Pretreatment Hemoglobin Levels and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predict Survival Benefit from Pembrolizumab in Advanced Urothelial Carcinoma

Prognostic risk score and index including the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio and lactate dehydrogenase in patients with metastatic or unresectable urothelial carcinoma treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors

BACKGROUND

Avelumab and pembrolizumab are administered after platinum-based chemotherapy for the treatment of metastatic urothelial carcinoma. We explored the prognostic factors and risk scores for predicting the outcomes of metastatic or unresectable urothelial carcinoma at the start of treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors.

METHODS

This retrospective study included patients with metastatic or unresectable urothelial carcinoma treated with avelumab or pembrolizumab after platinum-based chemotherapy between January 2017 and December 2022. Prognostic factors, including patient and tumor characteristics and blood data at the initiation of immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy, were examined.

RESULTS

This study included 36 and 207 patients treated with avelumab and pembrolizumab, respectively, for metastatic or unresectable urothelial carcinoma. Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, presence of visceral metastases, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio and lactate dehydrogenase levels were independent prognostic factors for predicting overall survival. The median overall survival of patients in the risk-score model was 58.5 months (score zero), 27.9 months (one), 13.1 months (two) and 3.9 months (three or higher). The C-index for overall survival was 0.718 for the newly developed risk score compared with 0.679 for the Bellmunt score and 0.703 for the Bellmunt-C-reactive protein score. Additionally, the C-index for overall survival using the immune prognostic index derived from lactate dehydrogenase and the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio was 0.646 compared with 0.615 for the Lung Immune Prognostic Index.

CONCLUSIONS

A risk score that includes the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio and lactate dehydrogenase may serve as a useful model for predicting prognosis following the initiation of immune checkpoint inhibitors in patients with metastatic or unresectable urothelial carcinoma.

Latest evidence on clinical outcomes and prognostic factors of advanced urothelial carcinoma in the era of immune checkpoint inhibitors: a narrative review

The management of advanced (locally advanced or metastatic) urothelial carcinoma has been revolutionized since pembrolizumab was introduced in 2017. Several prognostic factors for advanced urothelial carcinoma treated with pembrolizumab have been reported, including conventional parameters such as performance status and visceral (especially liver) metastasis, laboratory markers such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, sarcopenia, histological/genomic markers such as programmed cell death ligand 1 immunohistochemistry and tumor mutational burden, variant histology, immune-related adverse events, concomitant medications in relation to the gut microbiome, primary tumor site (bladder cancer versus upper tract urothelial carcinoma) and history/combination of radiotherapy. The survival time of advanced urothelial carcinoma has been significantly prolonged (or 'doubled' from 1 to 2 years) after the advent of pembrolizumab, which will be further improved with novel agents such as avelumab and enfortumab vedotin. This review summarizes the latest evidence on clinical outcomes and prognostic factors of advanced urothelial carcinoma in the contemporary era of immune checkpoint inhibitors.

[18F]FDG PET/CT for predicting triple-negative breast cancer outcomes after neoadjuvant chemotherapy with or without pembrolizumab

PURPOSE

To determine if pretreatment [18F]FDG PET/CT could contribute to predicting complete pathological complete response (pCR) in patients with early-stage triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy with or without pembrolizumab.

METHODS

In this retrospective bicentric study, we included TNBC patients who underwent [18F]FDG PET/CT before neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) or chemo-immunotherapy (NACI) between March 2017 and August 2022. Clinical, biological, and pathological data were collected. Tumor SUVmax and total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV) were measured from the PET images. Cut-off values were determined using ROC curves and a multivariable model was developed using logistic regression to predict pCR.

RESULTS

N = 191 patients were included. pCR rates were 53 and 70% in patients treated with NAC (N = 91) and NACI (N = 100), respectively (p < 0.01). In univariable analysis, high Ki67, high tumor SUVmax (> 12.3), and low TMTV (≤ 3.0 cm3) were predictors of pCR in the NAC cohort while tumor staging classification (< T3), BRCA1/2 germline mutation, high tumor SUVmax (> 17.2), and low TMTV (≤ 7.3 cm3) correlated with pCR in the NACI cohort. In multivariable analysis, only high tumor SUVmax (NAC: OR 8.8, p < 0.01; NACI: OR 3.7, p = 0.02) and low TMTV (NAC: OR 6.6, p < 0.01; NACI: OR 3.5, p = 0.03) were independent factors for pCR in both cohorts, albeit at different thresholds.

CONCLUSION

High tumor metabolism (SUVmax) and low tumor burden (TMTV) could predict pCR after NAC regardless of the addition of pembrolizumab. Further studies are warranted to validate such findings and determine how these biomarkers could be used to guide neoadjuvant therapy in TNBC patients.

Positive regulatory loop of platelet-derived growth factor DD-induced STAT3 activation is associated with poor prognosis in advanced urothelial carcinoma

Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy has been established for patients with advanced urothelial cancer (UC). The necessity of overcoming resistance to ICIs and identifying a predictive factor for the same has been highlighted, such as the assessment of combination therapy with other targeted drugs and the characterization of molecular signatures in the tumor microenvironment. Recently, we reported that low hemoglobin (Hb) levels and a high platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were significantly associated with overall survival in patients with UC who did not benefit from pembrolizumab treatment. In the present study, we identified a possible link between these unfavorable prognostic indicators and PDGF-DD-induced STAT3 activation in UC. Overlapping patients between the high STAT3- or phosphorylated STAT3-positive score group (as assessed by immunohistochemistry) and low Hb levels or high PLR group (as assessed by blood tests) showed significantly worse outcomes after pembrolizumab treatment. Additionally, using the bladder cancer JMSU1 cell line, we demonstrated a possible positive regulatory loop between autocrine/paracrine PDGF-DD and STAT3 signaling. Therefore, we suggest that STAT3 inhibition and PDGF-DD detection in the tumor microenvironment might represent a potential therapeutic strategy to overcome resistance to pembrolizumab. Moreover, this can help identify patients with UC who could benefit from combination treatment.