Zamfir E, Dayan P. Interactions between attributions and beliefs at trial-by-trial level: Evidence from a novel computer game task.
PLoS Comput Biol 2022;
18:e1009920. [PMID:
36155635 PMCID:
PMC9536582 DOI:
10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009920]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2022] [Revised: 10/06/2022] [Accepted: 08/28/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Inferring causes of the good and bad events that we experience is part of the process of building models of our own capabilities and of the world around us. Making such inferences can be difficult because of complex reciprocal relationships between attributions of the causes of particular events, and beliefs about the capabilities and skills that influence our role in bringing them about. Abnormal causal attributions have long been studied in connection with psychiatric disorders, notably depression and paranoia; however, the mechanisms behind attributional inferences and the way they can go awry are not fully understood. We administered a novel, challenging, game of skill to a substantial population of healthy online participants, and collected trial-by-trial time series of both their beliefs about skill and attributions about the causes of the success and failure of real experienced outcomes. We found reciprocal relationships that provide empirical confirmation of the attribution-self representation cycle theory. This highlights the dynamic nature of the processes involved in attribution, and validates a framework for developing and testing computational accounts of attribution-belief interactions.
As part of interpreting our experiences, we spontaneously make causal attributions and use them to update our beliefs about the world, ourselves and others. This has long been a topic of interest, particularly within psychiatry. Some theories assume that people have stable “attributional styles”, others focus on the changing nature of attribution-making and on the relationships between attributions and one’s beliefs about the self, suggesting that the two are mutually connected. In this area of research, people have traditionally been asked to imagine themselves experiencing various significant life events and report on how they would interpret those, or have been exposed to artificial and highly simplified situations in the lab. In this work, we introduce a new task to study relationships between causal attributions and beliefs: repeatedly playing an engaging and relatively complex game of skill. We show that we can detect mutual influences between attributions and beliefs at the level of individual wins and losses. This has implications for how everyday successes and failures impact our beliefs about ourselves and our well-being. It also could help understand how our interpretations of negative experiences can spiral out of control, affecting our mental health.
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