Qiu W, Li W, Xu K, Zhu G, Luo H, Deng Y, Qin Z, Zeng K, Wei Y, Lin X. Prognostic significance of fibrinogen and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio score and D-dimer/Albumin ratio for prognosis in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.
J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis 2023;
32:107338. [PMID:
37690163 DOI:
10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2023.107338]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/10/2023] [Revised: 08/26/2023] [Accepted: 08/31/2023] [Indexed: 09/12/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Recent research indicates that systemic inflammation significantly affects the overall prognosis of individuals with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. To delve deeper into this issue, a retrospective study was undertaken. The study aimed to investigate the relationship between fibrinogen and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio scores, D-dimer/Albumin ratios, and the Glasgow Outcome Scale at 6 months post-discharge for patients with aSAH.
METHODS
A retrospective analysis was conducted on 321 patients who experienced aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. These patients were monitored using the Glasgow Outcome Scale six months after being discharged from Huizhou Central People's Hospital. Patients with GOS scores between 1 and 3 were classified as having a poor prognosis, while those with scores ranging from 4 to 5 were considered to have a good prognosis. To create distinct sets, patients were randomly divided into both training and validation groups. The best cut-off value for the D-dimer/Albumin ratio was established through ROC curves, and the scores for fibrinogen and the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio were calculated. Utilizing multivariate logistic regression analysis, independent risk factors linked to an unfavorable prognosis in aSAH patients were identified. A nomogram model was developed and validated based on these findings, providing an improved approach for evaluating the prognostic influence of risk factors. To gauge the model's predictive performance, several analytical tools such as ROC curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis were employed. This comprehensive approach ensured a thorough assessment of the prognostic prediction capabilities of the model.
RESULTS
Multivariate regression analysis revealed that Age (OR=3.87, 95%CI=1.54-9.73, p=0.004), Pneumonia (OR=3.54, 95%CI=1.41-8.86, p=0.007), WFNS (OR=3.24, 95%CI=1.23-8.54, p=0.017), DAR (OR=2.88, 95%CI=1.13-7.34, p=0.027), and F-NLR (OR=3.12, 95%CI=1.22-7.97, p=0.017) were identified as independent risk factors influencing the prognosis of patients with aSAH. Additionally, the area under the ROC curve was 0.866 (95%CI=0.805-0.927) for the training set and 0.924 (95%CI=0.849-0.999) for the validation set. The calibration curve analysis demonstrated a minor error of 0.02 for the training set and 0.051 for the validation set. Furthermore, both the training set and validation set displayed significant clinical benefits according to the DCA curves, underscoring the meaningful utility of the developed nomogram.
CONCLUSIONS
Fibrinogen and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio scores, and the D-dimer/Albumin ratio emerged as significant independent risk factors for prognosticating the outcomes of patients with aSAH. Leveraging these factors, a robust nomogram model was meticulously developed, showcasing its impressive precision in prognostic predictions. These results underscore the promising clinical applicability of these biomarkers as effective prognostic indicators for individuals afflicted by aSAH.
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