as a second risk factor for readmission in patients with CRP levels less than 101 mg/l (P = 0.003). CONCLUSION CRP levels below 105 mg/l at discharge allow for a safe discharge with a low 90-day readmission rate. Wound infection, but not WBC count, was a positive predictor of 90-day readmission with moderate accuracy, suggesting the need for predischarge imaging for undetected complications in this patient cohort. TRIAL REGISTRATION Our retrospective analysis did not require registration with a publicly accessible registry.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kristjan Ukegjini
- Department of General, Visceral, Endocrine and Transplant Surgery, Kantonsspital St. Gallen, Rorschacherstrasse 95, CH-9007 St. Gallen, Switzerland.
| | - Philip C Müller
- Swiss HPB & Transplant Center Zurich, Department of Surgery and Transplantation, University Hospital Zurich, Rämistrasse 100, CH-8091 Zürich, Switzerland; Department of Surgery, Clarunis - University Centre for Gastrointestinal and Hepatopancreatobiliary Diseases, CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Rene Warschkow
- Department of General, Visceral, Endocrine and Transplant Surgery, Kantonsspital St. Gallen, Rorschacherstrasse 95, CH-9007 St. Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Ignazio Tarantino
- Department of General, Visceral, Endocrine and Transplant Surgery, Kantonsspital St. Gallen, Rorschacherstrasse 95, CH-9007 St. Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Jan P Jonas
- Swiss HPB & Transplant Center Zurich, Department of Surgery and Transplantation, University Hospital Zurich, Rämistrasse 100, CH-8091 Zürich, Switzerland
| | - Christian E Oberkofler
- Swiss HPB & Transplant Center Zurich, Department of Surgery and Transplantation, University Hospital Zurich, Rämistrasse 100, CH-8091 Zürich, Switzerland; Vivévis AG - Visceral, Tumour and Robotic Surgery, Clinic Hirslanden Zurich, Witellikerstrasse 40, CH-8032 Zurich, Switzerland
| | - Henrik Petrowsky
- Swiss HPB & Transplant Center Zurich, Department of Surgery and Transplantation, University Hospital Zurich, Rämistrasse 100, CH-8091 Zürich, Switzerland
| | - Bruno M Schmied
- Department of General, Visceral, Endocrine and Transplant Surgery, Kantonsspital St. Gallen, Rorschacherstrasse 95, CH-9007 St. Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Thomas Steffen
- Department of General, Visceral, Endocrine and Transplant Surgery, Kantonsspital St. Gallen, Rorschacherstrasse 95, CH-9007 St. Gallen, Switzerland
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Lopez P, Pando E, Ortega-Torrecilla N, Puertolas N, Adell M, Fernandes N, Herms D, Barros M, Blanco L, Balsells J, Charco R. The role of clinically relevant intra-abdominal collections after pancreaticoduodenectomy : Clinical impact and predictors. A retrospective analysis from a European tertiary centre. Langenbecks Arch Surg 2023; 409:21. [PMID: 38151676 PMCID: PMC10752846 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-023-03200-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2023] [Accepted: 12/05/2023] [Indexed: 12/29/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There is controversial evidence regarding the impact of clinically relevant postoperative intra-abdominal collections (CR-IC) on the clinical course after pancreaticoduodenectomy. C-reactive Protein (CRP) has been validated as a predictor of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF). Still, its role in predicting CR-IC has not been studied. METHODS A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients who underwent PD at a tertiary hospital between October 2012 and October 2017. The incidence of CR-IC, clinically relevant POPF and other complications, as well as mortality and length of hospitalisation, was retrieved. The impact of CR-IR on mortality and major complications was analysed. The serum CRP levels were retrieved on the third and fifth postoperative days (POD3 and POD5), followed by an analysis of sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve to predict CR-IC using CRP. RESULTS One hundred forty patients were enrolled following inclusion and exclusion criteria. The mean age was 66.5 years (15-83). The incidence of CR-IC was 33.7% (47), and CR-POPF was 24.3%. Pancreatic duct diameter ≤ 4 mm was identified as a risk factor related to CR-IC occurrence. The group of patients who developed CR-IC after PD exhibited a higher rate of complications Clavien-Dindo ≥ III compared to patients without CR-IC (40.4% vs 7.5%, p < 0.001), as well as other events such as admission to the intensive care unit (25.5% vs 4.3%, p < 0.001), the incidence of CR-POPF (66% vs 3.2%, p < 0.001), prolonged hospital stay (32 vs 13 days, p < 0.001), postoperative haemorrhage (23.4 vs 5.4%, p = 0.002), and delayed gastric empty (38.8% vs 11.8%, p < 0.001) respectively. Logistic regression analysis identified CR-IC related to POPF as a risk factor for Clavien-Dindo > III: OR = 10.6 (95% CI: 3.90-28.7). No differences in mortality were reported between the CR-IC group and non-CR-IC group. CRP at postoperative day 3 (POD3) > 17.55 mg/dl and CRP at postoperative day 5 (POD5) > 13.46 mg/dl were predictors of CR-IC (AUC: 0.731 and AUC:0.821, respectively). CONCLUSIONS CR-IC has a significant impact after pancreaticoduodenectomy and is associated with a higher incidence of Clavien-Dindo ≥ III complications. Additionally, CRP levels at POD3 and POD5 play a role in predicting CR-IC. Prospective studies are essential to explore strategies for mitigating the occurrence of CR-IC after PD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pablo Lopez
- Universitat Autónoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
- Department of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary and Transplant Surgery, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Elizabeth Pando
- Universitat Autónoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
- Department of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary and Transplant Surgery, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain.
| | - Nuria Ortega-Torrecilla
- Department of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary and Transplant Surgery, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Noelia Puertolas
- Department of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary and Transplant Surgery, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Montse Adell
- Department of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary and Transplant Surgery, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Nair Fernandes
- Department of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary and Transplant Surgery, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Daniel Herms
- Department of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary and Transplant Surgery, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Marta Barros
- Department of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary and Transplant Surgery, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Laia Blanco
- Department of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary and Transplant Surgery, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Joaquim Balsells
- Department of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary and Transplant Surgery, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Ramon Charco
- Department of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary and Transplant Surgery, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain
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Chui JN, Sahni S, Samra JS, Mittal A. Postoperative pancreatitis and pancreatic fistulae: a review of current evidence. HPB (Oxford) 2023; 25:1011-1021. [PMID: 37301633 DOI: 10.1016/j.hpb.2023.05.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/18/2023] [Revised: 04/28/2023] [Accepted: 05/09/2023] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) represents one of the most severe complications following pancreatic surgery. Despite being a leading cause of morbidity and mortality, its pathophysiology is poorly understood. In recent years, there has been growing evidence to support the role of postoperative or post-pancreatectomy acute pancreatitis (PPAP) in the development of POPF. This article reviews the contemporary literature on POPF pathophysiology, risk factors, and prevention strategies. METHODS A literature search was conducted using electronic databases, including Ovid Medline, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library, to retrieve relevant literature published between 2005 and 2023. A narrative review was planned from the outset. RESULTS A total of 104 studies fulfilled criteria for inclusion. Forty-three studies reported on technical factors predisposing to POPF, including resection and reconstruction technique and adjuncts for anastomotic reinforcement. Thirty-four studies reported on POPF pathophysiology. There is compelling evidence to suggest that PPAP plays a critical role in the development of POPF. The acinar component of the remnant pancreas should be regarded as an intrinsic risk factor; meanwhile, operative stress, remnant hypoperfusion, and inflammation represent common mechanisms for acinar cell injury. CONCLUSIONS The evidence base for PPAP and POPF is evolving. Future POPF prevention strategies should look beyond anastomotic reinforcement and target underlying mechanisms of PPAP development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juanita N Chui
- Department of Upper Gastrointestinal Surgery, Royal North Shore Hospital, Sydney, Australia; Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Sumit Sahni
- Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; Kolling Institute of Medical Research, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Jaswinder S Samra
- Department of Upper Gastrointestinal Surgery, Royal North Shore Hospital, Sydney, Australia; Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; Australian Pancreatic Centre, Sydney, Australia
| | - Anubhav Mittal
- Department of Upper Gastrointestinal Surgery, Royal North Shore Hospital, Sydney, Australia; Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; Australian Pancreatic Centre, Sydney, Australia; School of Medicine, The University of Notre Dame, Sydney, Australia.
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Correlation of Different Serum Biomarkers with Prediction of Early Pancreatic Graft Dysfunction Following Simultaneous Pancreas and Kidney Transplantation. J Clin Med 2022; 11:jcm11092563. [PMID: 35566689 PMCID: PMC9103915 DOI: 10.3390/jcm11092563] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2022] [Revised: 04/27/2022] [Accepted: 04/28/2022] [Indexed: 01/27/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Despite recent advances and refinements in perioperative management of simultaneous pancreas−kidney transplantation (SPKT) early pancreatic graft dysfunction (ePGD) remains a critical problem with serious impairment of early and long-term graft function and outcome. Hence, we evaluated a panel of classical blood serum markers for their value in predicting early graft dysfunction in patients undergoing SPKT. Methods: From a prospectively collected database medical data of 105 patients undergoing SPKT between 1998 and 2018 at our center were retrospectively analyzed. The primary study outcome was the detection of occurrence of early pancreatic graft dysfunction (ePGD), the secondary study outcome was early renal graft dysfunction (eRGD) as well as all other outcome parameters associated with the graft function. In this context, ePGD was defined as pancreas graft-related complications including graft pancreatitis, pancreatic abscess/peritonitis, delayed graft function, graft thrombosis, bleeding, rejection and the consecutive need for re-laparotomy due to graft-related complications within 3 months. With regard to analyzing ePGD, serum levels of white blood cell count (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), pancreatic lipase as well as neutrophil−lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet−lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were measured preoperatively and at postoperative days (POD) 1, 2, 3 and 5. Further, peak serum levels of CRP and lipase during the first 72 h were evaluated. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves were performed to assess their predictive value for ePGD and eRGD. Cut-off levels were calculated with the Youden index. Significant diagnostic biochemical cut-offs as well as other prognostic clinical factors were tested in a multivariate logistic regression model. Results: Of the 105 patients included, 43 patients (41%) and 28 patients (27%) developed ePGD and eRGD following SPKT, respectively. The mean WBC, PCT, NLR, PLR, CRP and lipase levels were significantly higher on most PODs in the ePGD group compared to the non-ePGD group. ROC analysis indicated that peak lipase (AUC: 0.82) and peak CRP levels (AUC: 0.89) were highly predictive for ePGD after SPKT. The combination of both achieved the highest AUC (0.92; p < 0.01) in predicting ePGD. Concerning eRGD, predictive accuracy of all analyzed serological markers was moderate (all AUC < 0.8). Additionally, multivariable analysis identified previous dialysis/no preemptive transplantation (OR 2.4 (95% CI: 1.41−4.01), p = 0.021), donor age (OR 1.07 (95% CI: 1.03−1.14), p < 0.010), donor body mass index (OR 1.32 (95% CI: 1.01−1.072), p = 0.04), donors cerebrovascular cause of death (OR 7.8 (95% CI: 2.21−26.9), p < 0.010), donor length of ICU stay (OR 1.27 (95% CI: 1.08−1.49), p < 0.010), as well as CIT pancreas (OR 1.07 (95% CI: 1.03−1.14), p < 0.010) as clinical relevant prognostic predictors for ePGD. Further, a peak of lipase (OR 1.04 (95% CI: 1.02−1.07), p < 0.010), peak of CRP levels (OR 1.12 (95% CI: 1.02−1.23), p < 0.010), pancreatic serum lipase concentration on POD 2 > 150 IU/L (OR 2.9 (95% CI: 1.2−7.13), p = 0.021) and CRP levels of ≥ 180 ng/mL on POD 2 (OR 3.6 (95% CI: 1.54−8.34), p < 0.01) and CRP levels > 150 ng/mL on POD 3 (OR 4.5 (95% CI: 1.7−11.4), p < 0.01) were revealed as independent biochemical predictive variables for ePGD after transplantation. Conclusions: In the current study, the combination of peak lipase and CRP levels were highly effective in predicting early pancreatic graft dysfunction development following SPKT. In contrast, for early renal graft dysfunction the predictive value of this parameter was less sensitive. Intensified monitoring of these parameters may be helpful for identifying patients at a higher risk of pancreatic ischemia reperfusion injury and various IRI- associated postoperative complications leading to ePGD and thus deteriorated outcome.
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