Esophageal cancer in patients under 50: a SEER analysis

Construction of prognostic nomogram based on the SEER database for esophageal cancer patients

Currently, the incidence of esophageal cancer continues to rise around the world. Because of its good early prognosis, it is of great significance to establish an effective model for predicting the survival of EC patients. The purpose of this study was to predict survival after diagnosis in Esophageal Cancer (EC) patients by constructing a valid clinical nomogram. In this study, 5037 EC patient samples diagnosed from 2010 to 2015 were screened by accessing the SEER database, and 8 independent prognostic factors were screened by various methods, and Cox multivariate regression was included to construct a prognostic model and nomogram for esophageal cancer. to estimate esophageal cancer recurrence and overall survival. Calibration of the nomogram predicted probabilities of 1-year, 3-year and 5-year survival probability, which were closely related to actual survival. In conclusion, this study validated that the column-line graphical model can be considered an individualized quantitative tool for predicting the prognosis of patients with EC in order to assist clinicians in making therapeutic decisions.

Proportion of Early-Onset Gastric and Esophagus Cancers Has Changed Over Time With Disproportionate Impact on Black and Hispanic Patients

PURPOSE

The proportion of gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma is increasing. This study evaluated trends in early-onset gastric and esophageal cancers and compared socioeconomic and clinical characteristics between early-onset versus late-onset disease.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We included all patients with gastric and esophageal cancer from 2004 to 2015 from the National Cancer Database. Patients were categorized by age < 50, 50-69, and ≥ 70 years. Differences in pathologic and socioeconomic factors between early-onset and late-onset cancers were assessed by using chi-square test. The effects of demographic and socioeconomic factors on overall survival (OS) were assessed using Cox models.

RESULTS

The proportion of patients with early-onset gastric cancer increased from 23.9% in 2004-2006 to 26.2% in 2013-2015, whereas the proportion of early-onset esophageal cancer decreased from 27.3% in 2004-2006 to 23.1% in 2013-2015. For both malignancies, the early-onset group was more likely to be Black or Hispanic and more likely to be diagnosed with stage IV cancer. Black patients had the worst median OS in both malignancies. In gastric cancer, within the Black patient group, patients experienced worse OS if they had government insurance versus private insurance (hazard ratio 1.2; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.3; P value < .0001) or if they were in the lowest community median income category versus the highest category (hazard ratio 1.2; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.3; P value < .0001).

CONCLUSION

Early-onset gastric cancer is increasing, whereas early-onset esophageal cancer is declining. Early-onset gastric cancer disproportionately affects non-White patients, particularly Hispanic patients. Black patients have worse outcomes compared with other races for both gastric and esophageal cancer.

Clinical Risk Prediction Model for Neoadjuvant Therapy in Resectable Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

GOALS AND BACKGROUND

Clinical staging with endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and positron emission tomography (PET) is used to identify esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) patients with locally advanced disease and therefore, benefit from neoadjuvant therapy. However, EUS is operator dependent and subject to interobserver variability. Therefore, we aimed to identify clinical predictors of locally advanced EAC and build a predictive model that can be used as an adjunct to current staging methods.

STUDY

This was a cross-sectional study of patients with EAC who underwent preoperative staging with EUS and PET scan followed by definitive therapy at our institution from January 2011 to December 2017. Demographic data, symptoms, endoscopic findings, EUS, and PET scan findings were obtained.

RESULTS

Four hundred and twenty-six patients met the study criteria, of which 86 (20.2%) patients had limited stage EAC and 340 (79.8%) had locally advanced disease. The mean age was 65.4±10.3 years of which 356 (83.6%) were men and 393 (92.3%) were White. On multivariable analysis, age (above 75 or below 65 y), dysphagia [odds ratio (OR): 2.84], weight loss (OR: 2.06), protruding tumor (OR: 2.99), and tumor size >2 cm (OR: 3.3) were predictive of locally advanced disease, while gastrointestinal bleeding (OR: 0.36) and presence of visible Barrett's esophagus (OR: 0.4) were more likely to be associated with limited stage. A nomogram for predicting the risk of locally advanced EAC was constructed and internally validated.

CONCLUSIONS

We constructed a nomogram to facilitate an individualized prediction of the risk of locally advanced EAC. This model can aid in decision making for neoadjuvant therapy in EAC.

Digestive cancer incidence and mortality among young adults worldwide in 2020: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

Digestive cancer has traditionally been thought of as a disease that mainly occurs in elderly individuals, and it has been ignored in young adults by both patients and physicians.

AIM

To describe the worldwide profile of digestive cancer incidence, mortality and corresponding trends among 20-39-year-olds, with major patterns highlighted by age, sex, development level, and geographical region.

METHODS

I performed a population-based study to quantify the burden of young adult digestive cancers worldwide. Global, regional, sex, and country-specific data estimates of the number of new cancer cases and cancer-associated deaths that occurred in 2020 were extracted from the GLOBOCAN Cancer Today database. To assess long-term trends in young adult digestive cancer, cancer incidence data and mortality data were obtained from the Cancer in Five Continents Plus database and the World Health Organization mortality database, respectively. The associations between the human development index (HDI) and digestive cancer burden in young adults were evaluated by linear regression analyses.

RESULTS

In 2020, there were an estimated 19292789 new cancer cases, resulting in 9958133 deaths worldwide, which equated to an age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of 5.16 and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of 3.04, accounting for 12.24% of all new cancer cases and 25.26% of all cancer deaths occurring in young adults. The burden was disproportionally greater among males, with male: female ratios of 1.34 for incidence and 1.58 for mortality. The ASIRs were 2.1, 1.4, and 1.0 per 100000 people per year, whereas the ASMRs were 0.83, 1.1, and 0.62 per 100000 people per year for colorectal, liver, and gastric cancer, respectively. When assessed by geographical region and HDI levels, the cancer profile varied substantially, and a strong positive correlation between the mortality-to-incidence ratio of digestive cancer and HDI ranking was found (R 2 = 0.7388, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The most common digestive cancer types are colorectal, liver and gastric cancer. The global digestive cancer burden among young adults is greater among males and exhibits a positive association with socioeconomic status. The digestive cancer burden is heavy in young adults, reinforcing the need for primary and secondary prevention strategies.

Landmark Cancer Clinical Trials and Real-World Patient Populations: Examining Race and Age Reporting

BACKGROUND

Concern exists that the clinical trial populations differ from respective cancer populations in terms of their age distribution affecting the generalizability of the results, especially in underrepresented minorities. We hypothesized that the clinical trials that do not report race are likely to suffer from a higher degree of age disparity.

METHODS

Food and Drug Administration (FDA) drug approvals from July 2007 to June 2019 were reviewed to identify oncology approvals, and trials with age details were selected. The outcomes studied were the weighted mean difference in age between the clinical trial population and real-world population for various cancers, the prevalence of race reporting and association of age and race reporting with each other.

RESULTS

Of the 261 trials, race was reported in 223 (85.4%) of the trials, while 38 trials (14.6%) had no mention of race. Race reporting improved minimally over time: 29 (85.3%) in 2007-2010 vs. 49 (80.3%) in 2011-2014 vs. 145 (85.4%) during the period 2015-2019 (p-value = 0.41). Age discrepancy between the clinical trial population and the real-world population was higher for studies that did not report race (mean difference -8.8 years (95% CI -12.6 to -5.0 years)) vs. studies that did report it (mean difference -5.1 years, (95% CI -6.4 to -3.7 years), p-value = 0.04).

CONCLUSION

The study demonstrates that a significant number of clinical trials leading to cancer drug approvals suffer from racial and age disparity when compared to real-world populations, and that the two factors may be interrelated. We recommend continued efforts to recruit diverse populations.

Prediction of overall survival in patients with Stage I esophageal cancer: A novel web-based calculator

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

In this study, we aimed to develop a convenient web-based calculator to predict the overall survival (OS) of patients with Stage I esophageal cancer (EC).

METHODS

Data of 1664 patients, between 2004 and 2015, were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was employed to sift variables; subsequently, Cox proportional hazards regression model was built. We applied the enhanced bootstrap validation to appraise the discrimination and calibration of the model. Clinical benefit was measured using decision curve analysis (DCA). Thereafter, a web-based calculator based on the model, which could be used to predict the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates, was developed.

RESULTS

Race, age, histologic type, grade, N stage, and therapeutic methods were selected. C-indices of the prediction model in the training and validation groups were 0.726 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.679-0.773) and 0.724 (95% CI, 0.679-0.769), respectively. Calibration curves showed good agreement between the groups. The DCA demonstrated that the prediction model is clinically useful.

CONCLUSIONS

The prediction model we developed showed a good performance in calculating the OS rates in patients with Stage I EC. The web-based calculator is available at https://championship.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/.

Effect of multidisciplinary team care on survival of oesophageal cancer patients: a retrospective nationwide cohort study

Oesophageal cancer is the sixth leading cause of cancer death worldwide. This nationwide study analyses the survival results of oesophageal cancer under multidisciplinary team (MDT) care. We enrolled oesophageal cancer patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 with follow-up for at least 1 year. This study performed propensity score matching with a ratio of 1:1 between MDT participants and non-MDT participants. We performed conditional Cox proportional hazards model to research relative risk of survival and associated factors of survival. The adjusted survival curves were plotted. 8184 newly diagnosed oesophageal cancer patients were included. The favourable survival factors include participant status of MDT, gender, monthly salary, urbanization level, other catastrophic illness, stage of cancer, treatment methods, and service volume of physicians (P < 0.05). MDT participants showed lower risk of death (HR = 0.73; 95% CI 0.67–0.79). Further stratification analysis revealed that the incorporation of an MDT reduced the death risk of patients with stages 2, 3, and 4 cancer, with the greatest reduction observed in patients with stage 3 cancer (HR = 0.72; 95% CI 0.67–0.79). The risk of death was lower for oesophageal cancer patients who enrolled in MDT care.

Consolidation Therapy in Esophageal Cancer

Consolidation therapy describes dose intensification strategies or additional treatment performed following completion of the primary regimen. In the case of esophageal cancer, this applies to cases of potentially persistent disease after definitive multi-modality therapy, including surgery. Consolidation should also be considered for patients initially planned to undergo surgery after neoadjuvant therapy, but for any reason elected a nonoperative strategy during treatment. With the advent of targeted therapy and immunotherapy, additional options may be available for consolidation in the future.

Nomograms for predicting survival in early-onset esophageal cancer

Background: This study aimed to develop nomograms predicting the overall survival (OS) of patients younger than 50 years old with esophageal cancer.Methods: We selected patients included 2004-2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Nomograms were constructed using significant variables from multivariable Cox analyses. The discrimination and calibration power of the models were evaluated using concordance indexes (C-indexes) and calibration curves. Decision curve analysis was used to assess the clinical net benefits of the nomograms.Results: Of 1,997 selected patients, 53.2% had advanced-stage tumor. Race, grade, T stage, N stage, and treatment were independent factors affecting OS in early-stage patients. The C-indexes of the corresponding nomogram were 0.710 (95% CI = 0.684-0.736) and 0.681 (95% CI = 0.640-0.722) in training and validation sets, respectively. Grade, marital status, and treatment were independent factors affecting OS in advanced-stage patients. The C-indexes of the corresponding nomogram were 0.677 (95% CI = 0.653-0.701) and 0.675 (95% CI = 0.638-0.712) in training and validation sets, respectively. Calibration curves demonstrated high consistency between predicted and actual survival.Conclusion: We constructed and verified nomograms that could accurately predict the survival rate of esophageal cancer in patients younger than 50 years old. This may help clinicians better understand prognostic factors.

Digestive tract neoplasms in young individuals: Demographics, staging and risk factors

Background

Digestive tract neoplasms (DTN) have become increasingly common worldwide among young individuals (YIs) over the last few decades.

Aim

Aim of this research was to study the types, demographics, stage at presentation and risk factors of digestive tract neoplasms in young individuals.

Methods and results

In this cross‐sectional study, YI (ie, ≤40 years) presenting with any DTN including gastrointestinal neoplasms (GIN), hepatobiliary neoplasms (HBN), periampullary neoplasms (PAN) and others from June 2016 to May 2020 were included. Baseline laboratory tests, tissue diagnosis and staging were performed while risk factors were documented. A total of 163 patients were included in the study, of whom 82 (50.3%) were males. Mean age was 29.9 (±9.57) (range: 8 months‐40 years). Most DTN (93.3%; n = 152) were malignant. The commonest neoplasms were lower GIN (LGIN) 52 (31.9%), followed by HBN 46 (28.2%), upper GIN (UGIN) 44 (27%) and PAN 18 (11%). Commonest among LGIN were rectal 37; among HBN: hepatocellular cancer (HCC) 9, cholangiocarcinoma (CC) 9; and among UGIN: esophageal 25 and stomach 14. Rectal cancers were mostly sporadic (82.7%) with frequent signet ring cell histology (40.5%), and affected relatively younger ages compared to upper GIN and PAN. GIN were mostly locally advanced with higher resectability (LGIN 90.4%; UGIN 79.5%) while HBN were more advanced with lower resectability (HCC [44.4%]; CC [33.3%]). Poor dietary habits and poor socioeconomic status were common with UGIN (63.6%, 50%) and HBN (56.5%, 54.3%), respectively.

Conclusion

The commonest DTN among YI were LGIN followed by HBN, UGIN and PAN. Rectal cancers affected relatively younger ages and were mostly sporadic. HBN were more advanced in stage and unresectable compared to GIN. Poor dietary habits and poor socioeconomic status may be important contributors in carcinogenesis.

Chemoradiotherapy vs radiotherapy for nonoperative early stage esophageal cancer: A seer data analysis

Background

The benefit of endoscopic treatment (ET) and esophagectomy for early esophageal cancer (EC) has been sufficiently recognized. Radiotherapy (RT) is the main treatment modality for patients who do not undergo surgery. The effectiveness of adding chemotherapy (CT) to RT remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and RT alone on overall survival (OS) and cancer‐specific survival (CSS) in early EC patients not undergoing surgery.

Methods

Data collected between 2004 and 2015 were obtained from the national Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. All the samples were randomly grouped into the training cohort or the verification cohort. The training cohort was split into subgroups by stage, age, and histology. Stage was based on the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 6th edition published in 2004. The Kaplan‐Meier method and Cox proportional hazards modeling were used to compare OS and CSS. The performance of the nomogram was measured by a concordance index (C‐index) and the calibration curve.

Results

Data for a total of 5332 patients were obtained from the SEER database. A total of 3736 patients (stage I: n = 1277; stage IIA: n = 1484; stage IIB: n = 975) were used for the training cohort. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age, sex, histology, grade, therapy, reasons for no surgery, and year of diagnosis were independent predictors of OS. The survival curve of patients treated with CRT showed a significant survival benefit compared to that in patients treated by RT alone in stage I, stage IIA, and stage IIB. CRT was also found to be related to better survival than RT in patients at a younger age (<65) and an older age (≥65) with squamous cell carcinoma or adenocarcinoma.

Conclusions

Compared with RT, CRT results in better OS and CSS in early EC patients who do not undergo surgery.

Is the age of diagnosis of esophageal adenocarcinoma getting younger? Analysis at a tertiary care center

There are emerging data that patients <50 years are diagnosed with esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) more frequently, suggesting that the age threshold for screening should be revisited. This study aimed to determine the age distribution, outcomes, and clinical features of EAC over time. The pathology database at the Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania was reviewed from 1991 to 2018. The electronic health records and pathology were reviewed for age of diagnosis, pathology grade, race, and gender for a cohort of 630 patients with biopsy proven EAC. For the patients diagnosed from 2009 to 2018, the Penn Abramson Cancer Center Registry was reviewed for survival and TNM stage. Of the 630 patients, 10.3% (65 patients) were <50 years old [median 43 years, range 16-49]. There was no increase in the number of patients <50 years diagnosed with EAC (R = 0.133, P = 0.05). Characteristics of those <50 years versus >50 years showed no difference in tumor grade. Among the 179 eligible patients in the cancer registry, there was no significant difference in clinical or pathological stage for patients <50 years (P value = 0.18). There was no association between diagnosis age and survival (P = 0.24). A substantial subset of patients with EAC is diagnosed at <50 years. There was no increasing trend of EAC in younger cohorts from 1991 to 2018. We could not identify more advanced stage tumors in the younger cohort. There was no significant association between diagnosis age and survival.

Higher clinical suspicion is needed for prompt diagnosis of esophageal adenocarcinoma in young patients

BACKGROUND

Esophageal cancer is considered a disease of the elderly. Although the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma in young patients is increasing, current guidelines for endoscopic evaluation of gastroesophageal reflux disease and Barrett's esophagus include age as a cutoff. There is a paucity of data on the presentation and treatment of esophageal cancer in young patients. Most studies are limited by small sample sizes, and conflicting findings are reported regarding delayed diagnosis and survival compared with older patients.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed using the National Cancer Database between 2004 and 2015. Patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma were divided into quartiles by age (18-57, 58-65, 66-74, 75+ years) for comparison. Clinicopathologic and treatment factors were compared between groups.

RESULTS

A total of 101,596 patients were identified with esophageal cancer. The youngest patient group (18-57 years) had the highest rate of metastatic disease (34%). No difference in tumor differentiation was observed between age groups. Younger patient groups were more likely to undergo treatment despite advanced stage at diagnosis. Overall 5-year survival was better for younger patients with local disease, but the difference was less pronounced in locoregional and metastatic cases.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, young patients were more likely to have metastatic disease at diagnosis. Advanced stage in young patients may reflect the need for more aggressive clinical evaluation in high-risk young patients.