Diagnostic nomogram model for predicting preoperative pathological grade of meningioma

Elevated meningioma risk among individuals who are Non-Hispanic Black is strongest for grade 2-3 tumors and synergistically modified by male sex

Background

Meningioma risk factors include older age, female sex, and African-American race. There are limited data exploring how meningioma risk in African-Americans varies across the lifespan, interacts with sex, and differs by tumor grade.

Methods

The Central Brain Tumor Registry of the United States (CBTRUS) is a population-based registry covering the entire U.S. population. Meningioma diagnoses from 2004-2019 were used to calculate incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for non-Hispanic Black individuals (NHB) compared to non-Hispanic white individuals (NHW) across 10-year age intervals, and stratified by sex and by WHO tumor grade.

Results

53,890 NHB individuals and 322,373 NHW individuals with an intracranial meningioma diagnosis were included in analyses. Beginning in young adulthood, the NHB-to-NHW IRR was elevated for both grade 1 and grade 2/3 tumors. The IRR peaked in the seventh decade of life regardless of grade, and was higher for grade 2/3 tumors (IRR=1.57; 95% CI: 1.46-1.69) than grade 1 tumors (IRR=1.27; 95% CI: 1.25-1.30) in this age group. The NHB-to-NHW IRR was elevated in females (IRR=1.17; 95% CI: 1.16-1.18) and further elevated in males (IRR=1.28; 95% CI: 1.26-1.30), revealing synergistic interaction between NHB race/ethnicity and male sex (P Interaction =0.001).

Conclusions

Relative to NHW individuals, NHB individuals are at elevated risk of meningioma from young adulthood through old age. NHB race/ethnicity conferred higher risk of meningioma among men than women, and higher risk of developing WHO grade 2/3 tumors. Results identify meningioma as a significant source of racial disparities in neuro-oncology and may help to improve preoperative predictions of meningioma grade.

Prediction of meningioma grade by constructing a clinical radiomics model nomogram based on magnetic resonance imaging

PURPOSE

To explore the clinical value of a clinical radiomics model nomogram based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for preoperative meningioma grading.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We collected retrospectively 544 patients with pathological diagnosis of meningiomas were categorized into training (n = 380) and validation (n = 164) groups at the ratio of 7∶ 3. There were 3,376 radiomics features extracted from T2WI and T1C by shukun technology platform after manual segmentation using an independent blind method by two radiologists. The Selectpercentile and Lasso are used to filter the most strongly correlated features. Random forest (RF) radiomics model and clinical radiomics model nomogram were constructed respectively. The calibration, discrimination, and clinical validity were evaluated by using the calibration curve and decision analysis curve (DCA).

RESULTS

The RF radiomics model based on T1C and T2WI was the most effective to predict meningioma grade before surgery among the six different classifiers. The predictive ability of clinical radiomics model was slightly higher than that of RF model alone. The AUC, SEN, SPE, and ACC of the training set were 0.949, 0.976, 0.785, and 0.826, and the AUC, SEN, SPE, and ACC of the validation set were 0.838, 0.829, 0.783, and 0.793, respectively. The calibration curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed the predictive probability of the fusion model was similar to the actual differentiated LGM and HGM. The analysis of the decision curve showed that the clinical radiomics model could obtain the best clinical net profit.

CONCLUSIONS

The clinical radiomics model nomogram based on T1C and T2WI has high accuracy and sensitivity for predicting meningioma grade.

Disease-Based Prognostication: Neuro-Oncology

Primary malignant and non-malignant brain and other central nervous system (CNS) tumors, while relatively rare, are a disproportionate source of morbidity and mortality. Here we provide a brief overview of approaches to modeling important clinical outcomes, such as overall survival, that are critical for clinical care. Because there are a large number of histologically distinct types of primary malignant and non-malignant brain and other CNS tumors, this chapter will provide an overview of prognostication considerations on the most common primary non-malignant brain tumor, meningioma, and the most common primary malignant brain tumor, glioblastoma. In addition, information on nomograms and how they can be used as individualized prognostication tools by clinicians to counsel patients and their families regarding treatment, follow-up, and prognosis is described. The current state of nomograms for meningiomas and glioblastomas are also provided.

A Nomogram Model for Stratifying the Risk of Recurrence in Patients with Meningioma After Surgery

BACKGROUND

Here, we aimed to investigate the clinical parameters affecting the recurrence of meningiomas, and to construct a predictive nomogram model, so as to predict the recurrence-free survival (RFS) of meningiomas more accurately.

METHODS

The Clinical, imaging, and pathological data of 155 primary meningioma patients treated surgically from January 2014 to March 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Independent prognostic factors affecting postoperative recurrence of meningioma were identified by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. A predictive nomogram was established based on independent influence parameters. Subsequently, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and Kaplan-Meier method were utilized to evaluate the predictive ability of the model.

RESULTS

The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that tumor size, Ki-67 index, and resection extent had independent prognostic significance, and these parameters were subsequently used to construct a predictive nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic curves indicated that the model was more accurate in predicting RFS than independent factors. Calibration curves suggested that the predicted RFS were similar to the actual observed RFS. In the Kaplan-Meier analysis, the RFS of high-risk cases was obviously shorter than that of low-risk cases.

CONCLUSIONS

The tumor size, Ki-67 index, and extent of resection were independent factors affecting the RFS of meningioma. The predictive nomogram based on these factors can be used as an effective method to stratify the recurrence risk of meningioma and provide a reference for patients to choose personalized treatment.

Meningiomas with CNS invasion

CNS invasion has been included as an independent criterion for the diagnosis of a high-grade (WHO and CNS grade 2 and 3) meningioma in the 2016 and more recently in the 2021 WHO classification. However, the prognostic role of brain invasion has recently been questioned. Also, surgical treatment for brain invasive meningiomas may pose specific challenges. We conducted a systematic review of the 2016-2022 literature on brain invasive meningiomas in Pubmed, Scopus, Web of Science and the Cochrane Library. The prognostic relevance of brain invasion as a stand-alone criterion is still unclear. Additional and larger studies using robust definitions of histological brain invasion and addressing the issue of sampling errors are clearly warranted. Although the necessity of molecular profiling in meningioma grading, prognostication and decision making in the future is obvious, specific markers for brain invasion are lacking for the time being. Advanced neuroimaging may predict CNS invasion preoperatively. The extent of resection (e.g., the Simpson grading) is an important predictor of tumor recurrence especially in higher grade meningiomas, but also - although likely to a lesser degree - in benign tumors, and therefore also in brain invasive meningiomas with and without other histological features of atypia or malignancy. Hence, surgery for brain invasive meningiomas should follow the principles of maximal but safe resections. There are some data to suggest that safety and functional outcomes in such cases may benefit from the armamentarium of surgical adjuncts commonly used for surgery of eloquent gliomas such as intraoperative monitoring, awake craniotomy, DTI tractography and further advanced intraoperative brain tumor visualization.

The Performance of Different Machine Learning Algorithm and Regression Models in Predicting High-Grade Intracranial Meningioma

Meningioma is the most common primary tumor of the central nervous system (CNS). Individualized treatment strategies should be formulated for the patients according to the WHO (World Health Organization) grade. Our aim was to investigate the effectiveness of various machine learning and traditional statistical models in predicting the WHO grade of preoperative patients with meningioma. Patients diagnosed with meningioma after surgery in West China Hospital and Shangjin Hospital of Sichuan University from 2009 to 2016 were included in the study cohort. As the training cohort (n = 1975), independent risk factors associated with high-grade meningioma were used to establish the Nomogram model. which was validated in a subsequent cohort (n = 1048) from 2017 to 2019 in our hospital. Logistic regression (LR), XGboost, Adaboost, Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and Random Forest (RF) models were determined using F1 score, recall, accuracy, the area under the curve (ROC), calibration plot and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the different models. Logistic regression showed better predictive performance and interpretability than machine learning. Gender, recurrence history, T1 signal intensity, enhanced signal degree, peritumoral edema, tumor diameter, cystic, location, and NLR index were identified as independent risk factors and added to the nomogram. The AUC (Area Under Curve) value of RF was 0.812 in the training set, 0.807 in the internal validation set, and 0.842 in the external validation set. The calibration curve and DCA (Decision Curve Analysis) indicated that it had better prediction efficiency of LR than others. The Nomogram preoperative prediction model of meningioma of WHO II and III grades showed effective prediction ability. While machine learning exhibits strong fitting ability, it performs poorly in the validation set.

A Machine Learning Model Based on Unsupervised Clustering Multihabitat to Predict the Pathological Grading of Meningiomas

Purpose

We aim to develop and validate a machine learning model by enhanced MRI to determine the pathological grading of meningiomas with unsupervised clustering image analysis method, which are multihabitat to reflect the inherent heterogeneity of tumors.

Materials and Methods

A total of 120 patients with meningiomas confirmed by postoperative pathology were included in the study, including 60 patients with low-grade meningiomas (WHO grade I) and 60 patients with high-grade meningiomas (WHO grade II and WHO grade III). All patients underwent complete head enhanced magnetic resonance scans before surgery or any anti-tumor treatment. Enrolled patients in the group received surgical resection and obtained postoperative pathological data. The patients in the training group (84 people) and the test group (36 people) were randomly divided into two groups according to the ratio of 7 to 3. Multi-habitat features were extracted from MRI images based on enhanced T1. Machine learning method was used to model, which was used to distinguish high-grade meningioma from low-grade meningioma. At the same time, the obtained machine learning model was calibrated and evaluated.

Results

In patients with low-grade meningioma and high-grade meningioma, we found significant differences in Silhouette coefficient (P<0.05). In the machine learning model, the area under the curve was 0.838 in the training group (sensitivity, 67.65%; specificity, 88.82%) and 0.73 in the test group (sensitivity, 69.05%; specificity, 71.43%). After the analysis of calibration curve and decision curve analysis, the model had shown the potential of great application value.

Conclusions

Multi-habitat analysis based on enhanced MRI (T1) could accurately predict the pathological grading of meningiomas. This unsupervised image-based method could reflect the direct heterogeneity between high-grade meningiomas and low-grade meningiomas, which is of great significance for patients' treatment and prevention of recurrence.

Identification of technology frontiers of artificial intelligence-assisted pathology based on patent citation network

Objectives

This paper aimed to identify the technology frontiers of artificial intelligence-assisted pathology based on patent citation network.

Methods

Patents related to artificial intelligence-assisted pathology were searched and collected from the Derwent Innovation Index (DII), which were imported into Derwent Data Analyzer (DDA, Clarivate Derwent, New York, NY, USA) for authority control, and imported into the freely available computer program Ucinet 6 for drawing the patent citation network. The patent citation network according to the citation relationship could describe the technology development context in the field of artificial intelligence-assisted pathology. The patent citations were extracted from the collected patent data, selected highly cited patents to form a co-occurrence matrix, and built a patent citation network based on the co-occurrence matrix in each period. Text clustering is an unsupervised learning method, an important method in text mining, where similar documents are grouped into clusters. The similarity between documents are determined by calculating the distance between them, and the two documents with the closest distance are combined. The method of text clustering was used to identify the technology frontiers based on the patent citation network, which was according to co-word analysis of the title and abstract of the patents in this field.

Results

1704 patents were obtained in the field of artificial intelligence-assisted pathology, which had been currently undergoing three stages, namely the budding period (1992–2000), the development period (2001–2015), and the rapid growth period (2016–2021). There were two technology frontiers in the budding period (1992–2000), namely systems and methods for image data processing in computerized tomography (CT), and immunohistochemistry (IHC), five technology frontiers in the development period (2001–2015), namely spectral analysis methods of biomacromolecules, pathological information system, diagnostic biomarkers, molecular pathology diagnosis, and pathological diagnosis antibody, and six technology frontiers in the rapid growth period (2016–2021), namely digital pathology (DP), deep learning (DL) algorithms—convolutional neural networks (CNN), disease prediction models, computational pathology, pathological image analysis method, and intelligent pathological system.

Conclusions

Artificial intelligence-assisted pathology was currently in a rapid development period, and computational pathology, DL and other technologies in this period all involved the study of algorithms. Future research hotspots in this field would focus on algorithm improvement and intelligent diagnosis in order to realize the precise diagnosis. The results of this study presented an overview of the characteristics of research status and development trends in the field of artificial intelligence-assisted pathology, which could help readers broaden innovative ideas and discover new technological opportunities, and also served as important indicators for government policymaking.