Evaluation of surgical risk and prognosis between thyroid nodules of size <1 and ≥1 cm

The Size of a Thyroid Nodule with ACR TI-RADS Does Not Provide a Better Prediction of the Nature of the Nodule: A Single-Center Retrospective Real-Life Observational Study

We investigated if thyroid nodule size has a predictive value of malignancy on a par with composition, echogenicity, shape, margin, and echogenic foci, and what would be the consequence of observing the rule of the American College of Radiology (ACR) to perform a fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB). We conducted a retrospective real-life observational study on 86 patients who underwent surgery after a standardized diagnostic protocol. We divided the TR3, TR4, and TR5 classes into sub-classes according to the size threshold indicating FNAB (a: up to the threshold for no FNAB; b: over the threshold for FNAB suggested). We computed sensitivity, specificity, and positive (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) for the different sub-classes and Youden's index (Y) for the different possible cutoffs. Each sub-class showed the following PPV (0.67, 0.68, 0.70, 0.78, 0.72), NPV (0.56, 0.54, 0.51, 0.52, 0.59), and Y (0.20, 0.20, 0.22, 0.31, 0.30). In this real-life series, we did not find a significant difference in prediction of malignancy between the sub-categories according to the size threshold. All nodules have a pre-evaluation likelihood of being malignant, and the impact and utility of size thresholds may be less clear than suggested by the ACR TIRADS guidelines in patients undergoing standardized thyroid work up.

Multimodality US versus Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System Criteria in Recommending Fine-Needle Aspiration of Thyroid Nodules

Background Current guidelines recommend the use of conventional US for risk stratification and management of thyroid nodules. However, fine-needle aspiration (FNA) is often recommended in benign nodules. Purpose To compare the diagnostic performance of multimodality US (including conventional US, strain elastography, and contrast-enhanced US [CEUS]) with the American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TI-RADS) in the recommendation of FNA for thyroid nodules to reduce unnecessary biopsies. Materials and Methods In this prospective study, 445 consecutive participants with thyroid nodules from nine tertiary referral hospitals were recruited between October 2020 and May 2021. With univariable and multivariable logistic regression, the prediction models incorporating sonographic features, evaluated with interobserver agreement, were constructed and internally validated with bootstrap resampling technique. In addition, discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis were performed. Results A total of 434 thyroid nodules confirmed at pathologic analysis (259 malignant thyroid nodules) in 434 participants (mean age, 45 years ± 12 [SD]; 307 female participants) were included. Four multivariable models incorporated participant age, nodule features at US (proportion of cystic components, echogenicity, margin, shape, punctate echogenic foci), elastography features (stiffness), and CEUS features (blood volume). In recommending FNA in thyroid nodules, the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.81, 0.89) for the multimodality US model, and the lowest AUC was 0.63 (95% CI: 0.59, 0.68) for TI-RADS (P < .001). At the 50% risk threshold, 31% (95% CI: 26, 38) of FNA procedures could be avoided with multimodality US compared with 15% (95% CI: 12, 19) with TI-RADS (P < .001). Conclusion Multimodality US had better performance in recommending FNA to avoid unnecessary biopsies than the TI-RADS. Clinical trial registration no. NCT04574258 © RSNA, 2023 Supplemental material is available for this article.

The influence of nodule size on the aggressiveness of thyroid carcinoma varies with patient's age

Background

Thyroid nodule size is one of the key parameters that determines the operative approach for thyroid carcinoma. It is necessary to evaluate the influence of nodule size on the aggressiveness of thyroid carcinoma. The eighth edition of staging system has updated the prognostic age cutoff from 45 to 55 years old. It is needed to re-evaluate the difference in aggressiveness of thyroid carcinoma between younger (<55 years old) and older (≥55 years old) patients. Importantly, whether the influence of nodule size on the aggressiveness of thyroid carcinoma varies according to the new age stratification remains to be explored.

Methods

Medical records from patients were retrospectively reviewed. Patients with a documented thyroid ultrasonography (US), US-guided fine needle aspiration (FNA) and histopathology were included. The risks of unfavorable events such as central-compartment neck lymph node (CLN) metastasis, lateral-compartment neck lymph node (LLN) metastasis and gross extrathyroidal extension (ETE) were analyzed in four subsets of patients according to size and age.

Results

Large nodule size (≥10 mm) significantly increased the frequencies of CLN metastasis, LLN metastasis and gross ETE (P<0.05). The frequency of CLN metastasis was significantly higher in younger patients compared with that in older ones. Logistic regression analysis recognized large nodule size as an independent risk factor for all CLN metastasis (OR: 3.304, 95% CI: 2.473-4.415), LLN metastasis (OR: 9.673, 95% CI: 4.542-20.597), and gross ETE (OR: 2.430, 95% CI: 1.508-3.916). Secondly, in younger patients, frequencies of all CLN metastasis, LLN metastasis and gross ETE were significantly higher in nodules ≥10 mm than in nodules <10 mm (P<0.001). However, in older patients, no significant difference was found in the frequencies of LLN metastasis or gross ETE between nodules <10 mm and ≥10 mm. Logistic regression analysis showed, in younger patients, large nodule size was an independent risk factor for all CLN metastasis (OR: 3.241, 95% CI: 2.393-4.389), LLN metastasis (OR: 12.495, 95% CI: 5.281-29.562), and gross ETE (OR: 2.591, 95% CI: 1.519-4.419), while in older patients large nodule size was recognized as an independent risk factor for CLN metastasis (OR: 3.924, 95% CI: 1.413-10.899) but not for LLN metastasis or gross ETE.

Conclusions

Large nodule size is significantly related to high aggressiveness of thyroid carcinoma. The correlation between large nodule size and high aggressiveness varies according to patient's age, indicating that the presence of unfavorable events has different clinical significance for patients of varied ages. These findings contribute to accurately assessing the prognosis of individual patient and developing a better management strategy.