Prognostic factors for patients treated with abiraterone

The prognostic value of Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status on overall survival among patients with metastatic prostate cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

There is heterogeneity in the literature regarding the strength of association between Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) and mortality. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting the prognostic value of ECOG PS on overall survival (OS) in metastatic prostate cancer (mPC).

Methods

PubMed was searched from inception to March 21, 2022. A meta-analysis pooling the effect of ECOG PS categories (≥2 vs. <2, 2 vs. <2, and ≥1 vs. <1) on OS was performed separately for studies including patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) and metastatic castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC) using a random-effects model. Analyses were stratified by prior chemotherapy and study type.

Results

Overall, 75 studies, comprising 32,298 patients, were included. Most studies (72/75) included patients with mCRPC. Higher ECOG PS was associated with a significant increase in mortality risk, with the highest estimate observed among patients with mCRPC with an ECOG PS of ≥2 versus <2 (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.10, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.87-2.37). When stratifying by study type, there was a higher risk estimate of mortality among patients with mCRPC with an ECOG PS of ≥1 versus <1 in real-world data studies (HR: 1.98, 95% CI: 1.72-2.26) compared with clinical trials (HR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.13-1.54; p < 0.001). There were no significant differences in the HR of OS stratified by previous chemotherapy.

Conclusion

ECOG PS was a significant predictor of OS regardless of category, previous chemotherapy, and mPC population. Additional studies are needed to better characterize the effect of ECOG PS on OS in mCSPC.

PSA Kinetics as Prognostic Markers of Overall Survival in Patients with Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer Treated with Abiraterone Acetate

Background

Abiraterone acetate (AA) is widely used in the treatment of patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). However, a significant percentage of patients will still progress, highlighting the need to identify patients more likely to benefit from AA. Parameters linked to prostate-specific antigen (PSA) kinetics are promising prognostic markers. We have examined clinical and PSA-related factors potentially associated with overall survival (OS) in patients treated with AA.

Methods

Between 2011 and 2014, 104 patients with mCRPC treated with AA after progression to docetaxel at centers of the Catalan Institute of Oncology were included in this retrospective study. Patients were assessed monthly. Baseline characteristics and variables related to PSA kinetics were included in univariate and multivariate analyses of OS.

Results

Median OS was 16.4 months (range 12.4-20.6) for all patients. The univariate analysis identified the following baseline characteristics as significantly associated with OS: ECOG PS, location of metastases, time between starting androgen deprivation therapy and starting AA, time between stopping docetaxel treatment and starting AA, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), alkaline phosphatase levels, and PSA levels. Factors related to PSA kinetics associated with longer OS were PSA response >50%, early PSA response (>30% decline at four weeks), PSA decline >50% at week 12, PSA nadir <2.4ng/mL, time to PSA nadir >140 days, the combination of PSA nadir and time to PSA nadir, and low end-of-treatment PSA levels. The multivariate analysis identified ECOG PS (HR 37.46; p<0.001), NLR (HR 3.7; p<0.001), early PSA response (HR 1.22; p=0.002), and time to PSA nadir (HR 0.39; p=0.002) as independent prognostic markers.

Conclusion

Our results indicate an association between PSA kinetics, especially early PSA response, and outcome to AA after progression to docetaxel. Taken together with other factors, lack of an early PSA response could identify patients who are unlikely to benefit from AA and who could be closely monitored with a view to offering alternative therapies.

Clinical implication of prognostic and predictive biomarkers for castration-resistant prostate cancer: a systematic review

Background

Diagnosis of metastatic castrate resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) with current biomarkers is difficult and often results in unnecessary invasive procedures as well as over-diagnosis and over-treatment. There are a number of prognostic biomarkers for CRPC, but there are no validated predictive biomarkers to guide in clinical decision-making. Specific biomarkers are needed that enable to understand the natural history and complex biology of this heterogeneous malignancy, identify early response to treatment outcomes and to identify the population of men most likely to benefit from the treatment. In this systematic review, we discuss the existing literature for the role of biomarkers in CRPC and how they aid in the prognosis, treatment selection and survival outcomes.

Methods

We performed a literature search on PubMed and EMBASE databases from January 2015 through February 2020 in accordance to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis guidelines. Articles were assessed to identify relevant observational studies and randomized controlled trials regarding biomarkers which aid in identifying progression to mCRPC as well as predictive biomarkers which help in treatment selection.

Results

We identified 3640 number of hits of which 58 articles were found to be relevant. Here we addressed biomarkers in the context of prognosis, prediction and patient selection of therapy. These biomarkers were found to be effective as prognostic or predictive factors under variety of conditions. The higher levels for all these biomarkers were associated with shorter median OS and sometimes PFS. Lower amounts of biomarkers in serum or urine were associated with prolonged survival outcomes, longer time to CRPC development or CRPC progression and longer median follow-up irrespective of any therapy.

Conclusion

We observed that the biomarkers included in our study predicted clinically relevant survival outcomes and treatment exposure. Though the current biomarkers are prognostic when measured prior to initiating treatment, not all are validated as predictive markers in post treatment setting. A greater understanding of biomarkers in CRPC is need of the hour for development of more personalized approach to maximize benefit and minimize harm in men with CRPC.