Nomogram Based on Lactate Dehydrogenase-to-Albumin Ratio (LAR) and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR) for Predicting Survival in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Clinical implications of the serum platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio in the modern radiation oncology era: research update and literature review

Radiation therapy (RT) continues to be the primary approach for treating cancer, and numerous cancer biomarkers associated with oncological outcomes have been investigated in the context of RT. The serum platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) is one of the emerging landmark biomarker in the oncologic field. Mounting evidence indicates that an elevated serum PLR may function as a marker of unfavorable tumor characteristics, adverse treatment outcomes and treatment-related toxicities among individuals undergoing RT. However, the findings of these investigations have revealed a few disparities among researchers, highlighting the need for further meticulously planned studies to draw conclusive results. This article provides a comprehensive literature review and in-depth discussion regarding the clinical implications of the serum PLR in the modern RT era.

Effect of Preoperative Serum Lactate Dehydrogenase-to-Albumin Ratio on the Survival of Oral Cancer: A Retrospective Study

Background

Several studies have investigated the relationship between serum lactate dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio (LAR) and the prognosis of cancers. However, no studies have explored the association between serum LAR and the survival of oral cancer (OC). This study was aimed to determine the association of serum LAR with the overall survival (OS) of OC.

Methods

One hundred and ninety patients with OC were included in this study between January 2018 and December 2019. Log rank test and Kaplan-Meier method were used to compare the survival rate of OC between the low LAR group and the high LAR group. The association between serum LAR and the survival of OC patients was determined via univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses.

Results

Kaplan-Meier analysis and Log rank test indicated that the OS rate in low LAR group was significantly higher than that in high LAR group (P < 0.05). Univariate cox analysis showed that TNM III-IV stage, serum LDH > 162 U/L, and serum LAR > 3.79 were significantly associated with the OS of OC patients. Multivariate Cox analysis suggested that the TNM III-IV stage (HR, 2.317; 95% CI, 1.423-3.774, P = 0.001) and serum LAR > 3.79 (HR, 5.138; 95% CI, 2.245-11.756, P = 0.000) were independently related with poor OS of OC patients.

Conclusion

High serum LAR (>3.79) is an independent predictor of adverse prognosis in OC patients. LAR could be used as a promising marker for predicting the OS of OC patients.

Machine learning-derived prognostic signature for progression-free survival in non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Early detection of high-risk nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) recurrence is essential. We created a machine learning-derived prognostic signature (MLDPS) by combining three machine learning (ML) models to predict progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with non-metastatic NPC.

METHODS

A cohort of 653 patients with non-metastatic NPC was divided into a training (n = 457) and validation (n = 196) dataset (7:3 ratio). The study included clinicopathological characteristics, hematologic markers, and MRI findings in three machine learning models-random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-to predict progression-free survival (PFS). A Venn diagram identified the overlapping signatures from the three ML algorithms. Cox proportional hazard analysis determined the MLDPS for PFS.

RESULTS

The RF, XGBoost, and LASSO algorithms identified six consensus factors from the 33 signatures. Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that the MLDPS includes age, lymphocyte count, number of positive lymph nodes, and regional lymph node density. Additionally, MLDPS effectively stratified prognosis, with low-risk individuals showing better PFS than high-risk individuals (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

MLDPS, based on clinicopathological characteristics, hematologic markers, and MRI findings, is crucial for guiding clinical management and personalizing treatments for patients with non-metastatic NPC.

The elevated lactate dehydrogenase to albumin ratio is a risk factor for developing sepsis-associated acute kidney injury: a single-center retrospective study

BACKGROUND

There is no evidence to determine the association between the lactate dehydrogenase to albumin ratio (LAR) and the development of sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SAKI). We aimed to investigate the predictive impact of LAR for SAKI in patients with sepsis.

METHODS

A total of 4,087 patients with sepsis from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC IV) database were included. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the association between LAR and the risk of developing SAKI, and the relationship was visualized using restricted cubic spline (RCS). The clinical predictive value of LAR was evaluated by ROC curve analysis. Subgroup analysis was used to search for interactive factors.

RESULTS

The LAR level was markedly increased in the SAKI group (p < 0.001). There was a positive linear association between LAR and the risk of developing SAKI (p for nonlinearity = 0.867). Logistic regression analysis showed an independent predictive value of LAR for developing SAKI. The LAR had moderate clinical value, with an AUC of 0.644. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) was identified as an independent interactive factor. The predictive value of LAR for the development of SAKI disappeared in those with a history of CKD but remained in those without CKD.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated LAR 12 h before and after the diagnosis of sepsis is an independent risk factor for the development of SAKI in patients with sepsis. Chronic comorbidities, especially the history of CKD, should be taken into account when using LAR to predict the development of AKI in patients with sepsis.

Nomograms based on ratio indexes to predict severity and prognosis in immune checkpoint inhibitors-related myocarditis: a retrospective analysis

PURPOSE

Immune checkpoint inhibitors-related myocarditis (ICI-M) is one of the immune-related adverse events (irAEs), which is rare and highly lethal. This study aimed to establish nomograms based on ratio biomarkers to predict the severity and prognosis of ICI-M.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined patients with advanced cancers who were also diagnosed with ICI-M at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University. The patients of ICI-M were divided into mild and severe groups and a 40-day following up was carried out. The major adverse cardiovascular events(MACEs) were regarded as the endpoint. Nomogram-based models were established and validated.

RESULTS

Seventy-seven patients were involved, including 31 severe cases(40.3%). Lactate dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio(LAR) combined with the change rate from baseline to onset of LAR( ▵ LAR) which performed best to diagnose the severe ICI-M was identified to establish the nomogram-based model. The bootstrap-corrected concordance index [0.752 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.635 - 0.866] and calibration plot with good degree of fitting confirmed this diagnostic model. Neutrophil-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio(NHR) and LAR were also screened into the nomogram-based model for 40-day MACEs after ICI-M, which performed well by validating for concordance index(0.779 95% CI: 0.677 - 0.865)and calibration plots after being bootstrap-corrected. Moreover, a  ≥ 101% increase in LAR significantly separated patients in MACE-free survival.

CONCLUSION

Ratio indexes at onset and their change rates from baseline showed good diagnostic value for the severity of ICI-M and prognostic value for subsequent MACEs, particularly LAR, NHR and their change rates. The nomogram-based models of ratio indexes could provide a potential choice for early detection and monitor of the severe ICI-M and subsequent MACEs.

Serum LINC00339 is a promising biomarker for prognosis prediction of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) in serum were useful and promising biomarkers for diagnostic and prognostic application. Herein, we investigated the serum lncRNA LINC00339 expression and its role in nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

METHODS

In this study, we recruited a cohort of 129 nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients, 68 patients with nasopharyngitis, and 80 healthy controls. Serum LINC00339 levels were measured by reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Kaplan-Meier curve analyses were conducted to evaluate th e clinical role of LINC00339. The effects of linc00339 on cellular activities were measured using CCK-8 and Transwell assays.

RESULTS

We observed that serum LINC00339 expression was upregulated in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients and closely associated with tumor node metastasis stage, lymph node metastasis, and overall survival rate. Meanwhile, ROC analysis showed serum LINC00339 had diagnostic value to distinguish nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients from healthy individuals and nasopharyngitis patients. Silencing of LINC00339 could repress cellular behaviors by targeting miR-152.

CONCLUSION

This study clarified that LINC00339 was upregulated in nasopharyngeal carcinoma, and that serum LINC00339 may act as a diagnostic or prognostic marker, and a hopeful therapeutic target for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Value of Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Various Stages

Introduction

Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma (NPC) is among the most common head and neck cancer, significantly affecting the growth of human tumors. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) as a measure of inflammation in patients with various stages of NPC.

Materials and Methods

This retrospective case-control study was conducted on patients diagnosed with NPC between 2016 and 2020 in Dr. Hasan Sadikin Bandung Hospital, Indonesia. Based on NPC classification criteria, patients were classified into early and advanced groups. Subsequently, the PLR ratio was calculated as the number of platelet divided by the absolute number of lymphocytes in the two groups, and the results were statistically analyzed using Unpaired T-test, Pearson, and Chi-square test.

Results

A total of 102 patients with an age range of 40 to 49 years were included in this study. A slight correlation of 0.272 (P<0.001) was observed between PLR and clinical stage, while NPC patients with PLR value > 188 had a 2.7 times higher risk of advanced stage (RR=2.702).

Conclusion

The PLR was significantly related to the clinical stage of NPC cancer.

Pretreatment multiparametric MRI radiomics-integrated clinical hematological biomarkers can predict early rapid metastasis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To establish and validate a predictive model combining pretreatment multiparametric MRI-based radiomic signatures and clinical characteristics for the risk evaluation of early rapid metastasis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients.

METHODS

The cutoff time was used to randomly assign 219 consecutive patients who underwent chemoradiation treatment to the training group (n = 154) or the validation group (n = 65). Pretreatment multiparametric magnetic resonance (MR) images of individuals with NPC were employed to extract 428 radiomic features. LASSO regression analysis was used to select radiomic features related to early rapid metastasis and develop the Rad-score. Blood indicators were collected within 1 week of pretreatment. To identify independent risk variables for early rapid metastasis, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were employed. Finally, multivariate logistic regression analysis was applied to construct a radiomics and clinical prediction nomogram that integrated radiomic features and clinical and blood inflammatory predictors.

RESULTS

The NLR, T classification and N classification were found to be independent risk indicators for early rapid metastasis by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Twelve features associated with early rapid metastasis were selected by LASSO regression analysis, and the Rad-score was calculated. The AUC of the Rad-score was 0.773. Finally, we constructed and validated a prediction model in combination with the NLR, T classification, N classification and Rad-score. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.936 (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.901-0.971), and in the validation cohort, the AUC was 0.796 (95% CI: 0.686-0.905).

CONCLUSIONS

A predictive model that integrates the NLR, T classification, N classification and MR-based radiomics for distinguishing early rapid metastasis may serve as a clinical risk stratification tool for effectively guiding individual management.

Development of a risk estimation model for condomless sex among college students in Zhuhai, China: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Condom use at last intercourse is an effective indicator for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevention. To identify at-risk individuals and improve prevention strategies, this study explored factors associated with condomless sex at last intercourse in the last year and developed a risk estimation model to calculate the individual possibility of condomless sex among college students in Zhuhai, China.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted among 1430 college students who had sex in the last year from six universities in Zhuhai. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic regression were performed to explore the predictors of condomless sex. The nomogram was constructed to calculate the individual possibility of condomless sex. Discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were evaluated using the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUROC) and the calibration curve.

RESULTS

The proportion of students who had condomless sex at last intercourse was 18.2% (260/1430). Students who had experienced more types of intimate partner violence (aOR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.31 ~ 1.92) and had anal sex (aOR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.06 ~ 2.84) were more likely to have condomless sex. Students who had heterosexual intercourse (aOR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.21 ~ 0.70), used condoms at first sex (aOR, 0.20; 95% CI, 0.14 ~ 0.27), had high attitudes towards condom use (aOR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.80 ~ 0.95) and self-efficacy for condom use (aOR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.78 ~ 0.90) were less likely to have condomless sex. The nomogram had high accuracy with an AUROC of 0.83 and good discrimination.

CONCLUSIONS

Intimate partner violence, anal sex, condom use at first sex, attitude towards condom use, and self-efficacy for condom use were associated with condomless sex among college students. The nomogram was an effective and convenient tool for calculating the individualized possibility of condomless sex among college students. It could help to identify individuals at risk and help universities and colleges to formulate appropriate individualized interventions and sexual health education programs.

High serum lactate dehydrogenase to albumin ratio is associated with increased risk of poor prognosis after ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Lactate dehydrogenase to albumin ratio (LAR) is a comprehensive biomarker for anaerobiosis, inflammation, and nutritional status, but its prognostic value for ischemic stroke has rarely been reported. We aimed to prospectively investigate whether serum LAR is associated with the prognosis of ischemic stroke patients in a large-scale cohort study.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Serum LAR levels were measured among 6634 patients with ischemic stroke admitted at Minhang hospital from January 2018 to December 2022. The primary outcome was the composite of major disability and death (modified Rankin Scale score [mRS] ≥ 3) at 3-month follow up. Secondary outcomes included death and the ordered 7-level category score of mRS. Multivariate logistic regression and restricted cubic splines were adopted to evaluate the associations between serum LAR levels and adverse clinical outcomes of ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

During 3 months of follow-up period, a total of 2125 patients experienced primary outcome. After multivariate adjustment, the highest quartile of serum LAR was associated with an increased risk of primary outcome (odds ratio [OR], 1.52; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27-1.83; P for trend < 0.001). Each standard deviation higher log-transformed serum LAR resulted in a 20% (95% CI, 12%-28%) increased risk of primary outcome. Furthermore, multivariable-adjusted restricted cubic spline analyses showed a linear association between the serum LAR level with primary outcome (P for linearity < 0.001). Finally, the addition of serum LAR to conventional risk factors significantly improved risk predictive abilities for the primary outcome (net reclassification improvement [NRI]: 18.35%, P < 0.001; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI]: 0.35%, P < 0.001) at 3-month follow up in patients with ischemic stroke.

CONCLUSION

High serum LAR level was independently associated with an increased risk of adverse clinical outcomes among patients with ischemic stroke, indicating that serum LAR may be a valuable prognostic biomarker for ischemic stroke.

Correlation between Lactate Dehydrogenase to Albumin Ratio and the Prognosis of Patients with Cardiac Arrest

Background

Cardiac arrest (CA) is a common event in the intensive care unit (ICU), which seriously threatens the prognosis of patients. Therefore, it is crucial to determine a simple and effective clinical indicator to judge the prognosis of patients after a CA for later treatments. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between the lactate dehydrogenase to albumin ratio (LAR) and the prognosis of patients after a CA.

Methods

The clinical data of participants was obtained from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v2.0; 2008 to 2019). According to the 30-day prognosis, patients were divided into a survivors group (n = 216) and a non-survivors group (n = 304). The optimal LAR threshold was determined using restricted cubic spline (RCS), which divided patients into a high LAR group ( ≥ 15.50, n = 257) and a low LAR group ( < 15.50, n = 263). The ICU hospitalization and 30-day accumulative survival curves of the two groups were plotted following the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Multivariate Cox regression was used to analyze the relationship between the LAR and the prognosis of CA patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the LAR on 30-day all-cause mortality, and sensitivity analysis was used to check the reliability of the findings.

Results

A total of 520 patients with CA were enrolled and the 30-day mortality was 58.46%. The LAR in the non-survivors group was higher than in the survivors group. The RCS showed a linear trend relationship between the LAR and the mortality risk in patients during their ICU stay and 30 days; moreover, as the LAR increased, so did the risk of mortality. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that compared with the low LAR group, the cumulative survival rates of ICU hospitalization and 30 days were lower in the high LAR group among CA patients (p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that an elevated LAR ( ≥ 15.50) was an independent risk factor for mortality during ICU stay and 30 days (p < 0.005). ROC analysis suggested that the LAR was superior to the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score in predicting the 30-day all-cause mortality in CA patients (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.676, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.629-0.723). To verify the reliability of our findings, we performed sensitivity analyses and found that the findings were reliable.

Conclusions

An elevated LAR might be a predictor of mortality in patients following a CA during ICU hospitalization and 30 days, thereby it can be used to provide a reference for the clinical management of these patients.

Nomograms containing body dose parameters for predicting survival in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma

PURPOSE

To assess the impact of body dose on survival outcomes in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients and to create novel nomograms incorporating body dose parameters for predicting survival.

METHODS

594 of non-metastasis NPC patients (training group, 396; validation group, 198) received intensity-modulated radiation therapy at our institution from January 2012 to December 2016. Patient characteristics, body dose parameters in dose-volume histogram (DVH) and hematology profiles were collected for predicting overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Nomograms for OS and PFS were developed using the selected predictors. Each nomogram was evaluated based on its C-index and calibration curve.

RESULTS

Body dose-based risk score for OS (RSOS), N stage, age, and induction chemotherapy were independent predictors for OS, with a C-index of 0.784 (95% CI 0.749-0.819) in the training group and 0.763 (95% CI 0.715-0.810) in the validation group for the nomogram. As for PFS, the most important predictors were the body dose-based risk score for PFS (RSPFS), N stage, and induction chemotherapy. C-index of PFS nomogram was 0.706 (95% CI 0.681-0.720) in the training group and 0.691 (95% CI 0.662-0.711) in the validation group. The two models outperformed the TNM staging system in predicting outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Body dose coverage is a useful predictor of prognosis in clinical routine patients. The novel nomograms integrating body dose parameters can precisely predict OS and PFS in NPC patients.

Regional lymph node density-based nomogram predicts prognosis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients without distant metastases

BACKGROUND

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a relatively common type of cancer in Southern China, with local recurrence or distant metastases even after radical treatment; consequently, it is critical to identify the patients at higher risk for these events beforehand. This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of regional lymph node density (RLND) associated nomograms in NPC and to evaluate the utility of nomograms in risk stratification.

METHODS

A total of 610 NPC patients without distant metastases (425 in the training and 185 in the validation cohort) were enrolled. The MRI-identified nodal features and clinical characteristics were documented, and the RLND was calculated. Cox analyses were conducted to identify prognostic-associated factors. Nomograms were generated based on the multivariate analysis results. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram models were determined using the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and calibration curve; the results were compared with those of the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and C-index were used to assess the prognostic effect and added discriminative ability of RLND. We also estimated the optimal RLND-based nomogram score cut-off values for survival prediction.

RESULTS

RLND was an independent predictor of overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), with hazard ratios of 1.36 and 1.30, respectively. RLND was utilized in the construction of nomograms, alongside other independent prognostic factors. The RLND-based nomogram models presented a more effective discriminative ability than the TNM classification for predicting OS (C-index, 0.711 vs. 0.680) and DFS (C-index, 0.681 vs. 0.669), with favorable calibration and consistency. The comparison of C-index values between the nomogram models with and without RLND provided substantiation of the crucial role RLND plays in these models. DCA confirmed the satisfactory clinical practicability of RLND. Moreover, the nomograms were used to categorize the patients into three groups (high-, middle-, and low-risk), and the Kaplan-Meier curves showed significant differences in prognosis between them (p < 0.05). These results were verified in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

RLND stands as a robust prognostic factor in NPC. The RLND-based nomograms excel in predicting survival, surpassing the TNM classification.

Nomogram incorporating Epstein-Barr virus DNA and a novel immune-nutritional marker for survival prediction in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Since Immune response, nutritional status and Epstein-Barr Virus (EBV) DNA status have been confirmed to be relevant to the prognosis of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), we believe that the combination of these factors is of great value for improving the predictive ability. LA (lymphocytes × albumin), a novel indicator, had not been studied yet in NPC. We combined it with EBV DNA and used nomograms to increase the accuracy of prognosis.

METHODS

A total of 688 NPC patients were retrospectively reviewed and further divided into training and validation cohort randomly. Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to to distinguish the different survival outcomes. Multivariate Cox analyses were used to identify the independent prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Calibration curves, concordance indexes (C-indexes) and decision curve analyses (DCA) were used to evaluate the nomograms' predictive value.

RESULTS

Patients with low LA and positive EBV DNA correlated with poorer 5-year PFS and OS (all P < 0.005). In multivariate Cox analyses, LA and EBV DNA were both confirmed to be independent prognostic factors for PFS and OS (all P < 0.05). Prognostic nomograms incorporating LA and EBV DNA achieved ideal C-indexes of 0.69 (95% CI: 0.65-0.73) and 0.77 (95% CI: 0.71-0.82) in the prediction of PFS and OS. Otherwise, the calibration curves and DCA curves also revealed that our nomograms had pleasant predictive power.

CONCLUSIONS

LA is a novel and powerful biomarker for predicting clinical outcomes in NPC. Our nomograms based on LA and EBV DNA can predict individual prognosis more accurately and effectively.

Novel nomogram for predicting survival in advanced non-small cell lung cancer receiving anti-PD-1 plus chemotherapy with or without antiangiogenic therapy

Background

This study aimed to develop and validate a novel nomogram to predict survival in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) receiving programmed cell death 1 (PD-1) inhibitor plus chemotherapy with or without antiangiogenic therapy.

Methods

A total of 271 patients with advanced NSCLC who received anti-PD-1 plus chemotherapy with or without antiangiogenic therapy were enrolled in our center and randomized into the training cohort (n = 133) and the internal validation cohort (n = 138). Forty-five patients from another center were included as an independent external validation cohort. The nomogram was created based on the multivariate Cox regression analysis to predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). The performance of the nomogram was assessed using the concordance index (C-index), the time-dependent area under the receiver operating (ROC) curves (AUCs), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Four factors significantly associated with OS were utilized to create a nomogram to predict OS: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS), programmed cell death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression, chemotherapy cycle, and pretreatment lactate dehydrogenase-albumin ratio (LAR). Six variables significantly associated with PFS were incorporated into the development of a nomogram for predicting PFS: ECOG PS, histology, PD-L1 expression, chemotherapy cycle, pretreatment platelet to lymphocyte (PLR), and pretreatment LAR. The C-indexes of the nomogram for predicting OS and PFS were 0.750 and 0.747, respectively. The AUCs for predicting the 6-month, 12-month, and 18-month OS and PFS were 0.847, 0.791, and 0.776 and 0.810, 0.787, and 0.861, respectively. The calibration curves demonstrated a good agreement between predictions and actual observations. The DCA curves indicated that the nomograms had good net benefits. Furthermore, the nomogram model was well-validated in the internal and external cohorts.

Conclusion

The novel nomogram for predicting the prognosis of advanced NSCLC receiving anti-PD-1 plus chemotherapy with or without antiangiogenic therapy may help guide clinical treatment decisions.

Effect of serum lactate dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio (LAR) on the short-term outcomes and long-term prognosis of colorectal cancer after radical surgery

BACKGROUND

Whether serum lactate dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio (LAR) influenced the outcomes of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients after radical surgery remained unclear. Therefore, this study sought to examine how LAR influences the short-term and long-term outcomes of CRC patients who have undergone radical surgery.

METHODS

This study retrospectively included CRC patients who underwent radical resection between January 2011 and January 2020. We compared short-term outcomes, as well as overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), among various groups. Both univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were utilized to pinpoint independent risk factors associated with overall complications and major complications. Moreover, Cox regression analysis were conducted for OS and DFS. Odds ratio (OR) and Hazard ratio (HR) were adjusted.

RESULTS

This study encompassed a cohort of 3868 patients. 3440 patients were in the low LAR group and 428 patients constituted the high LAR group. In the high LAR group, patients experienced significantly longer operative times (p < 0.01), larger intraoperative blood loss (p < 0.01), and extended postoperative hospital stays (p < 0.01). Additionally, the incidence of both overall complications (p < 0.01) and major complications (p < 0.01) was higher in the high LAR group compared to the low LAR group. Furthermore, LAR was emerged as an independent prognostic factor for overall complications [OR/95% CI: (1.555/1.237 to 1.954), p < 0.01] and major complications [OR/95% CI: (2.178/1.279 to 3.707), p < 0.01]. As for long-term survival, the high LAR group had worse OS in stage II (p < 0.01) and stage III (p < 0.01). In both stage II (p < 0.01) and stage III (p < 0.01), the high LAR group exhibited poorer DFS. Additionally, according to Cox regression analysis, LAR was identified as an independent predictor for both OS [HR/95% CI: (1.930/1.554 to 2.398), p < 0.01] and DFS [HR/95% CI: (1.750/1.427 to 2.146), p < 0.01].

CONCLUSION

LAR emerged as an independent predictor not only for overall complications and major complications but also for both OS and DFS, highlighting its significance and deserving the attention of surgeons.

Prognostic value of EBV DNA and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio in patients with non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a retrospective study

PURPOSE

Analyzing the prognostic value of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA load and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients, thereby developing a reliable and effective marker.

METHODS

We compared survival rates among different groups using the Kaplan-Meier method and the Log-rank test. The factors affecting the prognosis of NPC patients were determined using univariate and multivariate cox regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to identify the cutoff-value and discriminant performance of the model.

RESULTS

The ROC curve indicated a cut-off value of 775 copies/ml for EBV DNA and 203.3 for PLR. Kaplan-Meier and Log-rank tests showed that 3-year overall survival (OS), local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) of NPC patients in high risk group (HRG) were significantly poorer than those in medium risk group (MRG) and low risk group (LRG). The 3-year OS of NPC patients was significantly correlated with age, N stage and EBV DNA-PLR. The 3-year LRFS were significantly correlated with sex, N stage, histology type, and EBV DNA-PLR. The 3-year DMFS were correlated with histology type. The ROC curve showed that area under the curve (AUC) values of EBV DNA-PLR of 3-year OS, LRFS and DMFS in NPC were higher than those of PLR and EBV DNA.

CONCLUSION

EBV DNA-PLR is an independent risk factor for the prognosis of NPC. Compared with PLR or EBV DNA alone, the combination of EBV DNA and PLR may be more accurate in predicting the prognosis of NPC patients.

Association of public health insurance with cancer-specific mortality risk among patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a prospective cohort study in China

Objective

Health insurance programs are effective in preventing financial hardship in patients with cancer. However, not much is known about how health insurance policies, especially in Southwest China with a high incidence of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), influence patients' prognosis. Here, we investigated the association of NPC-specific mortality with health insurance types and self-paying rate, and the joint effect of insurance types and self-paying rate.

Materials and methods

This prospective cohort study was conducted at a regional medical center for cancer in Southwest China and included 1,635 patients with pathologically confirmed NPC from 2017 to 2019. All patients were followed up until May 31, 2022. We determine the cumulative hazard ratio of all-cause and NPC-specific mortality in the groups of various insurance kinds and the self-paying rate using Cox proportional hazard.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 3.7 years, 249 deaths were recorded, of which 195 deaths were due to NPC. Higher self-paying rate were associated with a 46.6% reduced risk of NPC-specific mortality compared to patients with insufficient self-paying rate (HR: 0.534, 95% CI: 0.339-0.839, p = 0.007). For patients covered by Urban and Rural Residents Basic Medical Insurance (URRMBI), and for patients covered by Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance, each 10% increase in the self-paying rate reduced the probability of NPC-specific death by 28.3 and 25%, respectively (UEBMI).

Conclusion

Results of this study showed that, despite China's medical security administration improved health insurance coverage, NPC patients need to afford the high out-of-pocket medical costs in order to prolong their survival time.

Prognostic implication of lactic dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury

BACKGROUND

No studies have been published on the correlation between lactic dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio (LAR) and poor prognosis of acute kidney injury (AKI) patients, warranting further research. This analysis sought to investigate the prognostic implication of LAR in critically ill patients with AKI.

METHODS

The present study enrolled 11,046 and 5180 adults with AKI from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC III) and MIMIC IV, respectively. Data from MIMIC IV were identified as the training cohort, and those from MIMIC III were identified as the validation cohort. We applied multivariate regression analysis to identify the link between LAR and all-cause mortality. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was conducted to figure out the correlation between LAR and in-hospital mortality. Furthermore, we carried out stratification analyses to examine if the effects of LAR on in-hospital mortality were consistent across various subclasses.

RESULTS

The level of LAR was remarkably higher in the in-hospital non-survivor group (p < 0.001). Furthermore, the increased LAR group presented a remarkably higher rate of in-hospital mortality at AKI stages 1, 2, and 3 compared with the decreased LAR group (all p < 0.001). Multivariate regression analyses exhibited the independent prognostic significance of LAR for all-cause mortality (all p < 0.001). MIMIC III observed concordant results. RCS indicated a non-linear correlation between LAR and in-hospital death (P for non-linearity < 0.001). The relationship between LAR and in-hospital mortality was still significant in patients with various subclasses.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated LAR at admission is a prognostic risk factor for critically ill patients with AKI.

Analysis of risk characteristics for metachronous metastasis in different period of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To identify the main risk factors for metachronous metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in different periods after radiotherapy and estimate the weight of various factors in the early or late metachronous metastasis (EMM/LMM) groups.

METHODS

This retrospective registry consists of 4434 patients with newly diagnosed NPC. Cox regression analysis was used to assess the independent significance of various risk factors. The Interactive Risk Attributable Program (IRAP) was used to calculate the attributable risks (ARs) for metastatic patients during different periods.

RESULTS

Among 514 metastatic patients, 346 (67.32%) patients diagnosed with metastasis within 2 years after treatment were classified into the EMM group, while other 168 patients were classified into the LMM group. The ARs of T-stage, N-stage, pre-Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA, post-EBV DNA, age, sex, pre-neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, pre-platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, pre-hemoglobin (HB), and post-HB were 20.19, 67.25, 2.81, 14.28, 18.50, - 11.17%, 14.54, 9.60, 3.74% and - 9.79%, respectively, in the EMM group. In the LMM group, the corresponding ARs were 3.68, 49.11, - 18.04%, 2.19, 6.11, 0.36, 4.62, 19.77, 9.57 and 7.76%, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, the total AR for tumor-related factors was 78.19%, and that for patient-related factors was 26.07% in the EMM group. In the LMM group, the total AR of tumor-related factors was 43.85%, while the weights of patient-related factors was 39.97%. In addition, except for these identified tumor- and patient-related factors, other unevaluated factors played a more important role in patients with late metastasis, with the weight increasing by 15.77%, from 17.76% in the EMM group to 33.53% in the LMM group.

CONCLUSION

Most metachronous metastatic NPC cases occurred in the first 2 years after treatment. Early metastasis was mainly affected by tumor-related factors, which accounted for a declining percentage in the LMM group.

Prognostic Significance of Preoperative Lactate Dehydrogenase to Albumin Ratio in Breast Cancer: A Retrospective Study

Purpose

We explored the relationship between platelet count to lymphocyte count ratio (PLR), monocyte count to lymphocyte count ratio (MLR), lactate dehydrogenase to albumin ratio (LAR), and long-term survival in patients with breast cancer.

Patients and Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical and follow-up data of 134 patients with breast cancer. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was used to distinguish between the low and high ratio groups. The chi-square test or Fisher's exact test was used to calculate the differences among the investigation factors. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw the survival curves. Log rank test was used for univariate analysis, and Cox proportional hazards regression model was used for multivariate analysis. A P value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

The median follow-up time was 45 months. The PFS rates in the low group (LAR≤3.4066) at 18 months, 24 months, and 36 months were 100%, 100%, and 97.6%, and those in the high group (LAR > 3.4066) were 97.7%, 94.3%, and 87.3%, respectively. LAR was associated with Age (P=0.002) and BMI (body mass index) (P=0.002). Univariate analysis showed that Tumor size (P=0.027), Node positivity (P<0.001), TNM (tumor-node-metastasis) stage (P<0.001), PLR (P=0.034), MLR (P=0.038), and LAR (P=0.035) were significantly associated with PFS (progression-free survival) in breast cancer patients. Multivariate analysis showed that Node positivity (P<0.001) and LAR (P=0.035) were associated with PFS, while PLR and MLR were not independent prognostic indicators.

Conclusion

Preoperative high LAR will be an independent predictor of prognosis in patients with breast cancer.

LAPS score for individualized treatment of advanced EGFR-mutated non-small cell lung cancer receiving EGFR-TKIs with or without bevacizumab

BACKGROUND

To establish a risk stratification score to facilitate individualized treatment for patients with advanced epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-mutant non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

We enrolled 160 advanced EGFR-mutated NSCLC who received first-generation EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (EGFR-TKI) with or without bevacizumab. Kaplan-Meier curves were used for survival analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify independent prognostic factors associated with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

There were 107 patients in EGFR-TKI monotherapy (T group) and 53 patients in EGFR-TKI with bevacizumab (A + T group). The median PFS in the A + T group was significantly longer than that in the T group (p = 0.002). No difference in the median OS between the A + T and T groups (p = 0.721). The multivariate analyses showed that Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) and the pre-treatment lactate dehydrogenase-albumin ratio (LAR) were independent prognostic factors for PFS and OS. The LAR-ECOG PS (LAPS) score was constructed by combining the pre-treatment LAR and ECOG PS. We defined ECOG PS 2 and high pre-treatment LAR as a score of 1. Then, patients with a total LAPS score of 0 were categorized as low-risk and those with 1-2 scores were classified as high-risk. For patients in low-risk group, there was no significant difference in PFS, OS, objective response rate (ORR), and disease control rate (DCR) among those who received EGFR-TKI with or without bevacizumab. However, patients in high-risk group had a significant benefit in PFS and DCR when treated with EGFR-TKI plus bevacizumab compared to those who received EGFR-TKI alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Novel LAPS score may help to facilitate individualized treatment of advanced EGFR-mutated NSCLC receiving EGFR-TKI with or without bevacizumab.

The prognostic nutritional index represents a novel inflammation-nutrition-based prognostic factor for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Purpose

This study explored the relationship between the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and overall survival rate (OS) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), and established and validated an effective nomogram to predict clinical outcomes.

Methods

This study included 618 patients newly diagnosed with locoregionally advanced NPC. They were divided into training and validation cohorts at a ratio of 2:1 based on random numbers. The primary endpoint of this study was OS, progression-free survival (PFS) was the second endpoint. A nomogram was drawn from the results of multivariate analyses. Harrell's concordance index (C-index), area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC), and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the clinical usefulness and predictive ability of the nomogram and were compared to the current 8th edition of the International Union Against Cancer/American Joint Committee (UICC/AJCC) staging system.

Results

The PNI cutoff value was 48.1. Univariate analysis revealed that age (p < 0.001), T stage (p < 0.001), N stage (p = 0.036), tumor stage (p < 0.001), PNI (p = 0.001), lymphocyte-neutrophil ratio (NLR, p = 0.002), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH, p = 0.009) were significantly associated with OS, age (p = 0.001), T-stage (p < 0.001), tumor stage (p < 0.001), N-stage (p = 0.011), PNI (p = 0.003), NLR (p = 0.051), and LDH (p = 0.03) were significantly associated with PFS. Multivariate analysis showed that age (p < 0.001), T-stage (p < 0.001), N-stage(p = 0.02), LDH (p = 0.032), and PNI (p = 0.006) were significantly associated with OS, age (p = 0.004), T-stage (<0.001), N-stage (<0.001), PNI (p = 0.022) were significantly associated with PFS. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.702 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.653-0.751). The Akaike information criterion (AIC) value of the nomogram for OS was 1142.538. The C-index of the TNM staging system was 0.647 (95% CI, 0.594-0.70) and the AIC was 1163.698. The C-index, DCA, and AUC of the nomogram demonstrated its clinical value and higher overall net benefit compared to the 8th edition of the TNM staging system.

Conclusion

The PNI represents a new inflammation-nutrition-based prognostic factor for patients with NPC. In the proposed nomogram, PNI and LDH were present, which led to a more accurate prognostic prediction than the current staging system for patients with NPC.

The Systemic Inflammation Score is Associated with the Survival of Patients with Prostate Cancer

Background

The systemic inflammation score (SIS) based on the albumin (Alb) level and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), has been associated with survival in some cancers. However, its prognostic role in prostate cancer (PCa) remains unclear.

Methods

The associations between the SIS and the clinicopathological features of PCa were evaluated. The correlations between the SIS and overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the Log rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were conducted to determine the prognostic factors for PCa. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated.

Results

A total of 253 patients with PCa were included in this study. The Kaplan-Meier analysis and Log rank test suggested that patients with a higher Alb level, higher LMR, or a lower SIS had better 5-year OS and PFS compared with patients with a lower Alb level or lower LMR or higher SIS. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses showed that drinking, prostate-specific antigen level >100 ng/mL, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio >2.09 were significant prognostic factors for OS and PFS in patients with PCa. Nomograms for 5-year OS and PFS were established with concordance index values of 0.888 and 0.824, respectively. The calibration curve was consistent between the actual observations and the prediction nomogram for OS and PFS probability at 5 years.

Conclusion

A high SIS is associated with unfavorable survival in patients with PCa. The SIS serves as a novel independent prognostic factor for OS in patients with PCa.

Utilizing the Lactate Dehydrogenase-to-Albumin Ratio for Survival Prediction in Patients with Bladder Cancer After Radical Cystectomy

Purpose

Previous studies have suggested that the preoperative lactate dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio (LAR) is correlated with survival in several cancers except bladder cancer (BCa). This study aimed to determine the prognostic value of the LAR in patients with urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB) after radical cystectomy (RC).

Patients and Methods

A total of 595 UCB patients with RC in West China Hospital from December 2010 to May 2020 were enrolled. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal cutoff value of the LAR. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analyses were applied to evaluate the association of the LAR with overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival. Independent factors in multivariate analyses were selected to construct nomograms. Calibration curves, ROC curves, concordance index (C-index) and decision curve analyses were used to evaluate the performance of the nomograms.

Results

The optimal cutoff value of the LAR was determined to be 3.8. Preoperative low LAR was associated with decreased OS (P < 0.001) and RFS (P < 0.001), especially in patients with ≥ pT2 disease. LAR was an independent factor for OS (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.719; P <0.001) and RFS (HR: 1.429; P = 0.012). The addition of the LAR into nomograms could result in better prediction performance. The areas under the curves of the nomograms were 0.821 and 0.801 for the prediction of 3-year OS and RFS, respectively. The C-indexes of the nomograms were 0.760 and 0.741 for the prediction of OS and RFS, respectively.

Conclusion

The preoperative LAR is a novel and reliable independent prognostic biomarker for survival in UCB after RC.

Nomogram Based on Hemoglobin, Albumin, Lymphocyte and Platelet Score to Predict Overall Survival in Patients with T3-4N0-1 Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Purpose

There is still uncertainty regarding the prognosis of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) based on hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocytes, and platelets (HALP) score. The aim of this study was to build and verify a nomogram using HALP score to investigate the prognostic value of NPC and identify low-risk patients in T3-4N0-1 NPC to guide treatment options.

Patients and methods

A total of 568 NPC patients with stage T3-4N0-1M0 were recruited in the study, who were given either concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) or induction chemotherapy (IC) plus CCRT. The prognostic factors of overall survival (OS) were picked by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to generate a nomogram, which appraised by discrimination, calibration and clinical utility. Patients were stratified according to risk scores calculated by the nomogram, and compared to the 8th TNM staging system using the Kaplan-Meier methods.

Results

Multivariate analysis showed that TNM stage, Epstein-Barr virus DNA (EBV DNA), HALP score, lactate dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio (LAR) and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) were independent prognostic indicators for OS, and these factors contained in the nomogram. The nomogram demonstrated a significant enhancement over the 8th TNM staging system in terms of assessing OS (C-index, 0.744 vs 0.615 in the training cohort, P < 0.001; 0.757 vs 0.646 in the validation cohort, P = 0.002). Calibration curves displayed good agreement and the stratification in high-risk and low-risk groups resulted in a significant divergence of Kaplan-Meier curves for OS (P < 0.001). In addition, the decision analysis (DCA) curves confirmed satisfactory discriminability and clinical utility.

Conclusion

The HALP score was an independent prognostic factor for NPC. The prognostic function of the nomogram for T3-4N0-1 NPC patients was more accurate compared to the 8th TNM system, facilitating personalized treatment planning.

Isoflurane Preconditioning May Attenuate Cardiomyocyte Injury Induced by Hypoxia/Reoxygenation Possibly by Regulating miR-363-3p

This study attempted to explore whether miR-363-3p play a role in the isoflurane (ISO)-mediated protective effect of cardiomyocyte injury induced by hypoxia/reoxygenation (H/R). A myocardial cell injury model was established, and the different preconditioning ISO concentrations were screened and determined. The miR-363-3p level was detected by RT-qPCR. The effects of miR-363-3p on proliferation and apoptosis of H9c2 cells were detected by CCK-8 assay and flow cytometry. Myocardial injury indexes were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The interaction of miR-363-3p with the 3'-UTR of the KLF2 gene was confirmed by luciferase reporter gene assay. ISO pretreatment can reduce the up-regulation of miR-363-3p after H/R injury. ISO pretreatment reduces the inhibition of cell viability and the promotion of cell apoptosis induced by H/R stimuli, while the overexpression of miR-363-3p counteracts the protective effect of ISO pretreatment. Meanwhile, ISO pretreatment also reduced the level of markers of H/R-induced myocardial injury. Moreover, luciferase reporter analysis showed that KLF2 was the downstream target gene of miR-363-3p. ISO pretreatment may alleviate H/R-induced cardiomyocyte injury by regulating miR-363-3p.

Development and validation of a risk prediction model for overall survival in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a prospective cohort study in China

Objective

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is prevailing in Southern China, characterized by distinct geographical distribution. Aimed to predict the overall survival (OS) of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma, this study developed and validated nomograms considering demographic variables, hematological biomarkers, and oncogenic pathogens in China.

Methods

The clinicopathological and follow-up data of the nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients obtained from a prospective longitudinal cohort study in the Chongqing University Cancer Hospital between Jan 1, 2017 and Dec 31, 2019 (\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\mathrm{n}=1635$$\end{document}n=1635). Cox regression model was used to tested the significance of all available variables as prognostic factors of OS. And independent prognostic factors were identified based on multivariable analysis to model nomogram. Concordance index (C-index), area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were measured to assess the model performance of nomogram.

Results

Data was randomly divided into a training cohort (1227 observers, about 70% of data) and a validation group (408 observers, about 30% of data). At multivariable analysis, the following were independent predictors of OS in NPC patients and entered into the nomogram: age (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.03), stage (stage IV vs. stage I–II, HR: 4.54), radiotherapy (Yes vs. No, HR: 0.43), EBV (\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\ge 1000$$\end{document}≥1000 vs.\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$<1000$$\end{document}<1000, HR: 1.92), LAR (\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$>6.15$$\end{document}>6.15 vs.\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\le 6.15$$\end{document}≤6.15, HR: 2.05), NLR (\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$>4.84$$\end{document}>4.84 vs. \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\le 4.84$$\end{document}≤4.84 HR: 1.54), and PLR (\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$>206.33$$\end{document}>206.33 vs.\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\le 206.33$$\end{document}≤206.33, HR: 1.79). The C-indexes for training cohort at 1-, 3- and 5-year were 0.73, 0.83, 0.80, respectively, in the validation cohort, the C-indexes were 0.74 (95% CI 0.63–0.86), 0.80 (95% CI 0.73–0.87), and 0.77 (95% CI 0.67–0.86), respectively. The calibration curve demonstrated that favorable agreement between the predictions of the nomograms and the actual observations in the training and validation cohorts. In addition, the decision curve analysis proved that the nomogram model had the highest overall net benefit.

Conclusion

A new prognostic model to predict OS of patients with NPC was developed. This can offer clinicians treatment making and patient counseling. Furthermore, the nomogram was deployed into a website server for use.

Establishment of a prognostic nomogram for patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma incorporating clinical characteristics and dynamic changes in hematological and inflammatory markers

Background

This study aims to investigate the prognostic value of changes in hematological and inflammatory markers during induction chemotherapy (IC) and concurrent chemo-radiation (CCRT), thus construct nomograms to predict progression free survival (PFS) of patients with locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC).

Methods

130 patients were included in this prospective analysis. Univariate and multivariate cox regression analyses were conducted to identify prognostic factors. Three multivariate analyses integrating different groups of variables were conducted independently. Concordance indexes (c-index), calibration plots and Kaplan-Meier curves were used to evaluate the nomograms. Bootstrap validation was performed to determine the accuracy of the nomogram using 1000 resamples. The performances of proposed nomograms and TNM staging system were compared to validate the prognostic value of hematological and inflammatory markers.

Results

Pretreatment gross tumor volume of nodal disease (GTVn), Δe/bHGB (hemoglobin count at end of treatment/baseline hemoglobin count), and stage were selected as predictors for 3-year PFS in first multivariate analysis of clinical factors. The second multivariate analysis of clinical factors and all hematological variables demonstrated that ΔminLYM (minimum lymphocyte count during CCRT/lymphocyte count post-IC), pretreatment GTVn and stage were associated with 3-year PFS. Final multivariate analysis, incorporating all clinical factors, hematological variables and inflammatory markers, identified the following prognostic factors: pretreatment GTVn, stage, ΔmaxPLR (maximum platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) during CCRT/PLR post-IC), and ΔminPLT (minimum platelet count during CCRT/platelet count post-IC). Calibration plots showed agreement between the PFS predicted by the nomograms and actual PFS. Kaplan–Meier curves demonstrated that patients in the high-risk group had shorter PFS than those in the low-risk group (P ≤ 0.001). The c-indexes of the three nomograms for PFS were 0.742 (95% CI, 0.639-0.846), 0.766 (95% CI, 0.661-0.871) and 0.815 (95% CI,0.737-0.893) respectively, while c-index of current TNM staging system was 0.633 (95% CI, 0.531-0.736).

Conclusion

We developed and validated a nomogram for predicting PFS in patients with LANPC who received induction chemotherapy and concurrent chemo-radiation. Our study confirmed the prognostic value of dynamic changes in hematological and inflammatory markers. The proposed nomogram outperformed the current TNM staging system in predicting PFS, facilitating risk stratification and guiding individualized treatment plans.

Nomogram Based on Inflammatory Biomarkers and Nutritional Indicators for Predicting Overall Survival in Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Purpose

To establish and validate a nomogram to predict overall survival in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) based on inflammatory biomarkers and nutritional indicators.

Patients and Methods

A total of 1304 patients who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) with or without induction chemotherapy (IC) or adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) were included in the study. The prognosis factors of overall survival (OS) were selected by Cox regression analysis to establish the nomogram. Concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA) and Kaplan-Meier curves were used to evaluate the nomogram.

Results

Using multivariate Cox analysis of clinically important variables, the following variables were incorporated in the prediction of OS: age, gender, T stage, N stage, pre-treatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), lactic dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio (LAR) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). The discriminative ability, clinical usefulness and calibration of the nomogram revealed good predictive ability as indicated by the C-index (0.717 in nomogram and 0.602 in the 8th AJCC staging system), decision curves, calibration curves and K-M curves.

Conclusion

Inflammatory biomarkers and nutritional indicators of survival for LA-NPC were selected to create a nomogram predicting OS. The proposed nomogram resulted in more accurate prognostic prediction than 8th AJCC staging system.

Pan-Immune-Inflammation Value: A New Prognostic Index in Operative Breast Cancer

Background

To build a predictive scoring model based on simple immune and inflammatory parameters to predict postoperative survival in patients with breast cancer.

Methods

We used a brand-new immuno-inflammatory index-pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV)-to retrospectively evaluate the relationship between PIV and overall survival (OS), and based on the results of Cox regression analysis, we established a simple scoring prediction model based on several independent prognostic parameters. The predictive accuracy of the model was evaluated and independently validated.

Results

A total of 1,312 patients were included for analysis. PIV was calculated as follows: neutrophil count (10⁹/L) × platelet count (10⁹/L) × monocyte count (10⁹/L)/lymphocyte count (10⁹/L). According to the best cutoff value of PIV, we divided the patients into two different subgroups, high PIV (PIV > 310.2) and low PIV (PIV ≤ 310.2), associated with significantly different survival outcomes (3-year OS, 80.26% vs. 86.29%, respectively; 5-year OS, 62.5% vs. 71.55%, respectively). Six independent prognostic factors were identified and used to build the scoring system, which performed well with a concordance index (C-index) of 0.759 (95% CI: 0.715-0.802); the calibration plot showed good calibration.

Conclusions

We have established and verified a simple scoring system for predicting prognosis, which can predict the survival of patients with operable breast cancer. This system can help clinicians implement targeted and individualized treatment strategies.

Nomograms based on lactate dehydrogenase to albumin ratio for predicting survival in colorectal cancer

Purpose: We aimed to determine if lactate dehydrogenase to albumin ratio (LAR) might play a prognostic role for patients with operable colorectal cancer (CRC). Patients and Methods: 1334 operable CRC patients in Wuhan Union Hospital Between July 2013 and September 2017 were enrolled in this study and were randomly appointed them into training (n=954) and validation (n=380) sets. The relationship between LAR and overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were determined by restricted cubic splines (RCS) with Cox regression models. LAR was then divided into three categories based on the RCS and compared to the well-known TNM stage system. Finally, survival nomograms were developed by compounding the LAR and other clinical factors. Results: Baseline LAR values and the all-cause mortality were U shaped, which slowly decreased until around 4.50 and then started to increase rapidly when the LAR ranged from 4.50-6.68 and then became flat thereafter (P for non-linearity <0.001). LAR was superior to TNM stage for OS as well as DFS and LAR plus TNM stage could add more net benefit than clinical model alone. Moreover, the survival nomograms based on LAR achieved great predictive ability for OS and DFS in operable CRC patients. Conclusions: LAR could be served as a reliable prognostic factor for OS as well as DFS, with more accurate prognostic prediction than current TNM stage for patients with operable CRC.

RuleFit-Based Nomogram Using Inflammatory Indicators for Predicting Survival in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma, a Bi-Center Study

PURPOSE

Traditional prognostic studies utilized different cut-off values, without evaluating potential information contained in inflammation-related hematological indicators. Using the interpretable machine-learning algorithm RuleFit, this study aimed to explore valuable inflammatory rules reflecting prognosis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In total, 1706 biopsy-proven NPC patients treated in two independent hospitals (1320 and 386) between January 2010 and March 2014 were included. RuleFit was used to develop risk-predictive rules using hematological indicators with no distributive difference between the two centers. Time-event-dependent hematological rules were further selected by stepwise multivariate Cox analysis. Combining high-efficiency hematological rules and clinical predictors, a final model was established. Models based on other algorithms (AutoML, Lasso) and clinical predictors were built for comparison, as well as a reported nomogram. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and concordance index (C-index) were used to verify the predictive precision of different models. A site-based app was established for convenience.

RESULTS

RuleFit identified 22 combined baseline hematological rules, achieving AUROCs of 0.69 and 0.64 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. By contrast, the AUROCs of the optimal contrast model based on AutoML were 1.00 and 0.58. For overall survival, the final model had a much higher C-index than the base model using TN staging in two cohorts (0.769 vs 0.717, P<0.001; 0.752 vs 0.688, P<0.001), and showing great generalizability in training and validation cohorts. The two models based on RuleFit rules performed best, compared with other models. As for other endpoints, the final model showed a similar trend. Kaplan-Meier curve exhibited 22.9% (390/1706) patients were "misclassified" by AJCC staging, but the final model could assess risk classification accurately.

CONCLUSION

The proposed final models based on inflammation-related rules based on RuleFit showed significantly elevated predictive performance.

Predictive Value of Pretreatment Lymphocyte-to-Monocyte Ratio and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in the Survival of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients

Objective

The present study aimed to investigate the predictive value of some indexes, such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), and systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII) in the survival of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and provide reference for the treatment.

Methods

A retrospective analysis was performed on 216 patients from 2016 to 2018. The cutoff values of these indexes were determined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The prognostic value of the indexes was evaluated according to the rate of overall survival (OS), regional recurrence-free survival (RRFS), locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRRFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS).

Results

The survival analysis showed that NLR ≤2.695 (P = 0.017) and PLR ≤140.065 (P = 0.041) were associated with poor OS; however, the LMR and SIRI showed no significant statistical significance. NLR ≤2.045 (P = 0.018) and PLR ≤125.605 (P = 0.003) were associated with poor RRFS, LMR ≤2.535 (P = 0.027) and PLR ≤140.065 (P = 0.009) were associated with poor DMFS, NLR ≤2.125 (P = 0.018) and PLR ≤132.645 (P = 0.026) were associated with poor LRRFS, respectively. Logistic regression analysis showed that low LMR (≤2.535) was significantly inferior in OS (HR 23.085, 95% CI 3.425–155.622, P = 0.001) and DMFS (HR 22.839, 95% CI 4.096–127.343, P < 0.001). Moreover, low PLR (≤140.065) remained significantly related to worse OS (HR 11.908, 95% CI 1.295–109.517, P = 0.029) and DMFS (HR 9.556, 95% CI 1.448–63.088, P = 0.019).

Conclusion

The index LMR and PLR can be used for predicting survival in NPC patients.