Development of MRI-Based Radiomics Model to Predict the Risk of Recurrence in Patients With Advanced High-Grade Serous Ovarian Carcinoma

Radiomics combined with clinical and MRI features may provide preoperative evaluation of suboptimal debulking surgery for serous ovarian carcinoma

PURPOSE

To develop and validate a model for predicting suboptimal debulking surgery (SDS) of serous ovarian carcinoma (SOC) using radiomics method, clinical and MRI features.

METHODS

228 patients eligible from institution A (randomly divided into the training and internal validation cohorts) and 45 patients from institution B (external validation cohort) were collected and retrospectively analyzed. All patients underwent abdominal pelvic enhanced MRI scan, including T2-weighted imaging fat-suppressed fast spin-echo (T2FSE), T1-weighted dual-echo magnetic resonance imaging (T1DEI), diffusion weighted imaging (DWI), and T1 with contrast enhancement (T1CE). We extracted, selected and eliminated highly correlated radiomic features for each sequence. Then, Radiomic models were made by each single sequence, dual-sequence (T1CE + T2FSE), and all-sequence, respectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to screen the clinical and MRI independent predictors. The radiomic model with the highest area under the curve (AUC) was used to combine the independent predictors as a combined model.

RESULTS

The optimal radiomic model was based on dual sequences (T2FSE + T1CE) among the five radiomic models (AUC = 0.720, P < 0.05). Serum carbohydrate antigen 125, the relationship between sigmoid colon/rectum and ovarian mass or mass implanted in Douglas' pouch, diaphragm nodules, and peritoneum/mesentery nodules were considered independent predictors. The AUC of the radiomic-clinical-radiological model was higher than either the optimal radiomic model or the clinical-radiological model in the training cohort (AUC = 0.908 vs. 0.720/0.854).

CONCLUSIONS

The radiomic-clinical-radiological model has an overall algorithm reproducibility and may help create individualized treatment programs and improve the prognosis of patients with SOC.

Prediction of Histological Grade of Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma Using Machine Learning Models Applied to 18F-FDG-PET Radiomics

The histological grade of oral squamous cell carcinoma affects the prognosis. In the present study, we performed a radiomics analysis to extract features from 18F-FDG PET image data, created machine learning models from the features, and verified the accuracy of the prediction of the histological grade of oral squamous cell carcinoma. The subjects were 191 patients in whom an 18F-FDG-PET examination was performed preoperatively and a histopathological grade was confirmed after surgery, and their tumor sizes were sufficient for a radiomics analysis. These patients were split in a 70%/30% ratio for use as training data and testing data, respectively. We extracted 2993 radiomics features from the PET images of each patient. Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Naïve Bayes (NB), and K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) machine learning models were created. The areas under the curve obtained from receiver operating characteristic curves for the prediction of the histological grade of oral squamous cell carcinoma were 0.72, 0.71, 0.84, 0.74, and 0.73 for LR, SVM, RF, NB, and KNN, respectively. We confirmed that a PET radiomics analysis is useful for the preoperative prediction of the histological grade of oral squamous cell carcinoma.

Predicting CD27 expression and clinical prognosis in serous ovarian cancer using CT-based radiomics

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to develop and evaluate radiomics models to predict CD27 expression and clinical prognosis before surgery in patients with serous ovarian cancer (SOC).

METHODS

We used transcriptome sequencing data and contrast-enhanced computed tomography images of patients with SOC from The Cancer Genome Atlas (n = 339) and The Cancer Imaging Archive (n = 57) and evaluated the clinical significance and prognostic value of CD27 expression. Radiomics features were selected to create a recursive feature elimination-logistic regression (RFE-LR) model and a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression (LASSO-LR) model for CD27 expression prediction.

RESULTS

CD27 expression was upregulated in tumor samples, and a high expression level was determined to be an independent protective factor for survival. A set of three and six radiomics features were extracted to develop RFE-LR and LASSO-LR radiomics models, respectively. Both models demonstrated good calibration and clinical benefits, as determined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. The LASSO-LR model performed better than the RFE-LR model, owing to the area under the curve (AUC) values of the ROC curves (0.829 vs. 0.736). Furthermore, the AUC value of the radiomics score that predicted the overall survival of patients with SOC diagnosed after 60 months was 0.788 using the LASSO-LR model.

CONCLUSION

The radiomics models we developed are promising noninvasive tools for predicting CD27 expression status and SOC prognosis. The LASSO-LR model is highly recommended for evaluating the preoperative risk stratification for SOCs in clinical applications.

Role of radiomics as a predictor of disease recurrence in ovarian cancer: a systematic review

Ovarian cancer is associated with high cancer-related mortality rate attributed to late-stage diagnosis, limited treatment options, and frequent disease recurrence. As a result, careful patient selection is important especially in setting of radical surgery. Radiomics is an emerging field in medical imaging, which may help provide vital prognostic evaluation and help patient selection for radical treatment strategies. This systematic review aims to assess the role of radiomics as a predictor of disease recurrence in ovarian cancer. A systematic search was conducted in Medline, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases. Studies meeting inclusion criteria investigating the use of radiomics to predict post-operative recurrence in ovarian cancer were included in our qualitative analysis. Study quality was assessed using the QUADAS-2 and Radiomics Quality Score tools. Six retrospective studies met the inclusion criteria, involving a total of 952 participants. Radiomic-based signatures demonstrated consistent performance in predicting disease recurrence, as evidenced by satisfactory area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values (AUC range 0.77-0.89). Radiomic-based signatures appear to good prognosticators of disease recurrence in ovarian cancer as estimated by AUC. The reviewed studies consistently reported the potential of radiomic features to enhance risk stratification and personalise treatment decisions in this complex cohort of patients. Further research is warranted to address limitations related to feature reliability, workflow heterogeneity, and the need for prospective validation studies.

MRI-based radiomics model to preoperatively predict mesenchymal transition subtype in high-grade serous ovarian cancer

AIM

To develop a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics model for the preoperative identification of mesenchymal transition (MT) subtype in high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

One hundred and eighty-nine patients with histopathologically confirmed HGSOC were enrolled retrospectively. Among the included patients, 55 patients were determined as the MT subtype and the remaining 134 were non-MT subtype. After extracting a total of 204 features from T2-weighted imaging (T2WI) and contrast-enhanced (CE)-T1WI images, the Mann-Whitney U-test, Spearman correlation test, and Boruta algorithm were adopted to select the optimal feature set. Three classifiers, including logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF), were trained to develop radiomics models. The performance of established models was evaluated from three aspects: discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility.

RESULTS

Seven radiomics features relevant to MT subtypes were selected to build the radiomics models. The model based on the RF algorithm showed the best performance in predicting MT subtype, with areas under the curves (AUCs) of 0.866 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.797-0.936) and 0.852 (95 % CI: 0.736-0.967) in the training and testing cohorts, respectively. The calibration curves, supported with Brier scores, indicated very good consistency between observation and prediction. Decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the RF-based model could provide more net benefit, which suggested favorable utility in clinical application.

CONCLUSION

The RF-based radiomics model provided accurate identification of MT from the non-MT subtype and may help facilitate personalised management of HGSOC.

Peritumoral MRI Radiomics Features Increase the Evaluation Efficiency for Response to Chemotherapy in Patients With Epithelial Ovarian Cancer

BACKGROUND

It remains unclear whether extracting peritumoral volume (PTV) radiomics features are useful tools for evaluating response to chemotherapy of epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC).

PURPOSE

To evaluate MRI radiomics signatures (RS) capturing subtle changes of PTV and their added evaluation performance to whole tumor volume (WTV) for response to chemotherapy in patients with EOC.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

219 patients aged from 15 to 79 years were enrolled.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

3.0 or 1.5T, axial fat-suppressed T2-weighted imaging (FS-T2WI), diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI), and contrast enhanced T1-weighted imaging (CE-T1WI).

ASSESSMENT

MRI features were extracted from the four axial sequences and six different volumes of interest (VOIs) (WTV and WTV + PTV (WPTV)) with different peritumor sizes (PS) ranging from 1 to 5 mm. Those features underwent preprocessing, and the most informative features were selected using minimum redundancy maximum relevance and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator to construct the RS. The optimal RS, with the highest area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic was then integrated with independent clinical characteristics through multivariable logistic regression to construct the radiomics-clinical model (RCM).

STATISTICAL TESTS

Mann-Whitney U test, chi-squared test, DeLong test, log-rank test. P < 0.05 indicated a significant difference.

RESULTS

All the RSs constructed on WPTV exhibited higher AUCs (0.720-0.756) than WTV (0.671). Of which, RS with PS = 2 mm displayed a significantly better performance (AUC = 0.756). International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage was identified as the exclusive independent clinical evaluation characteristic, and the RCM demonstrated higher AUC (0.790) than the RS, but without statistical significance (P = 0.261).

DATA CONCLUSION

The radiomics features extracted from PTV could increase the efficiency of WTV radiomics for evaluating the chemotherapy response of EOC. The cut-off of 2 mm PTV was a reasonable value to obtain effective evaluation efficiency.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Evaluation of Uterine Carcinosarcoma and Uterine Endometrial Carcinoma Using Magnetic Resonance Imaging Findings and Texture Features

Aim  This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic feasibility of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings and texture features (TFs) for differentiating uterine endometrial carcinoma from uterine carcinosarcoma. Methods This retrospective study included 102 patients who were histopathologically diagnosed after surgery with uterine endometrial carcinoma (n=68) or uterine carcinosarcoma (n=34) between January 2008 and December 2021. We assessed conventional MRI findings and measurements (cMRFMs) and TFs on T2-weighted images (T2WI) and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) map, as well as their combinations, in differentiating between uterine endometrial carcinoma and uterine carcinosarcoma. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used to select three features with the highest absolute value of the LASSO regression coefficient for each model and construct a discriminative model. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the disease models and conduct receiver operating characteristic analyses on the cMRFMs, T2WI-TFs, ADC-TFs, and their combined model to compare the two diseases. Results A total of four models were constructed from each of the three selected features. The area under the curve (AUC) of the discriminative model using these features was 0.772, 0.878, 0.748, and 0.915 for the cMRFMs, T2WI-TFs, ADC-TFs, and a combined model of cMRFMs and TFs, respectively. The combined model showed a higher AUC than the other models, with a high diagnostic performance (AUC=0.915). Conclusion A combined model using cMRFMs and TFs might be helpful for the differential diagnosis of uterine endometrial carcinoma and uterine carcinosarcoma.

Combined radiomics-clinical model to predict platinum-sensitivity in advanced high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma using multimodal MRI

Introduction

We aimed to predict platinum sensitivity using routine baseline multimodal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and established clinical data in a radiomics framework.

Methods

We evaluated 96 patients with ovarian cancer who underwent multimodal MRI and routine laboratory tests between January 2016 and December 2020. The patients underwent diffusion-weighted, contrast-enhanced T1-weighted, and T2-weighted MRI. Subsequently, 293 radiomic features were extracted by manually identifying tumor regions of interest. The features were subjected to the least absolute shrinkage and selection operators, leaving only a few selected features. We built the first prediction model with a tree-based classifier using selected radiomics features. A second prediction model was built by combining the selected radiomic features with four established clinical factors: age, disease stage, initial tumor marker level, and treatment course. Both models were built and tested using a five-fold cross-validation.

Results

Our radiomics model predicted platinum sensitivity with an AUC of 0.65 using a few radiomics features related to heterogeneity. The second combined model had an AUC of 0.77, confirming the incremental benefits of the radiomics model in addition to models using established clinical factors.

Conclusion

Our combined radiomics-clinical data model was effective in predicting platinum sensitivity in patients with advanced ovarian cancer.

Prognostic 18F-FDG Radiomic Features in Advanced High-Grade Serous Ovarian Cancer

High-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) is an aggressive disease with different clinical outcomes and poor prognosis. This could be due to tumor heterogeneity. The 18F-FDG PET radiomic parameters permit addressing tumor heterogeneity. Nevertheless, this has been not well studied in ovarian cancer. The aim of our work was to assess the prognostic value of pretreatment 18F-FDG PET radiomic features in patients with HGSOC. A review of 36 patients diagnosed with advanced HGSOC between 2016 and 2020 in our center was performed. Radiomic features were obtained from pretreatment 18F-FDGPET. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were calculated. Optimal cutoff values with receiver operating characteristic curve/median values were used. A correlation between radiomic features and DFS/OS was made. The mean DFS was 19.6 months and OS was 37.1 months. Total Lesion Glycolysis (TLG), GLSZM_ Zone Size Non-Uniformity (GLSZM_ZSNU), and GLRLM_Run Length Non-Uniformity (GLRLM_RLNU) were significantly associated with DFS. The survival-curves analysis showed a significant difference of DSF in patients with GLRLM_RLNU > 7388.3 versus patients with lower values (19.7 months vs. 31.7 months, p = 0.035), maintaining signification in the multivariate analysis (p = 0.048). Moreover, Intensity-based Kurtosis was associated with OS (p = 0.027). Pretreatment 18F-FDG PET radiomic features GLRLM_RLNU, GLSZM_ZSNU, and Kurtosis may have prognostic value in patients with advanced HGSOC.

Radiomics in the evaluation of ovarian masses - a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

The study aim was to conduct a systematic review of the literature reporting the application of radiomics to imaging techniques in patients with ovarian lesions.

METHODS

MEDLINE/PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, EMBASE, Ovid and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched for relevant articles. Using PRISMA criteria, data were extracted from short-listed studies. Validity and bias were assessed independently by 2 researchers in consensus using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool. Radiomic Quality Score (RQS) was utilised to assess radiomic methodology.

RESULTS

After duplicate removal, 63 articles were identified, of which 33 were eligible. Fifteen assessed lesion classifications, 10 treatment outcomes, 5 outcome predictions, 2 metastatic disease predictions and 1 classification/outcome prediction. The sample size ranged from 28 to 501 patients. Twelve studies investigated CT, 11 MRI, 4 ultrasound and 1 FDG PET-CT. Twenty-three studies (70%) incorporated 3D segmentation. Various modelling methods were used, most commonly LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) (10/33). Five studies (15%) compared radiomic models to radiologist interpretation, all demonstrating superior performance. Only 6 studies (18%) included external validation. Five studies (15%) had a low overall risk of bias, 9 (27%) moderate, and 19 (58%) high risk of bias. The highest RQS achieved was 61.1%, and the lowest was - 16.7%.

CONCLUSION

Radiomics has the potential as a clinical diagnostic tool in patients with ovarian masses and may allow better lesion stratification, guiding more personalised patient care in the future. Standardisation of the feature extraction methodology, larger and more diverse patient cohorts and real-world evaluation is required before clinical translation.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Radiomics shows promising results in improving lesion stratification, treatment selection and outcome prediction. Modelling with larger cohorts and real-world evaluation is required before clinical translation.

KEY POINTS

• Radiomics is emerging as a tool for enhancing clinical decisions in patients with ovarian masses. • Radiomics shows promising results in improving lesion stratification, treatment selection and outcome prediction. • Modelling with larger cohorts and real-world evaluation is required before clinical translation.

Prediction of platinum resistance for advanced high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma using MRI-based radiomics nomogram

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore the value of a radiomics nomogram to identify platinum resistance and predict the progression-free survival (PFS) of patients with advanced high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma (HGSOC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this multicenter retrospective study, 301 patients with advanced HGSOC underwent radiomics features extraction from the whole primary tumor on contrast-enhanced T1WI and T2WI. The radiomics features were selected by the support vector machine-based recursive feature elimination method, and then the radiomics signature was generated. Furthermore, a radiomics nomogram was developed using the radiomics signature and clinical characteristics by multivariable logistic regression. The predictive performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic analysis. The net reclassification index (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to compare the clinical utility and benefits of different models.

RESULTS

Five features significantly correlated with platinum resistance were selected to construct the radiomics model. The radiomics nomogram, combining radiomics signatures with three clinical characteristics (FIGO stage, CA-125, and residual tumor), had a higher area under the curve (AUC) compared with the clinical model alone (AUC: 0.799 vs 0.747), with positive NRI and IDI. The net benefit of the radiomics nomogram is typically higher than clinical-only and radiomics-only models. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the radiomics nomogram-defined high-risk groups had shorter PFS compared with the low-risk groups in patients with advanced HGSOC.

CONCLUSIONS

The radiomics nomogram can identify platinum resistance and predict PFS. It helps make the personalized management of advanced HGSOC.

KEY POINTS

• The radiomics-based approach has the potential to identify platinum resistance and can help make the personalized management of advanced HGSOC. • The radiomics-clinical nomogram showed improved performance compared with either of them alone for predicting platinum-resistant HGSOC. • The proposed nomogram performed well in predicting the PFS time of patients with low-risk and high-risk HGSOC in both training and testing cohorts.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of CT and MRI radiomics in ovarian cancer: methodological issues and clinical utility

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to present the state of the art of CT- and MRI-based radiomics in the context of ovarian cancer (OC), with a focus on the methodological quality of these studies and the clinical utility of these proposed radiomics models.

METHODS

Original articles investigating radiomics in OC published in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library between January 1, 2002, and January 6, 2023, were extracted. The methodological quality was evaluated using the radiomics quality score (RQS) and Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2). Pairwise correlation analyses were performed to compare the methodological quality, baseline information, and performance metrics. Additional meta-analyses of studies exploring differential diagnoses and prognostic prediction in patients with OC were performed separately.

RESULTS

Fifty-seven studies encompassing 11,693 patients were included. The mean RQS was 30.7% (range - 4 to 22); less than 25% of studies had a high risk of bias and applicability concerns in each domain of QUADAS-2. A high RQS was significantly associated with a low QUADAS-2 risk and recent publication year. Significantly higher performance metrics were observed in studies examining differential diagnosis; 16 such studies as well as 13 exploring prognostic prediction were included in a separate meta-analysis, which revealed diagnostic odds ratios of 25.76 (95% confidence interval (CI) 13.50-49.13) and 12.55 (95% CI 8.38-18.77), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Current evidence suggests that the methodological quality of OC-related radiomics studies is unsatisfactory. Radiomics analysis based on CT and MRI showed promising results in terms of differential diagnosis and prognostic prediction.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Radiomics analysis has potential clinical utility; however, shortcomings persist in existing studies in terms of reproducibility. We suggest that future radiomics studies should be more standardized to better bridge the gap between concepts and clinical applications.

Preoperative prediction of miliary changes in the small bowel mesentery in advanced high-grade serous ovarian cancer using MRI radiomics nomogram

PURPOSE

To develop and validate an MRI-based radiomics nomogram for the preoperative prediction of miliary changes in the small bowel mesentery (MCSBM) in advanced high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

One hundred and twenty-eight patients with pathologically proved  advanced HGSOC (training cohort: n = 91; validation cohort: n = 37) were retrospectively included. All patients were initially evaluated as MCSBM-negative by preoperative imaging modalities but were finally confirmed by surgery and histopathology (MCSBM-positive: n = 53; MCSBM-negative: n = 75). Five radiomics signatures were built based on the features from multisequence magnetic resonance images. Independent clinicoradiological factors and radiomics-fusion signature were further integrated to construct a radiomics nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves and clinical utility.

RESULTS

Radiomics signatures, ascites, and tumor size were independent predictors of MCSBM. A nomogram integrating radiomics features and clinicoradiological factors demonstrated satisfactory predictive performance with areas under the curves (AUCs) of 0.871 (95% CI 0.801-0.941) and 0.858 (95% CI 0.739-0.976) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) revealed that the nomogram had a significantly improved ability compared with the clinical model in the training cohort (NRI = 0.343, p = 0.002; IDI = 0.299, p < 0.001) and validation cohort (NRI = 0.409, p = 0.015; IDI = 0.283, p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our proposed nomogram has the potential to serve as a noninvasive tool for the prediction of MCSBM, which is helpful for the individualized assessment of advanced HGSOC patients.

Radiomics and Radiogenomics of Ovarian Cancer

Ovarian cancer, one of the deadliest gynecologic malignancies, is characterized by high intra- and inter-site genomic and phenotypic heterogeneity. The traditional information provided by the conventional interpretation of diagnostic imaging studies cannot adequately represent this heterogeneity. Radiomics analyses can capture the complex patterns related to the microstructure of the tissues and provide quantitative information about them. This review outlines how radiomics and its integration with other quantitative biological information, like genomics and proteomics, can impact the clinical management of ovarian cancer.

Gynecological cancer prognosis using machine learning techniques: A systematic review of last three decades (1990–2022)

OBJECTIVE

Many Computer Aided Prognostic (CAP) systems based on machine learning techniques have been proposed in the field of oncology. The objective of this systematic review was to assess and critically appraise the methodologies and approaches used in predicting the prognosis of gynecological cancers using CAPs.

METHODS

Electronic databases were used to systematically search for studies utilizing machine learning methods in gynecological cancers. Study risk of bias (ROB) and applicability were assessed using the PROBAST tool. 139 studies met the inclusion criteria, of which 71 predicted outcomes for ovarian cancer patients, 41 predicted outcomes for cervical cancer patients, 28 predicted outcomes for uterine cancer patients, and 2 predicted outcomes for gynecological malignancies broadly.

RESULTS

Random forest (22.30 %) and support vector machine (21.58 %) classifiers were used most commonly. Use of clinicopathological, genomic and radiomic data as predictors was observed in 48.20 %, 51.08 % and 17.27 % of studies, respectively, with some studies using multiple modalities. 21.58 % of studies were externally validated. Twenty-three individual studies compared ML and non-ML methods. Study quality was highly variable and methodologies, statistical reporting and outcome measures were inconsistent, preventing generalized commentary or meta-analysis of performance outcomes.

CONCLUSION

There is significant variability in model development when prognosticating gynecological malignancies with respect to variable selection, machine learning (ML) methods and endpoint selection. This heterogeneity prevents meta-analysis and conclusions regarding the superiority of ML methods. Furthermore, PROBAST-mediated ROB and applicability analysis demonstrates concern for the translatability of existing models. This review identifies ways that this can be improved upon in future works to develop robust, clinically translatable models within this promising field.

Deep Learning Provides a New Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Based Prognostic Biomarker for Recurrence Prediction in High-Grade Serous Ovarian Cancer

This study aims to use a deep learning method to develop a signature extract from preoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and to evaluate its ability as a non-invasive recurrence risk prognostic marker in patients with advanced high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC). Our study comprises a total of 185 patients with pathologically confirmed HGSOC. A total of 185 patients were randomly assigned in a 5:3:2 ratio to a training cohort (n = 92), validation cohort 1 (n = 56), and validation cohort 2 (n = 37). We built a new deep learning network from 3839 preoperative MRI images (T2-weighted images and diffusion-weighted images) to extract HGSOC prognostic indicators. Following that, a fusion model including clinical and deep learning features is developed to predict patients' individual recurrence risk and 3-year recurrence likelihood. In the two validation cohorts, the consistency index of the fusion model was higher than both the deep learning model and the clinical feature model (0.752, 0.813 vs. 0.625, 0.600 vs. 0.505, 0.501). Among the three models, the fusion model had a higher AUC than either the deep learning model or the clinical model in validation cohorts 1 or 2 (AUC = was 0.986, 0.961 vs. 0.706, 0.676/0.506, 0.506). Using the DeLong method, the difference between them was statistically significant (p < 0.05). The Kaplan-Meier analysis distinguished two patient groups with high and low recurrence risk (p = 0.0008 and 0.0035, respectively). Deep learning may be a low-cost, non-invasive method for predicting risk for advanced HGSOC recurrence. Deep learning based on multi-sequence MRI serves as a prognostic biomarker for advanced HGSOC, which provides a preoperative model for predicting recurrence in HGSOC. Additionally, using the fusion model as a new prognostic analysis means that can use MRI data can be used without the need to follow-up the prognostic biomarker.

Intra- and peritumoral radiomics for predicting early recurrence in patients with high-grade serous ovarian cancer

PURPOSE

To explore values of intra- and peritumoral CT-based radiomics for predicting recurrence in high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) patients.

METHODS

This study enrolled 110 HGSOC patients from our hospital between Aug 2017 and Apr 2021. All patients underwent contrast-enhanced CT scans before treatment. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to select radiomics features from intra- and peritumoral areas. Radiomics signatures were built based on selected features from Intra-RS, Peri-RS, and in Com-RS. A nomogram was constructed by combining radiomics signatures and clinical parameters with predictive potential. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC), calibration, and decision curve analyses (DCA) curves were used to evaluate performance of the nomogram.

RESULTS

The intra- and peritumoral combined Com-RS showed effective ability in predicting recurrent HGSOC in the training (AUCs, Intra-RS vs. Peri-RS vs. Com-RS, 0.861 vs. 0.836 vs. 899) and validation (AUCs, Intra-RS vs. Peri-RS vs. Com-RS, 0.788 vs. 0.762 vs. 815) cohort. The Federation of International of FIGO stage, menstruation, and location were found to be strongly associated with tumor recurrence. The nomogram has the best predictive ability in the training (AUCs, Com-RS vs. clinical model vs. nomogram, 0.899 vs. 0.648 vs. 0.901) and validation (AUCs, Com-RS vs. clinical model vs. nomogram, 0.815 vs. 0.666 vs. 0.818) cohort.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggested values of intra- and peritumoral-based radiomics for predicting recurrent HGSOC. The constructed nomogram may be of importance in clinical application.

Radiomics based on readout-segmented echo-planar imaging (RS-EPI) diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) for prognostic risk stratification of patients with rectal cancer: a two-centre, machine learning study using the framework of predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine

Background

Currently, the rate of recurrence or metastasis (ROM) remains high in rectal cancer (RC) patients treated with the standard regimen. The potential of diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) in predicting ROM risk has been reported, but the efficacy is insufficient.

Aims

This study investigated the potential of a new sequence called readout-segmented echo-planar imaging (RS-EPI) DWI in predicting the ROM risk of patients with RC using machine learning methods to achieve the principle of predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine (PPPM) application in RC treatment.

Methods

A total of 195 RC patients from two centres who directly received total mesorectal excision were retrospectively enrolled in our study. Machine learning methods, including recursive feature elimination (RFE), the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE), and the support vector machine (SVM) classifier, were used to construct models based on clinical-pathological factors (clinical model), radiomic features from RS-EPI DWI (radiomics model), and their combination (merged model). The Harrell concordance index (C-index) and the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were calculated to evaluate the predictive performance at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years. Kaplan‒Meier analysis was performed to evaluate the ability to stratify patients according to the risk of ROM.

Findings

The merged model performed well in predicting tumour ROM in patients with RC at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years in both cohorts (AUC = 0.887/0.813/0.794; 0.819/0.795/0.783) and was significantly superior to the clinical model (AUC = 0.87 [95% CI: 0.80-0.93] vs. 0.71 [95% CI: 0.59-0.81], p = 0.009; C-index = 0.83 [95% CI: 0.76-0.90] vs. 0.68 [95% CI: 0.56-0.79], p = 0.002). It also had a significant ability to differentiate patients with a high and low risk of ROM (HR = 12.189 [95% CI: 4.976-29.853], p < 0.001; HR = 6.427 [95% CI: 2.265-13.036], p = 0.002).

Conclusion

Our developed merged model based on RS-EPI DWI accurately predicted and effectively stratified patients with RC according to the ROM risk at an early stage with an individualized profile, which may be able to assist physicians in individualizing the treatment protocols and promote a meaningful paradigm shift in RC treatment from traditional reactive medicine to PPPM.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13167-022-00303-3.

A Nomogram Combining MRI Multisequence Radiomics and Clinical Factors for Predicting Recurrence of High-Grade Serous Ovarian Carcinoma

Objective

To develop a combined nomogram based on preoperative multimodal magnetic resonance imaging (mMRI) and clinical information for predicting recurrence in patients with high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma (HGSOC).

Methods

This retrospective study enrolled 141 patients with clinicopathologically confirmed HGSOC, including 65 patients with recurrence and 76 without recurrence. Radiomics features were extracted from the mMRI images (FS-T2WI, DWI, and T1WI+C). L1 regularization-based least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was performed to select radiomics features. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to build the classification models. A nomogram was established by incorporating clinical risk factors and radiomics Radscores. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics, accuracy, and calibration curves were assessed to evaluate the performance of classification models and nomograms in discriminating recurrence. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate the associations between the Radscore or clinical factors and disease-free survival (DFS).

Results

One clinical factor and seven radiomics signatures were ultimately selected to establish the predictive model for this study. The AUCs for identifying recurrence in the training and validation cohorts were 0.76 (0.68, 0.84) and 0.67 (0.53, 0.81) with the clinical model, 0.78 (0.71, 0.86) and 0.74 (0.61, 0.86) with the multiradiomics model, and 0.83 (0.77, 0.90) and 0.78 (0.65, 0.90) with the combined nomogram, respectively. The DFS was significantly shorter in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group.

Conclusion

By incorporating radiomics Radscores and clinical factors, we created a radiomics nomogram to preoperatively identify patients with HGSOC who have a high risk of recurrence, which may serve as a potential tool to guide personalized treatment.