Clinical Data-CT Radiomics-Based Model for Predicting Prognosis of Patients with Gastrointestinal Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasms (GP-NENs).
COMPUTATIONAL AND MATHEMATICAL METHODS IN MEDICINE 2022;
2022:4186305. [PMID:
36035279 PMCID:
PMC9410919 DOI:
10.1155/2022/4186305]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2022] [Revised: 07/08/2022] [Accepted: 07/23/2022] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
Abstract
Purpose
Based on computerized tomography (CT) radiomics and clinical data, a model was established to predict the prognosis of patients with gastrointestinal pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (GP-NENs).
Methods
In the data collection, the clinical imaging and survival follow-up data of 225 GP-NENs patients admitted to Xiangyang No.1 People's Hospital and Jiangsu Province Hospital of Chinese Medicine from August 2015 to February 2021 were collected. According to the follow-up results, they were divided into the nonrecurrent group (n = 108) and the recurrent group (n = 117), based on which a training set and a test set were established at a ratio of 7/3. In the training set, a variety of models were established with significant clinical and imaging data (P < 0.05) to predict the prognosis of GP-NENs patients, and then these models were verified in the test set.
Results
Our newly developed combined prediction model had high predictive efficacy. Univariate analysis showed that Radscore 1/2/3, age, Ki-67 index, tumor pathological type, tumor primary site, and TNM stage were risk factors for the prognosis of GP-NENs patients (all P < 0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUC) of the combined model was significantly higher [AUC:0.824, 95% CI 0.0342 (0.751-0.883)] than that of the clinical data model [AUC:0.786, 95% CI 0.0384(0.709-0.851)] and the radiomics model [AUC:0.712, 95% CI 0.0426(0.631-0.785)]. The decision curve also confirmed that the combined model had a higher clinical net benefit. The same results were achieved in the test set.
Conclusion
The prognosis of patients with GP-NENs is generally poor. The combined model based on clinical data and CT radiomics can help to early predict the prognosis of patients with GP-NENs, and then necessary interventions could be provided to improve the survival rate and quality of life of patients.
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