Treatment strategies for malignant pulmonary nodule: beyond lobectomy. Point-counterpoint

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Technological advancement in low-dose computed tomography resulted in an increased incidental discovery of early-stage lung cancer and multifocal ground glass opacity. The demand for parenchyma-preserving treatment strategies is greater now than ever. Pulmonary ablative therapy is a groundbreaking technique to offer local ablative treatment in a lung-sparing manner. It has become a promising technique in lung cancer management with its diverse applicability. In this article, we will review the current development of ablative therapy in lung and look into the future of this innovative technique.

RECENT FINDINGS

Current literature suggests that ablative therapy offers comparable local disease control to other local therapies and stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT), with a low risk of complications. In particular, bronchoscopic microwave ablation (BMWA) has considerably fewer pleural-based complications due to the avoidance of pleural puncture. BMWA can be considered in the multidisciplinary treatment pathway as it allows re-ablation and allows SBRT after BMWA.

SUMMARY

With the benefits which ablative therapy offers and its ability to incorporate into the multidisciplinary management pathway, we foresee ablative therapy, especially BMWA gaining significance in lung cancer treatment. Future directions on developing novel automated navigation platforms and the latest form of ablative energy would further enhance clinical outcomes for our patients.

Primary and Metastatic Lung Cancer: Rationale, Indications, and Outcomes of Thermal Ablation

The widespread use of imaging as well as the efforts conducted through screening campaigns has dramatically increased the early detection rate of lung cancer. Historically, the management of lung cancer has heavily relied on surgery. However, the increased proportion of patients with comorbidities has given significance to less invasive therapeutic options like minimally invasive surgery and image-guided thermal ablation, which could precisely target the tumor without requiring general anesthesia or a thoracotomy. Thermal ablation is considered low-risk for lung tumors smaller than 3 cm that are located in peripheral lung and do not involve major blood vessels or airways. The rationale for ablative therapies relies on the fact that focused delivery of energy induces cell death and pathologic necrosis. Image-guided percutaneous thermal ablation therapies are established techniques in the local treatment of hepatic, renal, bone, thyroid and uterine lesions. In the lung, and specifically in the setting of metastatic disease, the 3 main indications for lung ablation are to serve as (1) curative intent, (2) as a strategy to achieve a chemo-holiday in oligometastatic disease, and (3) in oligoprogressive disease. Following these premises, the current paper aims to review the rationale, indications, and outcomes of thermal ablation as a form of local therapy in the treatment of primary and metastatic lung disease.

Comparison of stereotactic body radiotherapy and radiofrequency ablation for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) are recommended for patients with inoperable early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), with both offering promising results. However, it is largely unknown which of these two treatment modalities provides superior benefits for patients. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis compared clinical outcomes and safety between SBRT and RFA in patients with inoperable early-stage NSCLC.

Methods

Eligible studies published between 2001 and 2020 were obtained through a comprehensive search of the PubMed, Medline, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases. Original English-language studies on the treatment of early-stage NSCLC with SBRT or RFA were included. Local control (LC) rates, overall survival (OS) rates, and adverse events were obtained by pooled analyses.

Results

Eighty-seven SBRT studies (12,811 patients) and 18 RFA studies (1,535 patients) met the eligibility criteria. For SBRT, the LC rates (with 95% confidence intervals) at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years were 98% (97-98%), 95% (95-96%), 92% (91-93%), and 92% (91-93%), respectively, which were significantly higher than those for RFA [75% (69-82%), 31% (22-39%), 67% (58-76%), and 41% (30-52%), respectively] (P<0.01). There were no significant differences in short-term OS between SBRT and RFA [1-year OS rate: 87% (86-88%) versus 89% (88-91%), P=0.07; 2-year OS rate: 71% (69-72%) versus 69% (64-74%), P=0.42]. Regarding long-term OS, the 3- and 5-year OS rates for SBRT were 58% (56-59%) and 39% (37-40%), respectively, which were significantly (P<0.01) superior to those for RFA [48% (45-51%) and 21% (19-23%), respectively]. The most common complication of SBRT was radiation pneumonitis (grade ≥2), making up 9.1% of patients treated with SBRT, while pneumothorax was the most common complication of RFA, making up 27.2% of patients treated with RFA.

Discussion

Compared with RFA, SBRT has superior LC and long-term OS rates but similar short-term OS rates. Prospective randomized trials with large sample sizes comparing the efficacy of SBRT and RFA are warranted.

Guiding Principles in the Management of Synchronous and Metachronous Primary Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Multiple lung cancers can be found simultaneously, with incidence ranging from 1% to 8%. Documentation of more than 1 pulmonary lesion can be challenging, because these solid, ground-glass, or mixed-density tumors may represent multicentric malignant disease or intrapulmonary metastases. If mediastinal nodal and distant deposits are excluded, surgery should be contemplated. After surgical treatment of lung cancer, patients should be followed closely for an undetermined period of time. Good clinical judgment is of outmost importance in deciding which individuals will benefit from those surgical interventions and which are candidates for alternate therapies. Every case should be discussed in a multidisciplinary meeting.

Risk prediction of pneumothorax in lung malignancy patients treated with percutaneous microwave ablation: development of nomogram model

OBJECTIVES

To develop effective nomograms for predicting pneumothorax and delayed pneumothorax after microwave ablation (MWA) in lung malignancy (LM) patients.

METHODS

LM patients treated with MWA were randomly allocated to a training or validation cohort at a ratio of 7:3. The predictors of pneumothorax identified by univariate and multivariate analyses in the training cohort were used to develop a predictive nomogram. The C-statistic was used to evaluate predictive accuracy in both cohorts. A second nomogram for predicting delayed pneumothorax was developed and validated using identical methods.

RESULTS

A total of 552 patients (training cohort: n = 402; validation cohort: n = 150) were included; of these patients, 27.9% (154/552) developed pneumothorax, with immediate and delayed pneumothorax occurring in 18.8% (104/552) and 9.1% (50/552), respectively. The predictors selected for the nomogram of pneumothorax were emphysema (hazard ratio [HR], 6.543; p < .001), history of lung ablation (HR, 7.841; p= .025), number of pleural punctures (HR, 1.416; p < .050), ablation zone encompassing pleura (HR, 10.225; p < .001) and pulmonary fissure traversed by needle (HR, 10.776; p < .001). The C-statistics showed good predictive performance in the training and validation cohorts (0.792 and 0.832, respectively). Another nomogram for delayed pneumothorax was developed based on emphysema (HR, 2.952; p= .005), ablation zone encompassing pleura (HR, 4.915; p < .001) and pulmonary fissure traversed by needle (HR, 4.348; p = .015). The C-statistics showed good predictive performance in the training cohort, and it had efficacy for prediction in the validation cohort (0.719 and 0.689, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The nomograms could effectively predict the risk of pneumothorax and delayed pneumothorax after MWA.

Microwave ablation of lung malignancies with coexisting severe emphysema: a retrospective analysis of safety and efficacy in 26 patients

PURPOSE

This retrospective study aimed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of microwave ablation (MWA) for lung malignancies in patients with severe emphysema.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The clinical records of 1075 consecutive patients treated for malignant lung tumors in our department were retrospectively reviewed. Emphysema was assessed based on standard-dose computed tomography (CT) and was considered severe when it occupied ≥25% of the lung. Overall, 26 patients (24 men and 2 women; mean age ± standard deviation [SD]: 71.23 ± 8.18 years, range: 59-88 years) with severe emphysema underwent CT-guided percutaneous MWA for treating 26 tumors (24: non-small cell lung cancer and 2: metastases). The mean tumor size was 3.0 cm (SD: 1.5, range: 1.2-6.5 cm). Follow-up was performed with CT at 1, 3, 6, 12 months after ablation, and every 6 months thereafter. Complications and efficacy were evaluated.

RESULTS

The median follow-up duration in all patients was 17.5 months (range: 5-37 months, interquartile range: 15.8). The mortality rate was 0% within 30 days after ablation. Major complications including pneumonia, lung abscess and refractory pneumothorax occurred in 19.2% (5/26) patients. The technical success and efficacy rates were 88.5% (23/26) and 87.0% (20/23), respectively, and the local tumor progression rate was 30.0% (6/20).

CONCLUSION

MWA appears to be a safe and effective therapeutic option for treating lung malignancies in patients with severe emphysema.

Is lung stereotactic ablative radiotherapy safe after pneumonectomy?-a systematic review

Patients treated with surgery for lung cancer are at risk of second primary lung cancers (SPLCs), which when localized, may be amenable to radical treatment. Treatment options, however, are limited due to reduced cardiopulmonary reserve and competing mortality risks. The aim of this study was to perform a systematic review of publications examining treatment planning considerations, clinical outcomes, and toxicity rates of stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) in patients who have previously undergone pneumonectomy. A systematic review of the literature was conducted in accordance with PRISMA guidelines using PubMed and EMBASE from inception to July 2018. Articles were limited to those published in the English language. Non-review articles with patients who received exclusively lung SABR post-pneumonectomy were included. Two reviewers independently performed abstract and full-text review, with discrepancies settled by a third reviewer. Of the 215 articles identified by the initial search, 6 articles comprising 53 patients who received lung SABR post-pneumonectomy met inclusion criteria. The mean age was 68, and most patients were male (73.7%). The mean time to pneumonectomy was 6.5 years. The mean biologically effective dose was 115 Gy, and the most common dose fractionation schemes were 54 Gy in 3 fractions, 48 Gy in 4 fractions, and 50 Gy in 5 fractions. The mean follow-up was 25.4 months. The mean 1-year overall survival and 2-year local control rates were 80.6% and 89.4%. Grade 3 or higher toxicity was reported in 13.2% of patients. SABR appears to be a safe and feasible option for SPLCs in patients with prior pneumonectomy. Multi-institutional and/or prospective studies would be helpful to determine the true risk and appropriateness of SABR in this high-risk patient population.

Stereotactic body radiotherapy versus percutaneous local tumor ablation for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer

OBJECTIVES

To compare patterns of care and overall survival (OS) between stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) and percutaneous local tumor ablation (LTA) for non-surgically managed early-stage non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The National Cancer Database (NCDB) was queried from 2004 to 2014 for adults with non-metastatic, node-negative invasive adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma of the lung with primary tumor size ≤5.0 cm who did not undergo surgery or chemotherapy and received SBRT or LTA. Patterns of care were assessed with multivariate logistic regression. After propensity-score weighting with generalized boosted regression, OS was assessed with univariate and doubly-robust multivariate Cox regression.

RESULTS

Of 15,792 patients, 14,651 (93%) received SBRT and 1141 (7%) received LTA. Increasing age (OR 1.01, p = .035), treatment at an academic institution (OR 2.94, p < .001), increasing tumor size (OR 1.05, p < .001), and more recent year of diagnosis (OR 1.43, p < .001) were predictive of treatment with SBRT, whereas comorbidities (OR 0.74, p = .003) and treatment at a high-volume facility (OR 0.05, p < .001) were predictive for LTA. At a median follow-up of 26.2 months, SBRT was associated with improved OS relative to LTA within a propensity-score weighted doubly-robust multivariate analysis (HR 0.71, p < .001). On weighted subgroup analyses, improved OS was observed with SBRT for tumor sizes >2.0 cm (HR 0.72, p < .001) and for those treated at high-volume facilities (HR 0.71, p < .001). No OS difference was found with SBRT or LTA in tumor sizes ≤2.0 cm (HR 0.90, p = .227).

CONCLUSION

Within the NCDB, SBRT was more commonly utilized and was associated with improved OS when compared to percutaneous LTA for patients with non-surgically managed early-stage NSCLC. Patients with small tumor volumes likely represent an appropriate population for future prospective randomized comparisons between SBRT and LTA.

Radiofrequency ablation for lung squamous cell carcinoma in a single-lung patient: A case report and literature review

RATIONALE

High morbidity and high mortality are the main features of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Radiofrequency ablation, which produces a large amount of heat to kill tumor cells, is one effective way to treat this disease.

PATIENT CONCERNS

We report the case of a 74-year-old man who presented with a 1-month history of right chest pain. His left lung was removed 12 years prior. Chest computed tomography (CT) revealed a mass in the right lower lobe.

DIAGNOSES

An excision biopsy of the mass showed lung squamous cell carcinoma.

INTERVENTIONS

We performed radiofrequency ablation.

OUTCOMES

The patient underwent 3.5 and 10 months of follow-up, with a partial response and complete remission, respectively.

LESSONS

CT-guided radiofrequency ablation is a safe and an effective minimally invasive treatment option. Radiofrequency appears to be a valuable alternative to surgery for inoperable patients presenting with a single-lung NSCLC.

Microwave Ablation in the Management of Colorectal Cancer Pulmonary Metastases

PURPOSE

To review outcomes following microwave ablation (MWA) of colorectal cancer pulmonary metastases and assess predictors of oncologic outcomes.

METHODS

Technical success, primary and secondary technique efficacy rates were evaluated for 50 patients with 90 colorectal cancer pulmonary metastases at immediate, 4-8 weeks post-MWA and subsequent follow-up CT and/or ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT. Local tumor progression (LTP) rate, LTP-free survival (LTPFS), cancer-specific and overall survivals were assessed. Complications were recorded according to SIR classification.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 25.6 months. Median tumor size was 1 cm (0.3-3.2 cm). Technical success, primary and secondary technique efficacy rates were 99, 90 and 92%, respectively. LTP rate was 10%. One-, 2- and 3-year LTPFS were: 93, 86 and 86%, respectively, with median LTPFS not reached. Median overall survival was 58.6 months, and median cancer-specific survival (CSS) was not reached. One-, 2- and 3-year overall and CSS were 94% and 98, 82 and 90%, 61 and 70%, respectively. On univariate analysis, minimal ablation margin (p < 0.001) and tumor size (p = 0.001) predicted LTPFS, with no LTP for minimal margin ≥ 5 mm and/or tumor size < 1 cm. Pleural-based metastases were associated with increased LTP risk (p = 0.002, SHR = 7.7). Pre-MWA CEA level > 10 ng/ml (p = 0.046) and ≥ 3 prior chemotherapy lines predicted decreased CSS (p = 0.02). There was no 90-day death. Major complications rate was 13%.

CONCLUSIONS

MWA with minimal ablation margin ≥ 5 mm is essential for local control of colorectal cancer pulmonary metastases. Pleural-based metastases and larger tumor size were associated with higher risk of LTP. CEA level and pre-MWA chemotherapy impacted CSS.

Comparison of the Effectiveness of Radiofrequency Ablation With Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy in Inoperable Stage I Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Systemic Review and Pooled Analysis

PURPOSE

To performed a systematic review and pooled analysis to compare clinical outcomes of stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for the treatment of medically inoperable stage I non-small cell lung cancer.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A comprehensive literature search for published trials from 2001 to 2012 was undertaken. Pooled analyses were performed to obtain overall survival (OS) and local tumor control rates (LCRs) and adverse events. Regression analysis was conducted considering each study's proportions of stage IA and age.

RESULTS

Thirty-one studies on SBRT (2767 patients) and 13 studies on RFA (328 patients) were eligible. The LCR (95% confidence interval) at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years for RFA was 77% (70%-85%), 48% (37%-58%), 55% (47%-62%), and 42% (30%-54%) respectively, which was significantly lower than that for SBRT: 97% (96%-98%), 92% (91%-94%), 88% (86%-90%), and 86% (85%-88%) (P<.001). These differences remained significant after correcting for stage IA and age (P<.001 at 1 year, 2 years, and 3 years; P=.04 at 5 years). The effect of RFA was not different from that of SBRT on OS (P>.05). The most frequent complication of RFA was pneumothorax, occurring in 31% of patients, whereas that for SBRT (grade ≥3) was radiation pneumonitis, occurring in 2% of patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with RFA, SBRT seems to have a higher LCR but similar OS. More studies with larger sample sizes are warranted to validate such findings.

Therapeutic options following pneumonectomy in non-small cell lung cancer

INTRODUCTION

Pneumonectomy can be considered the most appropriate treatment for lung cancer that cannot be removed by lesser resection on.

AREAS COVERED

Therapeutic options following pneumonectomy may be required at least in 3 different scenarios: 1) an early approach due to acute surgical complications 2) a late approach due to chronic surgical complications 3) an integrated radio-chemotherapeutic adjuvant approach for advanced stages. In this review we focused on these three settings with particular emphasis to surgical approach as well as to alternative options. Expert commentary: Pneumonectomy itself does not preclude postoperative additional treatments, if needed, to maximize oncological results and to manage potential short or long term complications. However, as pneumonectomy puts a significant physiological stress on the respiratory and circulatory systems, the benefits and risks of pneumonectomy should be compared with those of alternative, non-resectional treatment modalities.

Computed tomography-guided percutaneous microwave ablation of early stage non-small cell lung cancer in a pneumonectomy patient

A squamous cell lung cancer patient was treated with pneumonectomy. A recurrent lung cancer (adenocarcinoma) was found 45 months later and successfully biopsied and treated with microwave ablation. After 18 months of follow up, no evidence of tumor recurrence was observed.

Percutaneous CT-guided microwave ablation as maintenance after first-line treatment for patients with advanced NSCLC

BACKGROUND

Systemic therapy is recommended for advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, conventional first-line treatment has generated a plateau in response rate of 25% to 35%. Few studies have shown patients benefit from microwave ablation (MWA) in combination with radiotherapy and chemotherapy. This study aims to evaluate safety and efficacy of percutaneous computed tomography-guided MWA as maintenance after first-line treatment for patients with advanced NSCLC.

METHODS

Patients with histologically verified NSCLC stage IIIB or IV between January 2010 and March 2014 were involved. After completion of first-line treatment with partial response or stable disease, 35 patients with 39 tumors underwent 39 MWA procedures. Complications, progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and correlated predictors were analyzed.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 17.7 months and 10.8 months after initial MWA, local efficacy was 87.2%, median MWA-related local control time was 10.6 months, and tumor size was the only predictor (P=0.002). Median MWA-related PFS, MWA-related OS, PFS, and OS were 5.4, 10.6, 11.8 and 17.7 months, respectively. Local efficacy was significantly correlated with MWA-related PFS (P=0.003), MWA-related OS (P=0.000), and OS (P=0.001). There were no procedure-specific deaths. Total incidence of major complications was 12.8%, including pneumothorax resolved by closed pleural drainage and pneumonia controlled by antibiotics in a short time.

CONCLUSION

This study concluded two points, including: 1) patients benefited from MWA as maintenance both in local control and survival; 2) as maintenance MWA was superior to conventional maintenance therapy with improved survival and well-tolerated complications. Therefore, MWA was a safe and effective maintenance after first-line treatment in patients with advanced NSCLC.

Efficacy and Safety of Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy in Patients with Previous Pneumonectomy

Background

Thoracic surgery for a newly diagnosed primary lung tumor following a previous pneumonectomy is rarely indicated. Stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) might represent a curative option. This report focuses on outcomes, toxicity and quality of life (QoL) after SABR.

Methods

Nine patients were treated with SABR between 2004 and 2011; median time since surgery was 8.4 years. In 4 cases, a histological confirmation was possible with bronchoscopy. In 5 cases, the clinical proof of malignancy was based on radiological criteria. Forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) and diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO) were tested in all patients. A SABR biologically equivalent dose of >100 Gy was prescribed in all cases. QoL questionnaire forms were administered before SABR and during follow-up.

Results

Median follow-up was 41.8 months. We did not observe grade >3 acute toxicity, and concerning late toxicity, we registered 2 cases. QoL was decreased during the first 12 months of follow-up, followed by a progressive improvement after this time. One patient had a local relapse at 7.4 years; 1 developed a new nodule at 5.5 years, associated with metastases; and 1 developed a new nodule without any systemic disease at 3 years. There were 2 cancer-related deaths (18.2%) at 3 and 12 months after progression.

Conclusions

Data support efficacy and safety of SABR in patients with a new primary lung cancer following previous pneumonectomy, with acceptable acute, late toxicity profile and without significant impairment of QoL. Our results were comparable to those in the literature.

Stereotactic body radiation therapy for a new lung cancer arising after pneumonectomy: dosimetric evaluation and pulmonary toxicity

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the tolerance of stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) for the treatment of secondary lung tumours in patients who underwent previous pneumonectomy.

METHODS

12 patients were retrospectively analysed. The median maximum tumour diameter was 2.1 cm (1-4.5 cm). The median planning target volume was 20.7 cm(3) (2.4-101.2 cm(3)). Five patients were treated with a single fraction of 26 Gy and seven patients with fractionated schemes (3 × 10 Gy, 4 × 10 Gy, 4 × 12 Gy). Lung toxicity, correlated with volume (V) of lung receiving >5, >10 and >20 Gy, local control and survival rate were assessed. Median follow-up was 28 months.

RESULTS

None of the patients experienced pulmonary toxicity > grade 2 at the median dosimetric lung parameters of V5, V10 and V20 of 23.1% (range 10.7-56.7%), 7.3% (2.2-27.2%) and 2.7% (0.7-10.9%), respectively. No patients required oxygen or had deterioration of the performance status during follow-up if not as a result of clinical progression of disease. The local control probability at 2 years was 64.5%, and the overall survival at 2 years was 80%.

CONCLUSION

SBRT appears to be a safe and effective modality for treating patients with a second lung tumour after pneumonectomy.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

Our results and similar literature results show that when keeping V5, V10 V20 <50%, <20% and <7%, respectively, the risk of significant lung toxicity is acceptable. Our experience also shows that biologically effective dose 10 >100 Gy, necessary for high local control rate, can be reached while complying with the dose constraints for most patients.

Alternative to surgery in early stage NSCLC-interventional radiologic approaches

Interventional radiologists have a variety of techniques in their armamentarium to treat pulmonary tumors. While most therapies are targeted to metastasis or palliation, percutaneous thermal ablation represents a potential therapy for not only palliation, but to treat inoperable early stage disease. Although radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is the most studied of these ablative techniques, newer technologies of thermal ablation, such as microwave and cryoablation have emerged as additional options. In this article, we will review the three different thermal ablative modalities, including patient selection, technique, outcomes, complications, and imaging follow-up. A brief discussion of state of the art techniques such as irreversible electroporation (IRE) and catheter directed therapies will also be included.

Ki 67 is an independent predictive biomarker of cancer specific and local recurrence-free survival after lung tumor ablation

BACKGROUND

The objective of this work was to evaluate the feasibility of histopathological analysis of tissue extracted on multitined electrodes and assess whether tissue characteristics can be used as biomarkers of oncologic outcomes after lung tumor radiofrequency (RF) ablation.

METHODS

Treatment-related data regarding RF ablation of lung malignancies at our institution was collected using a Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act-compliant ablation database. Institutional review board waiver was obtained for this study. Immunohistochemical analysis of tissue extracted from the electrodes after lung tumor RF ablation was performed for proliferation (Ki-67) and apoptosis (caspase-3). Patient, tumor demographics, and ablation parameters were recorded. Local tumor progression-free survival (LPFS), disease-specific survival (DSS), and overall survival (OS) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier methodology. Multivariate analysis determined factors affecting these oncological outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 47 lung tumors in 42 patients were ablated; 30 specimens were classified as coagulation necrosis (CN) and 17 as Ki-67-positive (+) tumor cells (viable). Tumor sizes were similar in the CN and Ki-67+ groups (P = 0.32). Median LPFS was 10 versus 16 months for Ki-67+ and CN groups, and 1-year LPFS was 34 and 75 %, respectively (P = 0.003). Median OS was 20 and 46 months (P = 0.12), and median DSS was 20 and 68 months (P = 0.01) for the Ki-67 + and CN groups, respectively. Identification of Ki-67+ tumor cells more than tripled the risk of death from cancer [hazard ratio (HR) = 3.65; 95 % confidence interval (95 % CI), 1.34-9.95; P = 0.01] and tripled the risk of local tumor progression (LTP) (HR = 3.01; 95 % CI, 1.39-6.49; P = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Ki-67+ tumor cells on the electrode after pulmonary tumor RF ablation is an independent predictor of LTP, shorter LPFS, and DSS.

Microsimulation model predicts survival benefit of radiofrequency ablation and stereotactic body radiotherapy versus radiotherapy for treating inoperable stage I non-small cell lung cancer

OBJECTIVE

A subset of patients with stage IA and IB non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is ineligible for surgical resection and undergoes radiation therapy. Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and stereotactic body radiotherapy are newer potentially attractive alternative therapies.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We added RFA and stereotactic body radiotherapy treatment modules to a microsimulation model that simulates lung cancer's natural history, detection, and treatment. Natural history parameters were previously estimated via calibration against tumor registry data and cohort studies; the model was validated with screening study and cohort data. RFA model parameters were calibrated against 2-year survival from the Radiofrequency Ablation of Pulmonary Tumor Response Evaluation (RAPTURE) study, and stereotactic body radiotherapy model parameters were calibrated against 3-year survival from a phase 2 prospective trial. We simulated lifetime histories of identical patients with early-stage NSCLC who were ineligible for resection, who were treated with radiation therapy, RFA, or stereotactic body radiotherapy under a range of scenarios. From 5,000,000 simulated individuals, we selected a cohort of patients with stage I medically inoperable cancer for analysis (n = 2056 per treatment scenario). Main outcomes were life expectancy gains.

RESULTS

RFA or stereotactic body radiotherapy treatment in patients with peripheral stage IA or IB NSCLC who were nonoperative candidates resulted in life expectancy gains of 1.71 and 1.46 life-years, respectively, compared with universal radiation therapy. A strategy where patients with central tumors underwent stereotactic body radiotherapy and those with peripheral tumors underwent RFA resulted in a gain of 2.02 life-years compared with universal radiation therapy. Findings were robust with respect to changes in model parameters.

CONCLUSION

Microsimulation modeling results suggest that RFA and stereotactic body radiotherapy could provide life expectancy gains to patients with stage IA or IB NSCLC who are ineligible for resection.