Development and validation of a prognostic score predicting recurrence in resected combined hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma

Combined hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma: A clinicopathological update

Combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA) is a rare primary liver cancer associated with an appalling prognosis. The diagnosis and management of this entity have been challenging to physicians, radiologists, surgeons, pathologists, and oncologists alike. The diagnostic and prognostic value of biomarkers such as the immunohistochemical expression of nestin, a progenitor cell marker, have been explored recently. With a better understanding of biology and the clinical course of cHCC-CCA, newer treatment modalities like immune checkpoint inhibitors are being tried to improve the survival of patients with this rare disease. In this review, we give an account of the recent developments in the pathology, diagnostic approach, and management of cHCC-CCA.

Nomogram based on clinical and preoperative CT features for predicting the early recurrence of combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma: a multicenter study

PURPOSE

To establish and validate a multiparameter prediction model for early recurrence after radical resection in patients diagnosed with combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study reviewed the clinical characteristics and preoperative CT images of 143 cHCC-CC patients who underwent radical resection from three institutions. A total of 110 patients from institution 1 were randomly divided into training set (n = 78) and testing set (n = 32) in the ratio of 7-3. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to construct a nomogram prediction model in the training set, which was internally and externally validated in the testing set and the validation set (n = 33) from institutions 2 and 3. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics (ROC), decision curve analysis (DCA), and calibration analysis were used to evaluate the model's performance.

RESULTS

The combined model demonstrated superior predictive performance compared to the clinical model, the CT model, the pathological model and the clinic-CT model in predicting the early postoperative recurrence. The nomogram based on the combined model included AST, ALP, tumor size, tumor margin, arterial phase peritumoral enhancement, and MVI (Microvascular invasion). The model had AUCs of 0.89 (95% CI 0.81-0.96), 0.85 (95% CI 0.70-0.99), and 0.86 (95% CI 0.72-1.00) in the training, testing, and validation sets, respectively, indicating high predictive power. DCA showed that the combined model had good clinical value and correction effect.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram incorporating clinical characteristics and preoperative CT features can be utilized to effectively predict the early postoperative recurrence in patients with cHCC-CC.

Prognostic significance of three-tiered pathological classification for microvascular invasion in patients with combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma following hepatic resection

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Previous studies have reported that the microvascular invasion three-tiered grading (MiVI-TTG) scheme is a better prognostic predictor than the two-tiered microvascular invasion (MiVI) grading scheme in hepatocellular carcinoma. This study aims to explore the prognostic significance of MiVI-TTG in patients undergoing liver resection for combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC) and to explore the risk factors for MiVI in cHCC.

METHODS

This research included 208 patients graded as M0, M1, or M2 using the MiVI-TTG scheme. Predictive performance was assessed by Cox regression analysis, Kaplan-Meier curve with Log rank test, Harrell's c-index, and time-dependent areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (tdAUC). The clinical utility of the two schemes was evaluated by decision cure analysis (DCA). The risk factors for MiVI were evaluated using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Among 208 cHCC patients, the proportions of M0, M1 and M2 were 38.9%, 36.5%, and 24.5%, respectively. Patients with severe MiVI status had worse recurrence-free survival and overall survival (OS) based on Kaplan-Meier analysis. M1, M2, and MiVI-positive were independent risk factors for early recurrence, while M2 and MiVI-positive were associated with overall survival (OS). MiVI-TTG had a larger c-index, tdAUC, and net benefit rate than the two-tiered MiVI grading scheme for predicting recurrence free survival and OS. AFP≥400 ng/ml was the independent risk factor for MiVI, and satellite nodules were independent risk factors for M2.

CONCLUSIONS

MiVI-TTG has a greater prognostic value than the two-tiered MiVI grading scheme in patients undergoing hepatic resection for cHCC.

Perioperative and oncologic outcomes of laparoscopic versus open liver resection for combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma: a propensity score matching analysis

BACKGROUND

Laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) has now been established as a safe and minimally invasive technique that is deemed feasible for treating hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). However, the role of LLR in treating combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CC) patients has been rarely reported. This study aimed to assess the efficacy of LLR when compared with open liver resection (OLR) procedure for patients with cHCC-CC.

METHODS

A total of 229 cHCC-CC patients who underwent hepatic resection (34 LLR and 195 OLR patients) from January 2014 to December 2018 in Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University were enrolled and underwent a 1:2 propensity score matching (PSM) analysis between the LLR and OLR groups to compare perioperative and oncologic outcomes. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) parameters were assessed by the log-rank test and the sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 34 LLR and 68 OLR patients were included after PSM analysis. The LLR group displayed a shorter postoperative hospital stay (6.61 vs. 8.26 days; p value < 0.001) when compared with the OLR group. No significant differences were observed in the postoperative complications' incidence or a negative surgical margin rate between the two groups (p value = 0.409 and p value = 1.000, respectively). The aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and inflammatory indicators in the LLR group were significantly lower than those in the OLR group on the first and third postoperative days. Additionally, OS and RFS were comparable in both the LLR and OLR groups (p value = 0.700 and p value = 0.780, respectively), and similar results were obtained by conducting a sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSION

LLR can impart less liver function damage, better inflammatory response attenuation contributing to a faster recovery, and parallel oncologic outcomes when compared with OLR. Therefore, LLR can be recommended as a safe and effective therapeutic modality for treating selected cHCC-CC patients, especially for those with small tumors in favorable location.

Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound-Based Nomogram: A Potential Predictor of Individually Postoperative Early Recurrence for Patients With Combined Hepatocellular-Cholangiocarcinoma

PURPOSES

To evaluate the postsurgical prognostic implication of contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) for combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (CHC). To build a CEUS-based early recurrence prediction classifier for CHC, in comparison with tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging.

METHODS

The CEUS features and clinicopathological findings of each case were analyzed, and the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System categories were assigned. The recurrence-free survival associated factors were evaluated by Cox proportional hazard model. Incorporating the independent factors, nomograms were built to estimate the possibilities of 3-month, 6-month, and 1-year recurrence and whose prognostic value was determined by time-dependent receiver operating characteristics, calibration curves, and hazard layering efficiency validation, comparing with TNM staging system.

RESULTS

In the multivariable analysis, the levels of carbohydrate antigen 19-9, prothrombin time and total bilirubin, and tumor shape, the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System category were independent factors for recurrence-free survival. The LR-M category showed longer recurrence-free survival than did the LR-4/5 category. The 3-month, 6-month, and 1-year area under the curves of the CEUS-clinical nomogram, clinical nomogram, and TNM staging system were 0.518, 0.552, and 0.843 versus 0.354, 0.240, and 0.624 (P = .048, .049, and .471) vs. 0.562, 0.545, and 0.843 (P = .630, .564, and .007), respectively. The calibration curves of the CEUS-clinical model at different prediction time pionts were all close to the ideal line. The CEUS-clinical model effectively stratified patients into groups of high and low risk of recurrence in both training and validation set, while the TNM staging system only works on the training set.

CONCLUSIONS

Our CEUS-clinical nomogram is a reliable early recurrence prediction tool for hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma and helps postoperative risk stratification.

Development and validation of nomogram to predict very early recurrence of combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma after hepatic resection: a multi-institutional study

Background and objectives

Combined hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC) has a high incidence of early recurrence. The objective of this study is to construct a model predicting very early recurrence (VER) (i.e., recurrence within 6 months after surgery) of cHCC.

Methods

One hundred thirty-one consecutive patients from Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital served as a development cohort to construct a nomogram predicting VER by using multi-variable logistic regression analysis. The model was internally and externally validated in a validation cohort of 90 patients from Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital using the C concordance statistic, calibration analysis, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

The VER nomogram contains microvascular invasion (MiVI), macrovascular invasion (MaVI), and CA19-9 > 25 mAU/mL. The model shows good discrimination with C-indexes of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.69–0.85) and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.66–0.86) in the development cohort and validation cohort respectively. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model is clinically useful and the calibration of our model was favorable. Our model stratified patients into two different risk groups, which exhibited significantly different VER.

Conclusions

Our model demonstrated favorable performance in predicting VER in cHCC patients.

Morbidity, Prognostic Factors, and Competing Risk Nomogram for Combined Hepatocellular-Cholangiocarcinoma

Background

Combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (CHC) is a rare and heterogeneous histological subtype of primary liver cancer, which is still poorly understood. This study aimed to describe the epidemiological and clinical features, investigate the prognostic indicators, and develop a competing risk nomogram for CHC.

Methods

The study cohort was taken from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The annual percent change (APC) in incidence was calculated using the joinpoint regression. The nomogram was developed based on multivariate competing risk survival analyses and validated by calibration curves. Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, Harrell's C-index, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curves were obtained to compare prognostic performance. Decision curve analysis was introduced to examine the clinical value of the models.

Results

The overall incidence of CHC was 0.062 per 100,000 individuals in 2004 and 0.081 per 100,000 individuals in 2018, with an APC of 1.0% (P > 0.05). CHC displayed intermediate clinicopathological features of hepatocellular carcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. Race, tumor size, vascular invasion, extrahepatic invasion, distant metastasis, grade, surgery, and Metavir stage were confirmed as the independent predictors of cancer-specific survival. The constructed nomogram was well calibrated, which showed better discrimination power and higher net benefits than the current American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system. Patients with liver transplantation had better survival than those with hepatectomy, especially patients within the Milan Criteria (P=0.022 and P=0.015). There was no survival difference between liver transplantation and hepatectomy in patients beyond the Milan Criteria (P=0.340).

Conclusion

The morbidity of CHC remained stable between 2004 and 2018. The constructed nomogram could predict the prognosis with good performance, which was meaningful to individual treatment strategies optimization. CHC patients should also be considered as potential liver transplantation recipients, especially those within the Milan Criteria, but the finding still needs more evidence to be further confirmed.

Elevated preoperative CA125 levels predicts poor prognosis of hilar cholangiocarcinoma receiving radical surgery

BACKGROUND

Preoperative serum carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) is used to judge the diagnosis and prognosis of various tumors. However, the relationship between preoperative serum CA125 and prognosis of hilar cholangiocarcinoma (HCCA) has not been proven. This study aims to evaluate preoperative serum CA125 in predicting the prognosis of HCCA after resection.

METHODS

A total of 233 patients after radical resection of HCCA were included. The associations between the levels of preoperative serum CA125 and the clinicopathological characteristics of patients were analyzed. Survival curves were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were used to identify independent risk factors associated with recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Among 233 patients, 198 (84.97%) with normal CA125 levels (≤35 U/mL) had better OS and RFS than 35 (15.02%) patients with higher CA125 levels (>35 U/mL). Preoperative serum CA125 was significantly correlated with tumor size, Bismuth-Corlette classification, microvascular invasion and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) (p < 0.001, p = 0.040, p = 0.019 and p = 0.042, respectively). The results of multivariable Cox regression showed that preoperative serum CA125 >35 U/mL (p = 0.002, HR = 1.910 for OS; p = 0.006, HR = 1.755 for RFS), tumor classification (p < 0.001, HR = 2.110 for OS; p = 0.006, HR = 1.730 for RFS), lymph node metastasis (p < 0.001, HR = 1.795 for OS; p < 0.001, HR = 1.842 for RFS) and major vascular invasion (p = 0.002, HR = 1.639 for OS; p = 0.005, HR = 1.547 for RFS) were independent risk factors for both OS and RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative serum CA125 is a good tumor marker for predicting prognosis after radical surgery for HCCA.

Quality and performance of validated prognostic models for survival after resection of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The objective of this systematic review was to evaluate the performance of prognostic survival models for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) when validated in an external dataset. Furthermore, it sought to identify common prognostic factors across models, and assess methodological quality of the studies in which the models were developed.

METHODS

The PRISMA guidelines were followed. External validation studies of prognostic models for patients with iCCA were searched in 5 databases. Model performance was assessed by discrimination and calibration.

RESULTS

Thirteen external validation studies were identified, validating 18 different prognostic models. The Wang model was the sole model with good performance (C-index above 0.70) for overall survival. This model incorporated tumor size and number, lymph node metastasis, direct invasion into surrounding tissue, vascular invasion, Carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9, and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). Methodological quality was poor in 11/12 statistical models. The Wang model had the highest score with 13 out of 17 points.

CONCLUSION

The Wang model for prognosis after resection of iCCA has good quality and good performance at external validation, while most prognostic models for iCCA have been developed with poor methodological quality and show poor performance at external validation.

Clinicopathological features and recurrence patterns of combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma

Background

Combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA) is a primary liver carcinoma with both hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) components. We examined the clinicopathological characteristics and recurrence patterns of cHCC-CCA. Because of the rarity of cHCC-CCA, its etiology, clinicopathological features, and prognosis in comparison with other primary liver carcinoma remain unknown. Its recurrence pattern and sites in particular also need to be elucidated.

Methods

All patients who underwent hepatectomy for primary liver malignancies between 2005 and 2015 were retrospectively included in this study.

Results

Eight hundred and ninety-four hepatectomies were performed. Nineteen cases of cHCC-CCA (2.1%) in 16 patients were enrolled. Three patients underwent re-hepatectomy. The background of hepatitis viruses and tumor marker patterns of cHCC-CCA were similar to those of HCC and dissimilar to those of intrahepatic CCA (iCCA). Biliary invasion was common in cHCC-CCA and iCCA. The 5-year overall survival values of the cHCC-CCA, HCC, and iCCA patients were 44.7%, 56.6%, and 38.5%, respectively. The 5-year recurrence-free survival values of the cHCC-CCA, HCC, and iCCA patients were 12.2%, 28.7%, and 32.9%, respectively. The liver was the most common recurrence site. Unlike HCC, however, the lymph node was the second-most common recurrence site in both cHCC-CCA and iCCA. Pathological samples of the recurrent lesions were obtained in six patients, and four had cHCC-CCA recurrence pathologically.

Conclusion

cHCC-CCA had a mixture of characteristics of HCC and iCCA. Many cases of cHCC-CCA remained cHCC-CCA pathologically even after recurrence.

Integrated nomograms to predict overall survival and recurrence-free survival in patients with combined hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC) after liver resection

The current clinical classification of primary liver cancer is unable to efficiently predict the prognosis of combined hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC). Accurate satellite nodules (SAT) and microvascular invasion (MVI) prediction in cHCC patients is very important for treatment decision making and prognostic evaluation. The aim of this work was to explore important factors affecting the prognosis of cHCC patients after liver resection and to develop preoperative nomograms to predict SAT and MVI in cHCC patients. The nomogram was developed using the data from 148 patients who underwent liver resection for cHCC patients at our hospital between January 2006 and December 2014. Based on the results of the multivariate analysis, a nomogram integrating all significant independent factors affecting overall survival and recurrence-free survival was constructed to predict the prognosis of cHCC. Next, risk factors for SAT and MVI were evaluated with logistic regression. Blood signatures were established using the LASSO regression, and then, we combined the clinical risk factors and blood signatures of the patients to establish predictive models for SAT and MVI. The C-index of the nomogram for predicting survival was 0.685 (95% CI, 0.638 to 0.732), which was significantly higher than the C-index for other liver cancer classification systems.

Checkpoint Inhibition Causing Complete Remission of Metastatic Combined Hepatocellular-Cholangiocarcinoma after Hepatic Resection

Combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (CHC) is a rare type of primary liver cancer, speculated to arise from hepatic progenitor cells, and with a worse prognosis than hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels may be one prognostic factor. It has been suggested that checkpoint inhibition might be useful in the treatment of HCC where there is an increased expression of PD-1 and PD-L1 in the microenvironment. Its effect on CHC is unknown. We report a case with a large CHC, which was radically resected, but the 53-year-old female patient subsequently developed pulmonary metastases. Histology demonstrated low-differentiated CHC without microsatellite instability. Treatment with sorafenib was started but was stopped due to angioedema. Under subsequent gemcitabine/cisplatin treatment, the metastatic disease progressed with rising AFP levels. A third-line treatment with pembrolizumab was then started, 2 mg/kg b.w. i.v. every third week for 6 months. This resulted in a radiologically complete remission of the pulmonary metastases and AFP levels were normalized (<10 μg/L) from a level of 1,790 μg/L before treatment. The patient developed immune-related adverse events (AEs) including diarrhea and hepatitis. These AEs were successfully treated with prednisolone and mycophenolate mofetil, and they were eventually resolved. There are no signs of cancer recurrence neither in the liver nor in the lungs at 33 months after the start of the checkpoint inhibition treatment, and the patient is doing well. Further study is urgently needed on the role of checkpoint inhibition therapy in liver cancer.

Treatment of Combined Hepatocellular and Cholangiocarcinoma

Combined hepatocellular and cholangiocarcinoma (HCC-CC) is a rare primary liver cancer. It is constituted by neoplastic cells of both hepatocellular and cholangiocellular derivation. Different histology types of HCC-CC have been reported, hinting at heterogeneous carcinogenic pathways leading to the development of this cancer. Due to its rarity and complexity, mixed HCC-CC is a scantly investigated condition with unmet needs and unsatisfactory outcomes. Surgery remains the preferred treatment in resectable patients. The risk of recurrence, however, is high, especially in comparison with other primary liver cancers such as hepatocellular carcinoma. In unresectable or recurring patients, the therapeutic options are challenging due to the dual nature of the neoplastic cells. Consequently, the odds of survival of patients with HCC-CC remains poor. We analysed the literature systematically about the treatment of mixed HCC-CC, reviewing the main therapeutic options and their outcomes and analysing the most interesting developments in this topic with a focus on new potential therapeutic avenues.