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Grecu LI, Sultana C, Pavel-Tanasa M, Ruta SM, Chivu-Economescu M, Matei L, Ursu RG, Iftimi E, Iancu LS. Non-Invasive Prediction Scores for Hepatitis B Virus- and Hepatitis D Virus-Infected Patients-A Cohort from the North-Eastern Part of Romania. Microorganisms 2023; 11:2895. [PMID: 38138039 PMCID: PMC10745361 DOI: 10.3390/microorganisms11122895] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2023] [Revised: 11/22/2023] [Accepted: 11/28/2023] [Indexed: 12/24/2023] Open
Abstract
Approximately 62-72 million people are infected worldwide with HDV. Patients with chronic hepatitis D (CHD) have a higher risk of developing cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and an increased mortality rate compared to those with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). The stage of liver fibrosis or the risk of developing HCC can also be estimated by non-invasive scores, which are cost effective, easier to apply, and reproducible. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the predictive value of four non-invasive scores (FIB-4, APRI, AST/ALT ratio, and aMAP) in assessing severe fibrosis/cirrhosis and the presence of HCC in patients with HBV/HDV superinfection, as compared with HBV mono-infection. Our 8-year retrospective analysis revealed that HDV-infected patients had a 2-3 times higher risk of developing cirrhosis and HCC than HBV-mono-infected subjects. High AST and ALT baseline levels qualified as independent predictors for cirrhosis development in both groups. The following fibrosis scores, FIB-4, APRI score, and AAR, were significantly increased when cirrhosis was present at baseline and showed a good prediction for developing cirrhosis in the CHD group. The aMAP score, a risk predictor for HCC, showed significantly higher values in patients with HCC in both groups. Nonetheless, non-invasive scores should always be considered for monitoring patients with CHB and CHD, but only when associated with other diagnosis methods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laura Iulia Grecu
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Interdisciplinarity, Microbiology Discipline, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania; (L.I.G.); (R.G.U.); (L.S.I.)
- Department of Emerging Viral Diseases, “Stefan S. Nicolau” Institute of Virology, 030304 Bucharest, Romania;
| | - Camelia Sultana
- Department of Emerging Viral Diseases, “Stefan S. Nicolau” Institute of Virology, 030304 Bucharest, Romania;
- Virology Discipline, Faculty of Medicine, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania
| | - Mariana Pavel-Tanasa
- Department of Immunology, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania;
| | - Simona Maria Ruta
- Department of Emerging Viral Diseases, “Stefan S. Nicolau” Institute of Virology, 030304 Bucharest, Romania;
- Virology Discipline, Faculty of Medicine, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania
| | - Mihaela Chivu-Economescu
- Department of Cellular and Molecular Pathology, “Stefan S. Nicolau” Institute of Virology, 030304 Bucharest, Romania; (M.C.-E.)
| | - Lilia Matei
- Department of Cellular and Molecular Pathology, “Stefan S. Nicolau” Institute of Virology, 030304 Bucharest, Romania; (M.C.-E.)
| | - Ramona Gabriela Ursu
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Interdisciplinarity, Microbiology Discipline, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania; (L.I.G.); (R.G.U.); (L.S.I.)
| | - Elena Iftimi
- Department of Immunology, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania;
| | - Luminita Smaranda Iancu
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Interdisciplinarity, Microbiology Discipline, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 700115 Iasi, Romania; (L.I.G.); (R.G.U.); (L.S.I.)
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