Prognostic and predictive factors in patients treated with chemotherapy for advanced urothelial cancer: where do we stand?

Latest evidence on clinical outcomes and prognostic factors of advanced urothelial carcinoma in the era of immune checkpoint inhibitors: a narrative review

The management of advanced (locally advanced or metastatic) urothelial carcinoma has been revolutionized since pembrolizumab was introduced in 2017. Several prognostic factors for advanced urothelial carcinoma treated with pembrolizumab have been reported, including conventional parameters such as performance status and visceral (especially liver) metastasis, laboratory markers such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, sarcopenia, histological/genomic markers such as programmed cell death ligand 1 immunohistochemistry and tumor mutational burden, variant histology, immune-related adverse events, concomitant medications in relation to the gut microbiome, primary tumor site (bladder cancer versus upper tract urothelial carcinoma) and history/combination of radiotherapy. The survival time of advanced urothelial carcinoma has been significantly prolonged (or 'doubled' from 1 to 2 years) after the advent of pembrolizumab, which will be further improved with novel agents such as avelumab and enfortumab vedotin. This review summarizes the latest evidence on clinical outcomes and prognostic factors of advanced urothelial carcinoma in the contemporary era of immune checkpoint inhibitors.

2023 ASCO Genitourinary Cancers Symposium: a focus on urothelial carcinoma

In this article, we describe the main acquisitions of urothelial carcinoma (UC) management reported at the 2023 American Society of Clinical Oncology Genitourinary Cancers Symposium. A major development of this year was characterized by the confirmation of a disease-free survival advantage of adjuvant nivolumab for high-risk muscle-invasive urothelial carcinoma after radical resection at longer follow-up. In the metastatic setting, the updated analysis of the IMvigor130 study confirmed the failure of the strategy of adding immunotherapy (i.e. atezolizumab) to first-line chemotherapy; analogously atezolizumab monotherapy did not improve overall survival compared to chemotherapy in untreated metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC). Furthermore, interesting data were presented concerning future treatment options. In particular, immunotherapy (IO) with pembrolizumab showed promising activity in patients with high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer unresponsive to bacillus Calmette-Guérin (KEYNOTE-057). The antibody-drug conjugate sacituzumab govitecan demonstrated a relevant activity in platinum (PT)-ineligible mUC patients progressed after prior IO. Certainly, the lack of predictive biomarkers of response to a specific therapy highlights the urgent need for comprehensive characterization of UC for a personalized therapeutic approach that will improve patient outcomes.

Overall Survival of Patients Receiving Cisplatin or Carboplatin for Primary Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma of the Bladder: A Contemporary Dutch Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Cisplatin is preferred to carboplatin when treating metastatic urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (mUCB), despite its greater toxicity. Randomised studies underpinning this have been performed in noncontemporary populations with limitations in sample sizes and analyses, affecting their validity in current clinical practice.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate overall survival (OS) and assess the benefit of cisplatin-based regimens over carboplatin-based regimens in a contemporary cohort of patients with mUCB.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A nationwide retrospective cohort study was conducted in patients diagnosed with de novo mUCB in the Netherlands between 2016 and 2019, who underwent first-line treatment with cisplatin- or carboplatin-based chemotherapy, based on the data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

A propensity model for receiving cisplatin-based chemotherapy based on age, sex, age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index, renal function, performance status, serum haemoglobin, and the presence of visceral and bone metastases was used to produce inverse probability weighting (IPW) per patient. Unadjusted and IPW-adjusted Kaplan-Meier OS curves of both chemotherapy groups were compared by restricted mean survival time (RMST).

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Of the 1041 patients with mUCB, 359 received either cisplatin (n = 170; 47%) or carboplatin (n = 189; 53%) as first line. The cisplatin group was younger, had fewer comorbidities, and had better performance status and renal function. The median OS in the cisplatin and carboplatin groups was 13.1 and 11.5 mo, respectively. After IPW adjustment, prognostic factors were balanced between the two chemotherapy groups (standardised differences <0.1), and differences in RMST were <2.0 mo and not statistically significant up to 24 mo.

CONCLUSIONS

After accounting for all known prognostic factors, we found no significant survival benefit for cisplatin over carboplatin as first-line chemotherapy in mUCB.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In this study, we compared the survival benefits of cisplatin- and carboplatin-based chemotherapy for patients with metastatic bladder cancer.

Immune-inflammatory biomarkers as prognostic factors for immunotherapy in pretreated advanced urinary tract cancer patients: an analysis of the Italian SAUL cohort

Background

Reliable and affordable prognostic and predictive biomarkers for urothelial carcinoma treated with immunotherapy may allow patients' outcome stratification and drive therapeutic options. The SAUL trial investigated the safety and efficacy of atezolizumab in a real-world setting on 1004 patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma who progressed to one to three prior systemic therapies.

Patients and methods

Using the SAUL Italian cohort of 267 patients, we investigated the prognostic role of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and the best performing one of these in combination with programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) with or without lactate dehydrogenase (LDH). Previously reported cut-offs (NLR >3 and NLR >5; SII >1375) in addition to study-defined ones derived from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were used.

Results

The cut-off values for NLR and SII by the ROC analysis were 3.65 (sensitivity 60.4; specificity 63.0) and 884 (sensitivity 64.4; specificity 67.5), respectively. The median overall survival (OS) was 14.7 months for NLR <3.65 [95% confidence interval (CI) 9.9-not reached (NR)] versus 6.0 months for NLR ≥3.65 (95% CI 3.9-9.4); 14.7 months for SII <884 (95% CI 10.6-NR) versus 6.0 months for SII ≥884 (95% CI 3.7-8.6). The combination of SII, PD-L1, and LDH stratified OS better than SII plus PD-L1 through better identification of patients with intermediate prognosis (77% versus 48%, respectively). Multivariate analyses confirmed significant correlations with OS and progression-free survival for both the SII + PD-L1 + LDH and SII + PD-L1 combinations.

Conclusion

The combination of immune-inflammatory biomarkers based on SII, PD-L1, with or without LDH is a potentially useful and easy-to-assess prognostic tool deserving validation to identify patients who may benefit from immunotherapy alone or alternative therapies.

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Reliable biomarkers for immunotherapy may assist in treatment decision making and clinical trial design and interpretation.

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Immune-inflammatory biomarkers were investigated for their prognostic role within the Italian SAUL study cohort.

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ROC-based cut-offs were 3.65 for NLR and 884 for SII.

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Both NLR and SII were prognostic with SII performing slightly better than NLR.

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The combination of SII, PD-L1, and LDH stratified OS better than SII + PD-L1; both were independent prognostic factors.

Key Role of Obesity in Genitourinary Tumors with Emphasis on Urothelial and Prostate Cancers

Background: In human populations, a certain amount of data correlate obesity/body mass index (BMI) with urothelial cancer (UC) and prostate cancer (PCa) occurrence, however this is not fully elucidated at all stages of disease. In an attempt to shed light on uncertain areas in such field, in the present review we illustrate the main molecular mechanisms linking obesity and cancer, focusing on the correlation between obesity and tumor risk, disease progression and response to chemo- and immunotherapy in patients with UC and the predictive/prognostic role of obesity in PCa patients treated with the currently available therapeutic approaches. Methods: We did a large-scale literature search on existing scientific websites focusing on keywords "obesity", "body mass index (BMI)", "urothelial cancer", "prostate cancer", "docetaxel", "cabazitaxel", "abiraterone acetate", "enzalutamide", and "radium223". Results: Many adipocytes-induced molecules support tumor proliferation through activation of various cellular pathways. The available evidence in the postoperative setting do the role of BMI in oncological outcomes prediction still not completely clear. Likewise, in metastatic UC patients controversial results link the role of obesity/BMI with clinical outcomes of tumor response to chemotherapy. Adipose stromal cells recruitment, induced by PCa cells, from white adipose tissue to the tumor sites inducing cell invasiveness was associated with poor survival. Conflicting data, although more oriented towards a better survival outcome, resulted in obese patients treated with docetaxel. In PCa cell-lines a certain cabazitaxel chemo resistance adipose stromal cells (ASC)-mediated was demonstrated. In metastatic castration-resistant PCa patients with high BMI (>25 kg/m2) receiving abiraterone acetate there were significant worse survival outcomes, while in enzalutamide patients BMI did not affect survival outcome. In radium 223 patients higher BMI significantly correlated with favorable overall survival. Conclusions: The main focus of this review was to understand the interplay between obesity/BMI and UC/PCa. Several pathogenic cellular pathways exploring the issue are discussed, opening the way to challenging tailored treatments on the basis of BMI. Improving the knowledge of molecular connections between obesity and UC and PCa could favor the development of new therapies likely reducing chemo- and immunotherapy drug resistance.

LINC00857 expression predicts and mediates the response to platinum-based chemotherapy in muscle-invasive bladder cancer

Approximately 20% of patients with bladder cancer are diagnosed with muscle‐invasive disease (MIBC). The treatment involves radical cystectomy, but almost 50% of patients with MIBC eventually relapse and develop metastasis. The use of platinum‐based chemotherapy in the neoadjuvant setting or for metastatic patients has been shown to improve the overall survival in a subset of patients. Unfortunately, no biomarkers are available to select patients with MIBC who will benefit from chemotherapy or to monitor the efficacy of the treatment. Recently, long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) were shown to regulate a variety of processes involved in the development and progression of cancer, including bladder cancer. Moreover, several lncRNAs have been shown to play a role in chemotherapy resistance. Here, we analyzed lncRNA expression associated with response to platinum‐based chemotherapy in metastatic MIBC using data from the MiTranscriptome lncRNA expression database. Expression of the lncRNA,LINC00857, was found to be upregulated in tumors from patients that did not respond to platinum‐based chemotherapy. Moreover, high expression of LINC00857 is correlated with shorter recurrence‐free and overall survival of patients with MIBC. Knockdown of LINC00857 significantly decreased cell viability of bladder cancer cell lines through the induction of apoptosis. Furthermore, LINC00857 knockdown sensitized UM‐UC‐3 and T24 bladder cancer cells to cisplatin, via the negative regulation of the LMAN1 gene. Our data indicate that LINC00857 plays an important role in the regulation of response to platinum‐based chemotherapy. LINC00857 potentially could serve as a novel prognostic and predictive biomarker and might be a therapeutic target to overcome cisplatin resistance in patients with MIBC.

The combination of paclitaxel and carboplatin as second-line chemotherapy can be a preferred regimen for patients with urothelial carcinoma after the failure of gemcitabine and cisplatin chemotherapy

There is no established standard second-line chemotherapy after the failure of the first-line cisplatin-based chemotherapy for patients with advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma. With regards to second-line chemotherapy, methotrexate, vinblastine, doxorubicin and cisplatin (MVAC) was used from July 2009 onwards, and paclitaxel and carboplatin (TC) was introduced in April 2014 at the National Kyushu Cancer Center. The present study aimed to assess the prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in second-line treatment that included best supportive care (BSC), and the tolerability and efficacy of TC chemotherapy. In total, 52 patients who were confirmed to have disease progression with first-line gemcitabine and cisplatin (GC) between June 2009 and November 2016 were enrolled in the current study. In addition, 28 patients selected BSC as second-line treatment, while 24 patients received second-line chemotherapy (MVAC, n=8; TC, n=16). The median OS for BSC, MVAC and TC was 2.8, 5.4, and 12.7 months, respectively. The difference between BSC and MVAC was not statistically significant (P=0.596). However, the difference between BSC and TC was statistically significant after Bonferroni correction (P=0.002). Multivariate analyses revealed that anemia [hazard ratio (HR), 7.047; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.553-35.636; P=0.011], the presence of visceral metastasis (HR, 4.174; 95% CI, 1.506-13.429; P=0.005) and second-line treatment (TC HR, 0.296; 95% CI, 0.124-0.636; P=0.003) were independent prognostic factors. TC achieved an 18.7% overall response rate and a 56.2% disease control rate. Myelosuppression was the most common grade ≥3 toxicity, but no treatment-associated mortalities occurred during the study period. TC was associated with favorable benefits and safety, and may be considered a preferred regimen after the failure of GC.

Simultaneous Targeting of Bladder Tumor Growth, Survival, and Epithelial-to-Mesenchymal Transition with a Novel Therapeutic Combination of Acetazolamide (AZ) and Sulforaphane (SFN)

BACKGROUND

Current chemotherapies for advanced stage metastatic bladder cancer often result in severe side effects, and most patients become drug resistant over time. Thus, there is a need for more effective therapies with minimal side effects.

OBJECTIVE

The acid/base balance in tumor cells is essential for tumor cell functioning. We reasoned that simultaneous targeting of pH homeostasis and survival pathways would improve therapeutic efficacy. We evaluated the effectiveness of targeting pH homeostasis with the carbonic anhydrase inhibitor acetazolamide (AZ) in combination with the survival pathway targeting isothiocyanate sulforaphane (SFN) on the HTB-9 and RT112(H) human bladder tumor cell lines.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We assessed viability, proliferation, and survival in vitro and effect on xenografts in vivo.

RESULTS

Combination AZ + SFN treatment induced dose-dependent suppression of growth, produced a potent anti-proliferative and anti-clonogenic effect, and induced apoptosis through caspase-3 and PARP activation. The anti-proliferative effect was corroborated by significant reductions in Ki-67, pHH3, cyclin D1, and sustained induction of the cell cycle inhibitors, p21 and p27. Both active p-Akt (Ser473) and p-S6 were significantly downregulated in the AZ + SFN combination treated cells with a concomitant inhibition of Akt kinase activity. The inhibitory effects of the AZ + SFN combination treatment showed similar efficacy as the dual PI3K/mTOR pathway inhibitor NVP-BEZ235, albeit at an expected higher dose. In terms of the effect on the metastatic potential of these bladder cancers, we found downregulated expression of carbonic anhydrase 9 (CA9) concomitant with reductions in both E-cadherin, N-cadherin, and vimentin proteins mitigating the epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT), suggesting negation of this program.

CONCLUSION

We suggest that reductions in these components could be linked with downregulation of the survival mediated Akt pathway and suggested an active role of the Akt pathway in bladder cancer. Altogether, our in vitro and pre-clinical model data support the potential use of an AZ + SFN combination for the treatment of bladder cancer.

Overexpression of ribonucleotide reductase subunit M1 protein predicts shorter survival in metastatic bladder cancer patients treated with gemcitabine-containing combination chemotherapy

OBJECTIVES

To identify biomarkers predicting prognosis in bladder cancer patients undergoing the gemcitabine and cisplatin regimen.

METHODS

We studied 52 patients with metastatic bladder cancer treated with the gemcitabine and cisplatin regimen by evaluating the relationship between the expression of two biomarkers, ribonucleotide reductase subunit M1 and excision repair cross complementing 1, by immunohistochemistry and clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

The patients with low expression of ribonucleotide reductase subunit M1 showed a higher objective response rate by the gemcitabine and cisplatin regimen than those with high expression of ribonucleotide reductase subunit M1 (80.0% and 45.5%, respectively). No differences were observed according to the expression level of excision repair cross complementing 1. Low expression of ribonucleotide reductase subunit M1 significantly prolonged overall survival and progression-free survival compared with the high expression group. Low expression of excision repair cross complementing 1 tended to prolong overall survival and progression-free survival, but there were no significant differences (P = 0.07 and 0.10, respectively). Multivariate analysis showed that the expression of ribonucleotide reductase subunit M1 was the only independent prognostic factor (P = 0.012).

CONCLUSIONS

The expressions of ribonucleotide reductase subunit M1 seem to be associated with clinical response and survival in patients with metastatic bladder cancer treated with gemcitabine and cisplatin-based chemotherapy.

Metabolic complete response with vinflunine as second-line therapy in a kidney-transplanted patient with advanced urothelial carcinoma: a case report

Background

Patients undergone kidney transplantation present higher risk of Urothelial Carcinoma (UC) development and represent a subgroup of special interest. To date, vinflunine is the only drug approved in Europe for the treatment of advanced UC after failure of platinum-based chemotherapy. However, to our knowledge, no data on the concomitant administration of vinflunine and immunosuppressive agents are available.

Case presentation

The patient, a 45 years old Caucasian male, presented poorly differentiated UC of the bladder recurred after initial cystectomy with abdominal lymphadenopathies evidenced by FDG-PET/CT. Previously, at the age of 22, he had post-glomerulonephritis renal failure and underwent kidney transplantation from deceased donor. Since then, he has been in treatment with immunosuppressive therapy. At the time of UC recurrence, he was on treatment with cyclosporine. After progression to platinum-based chemotherapy, he received second-line therapy with vinflunine resulting in a complete metabolic response after two cycles. However, despite several dose reductions, the patient experienced severe hematologic toxicity. The pharmacological interaction between vinflunine and cyclosporine, both metabolized by CYP 3A4, may explain the excellent result and the concomitant severe toxicity.

Conclusions

Vinflunine is active on UC developed in kidney transplanted patients. However, special attention should be paid to concomitant administration with immunosuppressive agents that could result in increased toxicity.

Treatment of relapsed urothelial bladder cancer with vinflunine: real-world evidence by the Hellenic Genitourinary Cancer Group

Relapsed urothelial cancer represents an unmet medical need. Vinflunine is a third-generation antimicrotubuline inhibitor and is currently the only approved drug for second-line treatment across the European Union. We conducted a retrospective analysis assessing the efficacy and safety of vinflunine in 71 Greek patients with relapsed urothelial cancer who were treated between 2005 and 2014. An overall 84% of our patients received vinflunine as second-line treatment, 77% had a performance status of Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group scale 0 or 1, and 30% had liver metastasis at the time of vinflunine administration. A median of four cycles of vinflunine were administered (range 1–16). The most common reported adverse events were constipation, fatigue, and anemia. Median progression-free survival was 6.2 months (95% confidence interval: 4.4–8.8) and overall survival was 11.9 months (95% confidence interval: 7.4–21). Two patients (3%) achieved a complete remission, seven a partial remission (10%), and 22 (31%) had stable disease according to an intention-to-treat analysis. Hemoglobin level less than 10 g/dl and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status greater than 1 were independent adverse prognostic factors. Stratification according to the Bellmunt risk model was also associated with progression-free survival and overall survival in our population. Vinflunine appears to be a safe and effective treatment modality for relapsed urothelial cancer. More effective therapies and more accurate prognostic algorithms should be sought.

Validation of major prognostic models for metastatic urothelial carcinoma using a multi-institutional cohort of the real world

BACKGROUND

Several prognostic models predicting survival of patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (UC) have been developed; however, of them, the first model by Bajorin in 1999 is still the most representative and widely used, and validations of newer models are lacking. This study aimed to validate three major prognostic models for metastatic UC constructed based on clinical trials.

METHODS

We reviewed 200 patients with metastatic UC who received first-line chemotherapy at our five affiliate institutions between 2003 and 2011. Using this multi-institutional cohort, we validated the following models: the "Bajorin model," a model consisting of visceral metastasis and performance status; the "Apolo model," a nomogram including visceral metastasis, performance status, albumin and hemoglobin; and the "Galsky model," a nomogram including leukocyte count, number of sites of visceral metastases, site of primary tumor, performance status and lymph node metastasis. Harrell's c-index was calculated for each model. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used for multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Among 200 patients, 171 (85.5%) died during the follow-up, with a median survival of 12.0 months. Multivariate analysis demonstrated ECOG performance status, visceral metastasis and leukocyte count to be independent predictors of overall survival. C-index results (95% confidence interval) were Bajorin: 0.86 (0.74-0.95); Apolo: 0.89 (0.78-0.98); and Galsky: 0.82 (0.69-0.93).

CONCLUSIONS

All models were demonstrated to have high external validities in real-world patients, and of them, the "Apolo model" achieved the highest c-index in the present population. Further studies with larger populations are needed for establishment of the next standard model.

Prognostic Value of Beta-Tubulin-3 and c-Myc in Muscle Invasive Urothelial Carcinoma of the Bladder

BACKGROUND

To date, putative prognostic biomarkers have shown limited utility from the clinical perspective for bladder urothelial carcinoma. Herein, the expression of beta-tubulin-3 and c-Myc was evaluated to determine their prognostic potential.

METHODS

In formalin fixed-paraffin embedded blocks, immunohistochemical expression of c-Myc and beta-tubulin-3 was evaluated. H score ranging from 0 to 300 was obtained by multiplying the percentage of positive cells by intensity (0-3); c-Myc and beta-tubulin-3 expression was defined: 0: negative, 1: weakly positive, 2: strongly positive.

RESULTS

beta-tubulin-3 and c-Myc immunoexpression was available for 46 cases. At the univariate analysis, node-involvement, beta-tubulin-3 and c-Myc overexpression discriminate shorter DFS (HR 2.19, p = 0.043; HR 3.10, p = 0.24 and HR 3.05, p = 0.011, respectively); 2-yrs DFS log-rank analysis according to low versus high level of immunoexpression were statistically significant; beta-tubulin-3, 53% low vs 12.7% high (p = value 0.02) and c-Myc 28 low vs 8 high (p-value 0.007). Patients displaying negative beta-tubulin-3/c-Myc had statistically significant better 2-yrs DFS than those with mixed expression or double positivity (54.5% versus 18.7% versus 0%, log-rank p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

c-Myc and beta-tubulin-3 show improvement for prognostic risk stratification in patients with muscle invasive bladder urothelial carcinoma. These molecular pathways may also be candidate to improve predictiveness to targeted therapies.