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Zhang W, Zhou Y, Xu L, Qiu C, Luo Z, Jiang Z, Tao X, Wu Y, Yao S, Huang H, Wang X, Yang Y, Lin R. Development and validation of radiology-clinical statistical and machine learning model for stroke-associated pneumonia after first intracerebral haemorrhage. BMC Pulm Med 2024; 24:357. [PMID: 39048959 PMCID: PMC11267827 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-024-03160-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2023] [Accepted: 07/11/2024] [Indexed: 07/27/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Society is burdened with stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) after intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH). Cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) complicates clinical manifestations of stroke. In this study, we redefined the CSVD burden score and incorporated it into a novel radiological-clinical prediction model for SAP. MATERIALS AND METHODS A total of 1278 patients admitted to a tertiary hospital between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2019 were included. The participants were divided into training and testing groups using fivefold cross-validation method. Four models, two traditional statistical models (logistic regression and ISAN) and two machine learning models (random forest and support vector machine), were established and evaluated. The outcomes and baseline characteristics were compared between the SAP and non-SAP groups. RESULTS Among the of 1278 patients, 281(22.0%) developed SAP after their first ICH. Multivariate analysis revealed that the logistic regression (LR) model was superior in predicting SAP in both the training and testing groups. Independent predictors of SAP after ICH included total CSVD burden score (OR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.03-1.54), haematoma extension into ventricle (OR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.87-3.31), haematoma with multilobar involvement (OR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.44-3.18), transpharyngeal intubation operation (OR, 3.89; 95% CI, 2.7-5.62), admission NIHSS score ≥ 10 (OR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.42-3.01), male sex (OR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.16-2.52), and age ≥ 67 (OR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.56-3.22). The patients in the SAP group had worse outcomes than those in the non-SAP group. CONCLUSION This study established a clinically combined imaging model for predicting stroke-associated pneumonia and demonstrated superior performance compared with the existing ISAN model. Given the poor outcomes observed in patients with SAP, the use of individualised predictive nomograms is vital in clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenru Zhang
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Ying Zhou
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Liuhui Xu
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Chaomin Qiu
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Zhixian Luo
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | | | - Xinyi Tao
- Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Yingjie Wu
- Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Shishi Yao
- Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Hang Huang
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Xinshi Wang
- Department of Neurology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
- Key Laboratory of Alzheimer's Disease of Zhejiang Province, Institute of Aging, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Yunjun Yang
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Ru Lin
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China.
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Luo H, Li J, Chen Y, Wu B, Liu J, Han M, Wu Y, Jia W, Yu P, Cheng R, Wang X, Ke J, Xian H, Tu J, Yi Y. Feasibility of a clinical-radiomics combined model to predict the occurrence of stroke-associated pneumonia. BMC Neurol 2024; 24:45. [PMID: 38273251 PMCID: PMC10809767 DOI: 10.1186/s12883-024-03532-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/17/2023] [Accepted: 01/08/2024] [Indexed: 01/27/2024] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE To explore the predictive value of radiomics in predicting stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients and construct a prediction model based on clinical features and DWI-MRI radiomics features. METHODS Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify the independent clinical predictors for SAP. Pearson correlation analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator with ten-fold cross-validation were used to calculate the radiomics score for each feature and identify the predictive radiomics features for SAP. Multivariate logistic regression was used to combine the predictive radiomics features with the independent clinical predictors. The prediction performance of the SAP models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristics (ROC), calibration curves, decision curve analysis, and subgroup analyses. RESULTS Triglycerides, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, dysphagia, the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, and internal carotid artery stenosis were identified as clinically independent risk factors for SAP. The radiomics scores in patients with SAP were generally higher than in patients without SAP (P < 0. 05). There was a linear positive correlation between radiomics scores and NIHSS scores, as well as between radiomics scores and infarct volume. Infarct volume showed moderate performance in predicting the occurrence of SAP, with an AUC of 0.635. When compared with the other models, the combined prediction model achieved the best area under the ROC (AUC) in both training (AUC = 0.859, 95% CI 0.759-0.936) and validation (AUC = 0.830, 95% CI 0.758-0.896) cohorts (P < 0.05). The calibration curves and decision curve analysis further confirmed the clinical value of the nomogram. Subgroup analysis showed that this nomogram had potential generalization ability. CONCLUSION The addition of the radiomics features to the clinical model improved the prediction of SAP in AIS patients, which verified its feasibility.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haowen Luo
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
| | - Jingyi Li
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
- School of Public Health, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Yongsen Chen
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
- School of Public Health, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Bin Wu
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
- School of Public Health, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Jianmo Liu
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
| | - Mengqi Han
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
- School of Public Health, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Yifan Wu
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
- School of Public Health, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Weijie Jia
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
- School of Public Health, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Pengfei Yu
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
| | - Rui Cheng
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
- School of Public Health, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Xiaoman Wang
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
- School of Public Health, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Jingyao Ke
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
- School of Public Health, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Hongfei Xian
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China
- School of Public Health, Jiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Preventive Medicine, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Jianglong Tu
- Department of Neurology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China.
| | - Yingping Yi
- Department of Medical Big Data Research Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, 1MinDe Road, Nanchang, 330006, P.R. China.
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Yu Y, Xia T, Tan Z, Xia H, He S, Sun H, Wang X, Song H, Chen W. A2DS2 Score Combined With Clinical and Neuroimaging Factors Better Predicts Stroke-Associated Pneumonia in Hyperacute Cerebral Infarction. Front Neurol 2022; 13:800614. [PMID: 35185764 PMCID: PMC8855060 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2022.800614] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2021] [Accepted: 01/04/2022] [Indexed: 12/01/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective To investigate the predictors of stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) and poor functional outcome in patients with hyperacute cerebral infarction (HCI) by combining clinical factors, laboratory tests and neuroimaging features. Methods We included 205 patients with HCI from November 2018 to December 2019. The diagnostic criterion for SAP was occurrence within 7 days of the onset of stroke. Poor outcome was defined as a functional outcome based on a 3-months MRS score >3. The relationship of demographic, laboratory and neuroimaging variables with SAP and poor outcome was investigated using univariate and multivariate analyses. Results Fifty seven (27.8%) patients were diagnosed with SAP and 40 (19.5%) developed poor outcomes. A2DS2 score (OR = 1.284; 95% CI: 1.048–1.574; P = 0.016), previous stroke (OR = 2.630; 95% CI: 1.122–6.163; P = 0.026), consciousness (OR = 2.945; 95% CI: 1.514–5.729; P < 0.001), brain atrophy (OR = 1.427; 95% CI: 1.040–1.959; P = 0.028), and core infarct volume (OR = 1.715; 95% CI: 1.163–2.528; P = 0.006) were independently associated with the occurrence of SAP. Therefore, we combined these variables into a new SAP prediction model with the C-statistic of 0.84 (95% CI: 0.78–0.90). Fasting plasma glucose (OR = 1.404; 95% CI: 1.202–1.640; P < 0.001), NIHSS score (OR = 1.088; 95% CI: 1.010–1.172; P = 0.026), previous stroke (OR = 4.333; 95% CI: 1.645–11.418; P = 0.003), SAP (OR = 3.420; 95% CI: 1.332–8.787; P = 0.011), basal ganglia-dilated perivascular spaces (BG-dPVS) (OR = 2.124; 95% CI: 1.313–3.436; P = 0.002), and core infarct volume (OR = 1.680; 95% CI: 1.166–2.420; P = 0.005) were independently associated with poor outcome. The C-statistic of the outcome model was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.81–0.94). Furthermore, the SAP model significantly improved discrimination and net benefit more than the A2DS2 scale, with a C-statistic of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.69–0.83). Conclusions After the addition of neuroimaging features, the models exhibit good differentiation and calibration for the prediction of the occurrence of SAP and the development of poor outcomes in HCI patients. The SAP model could better predict the SAP, representing a helpful and valid tool to obtain a net benefit compared with the A2DS2 scale.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yaoyao Yu
- Radiology Imaging Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Tianyi Xia
- Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School of Southeast University, Nanjing, China
| | - Zhouli Tan
- Radiology Imaging Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Huwei Xia
- Radiology Imaging Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Shenping He
- Radiology Imaging Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Han Sun
- Radiology Imaging Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Xifan Wang
- Radiology Imaging Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Haolan Song
- Radiology Imaging Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
| | - Weijian Chen
- Radiology Imaging Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China
- *Correspondence: Weijian Chen
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