Value of combining serum carcinoembryonic antigen and PET/CT in predicting EGFR mutation in non-small cell lung cancer

Correlation between carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) expression and EGFR mutations in non-small-cell lung cancer: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this meta-analysis was to investigate the relationship between serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) expression and epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation status in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

Databases such as PubMed, Cochrane, EMBASE and Google Scholar were systematically searched to identify studies assessing the association of serum CEA expression with EGFR mutations. Across 19 studies, 4168 patients were included between CEA expression and EGFR mutations odds ratio (OR) conjoint analysis of correlations.

RESULTS

Compared with CEA-negative NSCLC, CEA-positive tumors had an increased EGFR mutation rate (OR = 1.85, 95% confidence interval: 1.48-2.32, P < 0.00001). This association was observed in both stage IIIB/IV patients (OR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.18-2.15, P = 0.002) and stage I-IIIA (OR = 1.67, 95% CI: 1.01-2.77, P = 0.05) patients. In addition, CEA expression was associated with exon 19 (OR = 1.97, 95% CI: 1.25-3.11, P = 0.003) and exon 21 (OR = 1.51, 95% CI: 1.07-2.12, P = 0.02) EGFR mutations. In ADC pathological type had also showed the correlation (OR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.31-2.57, P = 0.0004).

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis indicated that serum CEA expression was associated with EGFR mutations in NSCLC patients. The results of this study suggest that CEA level may play a predictive role in the EGFR mutation status of NSCLC patients. Detecting serum CEA expression levels can give a good suggestion to those patients who are confused about whether to undergo EGFR mutation tests. Moreover, it may help better plan of the follow-up treatment.

Biomarkers of lung cancer for screening and in never-smokers-a narrative review

Background and Objective

Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, partially attributed to late-stage diagnoses. In order to mitigate this, lung cancer screening (LCS) of high-risk patients is performed using low dose computed tomography (CT) scans, however this method is burdened by high false-positive rates and radiation exposure for patients. Further, screening programs focus on individuals with heavy smoking histories, and as such, never-smokers who may otherwise be at risk of lung cancer are often overlooked. To resolve these limitations, biomarkers have been posited as potential supplements or replacements to low-dose CT, and as such, a large body of research in this area has been produced. However, comparatively little information exists on their clinical efficacy and how this compares to current LCS strategies.

Methods

Here we conduct a search and narrative review of current literature surrounding biomarkers of lung cancer to supplement LCS, and biomarkers of lung cancer in never-smokers (LCINS).

Key Content and Findings

Many potential biomarkers of lung cancer have been identified with varying levels of sensitivity, specificity, clinical efficacy, and supporting evidence. Of the markers identified, multi-target panels of circulating microRNAs, lipids, and metabolites are likely the most clinically efficacious markers to aid current screening programs, as these provide the highest sensitivity and specificity for lung cancer detection. However, circulating lipid and metabolite levels are known to vary in numerous systemic pathologies, highlighting the need for further validation in large cohort randomised studies.

Conclusions

Lung cancer biomarkers is a fast-expanding area of research and numerous biomarkers with potential clinical applications have been identified. However, in all cases the level of evidence supporting clinical efficacy is not yet at a level at which it can be translated to clinical practice. The priority now should be to validate existing candidate markers in appropriate clinical contexts and work to integrating these into clinical practice.

Optimal 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomics model development for predicting EGFR mutation status and prognosis in lung adenocarcinoma: a multicentric study

Purpose

To develop and interpret optimal predictive models to identify epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation status and subtypes in patients with lung adenocarcinoma based on multicentric ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT data, and further construct a prognostic model to predict their clinical outcome.

Methods

The ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT imaging and clinical characters of 767 patients with lung adenocarcinoma from 4 cohorts were collected. Seventy-six radiomics candidates using cross-combination method to identity EGFR mutation status and subtypes were built. Further, Shapley additive explanations and local interpretable model-agnostic explanations were used for optimal models' interpretation. Moreover, in order to predict the overall survival, a multivariate Cox proportional hazard model based on handcrafted radiomics features and clinical characteristics was constructed. The predictive performance and clinical net benefit of the models were evaluated via area under receiver operating characteristic (AUC), C-index and decision curve analysis.

Results

Among the 76 radiomics candidates, light gradient boosting machine classifier (LGBM) combined with recursive feature elimination wrapped LGBM feature selection method achieved best performance in predicting EGFR mutation status (AUC reached 0.80, 0.61, 0.71 in the internal test cohort and two external test cohorts, respectively). And extreme gradient boosting classifier combined with support vector machine feature selection method achieved best performance in predicting EGFR subtypes (AUC reached 0.76, 0.63, 0.61 in the internal test cohort and two external test cohorts, respectively). The C-index of the Cox proportional hazard model achieved 0.863.

Conclusions

The integration of cross-combination method and the external validation from multi-center data achieved a good prediction and generalization performance in predicting EGFR mutation status and its subtypes. The combination of handcrafted radiomics features and clinical factors achieved good performance in predicting prognosis. With the urgent needs of multicentric ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT trails, robust and explainable radiomics models have great potential in decision making and prognosis prediction of lung adenocarcinoma.

Association Analysis of Maximum Standardized Uptake Values Based on 18F-FDG PET/CT and EGFR Mutation Status in Lung Adenocarcinoma

(1) Background: To investigate the association between maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) based on 18F-FDG PET/CT and EGFR mutation status in lung adenocarcinoma. (2) Methods: A total of 366 patients were retrospectively collected and divided into the EGFR mutation group (n = 228) and EGFR wild-type group (n = 138) according to their EGFR mutation status. The two groups’ general information and PET/CT imaging parameters were compared. A hierarchical binary logistic regression model was used to assess the interaction effect on the relationship between SUVmax and EGFR mutation in different subgroups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the association between SUVmax and EGFR mutation. After adjusting for confounding factors, a generalized additive model and smooth curve fitting were applied to address possible non-linearities. (3) Results: Smoking status significantly affected the relationship between SUVmax and EGFR mutation (p for interaction = 0.012), with an interaction effect. After adjusting for age, gender, nodule type, bronchial sign, and CEA grouping, in the smoking subgroup, curve fitting results showed that the relationship between SUVmax and EGFR mutation was approximately linear (df = 1.000, c2 = 3.897, p = 0.048); with the increase in SUVmax, the probability of EGFR mutation gradually decreased, and the OR value was 0.952 (95%CI: 0.908–0.999; p = 0.045). (4) Conclusions: Smoking status can affect the relationship between SUVmax and EGFR mutation status in lung adenocarcinoma, especially in the positive smoking history subgroup. Fully understanding the effect of smoking status will help to improve the accuracy of SUVmax in predicting EGFR mutations.

Recent and current advances in PET/CT imaging in the field of predicting epidermal growth factor receptor mutations in non-small cell lung cancer

Tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) are a significant treatment strategy for the management of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation status. Currently, EGFR mutation status is established based on tumor tissue acquired by biopsy or resection, so there is a compelling need to develop non-invasive, rapid, and accurate gene mutation detection methods. Non-invasive molecular imaging, such as positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT), has been widely applied to obtain the tumor molecular and genomic features for NSCLC treatment. Recent studies have shown that PET/CT can precisely quantify EGFR mutation status in NSCLC patients for precision therapy. This review article discusses PET/CT advances in predicting EGFR mutation status in NSCLC and their clinical usefulness.

IMPORTANCE of PRETREATMENT 18F-FDG PET/CT TEXTURE ANALYSIS in PREDICTING EGFR and ALK MUTATION in PATIENTS with NON-SMALL CELL LUNG CANCER

OBJECTIVE

Identification of anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK) and epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation types is of great importance before treatment with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). Radiomics is a new strategy for noninvasively predicting the genetic status of cancer. We aimed to evaluate the predictive power of 18F-FDG PET/CT-based radiomic features for mutational status before treatment in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and to develop a predictive model based on radiomic features.

METHODS

Images of patients who underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT for initial staging with the diagnosis of NSCLC between January 2015 and July 2020 were evaluated using LIFEx software. The region of interest (ROI) of the primary tumor was established and volumetric and textural features were obtained. Clinical data and radiomic data were evaluated with machine learning (ML) algorithms to create a model.

RESULTS

For EGFR mutation prediction, the most successful machine learning algorithm obtained with GLZLM_GLNU and clinical data was Naive Bayes (AUC: 0.751, MCC: 0.347, acc: 71.4%). For ALK rearrangement prediction, the most successful machine learning algorithm obtained with GLCM_correlation, GLZLM_LZHGE and clinical data was evaluated as Naive Bayes (AUC: 0.682, MCC: 0.221, acc: 77.4%).

CONCLUSIONS

In our study, we created prediction models based on radiomic analysis of 18F-FDG PET/CT images. Tissue analysis with ML algorithms are non-invasive methods for predicting ALK rearrangement and EGFR mutation status in NSCLC, which may be useful for targeted therapy selection in a clinical setting.

Machine Learning-Based Radiomics for Prediction of Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor Mutations in Lung Adenocarcinoma

Identifying an epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation is important because EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitors are the first-line treatment of choice for patients with EGFR mutation-positive lung adenocarcinomas (LUAC). This study is aimed at developing and validating a radiomics-based machine learning (ML) approach to identify EGFR mutations in patients with LUAC. We retrospectively collected data from 201 patients with positive EGFR mutation LUAC (140 in the training cohort and 61 in the validation cohort). We extracted 1316 radiomics features from preprocessed CT images and selected 14 radiomics features and 1 clinical feature which were most relevant to mutations through filter method. Subsequently, we built models using 7 ML approaches and established the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to assess the discriminating performance of these models. In terms of predicting EGFR mutation, the model derived from radiomics features and combined models (radiomics features and relevant clinical factors) had an AUC of 0.79 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.77-0.82), 0.86 (0.87-0.88), respectively. Our study offers a radiomics-based ML model using filter methods to detect the EGFR mutation in patients with LUAC. This convenient and low-cost method may be of help to noninvasively identify patients before obtaining tumor sample for molecule testing.

A Review of the Correlation Between Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor Mutation Status and 18F-FDG Metabolic Activity in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

PET/CT with 18F-2-fluoro-2-deoxyglucose (18F-FDG) has been proposed as a promising modality for diagnosing and monitoring treatment response and evaluating prognosis for patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The status of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation is a critical signal for the treatment strategies of patients with NSCLC. Higher response rates and prolonged progression-free survival could be obtained in patients with NSCLC harboring EGFR mutations treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) when compared with traditional cytotoxic chemotherapy. However, patients with EGFR mutation treated with TKIs inevitably develop drug resistance, so predicting the duration of resistance is of great importance for selecting individual treatment strategies. Several semiquantitative metabolic parameters, e.g., maximum standard uptake value (SUVmax), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG), measured by PET/CT to reflect 18F-FDG metabolic activity, have been demonstrated to be powerful in predicting the status of EGFR mutation, monitoring treatment response of TKIs, and assessing the outcome of patients with NSCLC. In this review, we summarize the biological and clinical correlations between EGFR mutation status and 18F-FDG metabolic activity in NSCLC. The metabolic activity of 18F-FDG, as an extrinsic manifestation of NSCLC, could reflect the mutation status of intrinsic factor EGFR. Both of them play a critical role in guiding the implementation of treatment modalities and evaluating therapy efficacy and outcome for patients with NSCLC.

Predictive value of multiple metabolic and heterogeneity parameters of 18F-FDG PET/CT for EGFR mutations in non-small cell lung cancer

OBJECTIVES

To explore the value of multiple metabolic and heterogeneity parameters of 2-deoxy-2-[fluorine-18] fluoro-D-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT) in predicting epidermal growth factor receptor gene (EGFR) mutations in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed by reviewing 98 patients with NSCLC who underwent EGFR mutation testing and ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT examination in our hospital between March 2016 and March 2021. Patients were divided into an EGFR-mutant group and a wild-type group. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to screen and construct a prediction model. The diagnostic performance of the model was evaluated using a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

The study found that EGFR mutations were more likely to occur in women, non-smokers, and patients with peripheral lesions, shorter maximum tumor diameter, adenocarcinoma, and T1 stage cancer. Low maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), mean standardized uptake value (SUVmean), metabolic tumor volume, total lesion glycolysis, and high coefficient of variation (COV) were significantly correlated with EGFR mutations, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.622, 0.638, 0.679, 0.687, and 0.672, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that non-smokers (odds ratio (OR) = 0.109, P = 0.014), peripheral lesions (OR = 6.917, P = 0.022), low SUVmax (≤ 7.85, OR = 5.471, P = 0.001), SUVmean (≤ 5.34, OR = 0.044, P = 0.000), and high COV (≥ 106.08, OR = 0.996, P = 0.045) were independent predictors of EGFR mutations. The AUC of the prediction model established by combining the above factors was 0.926; the diagnostic efficiency was significantly higher than that of a single parameter.

CONCLUSION

Among the metabolic and heterogeneity parameters of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT, low SUVmax, SUVmean, and high COV were significantly associated with EGFR mutations, and the predictive value of EGFR mutations could be enhanced when combined with clinicopathological features.

Clinicopathologic Features and Molecular Biomarkers as Predictors of Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor Gene Mutation in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients

Lung cancer ranks first in the incidence and mortality of cancer in the world, of which more than 80% are non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The majority of NSCLC patients are in stage IIIB~IV when they are admitted to hospital and have no opportunity for surgery. Compared with traditional chemotherapy, specific targeted therapy has a higher selectivity and fewer adverse reactions, providing a new treatment direction for advanced NSCLC patients. Tyrosine kinase inhibitors of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR-TKIs) are the widely used targeted therapy for NSCLC patients. Their efficacy and prognosis are closely related to the mutation status of the EGFR gene. Clinically, detecting EGFR gene mutation is often limited by difficulty obtaining tissue specimens, limited detecting technology, and economic conditions, so it is of great clinical significance to find indicators to predict EGFR gene mutation status. Clinicopathological characteristics, tumor markers, liquid biopsy, and other predictors are less invasive, economical, and easier to obtain. They can be monitored in real-time, which is supposed to predict EGFR mutation status and provide guidance for the accurate, individualized diagnosis and therapy of NSCLC patients. This article reviewed the correlation between the clinical indicators and EGFR gene mutation status in NSCLC patients.

Computed Tomography Imaging Characteristics: Potential Indicators of Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor Mutation in Lung Adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to investigate the correlation between computed tomography imaging characteristics in lung adenocarcinoma and epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutations.

METHODS

A total of 124 patients with lung adenocarcinoma and known EGFR mutation status were collected in this retrospective study. Computed tomography quantitative parameters of each tumor, including total volume, total surface, surface-to-volume ratio (SVR), average diameter, maximum diameter, and average density, were determined using computer-aided detection software. The correlation between the EGFR mutation status and imaging characteristics was assessed. The predictive value of these imaging characteristics for EGFR mutation was calculated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULT

Fifty-eight of 124 patients showed EGFR mutations. Patients who are female (P < 0.001) and nonsmokers (P < 0.001) and those with serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level of ≥5 (P = 0.035) were likely to have EGFR mutation. Computed tomography features including air bronchogram (P = 0.035), absence of cavitation (P = 0.010), and absence of pulmonary emphysema (P = 0.002) and quantitative parameters, such as smaller total surface (P = 0.002), smaller total volume (P = 0.001), higher SVR (P = 0.003), and smaller average diameter (P = 0.001), were associated with EGFR mutation. Logistic regression analysis revealed that the most significant independent prognostic factors of EGFR mutation for the model were nonsmoking (P = 0.035), CEA level of ≥5 (P = 0.004), presence of air bronchogram (P = 0.040), absence of cavitation (P = 0.021), and high SVR (P = 0.014). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, and specificity of the model for predicting EGFR mutation were 0.827, 75.8%, and 82.8%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

EGFR-mutated adenocarcinoma showed significantly increased CEA level, presence of air bronchogram, absence of cavitation, and higher quantitative parameter SVR than those with wild-type EGFR.

Targeted Therapies in Lung Cancers: Current Landscape and Future Prospects

BACKGROUND

Lung cancer is the most common and malignant cancer worldwide. Targeted therapies have emerged as a promising treatment strategy for lung cancers.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to evaluate the current landscape of targets and finding promising targets for future new drug discovery for lung cancers by identifying the science-technology-clinical development pattern and mapping the interaction network of targets.

METHODS

Targets for cancers were classified into 3 groups based on a paper published in Nature. We search for scientific literature, patent documents and clinical trials of targets in Group 1 and Group 2 for lung cancers. Then, a target-target interaction network of Group 1 was constructed, and the science-technology-clinical(S-T-C) development patterns of targets in Group 1 were identified. Finally, based on the cluster distribution and the development pattern of targets in Group 1, interactions between the targets were employed to predict potential targets in Group 2 on drug development.

RESULTS

The target-target interaction(TTI)network of group 1 resulted in 3 clusters with different developmental stages. The potential targets in Group 2 are divided into 3 ranks. Level-1 is the first priority and level-3 is the last. Level-1 includes 16 targets, such as STAT3, CRKL, and PTPN11, that are mostly involved in signaling transduction pathways. Level-2 and level-3 contain 8 and 6 targets related to various biological functions.

CONCLUSION

This study will provide references for drug development in lung cancers, emphasizing that priorities should be given to targets in Level-1, whose mechanisms are worth further exploration.

Can 18F-FDG PET/CT predict EGFR status in patients with non-small cell lung cancer? A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to explore the diagnostic significance of ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose (¹⁸F-FDG) positron emission tomography (PET)/CT for predicting the presence of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutations in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

DESIGN

A systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

The PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane library databases were searched from the earliest available date to December 2020.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR SELECTING STUDIES

The review included primary studies that compared the mean maximum of standard uptake value (SUV_max) between wild-type and mutant EGFR, and evaluated the diagnostic value of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT using SUV_max for prediction of EGFR status in patients with NSCLC.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

The main analysis was to assess the sensitivity and specificity, the positive diagnostic likelihood ratio (DLR+) and DLR-, as well as the diagnostic OR (DOR) of SUV_max in prediction of EGFR mutations. Each data point of the summary receiver operator characteristic (SROC) graph was derived from a separate study. A random effects model was used for statistical analysis of the data, and then diagnostic performance for prediction was further assessed.

RESULTS

Across 15 studies (3574 patients), the pooled sensitivity for ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT was 0.70 (95% CI 0.60 to 0.79) with a pooled specificity of 0.59 (95% CI 0.52 to 0.66). The overall DLR+ was 1.74 (95% CI 1.49 to 2.03) and DLR- was 0.50 (95% CI 0.38 to 0.65). The pooled DOR was 3.50 (95% CI 2.37 to 5.17). The area under the SROC curve was 0.68 (95% CI 0.64 to 0.72). The likelihood ratio scatter plot based on average sensitivity and specificity was in the lower right quadrant.

CONCLUSION

Meta-analysis results showed ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT had low pooled sensitivity and specificity. The low DOR and the likelihood ratio scatter plot indicated that ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT should be used with caution when predicting EGFR mutations in patients with NSCLC.

The diagnostic and predictive efficacy of 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters for EGFR mutation status in non-small-cell lung cancer: A meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To investigate the predictive performance of the maximum standardized uptake value (SUV_max) and mean standardized uptake value (SUV_mean) of primary lesions based on 18 F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT) for EGFR mutation status in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

The PubMed/Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases were searched as of January 1, 2021. Studies whose reported data could be used to construct contingency tables were included. Study characteristics were extracted, and methodological quality assessment was conducted by two separate reviewers using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies. The pooled sensitivity, specificity and area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) were calculated. The possible causes of heterogeneity were analysed by meta-regression.

RESULTS

The 18 included studies had a total of 4024 patients. The majority of the studies showed a low to unclear risk of bias and concerns of applicability. For differentiating EGFR-mutant NSCLC from wild-type NSCLC, the pooled sensitivity and specificity were 71 % and 60 % for SUV_max and 64 % and 63 % for SUV_mean, respectively. The summary AUROCs of SUV_max and SUV_mean were 0.69 (95 % CI, 0.65-0.73) and 0.68 (95 % CI, 0.64-0.72), respectively. The meta-regression analysis indicated that blindness to EGFR mutation test results, the number of readers and the number of PET/CT scanners were possible causes of heterogeneity.

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis implied that SUV_max and SUV_mean of primary lesions from ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT harboured moderate predictive efficacy for the EGFR mutation status of NSCLC.

Value of combining PET/CT and clinicopathological features in predicting EGFR mutation in Lung Adenocarcinoma with Bone Metastasis

Purpose: Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation is the most common target for precision treatment in metastatic lung adenocarcinoma. We investigated the predictive role of ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT and clinicopathological features for EGFR mutations in lung adenocarcinoma with bone metastasis. Methods: Seventy-five lung adenocarcinoma patients with histologically confirmed bone metastasis were included. They all received EGFR status test and PET/CT before systemic treatment. The differences of maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) in primary tumor (pSUVmax), regional lymph node (nSUVmax) and bone metastasis (bmSUVmax) between different EGFR status groups were compared, alongside with common clinicopathological features. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate predictors of EGFR mutations. Results: EGFR mutations were found in 37 patients (49.3%). EGFR mutations were more common in females, non-smokers, expression of Thyroid Transcription Factor-1 (TTF-1) and NaspinA. Low bmSUVmax was significantly associated with EGFR mutations, while no significant difference was observed in pSUVmax and nSUVmax. Multivariate analysis showed that bmSUVmax ≤7, non-smoking, expression of TTF-1 were predictors of EGFR mutations. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.84 for the combination of the three factors. Conclusion: Low bmSUVmax is more frequently in EGFR mutations, and bmSUVmax is an independent predictor of EGFR mutations. Combining bmSUVmax with other clinicopathological features could forecast the EGFR status in lung adenocarcinoma with unavailable EGFR gene testing.

Predictive models for patients with lung carcinomas to identify EGFR mutation status via an artificial neural network based on multiple clinical information

PURPOSE

Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation testing has several limitations. Therefore, we built predictive models to determine the EGFR mutation status of patients and guide therapeutic decision-making.

METHODS

We collected data from 320 patients with lung carcinoma, including sex, age, smoking history, serum tumour marker levels, maximum standardized uptake value, pathological results, computed tomography images, and EGFR mutation status. Artificial neural network (ANN) models based on multiple clinical characteristics were proposed to predict EGFR mutation status.

RESULTS

A training set (n = 200) was used to develop predictive models of the EGFR mutation status (Model 1: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] = 0.910, 95% CI 0.861-0.945; Model 2: AUROC = 0.859, 95% CI 0.803-0.904; Model 3: AUROC = 0.711, 95% CI 0.643-0.773). A testing set (n = 50) and temporal validation data set (n = 70) were used to evaluate the generalisation performance of the established models (testing set: Model 1, AUROC = 0.845, 95% CI 0.715-0.932; Model 2, AUROC = 0.882, 95% CI 0.759-0.956; Model 3, AUROC = 0.817, 95% CI 0.682-0.912; temporal validation dataset: Model 1, AUROC = 0.909, 95% CI 0.816-0.964; Model 2, AUROC = 0.855, 95% CI 0.751-0.928; Model 3, AUROC = 0.831, 95% CI 0.723-0.910). The predictive abilities of the three ANN models were superior to that of a previous logistic regression model (P < 0.001, 0.027, and 0.050, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

ANN models provide a non-invasive and readily available method for EGFR mutation status prediction.

Association of radiomic features with epidermal growth factor receptor mutation status in non-small cell lung cancer and survival treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors

Since the discovery of the fact that tyrosine kinase inhibitors could improve progression-free survival for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer compared with traditional chemotherapy, it has been extremely important to identify epidermal growth factor receptor mutation status in treatment stratification. Although lack of sufficient biopsy samples limit the precise detection of epidermal growth factor receptor mutation status in clinical practice, and it is difficult to identify the sensitive patients who confer favorable response to tyrosine kinase inhibitors. An increasing number of scholars tried to deal with these problems using methods based on the non-invasive imaging including computed tomography and PET to find the association with epidermal growth factor receptor mutation status and survival treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitor in non-small cell lung cancer. Although the conclusions have not reached a consensus, quantitative and high-throughput radiomics have brought us a new direction and might successfully help identify patients undergoing tyrosine kinase inhibitors who could get significant benefits.