Early cost-effectiveness modeling for better decisions in public research investment of personalized medicine technologies

Organizational and behavioral attributes' roles in adopting cloud services: An empirical study in the healthcare industry

The need for cloud services has been raised globally to provide a platform for healthcare providers to efficiently manage their citizens' health records and thus provide treatment remotely. In Iraq, the healthcare records of public hospitals are increasing progressively with poor digital management. While recent works indicate cloud computing as a platform for all sectors globally, a lack of empirical evidence demands a comprehensive investigation to identify the significant factors that influence the utilization of cloud health computing. Here we provide a cost-effective, modular, and computationally efficient model of utilizing cloud computing based on the organization theory and the theory of reasoned action perspectives. A total of 105 key informant data were further analyzed. The partial least square structural equation modeling was used for data analysis to explore the effect of organizational structure variables on healthcare information technicians' behaviors to utilize cloud services. Empirical results revealed that Internet networks, software modularity, hardware modularity, and training availability significantly influence information technicians' behavioral control and confirmation. Furthermore, these factors positively impacted their utilization of cloud systems, while behavioral control had no significant effect. The importance-performance map analysis further confirms that these factors exhibit high importance in shaping user utilization. Our findings can provide a comprehensive and unified guide to policymakers in the healthcare industry by focusing on the significant factors in organizational and behavioral contexts to engage health information technicians in the development and implementation phases.

Cost-Effectiveness of Abemaciclib in Early Breast Cancer Patients: One Size Fits All or Tailoring to Patients' Needs?

Purpose

The addition of two years of abemaciclib treatment to standard adjuvant endocrine therapy in all patients with high risk ER+, HER2- early breast cancer (EBC) has been approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Pre-selection of patients with an immediate risk of recurrence within the group of clinically high risk patients using detection of minimal residual disease (MRD) using patient-informed circulating tumor DNA assays during follow-up could enhance efficacy. Here, we investigate the cost-effectiveness of the addition of two years abemaciclib in all high risk HR+, HER2- patients and in MRD-guided high risk patients only.

Methods

Two semi-Markov models were developed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adding two years of abemaciclib compared to "standard treatment": 1) "abemaciclib all" and 2) "MRD-guided abemaciclib" using MRD-guidance. Data of the MonarchE trial were used to model the invasive disease-free survival (iDFS). Since iDFS and overall survival (OS) data of abemaciclib were currently limited, abemaciclib effects were extrapolated using a favorable, intermediate and unfavorable effect scenario.

Results

The addition of abemaciclib in all high-risk EBC patients prolonged iDFS slightly (0.04 additional quality adjusted life years (QALYs)) and led to higher costs compared to standard ET, leading to a high incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) of €1,551,876/QALY. Neither the favorable effect scenario (additional 1.09 QALYs) was cost-effective (ICER €62,935/QALY), using a willingness-to-pay threshold of €50,000/QALY. The "MRD-guided abemaciclib" strategy resulted in lower costs and an increase in QALYs (1.27) compared to "standard treatment" in the unfavorable effect scenario.

Conclusion

The addition of abemaciclib to adjuvant endocrine therapy in all high-risk ER+, HER2- EBC patients is not cost-effective. However, using MRD detection to justify the addition of abemaciclib treatment dominates standard treatment in this cost-effectiveness analysis. Further evaluation of MRD detection in EBC by means of prospective clinical trials assessing clinical utility is recommended and promising in terms of cost-effectiveness.

Early cost-effectiveness analysis of screening for preeclampsia in nulliparous women: A modelling approach in European high-income settings

Background

Preeclampsia causes substantial maternal and perinatal morbidity and mortality and significant societal economic impact. Effective screening would facilitate timely and appropriate prevention and management of preeclampsia.

Objectives

To develop an early cost-effectiveness analysis to assess both costs and health outcomes of a new screening test for preeclampsia from a healthcare payer perspective, in the United Kingdom (UK), Ireland, the Netherlands and Sweden.

Methods

A decision tree over a 9-month time horizon was developed to explore the cost-effectiveness of the new screening test for preeclampsia compared to the current screening strategy. The new test strategy is being developed so that it can stratify healthy low risk nulliparous women early in pregnancy to either a high-risk group with a risk of 1 in 6 or more of developing preeclampsia, or a low-risk group with a risk of 1 in 100 or less. The model simulated 25 plausible scenarios in a hypothetical cohort of 100,000 pregnant women, in which the sensitivity and specificity of the new test were varied to set a benchmark for the minimum test performance that is needed for the test to become cost-effective. The input parameters and costs were mainly derived from published literature. The main outcome was incremental costs per preeclampsia case averted, expressed as an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess uncertainty.

Results

Base case results showed that the new test strategy would be more effective and less costly compared to the current situation in the UK. In the Netherlands, the majority of scenarios would be cost-effective from a threshold of €50,000 per preeclampsia case averted, while in Ireland and Sweden, the vast majority of scenarios would be considered cost-effective only when a threshold of €100,000 was used. In the best case analyses, ICERs were more favourable in all four participating countries. Aspirin effectiveness, prevalence of preeclampsia, accuracy of the new screening test and cost of regular antenatal care were identified as driving factors for the cost-effectiveness of screening for preeclampsia.

Conclusion

The results indicate that the new screening test for preeclampsia has potential to be cost-effective. Further studies based on proven accuracy of the test will confirm whether the new screening test is a cost-effective additional option to the current situation.

Economic evaluation of a JAK inhibitor compared to a monoclonal antibody for treatment of moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis from a UK perspective

AIM

Atopic dermatitis (AD) is a chronic inflammatory skin disorder characterized by severe itching, erythema and scaling, causing pain, stigmatization and social isolation. Despite the growing availability of treatment options, unmet care needs remain. This research aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of a novel JAK inhibitor (JAKi) compared to a monoclonal antibody and to identify key drivers of cost-effectiveness.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A de novo economic model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of a novel JAKi compared to an established monoclonal antibody for the treatment of moderate-to-severe AD patients from a UK perspective. A targeted literature review was conducted to inform the development of the economic model with an advanced model structure. Various scenario and sensitivity analyses were performed to account for parameter- and structural uncertainty and to identify key drivers of cost-effectiveness.

RESULTS

The JAKi was not cost-effective compared to the monoclonal antibody (£219,733.88 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained) at selected price levels when applying the UK willingness-to-pay threshold of £30,000 per QALY gained. Key drivers of cost-effectiveness were utility values, intervention efficacy and drug acquisition costs. A decrease in JAKi's dose costs, as well as a lower dose, lead to cost-effectiveness.

LIMITATIONS

Assumptions regarding parameter inputs were necessary, therefore a considerable level of uncertainty regarding efficacy and cost data is to be accounted for in the interpretation of the results. In particular, the efficacy data were based on single clinical studies.

CONCLUSIONS

This research revealed the cost-effectiveness of a JAKi compared to a monoclonal antibody for the treatment of moderate-to-severe AD to be highly sensitive to the costs and effectiveness inputs and identified further cost-effectiveness drivers. It demonstrated that the JAKi could be cost-effective compared to an established monoclonal antibody with a lower dose or a reduced price.

Clinical utility and cost modelling of the phi test to triage referrals into image-based diagnostic services for suspected prostate cancer: the PRIM (Phi to RefIne Mri) study

BACKGROUND

The clinical pathway to detect and diagnose prostate cancer has been revolutionised by the use of multiparametric MRI (mpMRI pre-biopsy). mpMRI however remains a resource-intensive test and is highly operator dependent with variable effectiveness with regard to its negative predictive value. Here we tested the use of the phi assay in standard clinical practice to pre-select men at the highest risk of harbouring significant cancer and hence refine the use of mpMRI and biopsies.

METHODS

A prospective five-centre study recruited men being investigated through an mpMRI-based prostate cancer diagnostic pathway. Test statistics for PSA, PSA density (PSAd) and phi were assessed for detecting significant cancers using 2 definitions: ≥ Grade Group (GG2) and ≥ Cambridge Prognostic Groups (CPG) 3. Cost modelling and decision curve analysis (DCA) was simultaneously performed.

RESULTS

A total of 545 men were recruited and studied with a median age, PSA and phi of 66 years, 8.0 ng/ml and 44 respectively. Overall, ≥ GG2 and ≥ CPG3 cancer detection rates were 64% (349/545), 47% (256/545) and 32% (174/545) respectively. There was no difference across centres for patient demographics or cancer detection rates. The overall area under the curve (AUC) for predicting ≥ GG2 cancers was 0.70 for PSA and 0.82 for phi. AUCs for ≥ CPG3 cancers were 0.81 and 0.87 for PSA and phi respectively. AUC values for phi did not differ between centres suggesting reliability of the test in different diagnostic settings. Pre-referral phi cut-offs between 20 and 30 had NPVs of 0.85-0.90 for ≥ GG2 cancers and 0.94-1.0 for ≥ CPG3 cancers. A strategy of mpMRI in all and biopsy only positive lesions reduced unnecessary biopsies by 35% but missed 9% of ≥ GG2 and 5% of ≥ CPG3 cancers. Using PH ≥ 30 to rule out referrals missed 8% and 5% of ≥ GG2 and ≥ CPG3 cancers (and reduced unnecessary biopsies by 40%). This was achieved however with 25% fewer mpMRI. Pathways incorporating PSAd missed fewer cancers but necessitated more unnecessary biopsies. The phi strategy had the lowest mean costs with DCA demonstrating net clinical benefit over a range of thresholds.

CONCLUSION

phi as a triaging test may be an effective way to reduce mpMRI and biopsies without compromising detection of significant prostate cancers.