Cost-effectiveness analysis of transcatheter aortic valve implantation in aortic stenosis patients at low- and intermediate-surgical risk in Japan

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the cost-effectiveness of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) using the SAPIEN 3 (Edwards Lifesciences, Irvine, CA) compared to surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) in low- and intermediate-risk patients from a Japanese public healthcare payer perspective.

METHODS

A Markov model cost-effectiveness analysis was developed. Clinical and utility data were extracted from a systematic literature review. Cost inputs were obtained from analysis of the Medical Data Vision claims database and supplemented with a targeted literature search. The robustness of the results was assessed using sensitivity analyses. Scenario analyses were performed to determine the impact of lower mean age (77.5 years) and the effect of two different long-term mortality hazard ratios (TAVI versus SAVR: 0.9-1.09) on both risk-level populations. This analysis was conducted according to the guidelines for cost-effectiveness evaluation in Japan from Core 2 Health.

RESULTS

In intermediate-risk patients, TAVI was a dominant procedure (TAVI had lower cost and higher effectiveness). In low-risk patients, the incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) for TAVI was ¥750,417/quality-adjusted-life-years (QALY), which was below the cost-effectiveness threshold of ¥5 million/QALY. The ICER for TAVI was robust to all tested sensitivity and scenario analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

TAVI was dominant and cost-effective compared to SAVR in intermediate- and low-risk patients, respectively. These results suggest that TAVI can provide meaningful value to Japanese patients relative to SAVR, at a reasonable incremental cost for patients at low surgical risk and potentially resulting in cost-savings in patients at intermediate surgical risk.

Cost-effectiveness of endovascular therapy for acute stroke with a large ischemic region in Japan: impact of the Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score on cost-effectiveness

BACKGROUND

Although randomized clinical trials (RCTs) demonstrated short-term benefits of endovascular therapy (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) with a large ischemic region, little is known about the long-term cost-effectiveness or its difference by the extent of the ischemic areas. We aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of EVT for AIS involving a large ischemic region from the perspective of Japanese health insurance payers, and analyze it using the Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS).

METHODS

The Recovery by Endovascular Salvage for Cerebral Ultra-acute Embolism-Japan Large Ischemic Core Trial (RESCUE-Japan LIMIT) was a RCT enrolling AIS patients with ASPECTS of 3-5 initially determined by the treating neurologist primarily using MRI. The hypothetical cohort and treatment efficacy were derived from the RESCUE-Japan LIMIT. Costs were calculated using the national health insurance tariff. We stratified the cohort into two subgroups based on ASPECTS of ≤3 and 4-5 as determined by the imaging committee, because heterogeneity was observed in treatment efficacy. EVT was considered cost-effective if the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was below the willingness-to-pay of 5 000 000 Japanese yen (JPY)/quality-adjusted life year (QALY).

RESULTS

EVT was cost-effective among the RESCUE-Japan LIMIT population (ICER 4 826 911 JPY/QALY). The ICER among those with ASPECTS of ≤3 and 4-5 was 19 396 253 and 561 582 JPY/QALY, respectively.

CONCLUSION

EVT was cost-effective for patients with AIS involving a large ischemic region with ASPECTS of 3-5 initially determined by the treating neurologist in Japan. However, the ICER was over 5 000 000 JPY/QALY among those with an ASPECTS of ≤3 as determined by the imaging committee.

Cost-effectiveness of seven-days-per-week rehabilitation schedule for acute stroke patients

BACKGROUND

Rehabilitation is an essential medical service for patients who have suffered acute stroke. Although the effectiveness of 7-days-per-week rehabilitation schedule has been studied in comparison with 5- or 6-days-per-week rehabilitation schedule, its cost-effectiveness has not been analyzed. In this research, to help formulate more cost-effective medical treatments for acute stroke patients, we analyzed the cost-effectiveness of 7-days-per-week rehabilitation for acute stroke from public health payer's perspective, and public healthcare and long-term care payer's perspective in Japan.

METHODS

Cost-effectiveness of 7-days-per-week rehabilitation for acute stroke patients was analyzed based on the result from a previous study using a Japanese database examining the efficacy of 7-days-per-week rehabilitation. Cost utility analysis was conducted by comparing 7-days-per-week rehabilitation with 5- or 6-days-per-week rehabilitation, with its main outcome incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) calculated by dividing estimated incremental medical and long-term care costs by incremental quality-adjusted life years (QALY). The costs were estimated using the Japanese fee table and from published sources. The time horizon was 5 years, and Markov modeling was used for the analysis.

RESULTS

The ICER was $6339/QALY from public health payer's perspective, lower than 5,000,000 Yen/QALY (approximately US$37,913), which was the willingness-to-pay used for the cost-effectiveness evaluation in Japan. The 7-day-per-week rehabilitation was dominant from public healthcare and long-term care payer's perspective. The result of sensitivity analysis confirmed the results.

CONCLUSION

The results indicated that 7-days-per-week rehabilitation for acute stroke rehabilitation was likely to be cost-effective.

Cost-effectiveness of left atrial appendage closure with Watchman for non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients in Japan

AIMS

Left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) has been demonstrated to be cost-saving relative to oral anticoagulants for stroke prophylaxis in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) in the United States and Europe. This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of LAAC with the Watchman device relative to warfarin and direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for stroke risk reduction in NVAF from a Japanese public healthcare payer perspective.

METHODS

A Markov model was developed with 70-year-old patients using a lifetime time horizon. LAAC clinical inputs were from pooled, 5-year PROTECT AF and PREVAIL trials; warfarin and DOAC inputs were from published meta-analyses. Baseline stroke and bleeding risks were from the SALUTE trial on LAAC. Cost inputs were from the Japanese Medical Data Vision database. Probabilistic and one-way sensitivity analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Over the lifetime time horizon, LAAC was less costly than warfarin (savings of JPY 1,878,335, equivalent to US $17,600) and DOACs (savings of JPY 1,198,096, equivalent to US $11,226). LAAC also provided 1.500 more incremental quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) than warfarin and 0.996 more than DOACs. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, LAAC was cost-effective relative to warfarin and DOACs in 99.98% and 99.73% of simulations, respectively. LAAC dominated (had higher cumulative QALYs and was less costly than) warfarin and DOACs in 89.94% and 83.35% of simulations, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Over a lifetime time horizon, LAAC is cost-saving relative to warfarin and DOACs for stroke risk reduction in NVAF patients in Japan and is associated with improved quality-of-life.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of termination-of-resuscitation rules for patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

AIM

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of practices with and without termination-of-resuscitation (TOR) rules for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), using an analytic model based on a nationwide population-based registry in Japan.

METHODS

A combined model using a decision tree and Markov model was developed to compare costs and treatment effectiveness of three scenarios: basic life support (BLS) TOR rules (BLS-rule scenario), advanced life support (ALS) TOR rules (ALS-rule scenario), and no TOR rules (No-rule scenario). A nationwide population-based OHCA registry from January 1 to December 31, 2019 and published data were used. Analyses were performed from healthcare payers' perspectives. Life-time incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was determined by the difference in cost between two scenarios, divided by the difference in quality adjusted life year (QALY).

RESULTS

The OHCA registry included 126,271 patients (57.3% men; median age, 80 years). The BLS-rule scenario yielded lower cost and less QALY than the ALS-rule scenario and No-rule scenario. With reference to the BLS-rule scenario, the ICERs for the ALS-rule scenario and No-rule scenario were 81,000 and 98,762 USD per QALY, respectively. The BLS-rule scenario was cost-effective in 100% of simulations at the willingness-to-pay threshold in Japan (5 million JPY = 45,455 USD). The willingness-to-pay threshold higher than 80,000 and 204,000 USD were required for the ALS-rule scenario and No-rule scenarios, respectively, to be cost-effective.

CONCLUSION

No-rule scenario was not cost-effective compared with BLS-rule scenario within acceptable willingness-to-pay thresholds. Further research on health economics of TOR rules is warranted to support constructive discussion on implementing TOR rules.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Initiating Type 2 Diabetes Therapy with a Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitor Versus Conventional Therapy in Japan

INTRODUCTION

Many patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) suffer from complications that impose substantial burdens on prognosis and medical costs. Accumulating evidence has demonstrated the clinical benefit of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) on cardiovascular and renal complications. However, the health economic impact of SGLT2i remains unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of initiating antidiabetic therapy with an SGLT2i using Japanese real-world data.

METHODS

We constructed a natural history model incorporating heart failure (HF), myocardial infarction, stroke, chronic kidney disease, and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) as complications. The target population comprised patients with T2DM who newly initiated their first oral glucose-lowering drugs. By using a population-based microsimulation, we estimated the 10-year medical costs in Japanese yen (JPY) and outcomes (hospitalization for/development of complications and quality-adjusted life years [QALY]) for patients who initiated antidiabetic therapy with an SGLT2i or conventional therapy. Sensitivity analyses included a probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) with 1,000,000 iterations.

RESULTS

In the base-case analysis, the total medical cost per person was JPY 1,638,806 versus JPY 1,825,033 and the QALYs were 8.732 versus 8.513 for the SGLT2i strategy versus the conventional strategy, respectively. Thus, initiating treatment with an SGLT2i was dominant, more effective (QALY gain), and lower cost. When treating 10,000 patients, the SGLT2i strategy would reduce all-cause deaths by 410 (552 vs 962), HF events by 201 (897 vs 1098), and ESRD events by 16 (16 vs 32) versus the conventional strategy. The PSA revealed that the probability of dominance for initiating SGLT2i therapy was 90.5%, demonstrating the robustness of the results.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that initiating T2DM treatment with SGLT2i, aimed at managing cardiovascular and renal complications from the early stages of diabetes, can improve the clinical outcome and reduce cost burden of T2DM.

Cost-effectiveness of digital therapeutics for essential hypertension

Hypertension increases the risk of cardiovascular and other diseases. Lifestyle modification is a significant component of nonpharmacological treatments for hypertension. We previously reported the clinical efficacy of digital therapeutics (DTx) in the HERB-DH1 trial. However, there is still a lack of cost-effectiveness assessments evaluating the impact of prescription DTx. This study aimed to analyze the cost-effectiveness of using prescription DTx in treating hypertension. We developed a monthly cycle Markov model and conducted Monte Carlo simulations using the HERB-DH1 trial data to investigate quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and the cost of DTx for hypertension plus guideline-based lifestyle modification consultation treatment as usual (TAU), comparing DTx + TAU and TAU-only groups with a lifetime horizon. The model inputs were obtained from the HERB-DH1 trial, published or publicly available data, and expert assumptions. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per QALY was used as the benchmark for cost-effectiveness. We performed probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSAs) using the Monte Carlo simulation with two million sets. The DTx + TAU strategy produced 18.778 QALYs and was associated with ¥3,924,075 ($34,122) expected costs, compared with 18.686 QALYs and ¥3,813,358 ($33,160) generated by the TAU-only strategy over a lifetime horizon, resulting in an ICER of ¥1,199,880 ($10,434)/QALY gained for DTx + TAU. The monthly cost and attrition rate of DTx for hypertension have a significant impact on ICERs. In the PSA, the probability of the DTx arm being a cost-effective option was 87.8% at a threshold value of ¥5 million ($43,478)/QALY gained. In conclusion, the DTx + TAU strategy was more cost-effective than the TAU-only strategy.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of patent foramen ovale closure versus medical therapy alone after cryptogenic stroke

Background

Closure of a patent foramen ovale reduces the risk of recurrent stroke compared with medical therapy alone in young patients with cryptogenic strokes revealed by randomized control trials. Some cost-effectiveness analyses outside Japan have shown that patent foramen ovale closure is cost-effective, but no studies have examined cost-effectiveness in Japan. The objective of this study is to assess cost-effectiveness, from the perspective of a Japanese healthcare payer, of patent foramen ovale closure versus medical therapy alone for patients with patent foramen ovale related to cryptogenic strokes.

Methods

A cost-effectiveness study was conducted by developing a decision tree and a Markov model. Probabilities and a 5.9-year time horizon followed the RESPECT study. Utilities and costs were based upon published studies and assumptions. All assumptions were assessed by experts, including a cardiologist and a statistical expert. The target population comprised patients with cryptogenic stroke and patent foramen ovale, aged 60 years or younger. The model was discounted at 2.0% and its cycle was one month. A willingness-to-pay threshold is set at $50,000 / quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was evaluated. Then one-way sensitivity analyses as deterministic sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess data robustness.

Results

Incremental quality-adjusted life years, incremental costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio were 0.464, $13,562, and $29,208 per QALY gained, respectively. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that the stable state utility score difference between patent foramen ovale closure and medical therapy had the largest impact on incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Patent foramen ovale closure is cost-effective at a stable state utility score difference of >0.051, compared with medical therapy. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses demonstrated that patent foramen ovale closure was 50.3% cost-effective.

Conclusions

Patent foramen ovale closure was cost-effective compared with medical therapy for Japanese patients with cryptogenic stroke who were ≤60 years.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Percutaneous Patent Foramen Ovale Closure Preventing Secondary Ischemic Stroke in Japan

OBJECTIVES

Patent foramen ovale is a hemodynamically insignificant interatrial communication that may cause ischemic stroke. Percutaneous patent foramen ovale closure reduces the risk for recurrent ischemic stroke in patients with a history of cryptogenic ischemic stroke. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of patent foramen ovale closure against medical therapy in patients after their first cryptogenic ischemic stroke in Japan.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The cost-effectiveness of patent foramen ovale closure compared with medical therapy was evaluated using the Markov model. The target patients started with patent foramen ovale closure or medical therapy for preventing secondary ischemic stroke under a stable state. Quality-adjusted life year was used as the outcome of effectiveness, and the analysis was conducted with a discount rate of 2% applied to both cost and effectiveness. The results of a multicenter open-label randomized controlled trial (RESPECT trial) evaluating patent foramen ovale closure using the Amplatzer™ PFO Occluder were used as clinical evidence. Cost-effectiveness was evaluated using the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. It was evaluated as cost-effective if it was lower than 5 million JPY/ quality-adjusted life year.

RESULTS

Patent foramen ovale closure was dominant over medical therapy by 2.53 quality-adjusted life years and an estimated cost reduction of 2,353,926 JPY. The probability of patent foramen ovale closure being dominant was 82.9%.

CONCLUSIONS

Patent foramen ovale closure was dominant over medical therapy for preventing secondary ischemic stroke in patients with cryptogenic ischemic stroke.

Cost-effectiveness of rivaroxaban versus warfarin in non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients with chronic kidney disease in China

WHAT IS KNOWN AND OBJECTIVE

In non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), rivaroxaban was not inferior to warfarin in preventing stroke and systemic embolism. However, a comparative evaluation of the cost-effectiveness of rivaroxaban and warfarin therapies for NVAF patients at different renal function levels has not yet been reported, and this study aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of rivaroxaban compared with warfarin in Chinese NVAF patients with CKD.

METHODS

A Markov model was constructed to estimate quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and lifetime costs associated with the use of rivaroxaban relative to warfarin in patients with NVAF at different estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) levels as follows: 30 to <50, 50 to <80 and ≥80 mL/min. Input parameters were sourced from the clinical literature. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess model uncertainty.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

The incrementalQALYs with rivaroxaban was slightly increased by approximately 0.3 QALY as compared with that with warfarin in all the subgroups, resulting in an ICER of $9,736/QALY (eGFR, 30 to <50 mL/min), $9,758/QALY (50 to <80 mL/min) and $9,969/QALY (≥80 mL/min). The probabilistic sensitivity analysis suggested a chance of >80% that the ICER would be lower than the willingness-to-pay threshold of three times the GDP of China in 2019 in all the subgroups. Results were consistent even under the assumption of anticoagulant discontinuation after major bleeding events. The model was most sensitive to event-free-related utility and survival rates.

WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSION

The existing evidence supports the cost-effectiveness of rivaroxaban therapy as an alternative anticoagulant to warfarin for patients with NVAF at different renal function levels.

Cost-effectiveness of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A multi-centre prospective cohort study

AIM

Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) is an evolving resuscitative method for refractory cardiopulmonary arrests. However, considering the substantial healthcare costs and resources involved, there is an urgent need for a full economic evaluation. We therefore assessed the cost-effectiveness of ECPR for refractory ventricular fibrillation/pulseless ventricular tachycardia (VF/pVT).

METHODS

We developed a decision model to estimate lifetime costs and outcomes for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients with VF/pVT who received either ECPR or conventional cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) was used as the main outcome measure. This model was a combination of a decision tree model for the acute phase based on a prospective observational study (SAVE-J study), together with a Markov model for long-term follow-up periods extrapolated from published data. To evaluate the robustness of this model, we conducted a comprehensive deterministic sensitivity analysis (DSA) and a probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA).

RESULTS

ECPR was cost-effective, with an incremental cost of ¥3,521,189 (Є30,227), an incremental effectiveness of 1.34 QALY, and an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of ¥2,619,692 (Є22,489) per QALY gained. DSA revealed that the present model was most sensitive to probability of Cerebral Performance Category 1 after ECPR (¥2,153,977/QALY to ¥3,186,475/QALY), patient age (¥2,170,112/QALY to ¥3,334,252/QALY), and long-term medical cost for modified Rankin Scale 0 (¥2,280,352/QALY to ¥2,855,330/QALY). PSA indicated ECPR to be cost-effective and below the willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥5,000,000 with an 86.7 % possibility.

CONCLUSIONS

ECPR was an economically acceptable resuscitative strategy, and the results of the present study were robust even when considering the uncertainty of all parameters.

Cost-Effectiveness of Obstructive Sleep Apnea Screening and Treatment Before Catheter Ablation for Symptomatic Atrial Fibrillation

Background: Although management of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) has been recommended to improve outcomes of catheter ablation (CA) in patients with symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF), the most cost-effective way of preprocedural OSA screening is undetermined. This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of OSA management before CA for symptomatic AF.

Methods and Results: A Markov model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of 3 OSA detection strategies before CA: no screening; Type 3 portable monitor (PM)-guided screening; and polysomnography (PSG)-guided screening. The target population consisted of a hypothetical cohort of patients aged 65 years with symptomatic AF, with 50% prevalence of OSA. We used a 5-year horizon, with sensitivity analyses for significant variables and scenario analyses for lower and higher OSA prevalence (30% and 70%, respectively). In the base-case, both types of OSA screening were dominant (less costly and more effective) relative to no screening. Although PSG-guided management was more effective than PM-guided management, it was more costly and therefore did not show clear benefit. These findings were replicated in cohorts with lower and higher OSA risks.

Conclusions: OSA screening before CA is cost-effective in patients with symptomatic AF, with PM screening being the most cost-effective. Physicians should consider OSA management using this simple tool in the decision making for treatment of symptomatic AF.

Health Utility Weighting of the Modified Rankin Scale: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

IMPORTANCE

The utility-weighted modified Rankin Scale (UW-mRS) has been proposed as a patient-centered alternative primary outcome for stroke clinical trials. However, to date, there is no clear consensus on an approach to weighting the mRS.

OBJECTIVE

To characterize the between-study variability in utility weighting of the mRS in a population of patients who experienced stroke and its implications when applied to the results of a clinical trial.

DATA SOURCES

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, MEDLINE, Embase, and PsycINFO were searched from January 1987 through May 2019 using major search terms for stroke, health utility, and mRS.

STUDY SELECTION

Original research articles published in English were reviewed. Included were studies with participants 18 years or older with ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or subarachnoid hemorrhage, with mRS scores and utility weights evaluated concurrently. A total of 5725 unique articles were identified. Of these, 283 met criteria for full-text review, and 24 were included in the meta-analysis.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

PRISMA guidelines for systematic review were followed. Data extraction was performed independently by multiple researchers. Data were pooled using mixed models.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The mean utility weights and 95% CIs were calculated for each mRS score and health utility scale. Geographic differences in weighting for the EuroQoL 5-dimension (EQ-5D) and Stroke Impact Scale-based UW-mRS were explored using inverse variance-weighted linear models. The results of 18 major acute stroke trials cited in current guidelines were then reanalyzed using the UW-mRS weighting scales identified in the systematic review.

RESULTS

The meta-analysis included 22 389 individuals; the mean (SD) age of participants was 65.9 (4.0) years, and the mean (SD) proportion of male participants was 58.2% (7.5%). For all health utility scales evaluated, statistically significant differences were observed between the mean utility weights by mRS score. For studies using an EQ-5D-weighted mRS, between-study variance was higher for worse (mRS 2-5) compared with better (mRS 0-1) scores. Of the 18 major acute stroke trials with reanalyzed results, 3 had an unstable outcome when using different UW-mRSs.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Multiple factors, including cohort-specific characteristics and health utility scale selection, can influence mRS utility weighting. If the UW-mRS is selected as a primary outcome, the approach to weighting may alter the results of a clinical trial. Researchers using the UW-mRS should prospectively and concurrently obtain mRS scores and utility weights to characterize study-specific outcomes.

Cost-effectiveness of rivaroxaban versus warfarin for stroke prevention in non-valvular atrial fibrillation in the Japanese healthcare setting

Aims: This article aimed to examine the cost-effectiveness of rivaroxaban in comparison to warfarin for stroke prevention in Japanese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), from a public healthcare payer's perspective.Materials and methods: Baseline event risks were obtained from the J-ROCKET AF trial and the treatment effect data were taken from a network meta-analysis. The other model inputs were extracted from the literature and official Japanese sources. The outcomes included the number of ischaemic strokes, myocardial infarctions, systemic embolisms and bleedings avoided, life-years, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), incremental costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). The scenario analysis considered treatment effect data from the same network meta-analysis.Results: In comparison with warfarin, rivaroxaban was estimated to avoid 0.284 ischaemic strokes per patient, to increase the number of QALYs by 0.535 per patient and to decrease the total costs by ¥118,892 (€1,011.11) per patient (1 JPY = 0.00850638 EUR; XE.com, 7 October 2019). Consequently, rivaroxaban treatment was found to be dominant compared to warfarin. In the scenario analysis, the ICER of rivaroxaban versus warfarin was ¥2,873,499 (€24,446.42) per QALY.Limitations: The various sources of data used resulted in the heterogeneity of the cost-effectiveness analysis results. Although, rivaroxaban was cost-effective in the majority of cases.Conclusion: Rivaroxaban is cost-effective against warfarin for stroke prevention in Japanese patients with NVAF, giving the payer WTP of 5,000,000 JPY.

Cost-Effectiveness of Cryoballoon Ablation Versus Radiofrequency Ablation for Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation in China: Results Based on Real-World Data

BACKGROUND

Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) presents a significant economic burden to the healthcare system. Catheter ablations is a commonly adopted treatment for paroxysmal AF.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the cost effectiveness of cryoballoon ablation versus radiofrequency ablation in patients with drug-refractory paroxysmal AF in a tertiary hospital in China.

METHODS

A Markov model was developed to study the effects and costs. Cost and probability input data were obtained mainly from a retrospective real-world study conducted in a tertiary hospital. Propensity score matching was used to overcome retrospective bias. Input data gaps were remedied by means of literature review and advice from experts. A simulation was performed for the post-procedure lifetime years. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

In the base-case analysis of a lifetime time horizon, a patient treated with cryoballoon ablation was associated with 7.85 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and ¥132 222 ($19 913) total costs, whereas a radiofrequency ablation treated patient was associated with 7.71 QALYs and ¥147 304 ($22 184) total costs. The cryoballoon group had slightly better health outcomes (with a difference of 0.14 QALY) and lower total costs (with a difference of ¥15 082) (USD $2 271), and it may be considered as cost-effective or cost-saving strategy (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio -¥110 158 [$16 590] per QALY) for the management of paroxysmal AF. Different scenarios were tested with sensitivity analyses, but still, the outcomes remained cost-effective or cost-saving for cryoballoon ablation.

CONCLUSIONS

An economic evaluation based on real-world data suggests that, relative to radiofrequency ablation, cryoballoon ablation may be considered as a more cost-effective or cost-saving long-term strategy for drug-refractory paroxysmal AF in this tertiary hospital in China. However, further evidence is needed using data from large-scale studies in order to reflect a national perspective.

Disabled life expectancy with and without stroke: a 10-year Japanese prospective cohort study

PURPOSE

A stroke is a debilitating condition that can cause lifelong disability, severely limiting the ability of individuals to perform daily activities. In Japan, strokes are the fourth leading cause of death; however, no previous studies have examined the influence of strokes on a disabled or disability-free life for older Japanese residents. This study aims to address this gap.

METHODS

The study used data from the Nihon University Japanese Longitudinal Study of Aging (NUJLSOA) and incidence-based multistate life tables to estimate disabled and disability-free life expectancy based on the stroke status of Japanese residents aged 65 and older.

RESULTS

Japanese stroke survivors aged 65 who experienced an initial disability-free state could expect to live approximately 3 fewer total years of life, 4-5 fewer years in a disability-free state, and 1-2 more years in a disabled state compared to those without history of a stroke (p < 0.05). For those disabled at the beginning of the survey interval, the differences between individuals with and without stroke history were also similar to those disability-free at the beginning of the survey interval (2-4 and 5-6 fewer total and disability-free years, respectively) (p < 0.05). The same pattern was observed for older age groups.

CONCLUSION

Older adults who have experienced a stroke could experience a shorter total life expectancy, shorter disability-free life expectancy, and longer disabled life expectancy than those who have not experienced a stroke. These results can inform policymakers and rehabilitation practitioners on stroke survivor long-term care needs and their post-stroke health status.

Cost-Utility Analysis of Apixaban versus Warfarin in Atrial Fibrillation Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

Warfarin use for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with chronic kidney disease is debated. Apixaban was shown to be safer than warfarin, with superior reduction in the risk of stroke, systemic embolism, mortality, and major bleeding irrespective of kidney function.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the cost-utility of apixaban compared with warfarin in AF patients at different levels of kidney function.

METHODS

A Markov model was used to estimate the cost effectiveness of apixaban compared with warfarin in AF patients at three levels of kidney function: estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of more than 80 ml/min, 50 to 80 ml/min, and 50 ml/min or less. Event rates and associated utilities were obtained from previous literature. The model adopted the US health care system perspective, with hospitalization costs extracted from the Healthcare and Utilization Project. Treatment costs were obtained from official price lists. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the robustness of results.

RESULTS

Apixaban was a dominant treatment strategy compared with warfarin in AF patients with eGFR levels of 50 ml/min or less and 50 to 80 ml/min. In patients with an eGFR of more than 80 ml/min, apixaban was cost-effective compared with warfarin, costing $6307 per quality-adjusted life-year gained. Results were consistent assuming anticoagulant discontinuation after major bleeding events. Compared with dabigatran and rivaroxaban, apixaban was the only cost-effective anticoagulant strategy relative to warfarin in both mild and moderate renal impairment settings.

CONCLUSIONS

Apixaban is a favorably cost-effective alternative to warfarin in AF patients with normal kidney function and potentially cost-saving in those with renal impairment.

Clinical and economic impact of rivaroxaban on the burden of atrial fibrillation: The case study of Japan

OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) affects an estimated 1.5 million individuals in Japan, increasing their stroke risk and imposing considerable costs on the Japanese healthcare system. To reduce stroke incidence, guidelines recommend using anticoagulants in moderate-to-high risk non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients; however, many patients receive no treatment, aspirin only, or remain poorly-controlled on vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) due to high VKA discontinuation rates and non-adherence to guidelines. A prevalence-based Markov model was developed to estimate the clinical and budgetary impact of treating these patients with Xarelto(TM) (rivaroxaban, Bayer AG) in Japan.

METHODS

Population, baseline risk of events, and associated management costs were estimated using data from Japanese publications where available. Treatment efficacy and safety were derived from published data and the J-ROCKET AF trial. Drug and physician visit costs were based on data from the Ministry of Health, Labor, and Welfare, the J-ROCKET AF trial, and Japanese clinical guidelines.

RESULTS

This model demonstrates that increased use of rivaroxaban in inadequately-managed NVAF patients could avoid 456 081 non-fatal ischemic strokes (IS) and 76 975 cardiovascular deaths over 10 years in Japan. This clinical benefit offsets the increased incidence of myocardial infarctions and anticoagulant-related bleeding. Decreased event costs could lead to a ¥188.4 billion decrease in net spending over the analysis time horizon.

CONCLUSIONS

Introducing rivaroxaban may decrease the burden of NVAF in Japanese society. From a clinical perspective, the reduction in IS and embolic events outweighs the increased risk of anticoagulant-related bleeding; from an economic perspective, reduced event costs offset drug and physician visit costs, resulting in cost savings.

Clinical Impact of the Cardio-Ankle Vascular Index for Predicting Cardiovascular Events After Acute Coronary Syndrome

BACKGROUND

We hypothesized the cardio-ankle vascular stiffness index (CAVI) could predict future cardiovascular events.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We enrolled 288 consecutive patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) who underwent CAVI measurement soon after the onset of ACS. Exclusion criteria were as follows: unable to detect significant stenosis by coronary angiography, severe aortic insufficiency, peripheral artery disease, atrial fibrillation (AF), informed consent was not given. We divided the patients into 2 groups according to the cutoff value of CAVI determined by receiver-operating characteristics curve for the prediction of cardiovascular events: low CAVI group, 135 patients with CAVI ≤8.325; high CAVI group, 153 patients with CAVI >8.325. Patients were followed up for a median period of 15 months. The primary and secondary endpoints were the incidence of cardiovascular events (cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal ischemic stroke), and nonfatal ischemic stroke. Of the 288 patients, cardiovascular events occurred in 19 patients (6.6%). The Kaplan-Meier estimate of the event-free rate revealed cardiovascular events occurred more frequently in the high CAVI group than in the low CAVI group (log-rank, P<0.001). Multiple adjusted Cox proportional hazards analysis, including age, indicated the high CAVI group was an independent predictor of cardiovascular events (hazard ratio [HR] 18.00, P=0.005), and nonfatal ischemic stroke (HR 9.371, P=0.034).

CONCLUSIONS

High CAVI is an independent predictor of cardiovascular events and nonfatal ischemic stroke in patients with ACS. (Circ J 2016; 80: 1420-1426).

A cost-utility analysis for catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation in combination with warfarin and dabigatran based on the CHADS2 score in Japan

BACKGROUND

We aimed to clarify the cost-effectiveness of an expensive combination therapy for atrial fibrillation (AF) using both catheter ablation and dabigatran compared with warfarin at each CHADS₂ score for patients in Japan.

METHODS

A Markov model was constructed to analyze costs and quality-adjusted life years associated with AF therapeutic options with a time horizon of 10 years. The target population was 60-year-old patients with paroxysmal AF. The indication for anticoagulation was determined according to the Japanese guideline. Anticoagulation-related data were derived from the RE-LY study and the AF recurrence rate was set at 2.7% per month during the first 12 months and at 0.40% per month afterwards. Stroke risk was determined according to AF recurrence, anticoagulation, and CHADS₂ score. The risks for stroke recurrence and stroke death were also considered. Costs were calculated from the healthcare payer's perspective, and only direct medical costs were included.

RESULTS

Warfarin was the most preferred option for patients with a CHADS₂ score of 0 from a health economics aspect. Ablation under warfarin was preferred for a CHADS₂ score of 1-3, while ablation under dabigatran was preferred for a CHADS₂ score ≥4. The quality of life score for AF had the largest impact on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios in the analysis between the anticoagulation arm and the anticoagulation+ablation arm for a CHADS₂ score of 2. Within the range of the Japanese willingness-to-pay threshold (¥5,000,000), the ablation+warfarin arm became the best option with its probability of 81.7% for a CHADS₂ score of 2; the dabigatran+ablation arm was the most preferred option with its probability of 56.1% for a CHADS₂ score of 4.

CONCLUSIONS

Ablation under dabigatran therapy is an expensive therapeutic option, but it might benefit patients with a low quality of life and a high CHADS₂ score.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Smoking Cessation Interventions in Japan Using a Discrete-Event Simulation

BACKGROUND

Smoking cessation medications have been shown to yield higher success rates and sustained abstinence than unassisted quit attempts. In Japan, the treatments available include nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) and varenicline; however, unassisted attempts to quit smoking remain common.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to compare the health and economic consequences in Japan of using pharmacotherapy to support smoking cessation with unassisted attempts and the current mix of strategies used.

METHODS

A discrete-event simulation that models lifetime quitting behaviour and includes multiple quit attempts (MQAs) and relapses was adapted for these analyses. The risk of developing smoking-related diseases is estimated based on the duration of abstinence. Data collected from a survey conducted in Japan were used to determine the interventions selected by smokers initiating a quit attempt and the time between MQAs. Direct and indirect costs are assessed (expressed in 2014 Japanese Yen).

RESULTS

Using pharmacotherapy (NRT or varenicline) to support quit attempts proved to be dominant when compared with unassisted attempts or the current mix of strategies (most are unassisted). The results of stratified analyses by age imply that smoking cessation improves health outcomes across all generations. Indirect costs due to premature death leading to lost wages are an important component of the total costs, exceeding the direct medical cost estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased utilisation of smoking cessation pharmacotherapy to support quit attempts is predicted to lead to an increase in the number of smokers achieving abstinence, and provide improvements in health outcomes over a lifetime with no additional costs.