The power to predict with biomarkers: carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) serum markers in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

Tumor burden score and carcinoembryonic antigen predict outcomes in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma following liver resection: a multi‑institutional analysis

BACKGROUND

The prognostic significance of tumor burden score (TBS) in relation to carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) has not been investigated among patients undergoing hepatectomy for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). This study aimed to develop and validate a simplified model, a combination of TBS and CEA (CTC grade), for predicting the long-term outcomes of postoperative ICC patients.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative - intent resection of ICC between 2011 and 2019 were identified from a large multi - institutional database. The impact of TBS, CEA, and the CTC grade on overall survival (OS) and recurrence - free survival (RFS) was evaluated in both the derivation and validation cohorts. The receiver operating characteristic curve was utilized for assessing the predictive accuracy of the model. Subgroup analyses were performed across 8th TNM stage system stratified by CTC grade to assess the discriminatory capacity within the same TNM stage.

RESULTS

A total of 812 patients were included in the derivation cohort and 266 patients in the validation cohort. Survival varied based on CEA (low: 36.7% vs. high: 9.0%) and TBS (low: 40.3% vs. high: 17.6%) in relation to 5 - year survival (both p < 0.001). As expected, patients with low CTC grade (i.e., low TBS/low CEA) were associated with the best OS as well as RFS, while high CTC grade (i.e., high TBS/high CEA) correlated to the worst outcomes. The model exhibited well performance in both the derivation cohort (area under the curve of 0.694) and the validation cohort (0.664). The predictive efficacy of the CTC grade system remains consistently stable across TNM stages I and III/IV.

CONCLUSION

The CTC grade, a composite parameter derived from the combination of TBS and CEA levels, served as an easy - to - use tool and performed well in stratifying patients with ICC relative to OS and RFS.

Progression Patterns and Post-Progression Survival in Recurred Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma Patients: A Novel Prognostic Nomogram Based on Multicenter Cohorts

Background

The post-progression survival (PPS) of recurred intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) patients relates to the characteristics of tumor progression. Moreover, the prediction model of PPS in those patients has not been well established. This study aimed at developing a novel nomogram for predicting PPS in recurred iCCA patients.

Method

Clinical characteristics were retrospectively collected in 396 patients diagnosed with iCCA from cohorts of Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (SYSUCC) and the First Hospital of Dalian Medical University (FHDMU). The PPS in patients with different progression patterns was investigated. The nomogram of PPS was established with the Cox regression model in the primary cohort. Then the nomogram was verified in the external validation cohort.

Results

Liver progression was the commonest pattern (42.08%) in recurred iCCA patients, while patients with local LN progression had significantly better PPS than those with other patterns. The independent prognostic factors comprised elevated CEA levels, tumor differentiation, N stage 8th, adjuvant therapy, Local LN metastasis, Liver Metastasis only, and Multiple Metastasis. The nomogram constructed on these factors achieved satisfied C-indexes of 0.794 (95% CI 0.769–0.828) and 0.827 (0.779–0.876) for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. These values were significantly higher than those of the 8th TNM stage system (all p &lt; 0.001). The recurred iCCA patients could be precisely classified into high- and low-risk groups according to the cutoff point of this nomogram (p &lt; 0.01).

Conclusion

The investigation of progression patterns and the development of this nomogram can offer new evidence to precisely postoperative and post-progression management of iCCA patients.

Double-Negative α-Fetoprotein and Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 Predict a Good Prognosis in Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) and α-fetoprotein (AFP) are routinely tested in patients with liver malignancies before surgery. However, few reports have explored the relevance of the expression pattern of these 2 tumor markers regarding the prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). We herein combined these 2 tumor markers to investigate the influence on ICC malignancy and patient prognosis.

METHODS

From March 2009 to December 2019, 519 consecutive patients with newly diagnosed ICC who underwent R0 resection were enrolled and followed. The relationships between clinicopathological parameters and these 2 tumor markers were analyzed. Propensity score matching was used to eliminate the baseline differences.

RESULTS

A lower proportion of patients with double-negative AFP and CA19-9 had advanced tumor-node-metastasis stage, larger tumor diameter, multiple tumors, lymph node metastasis, microvascular invasion, and perineural invasion. With propensity score matching, patients were divided into double-negative and non-double-negative groups, with 128 patients in each group, and the 5-year recurrence-free survival and overall survival rates were 33.8 vs 15.2 (P < 0.001) and 45.3 vs 19.0, respectively (P < 0.001). In the multivariate Cox analyses, double negativity for the 2 tumor markers was an independent factor for recurrence-free survival (hazard ratios, 0.578; 95% CI, 0.442-0.755, P < 0.001) and overall survival (hazard ratios, 0.567; 95% CI, 0.434-0.741, P < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

Double negativity for CA19-9 and AFP indicated less invasive tumor characteristics in patients with ICC. Patients with double-negative tumor markers achieved better outcomes than those with non-double-negative markers, which is meaningful for prognostic counseling and therapeutic triage.

Bioinformatic Prediction of Signaling Pathways for Apurinic/Apyrimidinic Endodeoxyribonuclease 1 (APEX1) and Its Role in Cholangiocarcinoma Cells

Apurinic/apyrimidinic endodeoxyribonuclease 1 (APEX1) is involved in the DNA damage repair pathways and associates with the metastasis of several human cancers. However, the signaling pathway of APEX1 in cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) has never been reported. In this study, to predict the signaling pathways of APEX1 and related proteins and their functions, the effects of APEX1 gene silencing on APEX1 and related protein expression in CCA cell lines were investigated using mass spectrometry and bioinformatics tools. Bioinformatic analyses predicted that APEX1 might interact with cell division cycle 42 (CDC42) and son of sevenless homolog 1 (SOS1), which are involved in tumor metastasis. RNA and protein expression levels of APEX1 and its related proteins, retrieved from the Gene Expression Profiling Interactive Analysis (GEPIA) and the Human Protein Atlas databases, revealed that their expressions were higher in CCA than in the normal group. Moreover, higher levels of APEX1 expression and its related proteins were correlated with shorter survival time. In conclusion, the signaling pathway of APEX1 in metastasis might be mediated via CDC42 and SOS1. Furthermore, expression of APEX1 and related proteins is able to predict poor survival of CCA patients.

A Novel Prognostic Scoring System of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma With Machine Learning Basing on Real-World Data

Background and Objectives

Currently, the prognostic performance of the staging systems proposed by the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC 8th) and the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan (LCSGJ) in resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains controversial. The aim of this study was to use machine learning techniques to modify existing ICC staging strategies based on clinical data and to demonstrate the accuracy and discrimination capacity in prognostic prediction.

Patients and Methods

This is a retrospective study based on 1,390 patients who underwent surgical resection for ICC at Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital from 2007 to 2015. External validation was performed for patients from 2015 to 2017. The ensemble of three machine learning algorithms was used to select the most important prognostic factors and stepwise Cox regression was employed to derive a modified scoring system. The discriminative ability and predictive accuracy were assessed using the Concordance Index (C-index) and Brier Score (BS). The results were externally validated through a cohort of 42 patients operated on from the same institution.

Results

Six independent prognosis factors were selected and incorporated in the modified scoring system, including carcinoembryonic antigen, carbohydrate antigen 19-9, alpha-fetoprotein, prealbumin, T and N of ICC staging category in 8th edition of AJCC. The proposed scoring system showed a more favorable discriminatory ability and model performance than the AJCC 8th and LCSGJ staging systems, with a higher C-index of 0.693 (95% CI, 0.663–0.723) in the internal validation cohort and 0.671 (95% CI, 0.602–0.740) in the external validation cohort, which was then confirmed with lower BS (0.103 in internal validation cohort and 0.169 in external validation cohort). Meanwhile, machine learning techniques for variable selection together with stepwise Cox regression for survival analysis shows a better prognostic accuracy than using stepwise Cox regression method only.

Conclusions

This study put forward a modified ICC scoring system based on prognosis factors selection incorporated with machine learning, for individualized prognosis evaluation in patients with ICC.

An immunosensor for the determination of carcinoembryonic antigen by Surface Plasmon Resonance imaging

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is one of the biomarkers most commonly used to determine tumor activity. In this work, a Surface Plasmon Resonance imaging (SPRi) immunosensor was developed. The immunosensor consists of a cysteamine linker attached to a gold chip and mouse monoclonal anti-CEA antibody bonded by the "EDC/NHS protocol". The formation of successive immunosensor layers was confirmed by AFM measurements. The concentration of the antibody was optimized. The linear response range of the developed immunosensor is between 0.40 and 20 ng mL^-1, and it is suitable for CEA measurement in both blood cancer patients and healthy individuals. Only 3 μL of serum or plasma sample is required, and no preconcentration is used. The method has a precision of 2-16%, a recovery of 101-104% depending on CEA concentration, a detection limit of 0.12 ng mL^-1 and a quantification limit of 0.40 ng mL^-1. The method is selective (with respect to albumin, leptin, interleukin 6, metalloproteinase-1, metallopeptidase inhibitor 1 and CA 125/MUC16) and it was validated by comparison with the standard electrochemiluminescence method on a series of colorectal cancer blood samples.

Which is the optimal management for locally advanced gastric cancer patients with TRG 0 and 1 after R0 resection?

Background

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by surgery currently offers promise as a strategy for patients with locally advanced gastric cancer (GC). However, there is limited evidence to guide treatment for TRG 0 and 1 patients with locally advanced GC after R0 resection. This study set out to explore the optimal management for TRG 0 and 1 patients with locally advanced GC after R0 resection.

Methods

The retrospective data of 154 TRG 0 and 1 patients with locally advanced GC following R0 resection who were treated between January 2012 and December 2018 were collected and analyzed. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the survival rate. Multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

The median follow-up was 34.1 (range, 6.6–90.9) months. Six patients (3.9%) were lost during follow-up. Of the 27 patients who experienced relapse, 12 died, including 2 patients who died of non-neoplastic causes. The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) and 5-year overall survival (OS) were 71.6% (95% CI: 68.5–79.6) and 82.9% (95% CI: 76.9–86.1) for the whole cohort, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that patients with carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) <5.0 ng/ml after NAC (77.7% vs. 20.1%, P<0.001), distal gastrectomy (91.7% vs. 67.5%, P=0.046) had higher 5-year RFS. Meanwhile, combined resection (55.6% vs. 73.1%, P=0.042), major complications (42.7% vs. 80.50%, P<0.001), and lymph node metastasis (ypN+) (52.0% vs. 83.7%, P<0.001) had lower 5-year RFS. The multivariate analysis showed that CEA level after NAC (HR =2.876, 95% CI: 1.051–7.872, P=0.040), major complications (HR =2.432, 95% CI: 1.062–5.567, P=0.035), and lymph node metastasis (ypN+) (HR =3.183, 95% CI: 1.242–8.161, P=0.016) were independent prognostic factors.

Conclusions

TRG 0 and 1 patients with local GC after R0 resection following NAC had a good prognosis, especially patients with CEA <5.0 ng/mL after NAC, and those without major complications or lymph node metastasis. Monotherapy or no chemotherapy may offer options for treating TRG 0 and 1 patients without adverse prognostic factors.

Liver resection and transplantation for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

The incidence of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) is increasing worldwide. Although several advances have been made in the past decades to better understand this complex malignancy and to develop new treatment strategies, the prognosis of iCCA remains dismal. Liver resection (LR) is the mainstay of treatment but only a minority of patients are amenable to surgery. In most cases, patients with iCCA will require a major hepatectomy for complete resection of the tumour. This may be contraindicated or increase the surgical burden in patients with chronic liver disease and small remnant liver volume. Lymphadenectomy with a minimal harvest of 6 lymph nodes is considered adequate, as microscopic nodal metastases have been shown in more than 40% of patients. Current 5-year overall survival following LR is in the range of 25%-40%. For locally advanced disease not amenable to upfront LR, neoadjuvant locoregional therapies may be used with the aim of converting these patients to resectability or even to transplantation in well-selected cases. Recent studies have shown that liver transplantation (LT) might be a treatment option for patients with unresectable very-early iCCA (i.e. ≤2 cm), with survival outcomes comparable to those of hepatocellular carcinoma. In patients with unresectable, advanced tumours, confined to the liver who achieve sustained response to neoadjuvant treatment, LT may be considered an option within prospective protocols. The role of adjuvant therapies in iCCA is still under debate. Herein, we review the recent advances in the surgical treatment of iCCA and examine its correlation with locoregional therapies, adjuvant and neo-adjuvant strategies.

Novel staging system using carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 in extra-hepatic cholangiocarcinoma and its implications on overall survival

BACKGROUND

CA19-9 elevation has shown to be associated with poor prognosis in extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ECCA). However, the role of CA19-9 in staging of ECCA has not been evaluated. We hypothesized that CA19-9 elevation is a marker of aggressive biology in ECCA and that inclusion of CA19-9 in the staging system may improve overall survival (OS) discrimination.

METHODS

Patients with ECCA whose CA19-9 levels, irrespective of surgical status, were reported to the National Cancer Database (2004-2015) were included. The patients were classified based on their CA19-9 levels and a new staging system was proposed. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) model was used to assess the predictive improvement in the proposed survival model as compared to AJCC-TNM staging.

RESULTS

Of the 2100 patients included in the study, 626 (32%) and 1474 (68%) had normal and elevated CA19-9 levels (>38 U/ml), respectively. Median OS was lower among patients with elevated CA19-9 level compared to those with CA19-9 level ≤38 U/ml (8.5 vs 16 months, p < 0.01). On multivariate analysis, CA19-9 elevation independently predicted poor prognosis [HR:1.72 (1.46-2.02); p < 0.01] with similar impact as node-positivity, positive resection margins and non-receipt of chemotherapy. We developed a new staging system by incorporating CA19-9 into the 7th edition AJCC TNM staging system. NRI of 46% (95%CI: 39-57%) indicates that the new staging system is substantially effective at re-classifying events at 12 months as compared to AJCC 7th edition.

CONCLUSION

Elevated CA19-9 was found to be an independent risk factor for mortality in ECCA and its inclusion in the proposed staging system improved OS discrimination.