Performance status and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio are important prognostic factors in elderly patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer

Prognostic impact of neurocognitive disorders in older patients with cancer: the ELCAPA prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prognostic value of neurocognitive disorder (NCD) for 12 month-overall mortality in patients aged 70 or more with a solid cancer.

DESIGN

prospective, observational, multicenter cohort.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

We analyzed data from the ELCAPA longitudinal multicenter observational cohort of patients aged 70 or over, referred for a geriatric assessment (GA) before a new cancer treatment modality between January 31st, 2007, and December 29th, 2017. We defined the baseline NCD in four classes: no NCD, mild NCD, moderate NCD, and major NCD, based on the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score, memory complaint, and the Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) score.

STATISTICAL METHODS

We compared the baseline characteristics of patients according to NCD classes, globally and by pairs (with Bonferroni' correction). Prognosis value of NCD classes were analysed by using univariable and then multivariable 12 month survival analysis with age as time-variable and with and without adjustement for the treatment strategy (curative, palliative or exclusive supportive care).

RESULTS

2784 patients with solid-cancer were included, with a median [interquartile range] age of 82 [78;86]. 36% of the patients were free of NCD, 34% had a mild NCD, 17% had a moderate NCD, and 13% had a major NCD. We identified the following independent prognostic factors for 12 month-overall mortality: NCD (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] for a major NCD = 1.54 [1.19-1.98] (p < 0.001), type of cancer, metastatic status, inpatient consultation, poor general health (assessed as the level of fatigue and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status [ECOG-PS]), greater weight loss, palliative treatment, and exclusive supportive care. Additional adjustment for the treatment strategy did not greatly change the strength of the association of a major NCD with 12 month-overall mortality (HR [95%CI] = 1.78 [1.39-2.29] (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that the presence of a major NCD has direct prognostic value (independently of other geriatric factors, the type of cancer and the treatment strategy) in older patients with a solid cancer.

Prognostic Value of Circulating Cell-Free DNA Concentration and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Patients with Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Prospective Cohort Study

Circulating cell-free DNA (ccfDNA) quantity correlates with the clinical characteristics and prognosis of various cancer types. We investigated whether ccfDNA levels and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have prognostic value in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Peripheral blood was collected from 82 patients with PDAC prior to any diagnostic procedure or the administration of chemotherapy. Plasma DNA was isolated, and ccfDNA concentration and NLR were determined. We found that ccfDNA levels were correlated with age and tumor burden. Moreover, higher values of NLR (≥3.31) were linked with worse overall survival (OS) (4 vs. 10 months; log rank p = 0.011), and an elevated ccfDNA concentration (≥25.79 ng/mL) was strongly associated with shorter OS (4 vs. 8 months; log rank p = 0.009). According to the results of the multivariable Cox regression analysis, the baseline concentration of ccfDNA was an independent prognostic factor for OS (HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.21-0.97, p = 0.041). Furthermore, the combination of ccfDNA levels with NLR greatly enhanced the prognostic accuracy of PDAC patients. Our study demonstrates that ccfDNA concentration and NLR are independent predictors of survival in PDAC. Subsequent studies should validate this combination as a prognostic indicator in PDAC patients and assess its utility for guiding therapeutic decisions.

Real-Life Results of Palliative Chemotherapy in Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE

To assess the efficacy of FOLFIRINOX(FFX), gemcitabine-based regimens (GB), and gemcitabine monotherapy (Gem) in patients with metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC).

METHODS

This is a retrospective study that included 83 patients with mPDAC treated with first-line chemotherapy (L1) with either FFX, GB or Gem between 2015 and 2017. Progression-free survival (PFS) for L1 and second-line chemotherapy (L2) (PFS-L1 and PFS-L2) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Median PFS-L1 for FFX, GB and Gem groups was 9 months (95% (Confidence Interval) CI 2.76-15.24), 5 months (95%CI 3.44-6.56), and 5 months (95%CI 3.76-6.24), respectively (p = 0.04). OS was 14 months (95%CI 11.16-16.85), 12 months (95%CI: 9.44-11.56), and 7 months (95%CI: 5.7-8.3) for patients treated with FFX, GB, and Gem, respectively (p = 0.0001). ECOG-PS (0/1) (Hazard Ratio (HR) 6.74, p = 0.002), age > 70 years (HR 0.25, p = 0.04), body tumors (HR 2.8, p = 0.048), CA19-9 > 39 U/mL (HR 0.26, p = 0.02), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) > 4.15 (HR 6.76, p = 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for PFS-L1. Male gender (HR 3.02, p = 0.026), ECOG-PS (0/1) (HR 4.21, p = 0.003), L1 with FFX (HR 0.255, p = 0.007), and NLR > 4.15 (HR 2.65, p = 0.04) were independent prognostic factors of OS. PFS-L2 (HR 6.91, p = 0.013) and OS-L2 (HR 6.95, p = 0.037) were significantly higher in patients first treated with FFX.

CONCLUSIONS

The OS of patients who receive FFX or GB is comparable. The best PFS-L1 belongs to the FFX group. Male gender, ECOG-PS 0/1, the FFX regimen, and NLR > 4.15 were independent predictors of OS. PFS-L2 and OS-L2 were favorably impacted by L1 with FFX.

Usefulness of the G8 Geriatric Assessment Tool as a Prognostic Factor in Gemcitabine Plus Nab-paclitaxel Combination Therapy for Elderly Patients with Pancreatic Cancer

INTRODUCTION

The usefulness of various prognostic factors for advanced pancreatic cancer (APC) has been reported, but the number of elderly patients in these studies is disproportionately fewer than those in general practice. This study aimed to examine the prognostic factors for elderly patients with APC receiving gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (GnP) considering the G8 geriatric assessment tool.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 77 elderly (≥65 years old) patients with APC who received GnP as first-line chemotherapy at our hospital. We used the receiver operating characteristic curve to set the optimal cutoff value for G8. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were applied to study independent prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The progression-free survival was 5.5 months, and the overall survival (OS) was 12.0 months in all patients. The most optimal cutoff of G8 was 10.5. OS of G8 ≥10.5 patients was superior to that of G8 <10.5 patients (18.5 versus 8.0 months). Multivariate analysis showed that Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 1 (hazard ratio [HR] 3.00, p = 0.02), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio ≥3.9 (HR 2.73, p = 0.03), and G8 geriatric assessment <10.5 (HR 5.38, p < 0.001) were independent negative prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

G8 is useful for predicting prognoses in elderly patients with APC receiving GnP.

Inflammatory and nutritional biomarkers as predictors of non-resectability and early recurrence in pancreatic and periampullary cancer

BACKGROUND

Some pancreatic tumors considered resectable on the preoperative staging are unresectable during surgical exploration. Moreover, some patients subjected to tumor resection have an early recurrence.

METHODS

Patients with pancreatic or periampullary carcinoma diagnosed between January 2005 and August 2017 in Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca were retrospectively analyzed. Biochemical and radiological inflammatory biomarkers were compared according to disease staging at diagnosis, intraoperative staging and early recurrence (<6 months).

RESULTS

391 patients were included. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-tomonocyte ratio, C-reactive-protein-to-albuminemia ratio (CRP/ALB), Prognostic Nutritional Index, modified Glasgow Prognostic Score and CA19-9 were associated with metastatic disease at diagnosis. NLR, CRP/ALB, mGPS and CA19-9 were independent predictors of disease staging at diagnosis on multivariate analysis. 108 patients underwent surgery, of which 23,8% were found to have unresectable disease at intra-operative staging. 26,9% had early disease recurrence. CRP/ALB and CA19-9 were significantly higher in patients with evidence of disease at 6 months postoperatively. Computed tomography sarcopenia index HUAC was significantly lower in patients with evidence of disease at 6 months postoperatively. When adjusted for histology, none of the biomarkers were independent predictors of unresectable disease or early recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR, CRP/ALB, mGPS and CA19-9 at diagnosis were predictors of disease staging with low performance. Preoperative inflammatory biomarkers were not predictors of unresectable disease or early recurrence.

PD-L1+NEUT, Foxp3+Treg, and NLR as New Prognostic Marker with Low Survival Benefits Value in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background: This presented study was aimed to evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic value of PD-L1⁺Neutrophils (PD-L1⁺NEUT) and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) based on our previous experience of Foxp3⁺Treg in transplantation. Methods: the NLR cutoff value of 1.79 was used to include 136 cases from the 204 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) confirmed by clinical pathology, which were divided into highly-moderately and poorly differentiated HCC groups. The expressions of PD-L1⁺NEUT and Foxp3⁺Treg in peripheral blood and cancer tissue were detected with flow cytometry, meanwhile, PD-L1 and Foxp3 expressed in carcinoma and para-carcinoma tissues were marked by immunohistochemistry. Survival rates, including overall survival and disease-free survival, were calculated by the Kaplan–Meier curve and evaluated with the log-rank test. Finally, Cox risk regression model was used to analyze the independent risk factors for prognostic survival. Results: The level of PD-L1⁺NEUT, Foxp3⁺Treg, and NLR in peripheral blood of patients with poorly differentiated HCC were significantly increased (all P < .001). Both PD-L1⁺NEUT and NLR were positively correlated with Foxp3⁺Treg (r = 0.479, P = .0017; r = 0.58, P < .0001). The level of PD-L1⁺NEUT and Foxp3⁺Treg as well as PD-L1 and Foxp3 in cancer tissue and patients with poorly differentiated HCC were obviously increased (all P < .01), respectively. Cox regression analysis indicated that PD-L1⁺NEUT, NLR, and Foxp3⁺Treg were independent risk factors for the prognosis (P = .000, .000, .006) with a RR and 95%CI of 2.704-(2.155-3.393), 3.139-(2.361-4.173), 1.409-(1.105-1.798), respectively. Conclusion: PD-L1⁺NEUT, NLR, and Foxp3⁺Treg are independent risk factors for prognosis which maybe new marker of lower survival benefits.

Performance status as prognostic factor in phase III trials of first-line chemotherapy of unresectable or metastatic pancreatic cancer: A trial-level meta-analysis

For patients with unresectable or metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma (mPDAC), there are no standardized prognostic and predictive factors beyond performance status (PS). A poor PS, as defined by Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) score of 2 or more, has been related with a detrimental effect of chemotherapy. Therefore, even more trials enrolled patients with good PS. The current analysis aims to evaluate the results of PS as a prognostic factor in phase III trials of patients with mPDAC receiving first-line chemotherapy. A literature search on two databases, from 2000 to 2019, and a further selection of clinical trials were performed by predefined criteria. Twelve phase III studies have been included in the analysis: the trials, enrolling 5619 patients, confirmed the worse prognosis of patients with higher ECOG PS scores (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.45; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-1.74; p-value < 0.001), and a similar trend was evident for patients with an ECOG PS 1 versus 0 (HR = 1.61; 95% CI, 1.43-1.80; p-value < 0.001) in six studies, enrolling 2799 patients. Heterogeneity of trials was high, with I²  = 91%. Some possible moderators have been suggested, such as the number of drugs in the chemotherapy regimen and the male gender. In conclusion, a low ECOG PS score appears to be related with a longer survival even in trials that excluded patients with an ECOG PS 2 score, but the meta-analyses reported high heterogeneity and publication bias.

C-reactive protein/albumin ratio predicts survival after curative surgery in elderly patients with colorectal cancer

Inflammation-based markers, including the C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR), lymphocyte/monocyte ratio (LMR), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR), Onodera's prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), have been demonstrated to serve as prognostic indicators in various malignancies. This study aimed to evaluate their potential predictive value for colorectal cancer (CRC) in the elderly. We retrospectively evaluated 163 patients with CRC, aged 80 years and older, who had undergone curative surgery. The receiver operating characteristic curve analyses and the corresponding areas under the curve (AUCs) were used to determine and compare the discriminatory ability of the inflammation-based markers. Besides, the associations of inflammatory markers and clinical characteristics with overall survival (OS), relapse-free survival (RFS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were analyzed. The CAR had a significantly larger AUC than the GPS, PLR, NLR, and LMR (p = 0.006, 0.012, 0.018, and 0.002, respectively), except for the PNI (p = 0.052). The optimal cut-off value was 0.106 for the CAR and 44.894 for the PNI. Moreover, a CAR ≥ 0.106 turned out to be significantly associated with worse 5-year OS, RFS, and CSS compared with a CAR < 0.106. The multivariate analysis indicated that the CAR ≥ 0.106 was an independent prognostic factor for poor OS (HR = 3.596, p = 0.0006), RFS (HR = 2.945, p = 0.003), and CSS (HR = 4.411, p = 0.02). CAR is a useful and promising prognostic marker in elderly patients undergoing curative surgery for CRC.

The treatment and survival of elderly patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer: A post-hoc analysis of a multicenter registry

BACKGROUND

The treatment options for patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) have improved in recent years and consequently survival has increased. It is unknown, however, if elderly patients benefit from these improvements in therapy. With the ongoing aging of the patient population and an increasing incidence of pancreatic cancer, this patient group becomes more relevant. This study aims to clarify the association between increasing age, treatment and overall survival in patients with LAPC.

METHODS

Post-hoc analysis of a multicenter registry including consecutive patients with LAPC, who were registered in 14 centers of the Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Group (April 2015-December 2017). Patients were divided in three groups according to age (<65, 65-74 and ≥75 years). Primary outcome was overall survival stratified by primary treatment strategy. Multivariable regression analyses were performed to adjust for possible confounders.

RESULTS

Overall, 422 patients with LAPC were included; 162 patients (38%) aged <65 years, 182 patients (43%) aged 65-74 and 78 patients (19%) aged ≥75 years. Chemotherapy was administered in 86%, 81% and 50% of the patients in the different age groups (p<0.01). Median overall survival was 12, 11 and 7 months for the different age groups (p<0.01).Patients treated with chemotherapy showed comparable median overall survival of 13, 14 and 10 months for the different age groups (p=0.11). When adjusted for confounders, age was not associated with overall survival.

CONCLUSION

Elderly patients are less likely to be treated with chemotherapy, but when treated with chemotherapy, their survival is comparable to younger patients.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in older patients with head and neck cancer

INTRODUCTION

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), may predict treatment response and outcomes in some human malignancies. However, NLR has rarely been examined in older patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). This study evaluated factors, including pre-treatment evaluation tests, predictive of mortality in older patients with HNSCC.

METHODS

This study prospectively enrolled 233 consecutive HNSCC patients aged 65 years or older. Pre-treatment evaluations included patient demographics, comorbidity, body weight loss, voice handicap index, dysphagia, Beck's depression inventory, comprehensive geriatric assessment, and circulating biomarkers. Cumulative incidence and cause-specific hazard functions were used to analyse the risk factors for overall mortality (OM), cancer mortality (CM), and non-cancer mortality (NCM).

RESULTS

Multivariate analyses showed that age, performance scale, NLR, and nodal stage were independent predictors of OM and CM (all P < .05). Age, body weight loss, frailty, and NLR were independent predictors of NCM (all P < .05). Older age ≥ 75 years and NLR showed strong association with all OM, CM, and NCM (all P < .05). NLR >2.5 was related to a higher risk of OM (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.77, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05-2.97, P = .031), CM (HR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.09-3.29, P = .023), and NCM (HR = 6.29, 95% CI: 2.16-18.37, P = .001).

CONCLUSION

Cancer and non-cancer mortalities among older patients with HNSCC may be predicted by several clinical and haematological data. NLR might be used as a circulating prognostic marker for mortality in older patients with HNSCC.

The Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio and Platelet-Lymphocyte Ratio Are Prognostic Factors in Patients with Locally Advanced Pancreatic Cancer Treated with Chemoradiotherapy

Background/Aims

We investigated whether inflammatory markers such as neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) independently and in combination would be significant prognostic factors for survival in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer.

Methods

A total of 497 patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer who received neoadjuvant or definitive chemoradiotherapy from 2005 to 2015 were evaluated. We divided the patients into groups according to the median values of NLR and PLR: NLR<1.89 (n=156), NLR≥1.89 (n=341), PLR <149 (n=248) and PLR≥149 (n=249).

Results

For NLR <1.89 and ≥1.89 groups, respectively, the 1-year overall survival (OS) rates were 73.2% and 60.8% (p<0.001) and 1-year progression-free survival (PFS) rates were 43.9% and 31.3% (p<0.001). For PLR <149 and ≥149 groups, respectively, the 1-year OS rates were 68.1% and 61.3% (p=0.029) and 1-year PFS rates were 37.9% and 32.5% (p=0.027). Patients with both high NLR and high PLR showed the worst OS and PFS rates compared with those with both lower NLR and lower PLR.

Conclusions

Elevated pretreatment NLR and PLR independently and in combination significantly predicted poor OS and PFS.

Chemotherapy in elderly patients with pancreatic cancer: Efficacy, feasibility and future perspectives

By 2030 70% of newly diagnosed pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) will occur in older adults. Elderly patients, defined by the World Health Organization (WHO) as people older than 65 years, represent a heterogeneous group with different biological and functional characteristics that need personalized anticancer treatments. Since older patients are under-represented in randomized phase III trials, their management is mostly extrapolated from studies performed in younger patients, without robust evidence-based recommendations. However, data from retrospective studies and case-control series show that elderly may benefit from chemotherapy in both the adjuvant and advanced disease settings. Although with discordant results, gemcitabine-based treatment and dose-adapted fluorouracil combination regimens seem to be effective and well tolerated in this subset of patients. A proper balance of potential treatment benefits and side effects represent the crucial point for managing elderly patients with PDAC. Therefore an appropriate patient selection is essential to maximize the therapeutic benefit in the older population: randomized studies aiming to better standardizing fitness parameters and implementing the routine use of comprehensive geriatric assessments are strongly warranted. In this light, the detection of molecular prognostic markers able to detect patients who may benefit more from oncological treatments should be a primary endpoint of age-focused clinical trials. Altogether, the field of geriatric oncology will expand in the next years, and the clinical management of elderly patients affected by PDAC will become a major public health issue.

Cancer Inflammation and Cytokines

Chronic inflammation is a well-recognized tumor-enabling capability, which allows nascent tumors to escape immunosurveillance. A number of soluble and cellular inflammatory mediators take part in the various phases of cancer initiation and progression, giving rise to a fatal conspiracy, which is difficult to efficiently overcome. Tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs) are pivotal players of the tumor microenvironment and, because of their characteristic plasticity, can acquire a number of distinct phenotypes and contribute in different ways to the various phases of cancerogenesis. Tumor-associated neutrophils (TANs) are also emerging as important components of the tumor microenvironment, given their unexpected heterogeneity and plasticity. TAMs and TANs are both integrated in cancer-related inflammation and an ever better understanding of their functions can be useful to tailor the use of anticancer therapeutic approaches and patient follow-up.

Pretherapy neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and platelet to lymphocyte ratio do not predict survival in resectable pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Pretherapy serum neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) have both been identified as prognostic in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The aim of this study was to identify the prognostic implication of pretherapy NLR and PLR in patients with resectable PDAC.

METHODS

Data were collected retrospectively on patients operated at our institution between 2004 and 2014. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to investigate the relationship between clinical and pathological parameters, NLR and PLR to overall survival (OS). Survival data were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

217 patients were analyzed with a median overall survival (OS) of 17.5 months. Factors identified as being predictive of OS by univariate analysis included age, receipt of adjuvant therapy, margin positivity, pathologic angiolymphatic invasion, T-stage, and N-stage (P < 0.05). Factors identified as being independently predictive of OS by multivariate analysis included age and angiolymphatic invasion (P < 0.05). NLR and PLR were not predictive of OS. Survival analysis demonstrated no difference in OS in patients who had high or low NLR or PLR.

DISCUSSION

Pretherapy NLR and PLR do not predict survival in patients who underwent pancreatectomy for PDAC at our institution.

The Neutrophil/Lymphocyte Ratio at Diagnosis Is Significantly Associated with Survival in Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer Patients

Different inflammation-based scores such as the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the Odonera Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), the Glasgow Prognostic Score, the platelet/lymphocyte ratio, and the C-reactive protein/albumin ratio have been found to be significantly associated with pancreatic cancer (PDAC) prognosis. However, most studies have investigated patients undergoing surgery, and few of them have compared these scores. We aimed at evaluating the association between inflammatory-based scores and PDAC prognosis. In a single center cohort study, inflammatory-based scores were assessed at diagnosis and their prognostic relevance as well as that of clinic-pathological variables were evaluated through multiple logistic regression and survival probability analysis. In 206 patients, age, male sex, tumor size, presence of distant metastasis, access to chemotherapy, and an NLR > 5 but not other scores were associated with overall survival (OS) at multivariate analysis. Patients with an NLR < 5 had a median survival of 12 months compared to 4 months in those with an NLR > 5. In the 81 patients with distant metastasis at diagnosis, an NLR > 5 resulted in the only variable significantly associated with survival. Among patients with metastatic disease who received chemotherapy, the median survival was 3 months in patients with an NLR > 5 and 7 months in those with an NLR < 5. The NLR might drive therapeutic options in PDAC patients, especially in the setting of metastatic disease.