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Niu Y, Yuan X, Guo F, Cao J, Wang Y, Zhao X, Dou J, Zeng Q. Correlation Between NLR Combined with PLR Score and Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplantation. Int J Gen Med 2024; 17:2445-2453. [PMID: 38826508 PMCID: PMC11141585 DOI: 10.2147/ijgm.s450585] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/04/2023] [Accepted: 05/15/2024] [Indexed: 06/04/2024] Open
Abstract
Background This investigation evaluated the prognostic significance of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and introduced a combined NLR-PLR score to evaluate the correlation between NLR-PLR score and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence. Material/Methods We enrolled 110 patients who underwent orthotopic liver transplantation (LT) for HCC. The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were assessed, and appropriate cut-off values were established. The NLR-PLR score ranged from 0 to 2 as follows: score of 2, high NLR (≥3.37) and high PLR (≥105.96); score of 1, either high NLR or high PLR; score of 0, neither high NLR nor high PLR. Results The median overall survival (OS) of patients with NLR-PLR score of 0, 1 and 2 was 27, 26.5, and 6 months, respectively. The median OS of patients with NLR-PLR score of 2 was shorter than those with 0 (P < 0.001) and 1 (P < 0.001). The median disease-free survival (DFS) time of patients with NLR-PLR score of 0, 1 and 2 was 24.5, 24, and 6 months, The median DFS of patients with NLR-PLR score of 2 was shorter than those with 0 (P = 0.001) and 1 (P = 0.015). Multivariate analysis showed that NLR-PLR score was an independent risk factor for prognosis and survival. Conclusion NLR, PLR and NLR-PLR score can predict the long-term survival of patients, and NLR-PLR score, having more predictive value than NLR and PLR alone is an independent risk factor for patient survival. more predictive value than NLR and PLR alone.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yishan Niu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xiaoye Yuan
- Department of Gerontology, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
| | - Fansheng Guo
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
| | - Jinglin Cao
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yang Wang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xin Zhao
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
| | - Jian Dou
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
| | - Qiang Zeng
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Hebei Medical University Third Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, 050051, People’s Republic of China
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Wang F, Qin Y, Wang ZM, Yan CY, He Y, Liu D, Wen L, Zhang D. A Dynamic Online Nomogram Based on Gd-EOB-DTPA-Enhanced MRI and Inflammatory Biomarkers for Preoperative Prediction of Pathological Grade and Stratification in Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multicenter Study. Acad Radiol 2024:S1076-6332(24)00126-0. [PMID: 38494348 DOI: 10.1016/j.acra.2024.02.035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2023] [Revised: 12/24/2023] [Accepted: 02/22/2024] [Indexed: 03/19/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is an inflammatory cancer. We aimed to explore whether preoperative inflammation biomarkers compared to the gadoxetic acid disodium (Gd-EOB-DTPA) enhanced MRI can add complementary value for predicting HCC pathological grade, and to develop a dynamic nomogram to predict solitary HCC pathological grade. METHODS 331 patients from the Institution A were divided chronologically into the training cohort (n = 231) and internal validation cohort (n = 100), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) was determined to follow up after surgery. 79 patients from the Institution B served as the external validation cohort. Overall, 410 patients were analyzed as the complete dataset cohort. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate Logistic regression were used to gradually filter features for model construction. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate model's performance. RESULTS Five models of the inflammation, imaging, inflammation+AFP, inflammation+imaging and nomogram were developed. Adding inflammation to imaging model can improve the AUC in training cohort (from 0.802 to 0.869), internal validation cohort (0.827 to 0.870), external validation cohort (0.740 to 0.802) and complete dataset cohort (0.739 to 0.788), and obtain more net benefit. The nomogram had excellent performance for predicting high-grade HCC in four cohorts (AUCs: 0.882 vs. 0.869 vs. 0.829 vs. 0.806) with a good calibration, and accessed at https://predict-solitaryhccgrade.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/. Additionally, the nomogram obtained an AUC of 0.863 (95% CI 0.797-0.913) for predicting high-grade HCC in the HCC≤ 3 cm. Kaplan-Meier survival curves demonstrated that the nomogram owned excellent stratification for HCC grade (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION This easy-to-use dynamic online nomogram hold promise for use as a noninvasive tool in prediction HCC grade with high accuracy and robustness.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fei Wang
- Department of Radiology, XinQiao Hospital of Army Medical University, No.83, Xinqiao Central Street, Shapingba District, Chongqing 400037, China
| | - Yuan Qin
- Department of Radiology, Chongqing University Three Gorges Hospital, No.165, Xincheng Road, Wanzhou District, Chongqing 404031, China
| | - Zheng Ming Wang
- Department of Radiology, XinQiao Hospital of Army Medical University, No.83, Xinqiao Central Street, Shapingba District, Chongqing 400037, China
| | - Chun Yue Yan
- Department of gynaecology and obstetrics, Luzhou People's Hospital, No.316, Jiugu Avenue, Jiangyang District, Luzhou 646000, China
| | - Ying He
- Department of Radiology, XinQiao Hospital of Army Medical University, No.83, Xinqiao Central Street, Shapingba District, Chongqing 400037, China
| | - Dan Liu
- Department of Radiology, XinQiao Hospital of Army Medical University, No.83, Xinqiao Central Street, Shapingba District, Chongqing 400037, China
| | - Li Wen
- Department of Radiology, XinQiao Hospital of Army Medical University, No.83, Xinqiao Central Street, Shapingba District, Chongqing 400037, China
| | - Dong Zhang
- Department of Radiology, XinQiao Hospital of Army Medical University, No.83, Xinqiao Central Street, Shapingba District, Chongqing 400037, China.
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Pilichowska E, Ostrowski P, Sieńko J. The Impact of Hematological Indices on the Occurrence of Delayed Graft Function (DGF) of Transplanted Kidney. J Clin Med 2023; 12:7514. [PMID: 38137583 PMCID: PMC10744293 DOI: 10.3390/jcm12247514] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2023] [Revised: 11/25/2023] [Accepted: 12/04/2023] [Indexed: 12/24/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND to analyse the effect of haematological indices on the occurrence of Delayed Graft Function (DGF) in patients undergoing kidney transplantation and on the function of the transplanted kidney on the 7th postoperative day. METHODS 365 recipients who underwent kidney transplantation from a donor with known brain death between 2010 and 2017 were included in this retrospective study. Information from patient medical records, donor medical records, and donation and transplantation protocols was used for analysis. Statistica 13 was used for statistical analysis. RESULTS In the study group, DGF occurred in 144 recipients (39.45%), and Non-Graft Function (NGF) occurred in 12 recipients (3.29%). Recipients who developed DGF had a significantly higher Neutrophil/Monocyte Ratio (NMR) before renal transplantation (p = 0.048), a lower NMR value on postoperative day 1 (p < 0.001), and a difference between the values on day 1 and before surgery (p < 0.001). In addition, they had a significantly lower Lymphocyte/Monocyte Ratio (LMR) on postoperative day 1 LMR 1 (p < 0.001). It was shown that the value of the indices based on the ROC curve-NMR1 > 29.29, NMR1-0 > 22.71, and LMR1 > 1.74 (respectively: AUC = 0.624; 95% CI 0.566-0.682; and p < 0.001/AUC = 0.622; 95% CI 0.563-0.680; and p < 0.001/AUC = 0.610; 95% CI 0.550-0.670; and p < 0.001)-can be used to identify recipients with a significant probability of DGF. CONCLUSIONS the NMR and LMR parameters on the first postoperative day and the difference between the NMR values on the first post-transplant day and the first pre-transplant day are predictive factors associated with the risk of DGF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ewa Pilichowska
- Department of General Surgery and Transplantation, Pomeranian Medical University, 70-111 Szczecin, Poland
| | - Piotr Ostrowski
- Department of Nursing, Pomeranian Medical University, Żołnierska 48, 71-210 Szczecin, Poland
| | - Jerzy Sieńko
- Institute of Physical Culture Sciences, University of Szczecin, 70-453 Szczecin, Poland;
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Cui S, Cao S, Chen Q, He Q, Lang R. Preoperative systemic inflammatory response index predicts the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation. Front Immunol 2023; 14:1118053. [PMID: 37051235 PMCID: PMC10083266 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2023.1118053] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2022] [Accepted: 03/14/2023] [Indexed: 03/28/2023] Open
Abstract
BackgroundPreoperative inflammatory status plays an important role in the prognosis of malignancy. We sought to explore the value of preoperative inflammatory biomarkers in predicting long-term outcomes of liver transplantation (LT) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).MethodPatients who underwent LT for HCC in our hospital between January 2010 and June 2020 were included in this study. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, and outcome data were obtained. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of inflammatory biomarkers. The effectiveness of inflammatory biomarkers in predicting outcomes was analyzed by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses.ResultsA total of 218 patients were included in the study, with a mean age of 53.9 ± 8.5 years. The AUC of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), systemic immune inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) for overall survival (OS) were 0.741, 0.731, 0.756, 0.746, and 0.749, respectively. Cox proportional hazards model indicated that SIRI > 1.25 was independently associated with low OS [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.258, P = 0.024]. PLR > 82.15 and SIRI > 0.95 were independently associated with low disease-free survival (HR = 1.492, P = 0.015; and HR = 1.732, P = 0.008, respectively). In the survival analysis, the prognosis of patients with high preoperative SIRI and PLR was significantly worse (P < 0.001).ConclusionSIRI and PLR were useful prognostic markers for predicting patients with HCC after LT.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Qiang He
- *Correspondence: Ren Lang, ; Qiang He,
| | - Ren Lang
- *Correspondence: Ren Lang, ; Qiang He,
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Li JX, He ML, Qiu MQ, Yan LY, Long MY, Zhong JH, Zhang RJ, Liang CF, Pang YD, He JK, Chen QQ, Weng JX, Liang SX, Xiang BD. Prognostic value of a nomogram based on peripheral blood immune parameters in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma after intensity-modulated radiotherapy. BMC Gastroenterol 2022; 22:510. [PMID: 36494634 PMCID: PMC9733385 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-022-02596-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2022] [Accepted: 11/26/2022] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND For patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC), intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) has become one of the options for clinical local treatment. Immune parameters, including platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and systemic immune inflammatory (SII), predict survival in various cancers. This study aimed to determine whether peripheral immune parameters can predict survival in patients with uHCC undergoing IMRT and establish a clinically useful prognostic nomogram for survival prediction. METHODS The clinical data of 309 HCC patients were retrospectively analyzed and randomly divided into training (n = 216) and validation (n = 93) cohorts. PLR, NLR and SII were collected before and after IMRT. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were performed to identify independent prognostic factors affecting survival, which were used to generate a nomogram. RESULTS The median survival was 16.3 months, and significant increases in PLR, NLR, and SII were observed after IMRT (P < 0.001). High levels of immune parameters were associated with poor prognosis (P < 0.001); enlarged spleen, Barcelona clinic liver cancer stage (B and C), post-SII, and delta-NLR were independent risk factors for survival and were included in the nomogram, which accurately predicted 3- and 5-year survival. The nomogram was well verified in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS High levels of immune parameters are associated with poor prognosis in uHCC patients receiving IMRT. Our nomogram accurately predicts the survival of patients with uHCC receiving IMRT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jian-Xu Li
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of Radiation Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Mei-Ling He
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of Radiation Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Mo-Qin Qiu
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of Respiratory Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Liu-Ying Yan
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of General Affairs, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Mei-Ying Long
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Jian-Hong Zhong
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Rui-Jun Zhang
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of Radiation Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Chun-Feng Liang
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of Radiation Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Ya-Dan Pang
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of Radiation Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Jun-Kun He
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of Radiation Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Qian-Qian Chen
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of Radiation Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Jin-Xia Weng
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of Radiation Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Shi-Xiong Liang
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of Radiation Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
| | - Bang-De Xiang
- grid.256607.00000 0004 1798 2653Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, Nanning, 530021 China
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Changes in Inflammatory Markers Predict the Prognosis of Resected Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Child–Pugh A. Curr Oncol 2022; 29:5800-5809. [PMID: 36005195 PMCID: PMC9406633 DOI: 10.3390/curroncol29080457] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/02/2022] [Revised: 08/13/2022] [Accepted: 08/15/2022] [Indexed: 12/01/2022] Open
Abstract
(1) Background: The reasons for changes in the inflammatory markers of patients with surgically resected hepatocellular carcinoma are unclear. We aimed to investigate the association of an inflammatory status with the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, who underwent surgical resection. (2) Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 91 patients with Child A hepatocellular carcinoma, who had received surgical resection, to explore the influence of preoperative inflammatory markers and postoperative changes on the prognosis. (3) Results: The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and its alteration were independent prognostic factors. Patients with a low PLR had a significantly better recurrence-free survival (RFS) than those with a high PLR (1-year RFS of 88.5% versus 50.0%; 3-year RFS of 62.1% versus 25.0%, p = 0.038). The patients with a low PLR showed a significantly better overall survival (OS) than those with a high PLR (1-year OS of 98.9% versus 75.0%; 3-year OS of 78.2% versus 25.0%, p = 0.005). The patients whose PLR had increased at 6 months after operation showed a worse OS than patients whose PLR had decreased (1-year OS of 96.3% versus 98.4%; 3-year OS of 63.0% versus 79.7%, p = 0.048). However, neither the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio nor Onodera’s prognostic nutritional index had any prognostic significance. (4) Conclusions: The PLR and its alteration are significant prognostic factors for the RFS and OS of patients with Child A hepatocellular carcinoma who had received curative surgery.
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Zhang Q, Jiao X. LDH and GGT/ALT Ratio as Novel Prognostic Biomarkers in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients after Liver Transplantation. COMPUTATIONAL AND MATHEMATICAL METHODS IN MEDICINE 2021; 2021:9809990. [PMID: 34845414 PMCID: PMC8627343 DOI: 10.1155/2021/9809990] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2021] [Accepted: 11/01/2021] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Liver inflammation indices reflect its inflammatory microenvironment, which may play a role in the proliferation, invasion, and migration of carcinoma. This study is aimed at exploring the prognostic significance of serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels and gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio in hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplant (LT). METHODS We retrospectively analyzed data from 155 patients with a pathologically confirmed diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma who received LT between January 2013 and September 2017. We used receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves to determine the optimal LDH and GGT/ALT ratio cut-off values. The Kaplan-Meier method and the logarithmic rank test were used to compare the survival curves without recurrence (RFS) and overall survival (OS). Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify factors associated with survival. RESULTS Serum LDH levels were significantly associated with the Child-Pugh score (P = 0.037), largest tumor size (<50 vs. ≥50 mm) (P = 0.017), tumor count (<3 vs. ≥3) (P = 0.009), microvascular invasion (P = 0.006), and the Milan criteria (P ≤ 0.001). The serum GGT/ALT ratio was significantly correlated with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels (of <400 vs. ≥400 ng/ml) (P ≤ 0.001), largest tumor size (of <50 vs. ≥50 mm) (P ≤ 0.001), the Edmondson grade (I-II vs. III-IV) (P = 0.028), microvascular invasion (P ≤ 0.001), and the Milan (P = 0.002) and Hangzhou criteria (P = 0.018). The survival curves showed that the patients with high LDH and the GGT/ALT ratio were associated with poor RFS and OS (P < 0.05). Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that AFP levels of ≥400 ng/ml, largest tumor size of ≥50 mm, microvascular invasion, LDH levels of ≥213.5 U/l, and the GGT/ALT ratio of ≥3.1338 were factors independently associated with RFS. CONCLUSION Elevated LDH levels and the GGT/ALT ratio before LT were associated with poor OS and RFS in the present study. These factors could be used in the prognostication of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing LT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qi Zhang
- Organ Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xingyuan Jiao
- Organ Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
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Commentary: A preoperative model for predicting microvascular invasion and assisting in prognostic stratification in liver transplantation for HCC regarding empirical criteria. Transl Oncol 2021; 14:101234. [PMID: 34626954 PMCID: PMC8512638 DOI: 10.1016/j.tranon.2021.101234] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2021] [Accepted: 09/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
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Zhang W, Liu Z, Chen J, Dong S, Cen B, Zheng S, Xu X. A preoperative model for predicting microvascular invasion and assisting in prognostic stratification in liver transplantation for HCC regarding empirical criteria. Transl Oncol 2021; 14:101200. [PMID: 34399173 PMCID: PMC8367829 DOI: 10.1016/j.tranon.2021.101200] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/05/2021] [Revised: 07/29/2021] [Accepted: 08/07/2021] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
The predictive model used preoperatively accessible clinical parameters and radiographic features developed and validated by us to predict micro vascular invasion (MVI), based on a large sample, two Liver Transplantation (LT) centers observed 5 years among Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) patients who underwent LT. This is the first study to report preoperative clinical variables and radiographic features for preoperative prediction of MVI among HCC patients undergoing LT. Prediction of the presence of MVI can help surgical decision-making and improve surgical management for HCC to further distinguish clinical outcomes.
Purpose The prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) has increasingly been recognized to reflect prognosis involving local invasion and distant metastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to assess a predictive model using preoperatively accessible clinical parameters and radiographic features developed and validated to predict MVI. This predictive model can distinguish clinical outcomes after liver transplantation (LT) for HCC patients. Methods In total, 455 HCC patients who underwent LT between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2019, were retrospectively enrolled in two centers in China as a training cohort (ZFA center; n = 244) and a test cohort (SLA center; n = 211). Univariate and multivariate backward logistic regression analysis were used to select the significant clinical variables which were incorporated into the predictive nomogram associated with MVI. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves based on clinical parameters were plotted to predict MVI in the training and test sets. Results Univariate and multivariate backward logistic regression analysis identified four independent preoperative risk factors for MVI: α-fetoprotein (AFP) level (p < 0.001), tumor size ((p < 0.001), peritumoral star node (p = 0.003), and tumor margin (p = 0.016). The predictive nomogram using these predictors achieved an area under curve (AUC) of 0.85 and 0.80 in the training and test sets. Furthermore, MVI could discriminate different clinical outcomes within the Milan criteria (MC) and beyond the MC. Conclusions The nomogram based on preoperatively clinical variables demonstrated good performance for predicting MVI. MVI may serve as a supplement to the MC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenhui Zhang
- Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Affiliated Hangzhou First People's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310006, China; Zhejiang University Cancer center, Hangzhou, 310058, China; Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou 310003, China
| | - Zhikun Liu
- Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Affiliated Hangzhou First People's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310006, China
| | - Junli Chen
- National Center for healthcare quality management in liver transplant, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou 310003, China
| | - Siyi Dong
- National Center for healthcare quality management in liver transplant, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou 310003, China
| | - Beini Cen
- Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Affiliated Hangzhou First People's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310006, China; Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou 310003, China; NHC Key Laboratory of Combined Multi-organ Transplantation, Hangzhou,310003, China
| | - Shusen Zheng
- Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou 310003, China; Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Shulan (Hangzhou) Hospital, Hangzhou, 310000, China.
| | - Xiao Xu
- Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Affiliated Hangzhou First People's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310006, China; Zhejiang University Cancer center, Hangzhou, 310058, China; Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou 310003, China.
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