Patient Selection After Mandatory Bundled Payments for Hip and Knee Replacement: Limited Evidence of Lemon-Dropping or Cherry-Picking

The Impact of Bundled Payment Initiatives in Orthopedic Surgery Access to Care: Cherry Picking and Lemon Dropping

This editorial explores the impact of bundled payment initiatives, specifically in the context of orthopedic surgery, on access to care. We examine the phenomenon of "cherry picking" healthier patients and "lemon dropping" higher-risk patients, potentially leading to disparities in access and healthcare outcomes. We discuss recent studies investigating these concerns and highlight the need for more in-depth research to better understand the groups these policies may marginalize. Policymakers are urged to consider measures to protect disadvantaged patients and ensure equitable access to care, aligning with the principles of equality and diversity in healthcare.

Greater Socioeconomic Disadvantage as Measured by the Area Deprivation Index Is Associated With Failure of Healing Following Arthroscopic Repair of Massive Rotator Cuff Tears but Not With Clinical Outcomes

PURPOSE

To analyze the relationship between Area Deprivation Index (ADI) and preoperative status and short-term postoperative clinical outcomes among patients who underwent arthroscopic rotator cuff repair (ARCR) of massive rotator cuff tears (MRCTs).

METHODS

A retrospective review was conducted on prospectively maintained data on patients who underwent ARCR of MRCTs defined as tear size ≥5 cm or complete tear of at least 2 tendons, with a minimum 2-year follow-up and a valid home address between January 2015 and December 2018. Each patient's home address was mapped to the ADI to determine neighborhood disadvantage. This composite index is composed of 17 census-based indicators, including income, education, employment, and housing quality to quantify the level of socioeconomic deprivation. Ratings were recorded and categorized based on the sample's percentile. Patients were then divided into 2 groups: upper quartile (ie, most disadvantaged [≥75th percentile]) and lower 3 quartiles (ie, least disadvantaged [<75th percentile]). Bivariate analysis was performed to associate ADI with patient-reported outcomes (PROs) and range of motion pre- and postoperatively, as well as complications, healing rate, satisfaction, and return to work. Patients reaching or exceeding the minimal clinically important difference for visual analog scale (VAS), American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons, Veterans Rand 12-Item questionnaire, and subjective shoulder value were recorded for both cohorts.

RESULTS

Ninety-nine patients were eligible for study analysis. Preoperative PROs and range of motion were similar, except for a greater VAS for pain (6.3 vs 4.3; P < .01) and lower American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons score (32.2 vs 45.1; P = .01) in the most disadvantaged group. Both groups showed similar postoperative PROs scores, but greater VAS improvement was seen in the upper quartile group (Δ 4.2 vs Δ 3.0; P = .04). In contrast, only the least-disadvantaged group significantly improved in internal rotation (P = .01) and forward flexion (18°; P < .01) from baseline. Although satisfaction, complications, and return to work were comparable (P > .05), failure of healing occurred more frequently in the most disadvantaged group (21% vs 6%; P = .03).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with MRCTs residing in the most disadvantaged neighborhoods as measured by the ADI have more pain and functional limitations before undergoing ARCR but demonstrate similar postoperative functional improvements to patients from other socioeconomic backgrounds. Failure of healing of MRCTs may be more common in disadvantaged groups. Furthermore, both groups reported similar rates of clinically important functional improvement.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III, retrospective cohort comparison.

The International Initiative to Measure Perceived Risk in Arthroplasty: The Results From a Multinational Survey

BACKGROUND

There is an inherent moral imperative to avoid complications from arthroplasty. Doing so at ideal cost is also associated with surgeon reputation, and, increasingly in health care delivery systems that measure and competitively score outcomes, reimbursement to the surgeons and their hospitals. As a result, patients who are perceived to be in higher risk comorbidity groups, such as the obese and diabetics, as well as those challenged by socioeconomic factors may face barriers to access elective arthroplasty.

METHODS

In this initiative, surveys were sent to surgeons in 8 different countries, each adapted for their own unique payment, remuneration, and punitive models. The questions in the surveys pertained to surgeons' perception of risk regarding medical and socioeconomic factors in patients indicated for total hip or knee arthroplasty. This paper primarily reports on the results from Canada, Ireland, and the United Kingdom.

RESULTS

The health care systems varied between a universal/state funded health care system (Canada) to those that were almost exclusively private (India). Some health care systems have "bundled" payment with retention of fees for postoperative complications requiring readmission/reoperation and including some with public publication of outcome data (United States and the United Kingdom), whereas others had none (Canada). There were some major discrepancies across different countries regarding the perceived risk of diabetic patients, who have variable Hemoglobin A1c cut-offs, if any used. However, overall the perception of risk for age, body mass index, age, sex, socioeconomic, and social situations remained surprisingly consistent throughout the health care systems. Any limitations set were primarily driven by surgeon decision making and not external demands.

CONCLUSION

Surgeons will understandably try and optimize the health status of patients who have reversible risks as shown by best available evidence. The evidence is of variable quality, and, especially for irreversible social risk factors, limited due to concerns over cost and quality outcomes that can be influenced by experience-driven perceptions of risk. The results show that perceptions of risk do have such influence on access across many health care delivery environments. The authors recommend better risk-adjustment models for medical and socioeconomic risk factors with possible stratification/exclusions regarding reimbursement adjustments and reporting to help reverse disparities of access to arthroplasty.

Risk selection reduces efficiency of value-based healthcare

Value-based healthcare aims to improve efficiency and value for patients. Value-based payment models are a form of provider reimbursement to achieve this. Studies on these models have found positive results, but may be biased by unintended consequences, such as risk selection. Risk selection is a multi-dimensional phenomenon that occurs at the patient, hospital, and system level, and is a source of inefficiency and inequality in healthcare. Risk selection may occur because of selection bias in the outcomes that are evaluated and rewarded, or due to the selection of lower cost patients. Risk selection may also stem from professional reputation. The motivation to engage in risk selection may also arise from differences in the meaning of value. To mitigate these unintended consequences, several strategies can be adopted. These include making value-based payment models attractive, but not mandatory, as well as incentivising transparent reporting of best practices, using adequate risk adjustment, expanding performance metrics, and including patient-reported experience measures. Other mitigation strategies could include adopting a mixture of performance measures, using mixed methods of paying physicians, and implementing monitoring and evaluation mechanisms. However, such approaches are not flawless, and the problem may never be fully solved. This perspective serves as a warning for the constant presence of risk selection, as well as informing policy makers, politicians, and organisations implementing VBP models on ways to minimise the possibility of risk selection.

The Impact of Value-Based Payment Models for Networks of Care and Transmural Care: A Systematic Literature Review

INTRODUCTION

Value-based healthcare has potential for cost control and quality improvement. To assess this, we review the evidence on the impact of value-based payment (VBP) models in the context of networks of care (NOC) and transmural care.

METHODS

We used the PRISMA guidelines for this systematic literature review. We searched eight databases in July 2021. Subsequently, we conducted title and abstract and full-text screenings, and extracted information in an extraction matrix. Based on this, we assessed the evidence on the effects of VBP models on clinical outcomes, patient-reported outcomes/experiences, organization-related outcomes/experiences, and costs. Additionally, we reviewed the facilitating and inhibiting factors per VBP model.

FINDINGS

Among articles studying shared savings and pay-for-performance models, most outline positive effects on both clinical and cost outcomes, such as preventable hospitalizations and total expenditures, respectively. Most studies show no change in patient satisfaction and access to care when adopting VBP models. Providers' opinions towards the models are frequently negative. Transparency and communication among involved stakeholders are found to be key facilitating factors, transversal to all models. Additionally, a lack of trust is an inhibitor found in all VBP models, together with inadequate targets and insufficient incentives. In bundled payment and pay-for-performance models, complexity in the structure of the program and lack of experience in implementing required mechanisms are key inhibitors.

CONCLUSIONS

The overall positive effect on clinical and cost outcomes validates the success of VBP models. The mostly negative effects on organization-reported outcomes/experiences are corroborated by findings regarding providers' lack of awareness, trust, and engagement with the model. This may be justified by their exclusion from the design of the models, decreasing their sense of ownership and, therefore, motivation. Incentives, targets, benchmarks, and quality measures, if adequately designed, seem to be important facilitators, and if lacking or inadequate, they are key inhibitors. These are prominent facilitators and inhibitors for P4P and shared savings models but not as prominent for bundled payments. The complexity of the scheme and lack of experience are prominent inhibitors in all VBP models, since all require changes in several areas, such as behavioral, process, and infrastructure.

Payment systems for dialysis and their effects: a scoping review

BACKGROUND

End stage renal disease (ESRD) is a major health concern and a large drain on healthcare resources. A wide range of payment methods are used for management of ESRD. The main aim of this study is to identify current payment methods for dialysis and their effects.

METHOD

In this scoping review Pubmed, Scopus, and Google Scholar were searched from 2000 until 2021 using appropriate search strategies. Retrieved articles were screened according to predefined inclusion criteria. Data about the study characteristics and study results were extracted by a pre-structured data extraction form; and were analyzed by a thematic analysis approach.

RESULTS

Fifty-nine articles were included, the majority of them were published after 2011 (66%); all of them were from high and upper middle-income countries, especially USA (64% of papers). Fee for services, global budget, capitation (bundled) payments, and pay for performance (P4P) were the main reimbursement methods for dialysis centers; and FFS, salary, and capitation were the main methods to reimburse the nephrologists. Countries have usually used a combination of methods depending on their situations; and their methods have been further developed over time specially from the retrospective payment systems (RPS) towards the prospective payment systems (PPS) and pay for performance methods. The main effects of the RPS were undertreatment of unpaid and inexpensive services, and over treatment of payable services. The main effects of the PPS were cost saving, shifting the service cost outside the bundle, change in quality of care, risk of provider, and modality choice.

CONCLUSION

This study provides useful insights about the current payment systems for dialysis and the effects of each payment system; that might be helpful for improving the quality and efficiency of healthcare.

How Does the Effect of the Comprehensive Care for Joint Replacement Model Vary Based on Surgical Volume and Costs of Care?

BACKGROUND

The Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation revised the comprehensive Care for Joint Replacement (CJR) program, a mandatory 90-day bundled payment for lower extremity joint replacement, in December 2017, retaining 34 of the original 67 metropolitan statistical areas with higher volume and historic episode payments.

OBJECTIVES

We describe differences in costs, quality, and patient selection between hospitals that continued to participate compared with those that withdrew from CJR before and after the implementation of CJR.

RESEARCH DESIGN

We used a triple difference approach to compare the magnitude of the policy effect for elective admissions between hospitals that were retained in the CJR revision or not, before and after the implementation of CJR, and compared with hospitals in nonparticipant metropolitan statistical areas.

SUBJECTS

694,275 Medicare beneficiaries undergoing elective lower extremity joint replacement from January 1, 2013 to August 31, 2017.

MEASURES

The treatment effect heterogeneity of CJR.

RESULTS

Hospitals retained in the CJR policy revision had a greater reduction in 90-day episode-of-care cost compared with those that were allowed to discontinue (-$846, 95% CI: -$1,338, -$435) and had greater cost reductions in the more recent year (2017). We also found evidence that retained CJR hospitals disproportionately reduced treating patients who were older than 85 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Hospitals that continued to participate in CJR after the policy revision achieved a greater cost reduction. However, the cost reductions were partly attributed to avoiding potential higher - cost patients, suggesting that a bundled payment policy might induce disparities in care delivery.

Neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage does not predict outcomes or cost after elective shoulder arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

There is growing evidence that the variation in value of shoulder arthroplasty may be mediated by factors external to surgery. We sought to determine if neighborhood-level socioeconomic deprivation is associated with postoperative outcomes and cost among patients undergoing elective shoulder arthroplasty.

METHODS

We identified 380 patients undergoing elective total shoulder arthroplasty (anatomic or reverse) between 2015 and 2018 in our institutional registry with minimum 2-year follow-up. Each patient's home address was mapped to the area deprivation index in order to determine the level of socioeconomic disadvantage. The area deprivation index is a validated composite measure of 17 census variables encompassing income, education, employment, and housing conditions. Patients were categorized into 3 groups based on socioeconomic disadvantage (least disadvantaged [deciles 1-3], middle group [4-6], and most disadvantaged [7-10]). Bivariate analysis was performed to determine associations between the level of socioeconomic deprivation with hospitalization time-driven activity-based costs and 2-year postoperative American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons (ASES) score, Single Assessment Numeric Evaluation (SANE), and pain intensity scores.

RESULTS

Overall 19% of patients were categorized as most disadvantaged. These patients were found to have equivalent preoperative pain intensity (P = .51), SANE (P = .50), and ASES (P = .72) scores compared to the middle and least disadvantaged groups, as well as similar outcome improvement at 2 years postoperatively (ASES): least disadvantaged group [35.7-84.3], middle group [35.1-82.4], and most disadvantaged group [37.1-84.0] [P = .56]; SANE: least disadvantaged group [31.8-87.1], middle group [30.8-84.8], and most disadvantaged group [34.2-85.1] [P = .42]; and pain: least disadvantaged group [6.0-0.97], middle group [6-0.97], and most disadvantaged group [5.6-0.80] [P = .88]. No differences in hospitalization costs were noted between groups (P = .77).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients undergoing elective shoulder arthroplasty residing in the most disadvantaged neighborhoods demonstrate equivalent preoperative and postoperative outcomes as others, without incurring higher costs. These findings support continued efforts to provide equitable access to orthopedic care across the socioeconomic spectrum.

Access to hip arthroplasty and rates of complications in different socioeconomic groups : a review of 111,000 patients in a universal healthcare system

AIMS

Total hip arthroplasty (THA) is one of the most successful surgical procedures. The objectives of this study were to define whether there is a correlation between socioeconomic status (SES) and surgical complications after elective primary unilateral THA, and investigate whether access to elective THA differs within SES groups.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective, population-based cohort study involving 202 hospitals in Ontario, Canada, over a 17-year period. Patients were divided into income quintiles based on postal codes as a proxy for personal economic status. Multivariable logistic regression models were then used to primarily assess the relationship between SES and surgical complications within one year of index THA.

RESULTS

Of 111,359 patients who underwent elective primary THA, those in the lower SES groups had statistically significantly more comorbidities and statistically significantly more postoperative complications. While there was no increase in readmission rates within 90 days, there was a statistically significant difference in the primary and secondary outcomes including all revisions due (with a subset of deep wound infection and dislocation). Results showed that those in the higher SES groups had proportionally more cases performed than those in lower groups. Compared to the highest SES quintile, the lower groups had 61% of the number of hip arthroplasties performed.

CONCLUSION

Patients in lower socioeconomic groups have more comorbidities, fewer absolute number of cases performed, have their procedures performed in lower-volume centres, and ultimately have higher rates of complications. This lack of access and higher rates of complications is a "double hit" to those in lower SES groups, and indicates that we should be concentrating efforts to improve access to surgeons and hospitals where arthroplasty is routinely performed in high numbers. Even in a universal healthcare system where there are no penalties for complications such as readmission, there seems to be an inequality in the access to THA. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(5):589-597.

Patient selection in the Comprehensive Care for Joint Replacement model

OBJECTIVE

To understand whether the Comprehensive Care for Joint Replacement (CJR) program induces participating hospitals to (1) preferentially select lower risk patients, (2) reduce 90-day episode-of-care costs, (3) improve quality of care, and (4) achieve greater cost reduction during its second year, when downside financial risk was applied.

DATA SOURCES

We identified beneficiaries of age 65 years or older undergoing hip or knee joint replacement in the 100% sample of Medicare fee-for-service inpatient (Part A) claims from January 1, 2013 to August 31, 2017. Cases were linked to subsequent outpatient, Part B, home health agency, and skilled nursing facility claims, as well as publicly available participation status for CJR.

STUDY DESIGN

We estimated the effect of CJR for hospitals in the 67 metropolitan statistical areas (MSA) selected to participate in CJR (785 hospitals), compared to those in 104 non-CJR MSAs (962 hospitals; maintaining fee-for-service). A difference-in-differences approach was used to detect patient selection, as well as to compare 90-day episode-of-care costs and quality of care between CJR and non-CJR hospitals over the first two performance years.

DATA COLLECTION

We excluded 172 hospitals from our analysis due to their preexisting BPCI participation. We focused on elective admissions in the main analysis.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

While reductions in 90-day episode-of-care costs were greater among CJR hospitals (-$902, 95% CI: -$1305, -$499), largely driven by a 16.8% (p < 0.01) decline in 90-day spending in skilled nursing facilities, CJR hospitals significantly reduced the 90-day readmission rate (-3.9%; p < 0.05) and preferentially avoided patients aged 85 years or older (-5.9%; p < 0.01) and Black (-7.0%; p < 0.01). Cost reduction was greater in 2017 than in 2016, corresponding to the start of downside risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Participation in CJR was associated with a modest cost reduction and a reduction in 90-day readmission rates; however, we also observed evidence of preferential avoidance of older patients perceived as being higher risk among CJR hospitals.

Is There An Association Between Bundled Payments and "Cherry Picking" and "Lemon Dropping" in Orthopaedic Surgery? A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

The goal of bundled payments-lump monetary sums designed to cover the full set of services needed to provide care for a condition or medical event-is to provide a reimbursement structure that incentivizes improved value for patients. There is concern that such a payment mechanism may lead to patient screening and denying or providing orthopaedic care to patients based on the number and severity of comorbid conditions present associated with complications after surgery. Currently, however, there is no clear consensus about whether such an association exists.

QUESTIONS/PURPOSES

In this systematic review, we asked: (1) Is the implementation of a bundled payment model associated with a change in the sociodemographic characteristics of patients undergoing an orthopaedic procedure? (2) Is the implementation of a bundled payment model associated with a change in the comorbidities and/or case-complexity characteristics of patients undergoing an orthopaedic procedure? (3) Is the implementation of a bundled payment model associated with a change in the recent use of healthcare resources characteristics of patients undergoing an orthopaedic procedure?

METHODS

This systematic review was registered in PROSPERO before data collection (CRD42020189416). Our systematic review included scientific manuscripts published in MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, Econlit, Policyfile, and Google Scholar through March 2020. Of the 30 studies undergoing full-text review, 20 were excluded because they did not evaluate the outcome of interest (patient selection) (n = 8); were editorial, commentary, or review articles (n = 5); did not evaluate the appropriate intervention (introduction of a bundled payment program) (n = 4); or assessed the wrong patient population (not orthopaedic surgery patients) (n = 3). This led to 10 studies included in this systematic review. For each study, patient factors analyzed in the included studies were grouped into the following three categories: sociodemographics, comorbidities and/or case complexity, or recent use of healthcare resources characteristics. Next, each patient factor falling into one of these three categories was examined to evaluate for changes from before to after implementation of a bundled payment initiative. In most cases, studies utilized a difference-in-difference (DID) statistical technique to assess for changes. Determination of whether the bundled payment initiative required mandatory participation or not was also noted. Scientific quality using the Adapted Newcastle-Ottawa Scale had a median (range) score of 8 (7 to 8; highest possible score: 9), and the quality of the total body of evidence for each patient characteristic group was found to be low using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) tool. We could not assess the likelihood of publication using funnel plots because of the variation of patient factors analyzed in each study and the heterogeneity of data precluded a meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Of the nine included studies that reported on the sociodemographic characteristics of patients selected for care, seven showed no change with the implementation of bundled payments, and two demonstrated a difference. Most notably, the studies identified a decrease in the percentage of patients undergoing an orthopaedic operative intervention who were dual-eligible (range DID estimate -0.4% [95% CI -0.75% to -0.1%]; p < 0.05 to DID estimate -1.0% [95% CI -1.7% to -0.2%]; p = 0.01), which means they qualified for both Medicare and Medicaid insurance coverage. Of the 10 included studies that reported on comorbidities and case-complexity characteristics, six reported no change in such characteristics with the implementation of bundled payments, and four studies noted differences. Most notably, one study showed a decrease in the number of treated patients with disabilities (DID estimate -0.6% [95% CI -0.97% to -0.18%]; p < 0.05) compared with before bundled payment implementation, while another demonstrated a lower number of Elixhauser comorbidities for those treated as part of a bundled payment program (before: score of 0-1 in 63.6%, 2-3 in 27.9%, > 3 in 8.5% versus after: score of 0-1 in 50.1%, 2-3 in 38.7%, > 3 in 11.2%; p = 0.033). Of the three included studies that reported on the recent use of healthcare resources of patients, one study found no difference in the use of healthcare resources with the implementation of bundled payments, and two studies did find differences. Both studies found a decrease in patients undergoing operative management who recently received care at a skilled nursing facility (range DID estimate -0.50% [95% CI -1.0% to 0.0%]; p = 0.04 to DID estimate: -0.53% [95% CI -0.96% to -0.10%]; p = 0.01), while one of the studies also found a decrease in patients undergoing operative management who recently received care at an acute care hospital (DID estimate -0.8% [95% CI -1.6% to -0.1%]; p = 0.03) or as part of home healthcare (DID estimate -1.3% [95% CI -2.0% to -0.6%]; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In six of 10 studies in which differences in patient characteristics were detected among those undergoing operative orthopaedic intervention once a bundled payment program was initiated, the effect was found to be minimal (approximately 1% or less). However, our findings still suggest some level of adverse patient selection, potentially worsening health inequities when considered on a large scale. It is also possible that our findings reflect better care, whereby the financial incentives lead to fewer patients with a high risk of complications undergoing surgical intervention and vice versa for patients with a low risk of complications postoperatively. However, this is a fine line, and it may also be that patients with a high risk of complications postoperatively are not being offered surgery enough, while patients at low risk of complications postoperatively are being offered surgery too frequently. Evaluation of the longer-term effect of these preliminary bundled payment programs on patient selection is warranted to determine whether adverse patient selection changes over time as health systems and orthopaedic surgeons become accustomed to such reimbursement models.

Increased severity of anemia is associated with postoperative complications following primary total shoulder arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

Anemia has been demonstrated as a modifiable risk factor for postoperative complications following various types of primary and revision total joint arthroplasties. However, at present, we are not aware of any studies assessing postoperative complications following total shoulder arthroplasty (TSA) in patients with varying severity of anemia. The purpose of this study was to determine the influence of preoperative anemia severity on 30-day postoperative complications following primary TSA.

METHODS

Adult patients undergoing primary TSA from 2012 to 2018 were identified in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. Patients undergoing TSA were substratified into 3 cohorts: nonanemia (hematocrit >36% for women, >39% for men), mild anemia (hematocrit 33%-36% for women, 33%-39% for men), and moderate to severe anemia (hematocrit <33% for both women and men), based on World Health Organization definitions of anemia. In this analysis, 30-day wound, cardiac, pulmonary, renal, and thromboembolic complications, as well as sepsis, mortality, postoperative transfusion, extended length of stay, and reoperation were assessed. Bivariate analyses, including χ² and analysis of variance, and multivariable logistical regression were performed.

RESULTS

Of 13,921 total patients undergoing TSA, 11,330 patients (81.4%) did not have anemia, 1934 (13.9%) had mild anemia, and 657 (4.7%) had moderate to severe anemia. Following adjustment, patients with mild anemia were more likely to have a postoperative blood transfusion (odds ratio [OR] 4.7, P < .001), extended length of stay (OR 1.7, P = .002), and reoperation (OR 1.5, P = .028). Patients with moderate to severe anemia were at increased risk of cardiac complications (OR 3.0, P = .012), pulmonary complications (OR 2.2, P = .015), postoperative blood transfusion (OR 23.8, P < .001), extended length of stay (OR 6.6, P < .001), reoperation (OR 2.2, P = .003), and death (OR 3.8, P = .034).

CONCLUSION

From mild anemia to moderate to severe anemia, there was a stepwise and approximately 2-fold increase in the odds of postoperative complications for patients undergoing primary TSA. Patients with moderate to severe anemia should be medically optimized before they undergo TSA.

Migration Patterns for Revision Total Knee Arthroplasty in the United States as Reported in the American Joint Replacement Registry

BACKGROUND

Revision total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is associated with a higher complication rate and a greater cost when compared to primary TKA. Based on patient choice, referral, or patient transfers, revision TKAs are often performed in different institutions by different surgeons than the primary TKA. The aim of this study is to evaluate the effect of hospital size, teaching status, and revision indication on the migration patterns of failed primary TKA in patients 65 years of age and older.

METHODS

All primary and revision TKAs reported to the American Joint Replacement Registry from January 2012 through March 2020 were included and merged with the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services database. Migration was defined as a patient having a primary TKA and revision TKA performed at separate institutions by different surgeons.

RESULTS

In total, 9167 linked primary and revision TKAs were included in the analysis. Overall migration rates were significantly higher from small (<100 beds; P = .019), non-teaching institutions (P = .002) driven primarily by patients diagnosed with infection. Infection patients had significantly higher migration rates from small (46.8%, P < .001), non-teaching (43.5%, P < .001) institutions, while migration rates for other causes of revision were statistically similar. Most patients migrated to medium or large institutions (84.7%) for revision TKA rather than small institutions (15.3%, P < .001) and to teaching (78.3%) rather than non-teaching institutions (21.7%, P < .001).

CONCLUSION

There is a diagnosis-dependent referral bias that affects the migration rates of infected primary TKA from small non-teaching institutions leading to a flow of more medically complex patients to medium and large teaching institutions for infected revision TKA.

Obesity Increases Risk of Failure to Achieve the 1-Year PROMIS PF-10a Minimal Clinically Important Difference Following Total Joint Arthroplasty

INTRODUCTION

The aims of this study were to determine if increasing body mass index (BMI) is a risk factor for failure to attain the 1-year Patient Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System Physical Function (PROMIS PF-10a) minimal clinically important difference (MCID) following total joint arthroplasty (TJA) and to determine a possible BMI threshold beyond which this risk increases significantly.

METHODS

This retrospective study was performed using 3506 TJAs sourced from a regional-based registry. An anchor-based MCID threshold of 7.9 was chosen. PROMIS PF-10a scores were collected at the preoperative and 1-year postoperative timepoints, and the change was used to determine failure to achieve the 1-year MCID. Demographic and surgical variables were also collected. The association between BMI and failure to achieve 1-year PROMIS PF-10 MCID was then evaluated using logistic regression. A BMI threshold was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

Increasing BMI assessed continuously was a significant risk factor for failure to achieve the MCID (P < .001). "Obese Class I" (30-35 kg/m²), "Obese Class II" (35-40 kg/m²), and "Obese Class III" (>40 kg/m²) subgroups compared to "Normal BMI" (<25 kg/m²) were significantly associated (P < .05) with this adverse outcome as well.

CONCLUSION

Our study showed that increasing BMI is a risk factor for failure to achieve the 1-year PROMIS PF-10a MCID following TJA. Among our patients, an increase in 1 kg/m² increased the risk of failure to achieve the MCID by 2%. With these findings, surgeons will be better equipped to preoperatively advise patients with elevated BMIs considering TJA.

Association of the Comprehensive Care for Joint Replacement Model With Disparities in the Use of Total Hip and Total Knee Replacement

IMPORTANCE

The Comprehensive Care for Joint Replacement (CJR) model is Medicare's mandatory bundled payment reform to improve quality and spending for beneficiaries who need total hip replacement (THR) or total knee replacement (TKR), yet it does not account for sociodemographic risk factors such as race/ethnicity and income. Results of this study could be the basis for a Medicare payment reform that addresses inequities in joint replacement care.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association of the CJR model with racial/ethnic and socioeconomic disparities in the use of elective THR and TKR among older Medicare beneficiaries after accounting for the population of patients who were at risk or eligible for these surgical procedures.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study used the 2013 to 2017 national Medicare data and multivariable logistic regressions with triple-differences estimation. Medicare beneficiaries who were aged 65 to 99 years, entitled to Medicare, alive at the end of the calendar year, and residing either in the 67 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) mandated to participate in the CJR model or in the 104 control MSAs were identified. A subset of Medicare beneficiaries with a diagnosis of arthritis underwent THR or TKR. Data were analyzed from March to December 2020.

EXPOSURES

Implementation of the CJR model in 2016.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Outcomes were separate binary indicators for whether a beneficiary underwent THR or TKR. Key independent variables were MSA treatment status, pre- or post-CJR model implementation phase, combination of race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, and Hispanic beneficiaries) and dual eligibility, and their interactions. Logistic regression models were used to control for patient characteristics, MSA fixed effects, and time trends.

RESULTS

The 2013 cohort included 4 447 205 Medicare beneficiaries, of which 2 025 357 (45.5%) resided in MSAs with the CJR model. The cohort's mean (SD) age was 77.18 (7.95) years, and it was composed of 2 951 140 female (66.4%), 3 928 432 non-Hispanic White (88.3%), and 657 073 dually eligible (14.8%) beneficiaries. Before the CJR model implementation, rates were highest among non-Hispanic White non-dual-eligible beneficiaries at 1.25% (95% CI, 1.24%-1.26%) for THR use and 2.28% (95% CI, 2.26%-2.29%) for TKR use in MSAs with CJR model. Compared with MSAs without the CJR model and the analogous race/ethnicity and dual-eligibility group, the CJR model was associated with a 0.10 (95% CI, 0.05-0.15; P < .001) percentage-point increase in TKR use for non-Hispanic White non-dual-eligible beneficiaries, a 0.11 (95% CI, 0.004-0.21; P = .04) percentage-point increase for non-Hispanic White dual-eligible beneficiaries, a 0.15 (95% CI, -0.29 to -0.01; P = .04) percentage-point decrease for non-Hispanic Black non-dual-eligible beneficiaries, and a 0.18 (95% CI, -0.34 to -0.01; P = .03) percentage-point decrease for non-Hispanic Black dual-eligible beneficiaries. These CJR model-associated changes in TKR use were 0.25 (95% CI, -0.40 to -0.10; P = .001) percentage points lower for non-Hispanic Black non-dual-eligible beneficiaries and 0.27 (95% CI, -0.45 to -0.10; P = .002) percentage points lower for non-Hispanic Black dual-eligible beneficiaries compared with the model-associated changes for non-Hispanic White non-dual-eligible beneficiaries. No association was found between the CJR model and a widening of the THR use gap among race/ethnicity and dual eligibility groups.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Results of this study indicate that the CJR model was associated with a modest increase in the already substantial difference in TKR use among non-Hispanic Black vs non-Hispanic White beneficiaries; no difference was found for THR. These findings support the widespread concern that payment reform has the potential to exacerbate disparities in access to joint replacement care.

The Effect of Medicare's Bundled Payments for Care Initiative on Patient Risk Factors Prior to Total Knee Arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

Medicare's Bundled Payments for Care Initiative (BPCI) is a risk-sharing alternative payment model. There is a concern that BPCI providers may avoid operating on obese patients and active smokers to reduce costs. We sought to understand if increased focus on these patient factors has led to a change in patient demographics in Medicare-insured patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty (TKA).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed all patients who underwent TKA at an academic orthopedic specialty hospital between 1/1/13 and 8/31/19. Surgical date, insurance provider, BMI, and smoking status were collected. Patients were categorized as a current, former, or never smoker. Patients were categorized as obese if their BMI was >30 kg/m², morbidly obese if their BMI was >40 kg/m², and super obese if their BMI was >50 kg/m².

RESULTS

In total, 10,979 patients with complete insurance information were analyzed. There was no statistically significant change in the proportion of Medicare patients who were active smokers (4.34% in 2013, 4.85% in 2019, Pearson correlation coefficient = 0.6092, P = .146). The proportion of Medicare patients with BMI >30 kg/m² increased over the study period (35.84% in 2013, 55.77% in 2019, Pearson correlation coefficient = 0.8505, P = .015). When looking at patients with BMI >40 kg/m² and >50 kg/m², there was no significant change.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite concern that reimbursement payments could alter access to care for patients with certain risk factors, this study did not find a noticeable difference in the representation of patients with obesity and smoking status undergoing TKA following the installation of BPCI.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III, retrospective observational analysis.

Natural Language Processing of Patient-Experience Comments After Primary Total Knee Arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

There is interest in improving patient experience after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) due to recent shifts toward value-based medicine. Patient narratives are a valuable but unexplored source of information.

METHODS

Records of 319 patients who had undergone primary TKA between August 2016 and August 2019 were linked with vendor-supplied patient satisfaction data, which included patient comments and the Press Ganey satisfaction survey. Using machine-learning-based natural language processing, 1048 patient comments were analyzed for sentiment and classified into themes. Postoperative outcomes, patient-reported outcome measures, and traditional measures of satisfaction were compared between patients who provided a negative comment vs those who did not (positive, neutral, mixed grouped together). Multivariable regression was used to determine perioperative variables associated with providing a negative comment.

RESULTS

Of the 1048 patient comments, 25% were negative, 58% were positive, 8% were mixed, and 9% were neutral. Top 2 themes of negative comments were room condition (25%) and inefficient communication (23%). There were no differences in most of the studied outcomes (eg, peak pain intensity, length of stay, or Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score Junior and pain scores at 6-week follow-up) between the 2 cohorts (P > .05). However, patients who made negative comments were less likely to highly recommend their hospital care to peers (P < .001). Finally, patients who had higher American Society of Anesthesiologists Score and those who received a scopolamine patch were more likely to provide negative comments (P < .05).

CONCLUSION

Although the current study showed that patient satisfaction might not be a proxy for traditional objective perioperative outcomes, efforts to improve the nontechnical aspects of medicine are still crucial in providing patient-centered care.