Is flexible bronchoscopy necessary in the preoperative workup of patients with peripheral cT1N0 subsolid lung cancer? -a prospective multi-center cohort study

Development and Validation of a Prediction Model for Positive Findings of Preoperative Flexible Bronchoscopy in Patients with Peripheral Lung Cancer

(1) Background: It has yet to be determined whether preoperative flexible bronchoscopy (FB) should be routinely performed in patients with peripheral lung cancer. The aim of this study was to construct a model to predict the probability of positive FB findings, which would help assess the necessity of preoperative FB. (2) Methods: A total of 380 consecutive patients with peripheral lung cancer who underwent preoperative FB were recruited for this study. A prediction model was developed through univariate and multivariate logistic regression, with predictors including gender, age, body mass index (BMI), smoking, history of chronic lung diseases, respiratory symptoms, lesion size, lesion type, lesion location in the bronchi, and lesion location in the lobe. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated by validation using 1000 iterations of bootstrap resampling. Model discrimination was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), and calibration was assessed using the Brier score and calibration plots. (3) Results: The model suggested that male patients with respiratory symptoms, decreased BMI, solid lesions, and lesions located in lower-order bronchi were more likely to have positive FB findings. The AUC and Brier score of the model for internal validation were 0.784 and 0.162, respectively. The calibration curve for the probability of positive FB findings showed convincing concordance between the predicted and actual results. (4) Conclusions: Our prediction model estimated the pretest probability of positive FB findings in patients with peripheral lung cancers. Males and patients with lower BMI, the presence of respiratory symptoms, larger lesions, solid lesions, and lesions located in lower-order bronchi were associated with increased positive FB findings. The use of our model can be of assistance when making clinical decisions about preoperative FB.

Distance to highway and factory density related to lung cancer death and associated spatial heterogeneity in effects in Jiading District, Shanghai

This study aimed to determine the spatial effects of traffic- and industrial-related pollution on the mortality for lung cancer (LC). We conducted a retrospective cohort study by using the data from LC registry in Jiading District for the period from 2002 to 2012. Standard parametric model with Weibull distribution was used for spatial survival analysis. Shorter distance to highway (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 1.15, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03-1.30) and higher factory density (aOR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.05-1.37) were significantly associated with an increased risk of LC death, and there was a spatial difference in the associations between northern and southern areas of Jiading District. The risk was high in suburbs as compared with urban areas. Traffic- and industrial-related pollution were significantly associated with an increased risk of LC death, which showed a spatial variation. Further studies are needed to better understand the current LC status in the suburbs and to reduce health disparities.