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Karabacak M, Jagtiani P, Carrasquilla A, Germano IM, Margetis K. Prognosis Individualized: Survival predictions for WHO grade II and III gliomas with a machine learning-based web application. NPJ Digit Med 2023; 6:200. [PMID: 37884599 PMCID: PMC10603035 DOI: 10.1038/s41746-023-00948-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2023] [Accepted: 10/13/2023] [Indexed: 10/28/2023] Open
Abstract
WHO grade II and III gliomas demonstrate diverse biological behaviors resulting in variable survival outcomes. In the context of glioma prognosis, machine learning (ML) approaches could facilitate the navigation through the maze of factors influencing survival, aiding clinicians in generating more precise and personalized survival predictions. Here we report the utilization of ML models in predicting survival at 12, 24, 36, and 60 months following grade II and III glioma diagnosis. From the National Cancer Database, we analyze 10,001 WHO grade II and 11,456 grade III cranial gliomas. Using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) values, we deploy the top-performing models in a web application for individualized predictions. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) enhance the interpretability of the models. Top-performing predictive models are the ones built with LightGBM and Random Forest algorithms. For grade II gliomas, the models yield AUROC values ranging from 0.813 to 0.896 for predicting mortality across different timeframes, and for grade III gliomas, the models yield AUROCs ranging from 0.855 to 0.878. ML models provide individualized survival forecasts for grade II and III glioma patients across multiple clinically relevant time points. The user-friendly web application represents a pioneering digital tool to potentially integrate predictive analytics into neuro-oncology clinical practice, to empower prognostication and personalize clinical decision-making.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mert Karabacak
- Department of Neurosurgery, Mount Sinai Health System, New York, 10029, NY, USA
| | - Pemla Jagtiani
- School of Medicine, SUNY Downstate Health Sciences University, New York, 11203, NY, USA
| | | | - Isabelle M Germano
- Department of Neurosurgery, Mount Sinai Health System, New York, 10029, NY, USA
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Qin J, Sharma A, Wang Y, Tobar-Tosse F, Dakal TC, Liu H, Liu H, Ke B, Kong C, Liu T, Zhao C, Schmidt-Wolf IGH, Jin C. Systematic discrimination of the repetitive genome in proximity of ferroptosis genes and a novel prognostic signature correlating with the oncogenic lncRNA CRNDE in multiple myeloma. Front Oncol 2022; 12:1026153. [PMID: 36605450 PMCID: PMC9808058 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.1026153] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2022] [Accepted: 12/05/2022] [Indexed: 01/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Emerging insights into iron-dependent form of regulated cell death ferroptosis in cancer have opened a perspective for its use in cancer therapy. Of interest, a systematic profiling of ferroptosis gene signatures as prognostic factors has gained special attention in several cancers. Herein, we sought to investigate the presence of repetitive genomes in the vicinity of ferroptosis genes that may influence their expression and to establish a prognostic gene signature associated with multiple myeloma (MM). Our analysis showed that genes associated with ferroptosis were enriched with the repetitive genome in their vicinity, with a strong predominance of the SINE family, followed by LINE, of which the most significant discriminant values were SINE/Alu and LINE/L1, respectively. In addition, we examined in detail the performance of these genes as a cancer risk prediction model and specified fourteen ferroptosis-related gene signatures, which identified MM high-risk patients with lower immune/stromal scores with higher tumor purity in their immune microenvironment. Of interest, we also found that lncRNA CRNDE correlated with a risk score and was highly associated with the majority of genes comprising the signature. Taken together, we propose to investigate the molecular impact of the repetitive genome we have highlighted on the local transcriptome of ferroptosis genes in cancer. Furthermore, we revealed a genomic signature/biomarker related to ferroptosis that can be used to predict the risk of survival in MM patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiading Qin
- Medical College of Nanchang University, Nanchang, China,Department of Hematology, Jiangxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Nanchang, China,National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Soochow, China
| | - Amit Sharma
- Department of Integrated Oncology, Center for Integrated Oncology, University Hospital of Bonn, Bonn, Germany,Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital of Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Yulu Wang
- Department of Integrated Oncology, Center for Integrated Oncology, University Hospital of Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Fabian Tobar-Tosse
- Department of Basic Sciences for Health, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana Cali, Cali, Colombia
| | - Tikam Chand Dakal
- Genome and Computational Biology Lab, Department of Biotechnology, Mohanlal Sukhadia University, Udaipur, India
| | - Hongde Liu
- State Key Laboratory of Bioelectronics, School of Biological Science & Medical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
| | - Hongjia Liu
- State Key Laboratory of Bioelectronics, School of Biological Science & Medical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
| | - Bo Ke
- Department of Hematology, Jiangxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Nanchang, China
| | - Chunfang Kong
- Department of Hematology, Jiangxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Nanchang, China
| | - Tingting Liu
- Department of Hematology, Jiangxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Nanchang, China
| | - Chunxia Zhao
- School of Nursing, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China
| | - Ingo G. H. Schmidt-Wolf
- Department of Integrated Oncology, Center for Integrated Oncology, University Hospital of Bonn, Bonn, Germany
| | - Chenghao Jin
- Medical College of Nanchang University, Nanchang, China,Department of Hematology, Jiangxi Provincial People’s Hospital, Nanchang, China,National Clinical Research Center for Hematologic Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Soochow, China,*Correspondence: Chenghao Jin,
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Wang X, Ji C. Construction of a prognostic risk model based on apoptosis-related genes to assess tumor immune microenvironment and predict prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma. BMC Gastroenterol 2022; 22:400. [PMID: 36028814 PMCID: PMC9414141 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-022-02481-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2022] [Accepted: 08/17/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a serious malignant disease with high incidence, high mortality and poor prognosis. This study aimed to establish a novel signature based on apoptosis-related genes (ARGs) to predict the prognosis of HCC. METHODS Expression data of HCC from TCGA database and the list of 160 ARGs from MSigDB were downloaded. The genes included in apoptosis-related signature were selected by univariate Cox regression analysis and lasso Cox regression analysis. Subsequently, a prognostic risk model for scoring patients was developed, and then separates patients into two groups. Kaplan-Meier and receiver operating characteristic analysis were performed to evaluate the prognostic value of the model in TCGA, GEO and ICGC databases. The characteristics of immune cell infiltration between two groups of HCC were investigated. Finally, a nomogram was plotted to visualize the prognosis prediction. RESULTS Nine genes (CDC25B, DAP3, ETF1, GSR, LGALS3, MGMT, PPP2R5B, SQSTM1 and VDAC2) were included in the prognostic risk model. Survival was lower in the high-risk group. Surprisingly, the high-risk group was significantly more in immune cell infiltration and with higher immunoscore and stromalscore than in the low-risk group. In addition, the risk score was an independent prognostic factor for HCC. CONCLUSIONS Prognostic signature comprising nine ARGs could be used as a potential prognostic factor for HCC. It also provides an important idea for further understanding the immunotherapy of HCC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiqin Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 215, Heping West Road, Shijiazhuang, 050000, Hebei, China.,Internal Medicine, Yuhua Yunfang Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine Clinic, Shijiazhuang, China
| | - Chenguang Ji
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 215, Heping West Road, Shijiazhuang, 050000, Hebei, China.
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