Surveillance of ground glass nodules-when is enough, enough?

Signature identification of relapse-related overall survival of early lung adenocarcinoma after radical surgery

Background

The widespread use of low-dose chest CT screening has improved the detection of early lung adenocarcinoma. Radical surgery is the best treatment strategy for patients with early lung adenocarcinoma; however, some patients present with postoperative recurrence and poor prognosis. Through this study, we hope to establish a model that can identify patients that are prone to recurrence and have poor prognosis after surgery for early lung adenocarcinoma.

Materials and Methods

We screened prognostic and relapse-related genes using The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database and the GSE50081 dataset from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. The GSE30219 dataset was used to further screen target genes and construct a risk prognosis signature. Time-dependent ROC analysis, calibration degree analysis, and DCA were used to evaluate the reliability of the model. We validated the TCGA dataset, GSE50081, and GSE30219 internally. External validation was conducted in the GSE31210 dataset.

Results

A novel four-gene signature (INPP5B, FOSL2, CDCA3, RASAL2) was established to predict relapse-related survival outcomes in patients with early lung adenocarcinoma after surgery. The discovery of these genes may reveal the molecular mechanism of recurrence and poor prognosis of early lung adenocarcinoma. In addition, ROC analysis, calibration analysis and DCA were used to verify the genetic signature internally and externally. Our results showed that our gene signature had a good predictive ability for recurrence and prognosis.

Conclusions

We established a four-gene signature and predictive model to predict the recurrence and corresponding survival rates in patients with early lung adenocarcinoma after surgery. These may be helpful for reforumulating post-operative consolidation treatment strategies.

A comparative study to evaluate CT-based semantic and radiomic features in preoperative diagnosis of invasive pulmonary adenocarcinomas manifesting as subsolid nodules

This study aims to predict the histological invasiveness of pulmonary adenocarcinoma spectrum manifesting with subsolid nodules ≦ 3 cm using the preoperative CT-based radiomic approach. A total of 186 patients with 203 SSNs confirmed with surgically pathologic proof were retrospectively reviewed from February 2016 to March 2020 for training cohort modeling. The validation cohort included 50 subjects with 57 SSNs confirmed with surgically pathologic proof from April 2020 to August 2020. CT-based radiomic features were extracted using an open-source software with 3D nodular volume segmentation manually. The association between CT-based conventional features/selected radiomic features and histological invasiveness of pulmonary adenocarcinoma status were analyzed. Diagnostic models were built using conventional CT features, selected radiomic CT features and experienced radiologists. In addition, we compared diagnostic performance between radiomic CT feature, conventional CT features and experienced radiologists. In the training cohort of 203 SSNs, there were 106 invasive lesions and 97 pre-invasive lesions. Logistic analysis identified that a selected radiomic feature named GLCM_Entropy_log10 was the predictor for histological invasiveness of pulmonary adenocarcinoma spectrum (OR: 38.081, 95% CI 2.735–530.309, p = 0.007). The sensitivity and specificity for predicting histological invasiveness of pulmonary adenocarcinoma spectrum using the cutoff value of CT-based radiomic parameter (GLCM_Entropy_log10) were 84.8% and 79.2% respectively (area under curve, 0.878). The diagnostic model of CT-based radiomic feature was compared to those of conventional CT feature (morphologic and quantitative) and three experienced radiologists. The diagnostic performance of radiomic feature was similar to those of the quantitative CT feature (nodular size and solid component, both lung and mediastinal window) in prediction invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma (IPA). The AUC value of CT radiomic feature was higher than those of conventional CT morphologic feature and three experienced radiologists. The c-statistic of the training cohort model was 0.878 (95% CI 0.831–0.925) and 0.923 (0.854–0.991) in the validation cohort. Calibration was good in both cohorts. The diagnostic performance of CT-based radiomic feature is not inferior to solid component (lung and mediastinal window) and nodular size for predicting invasiveness. CT-based radiomic feature and nomogram could help to differentiate IPA lesions from preinvasive lesions in the both independent training and validation cohorts. The nomogram may help clinicians with decision making in the management of subsolid nodules.