Future directions and priorities in sepsis epidemiology research: a call for action

Definition and Epidemiology of Sepsis

Here we review the epidemiology of sepsis, focusing on its definition, incidence, and mortality, as well as the demographic insights and risk factors that influence its occurrence and outcomes. We address how age, sex, and racial/ethnic disparities impact upon incidence and mortality rates. Sepsis is more frequent and severe among the elderly, males, and certain racial and ethnic groups. Poor socioeconomic status, geographic location, and pre-existing comorbidities also elevate the risk of developing and dying from sepsis. Seasonal variations, with an increased incidence during winter months, is also apparent. We delve into the predictive value of disease severity scores such as the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score. We also highlight issues relating to coding and administrative data that can generate erroneous and misleading information, and the need for greater consistency. The Sepsis-3 definitions, offering more precise clinical criteria, are a step in the right direction. This overview will, we hope, facilitate understanding of the multi-faceted epidemiological characteristics of sepsis and current challenges.

Challenges of assessing the burden of sepsis

BACKGROUND

Sepsis is one of the most frequent causes of death worldwide, but the recording of population-based epidemiology is challenging, which is why reliable data on sepsis incidence and mortality are only available in a few, mostly highly-resourced countries.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this narrative review is to provide an overview of sepsis epidemiology worldwide and in Germany based on current literature, to identify challenges in this research area, and to give an outlook on future developments.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Selective literature review. PubMed and Google Scholar were searched for current literature. The results were processed narratively.

RESULTS

Based on modeling studies or meta-analyses of prospective studies, global annual sepsis incidence was found to be 276-678/100,000 persons. Case fatality ranged from 22.5 to 26.7%. However, current data sources have several limitations, as administrative data of selected individual countries-mostly with high income-were used as their basis. In these administrative data, sepsis is captured with limited validity. Prospective studies using clinical data often have limited comparability or lack population reference.

CONCLUSION

There is a lack of reliable data sources and definitions to monitor the epidemiology of sepsis and collect reliable global estimates. Increased policy efforts and new scientific approaches are needed to improve our understanding of sepsis epidemiology, identify vulnerable populations, and develop and target effective interventions.

What is new and different in the 2021 Surviving Sepsis Campaign guidelines

The Surviving Sepsis Campaign (SSC) International Guidelines for the Management of Sepsis and Septic Shock provide recommendations on the care of hospitalized adult patients with (or at risk for) sepsis. This review discusses what is new or different in the 2021 SSC adult sepsis guidelines compared to 2016. The guidelines include new weak recommendations for use of balanced fluid over saline 0.9%, use of intravenous corticosteroids for septic shock when there is ongoing vasopressor requirement, and peripheral initiation of intravenous vasopressors over delaying initiation in order to obtain central venous access. As before, there is a strong recommendation to initiate antimicrobials within 1 h of sepsis and septic shock, but there are now additional recommendations when the diagnosis is uncertain. The recommendation for initial fluid resuscitation in septic shock of 30 mL/kg crystalloid has been downgraded from strong to weak. Finally, there are 12 new recommendations addressing long-term outcomes from sepsis, including strong recommendations to screen for economic and social support and to make referrals for follow-up where available; use shared decision-making in post-intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital discharge planning; reconcile medications at both ICU and hospital discharge; provide information about sepsis and its sequelae in written and verbal hospital discharge summary; and to provide assessment and follow-up for physical, cognitive, and emotional problems after hospital discharge.

Epidemiologic features of neonatal sepsis and its COVID-19 associated temporal patterns in Jimma Medical Center, Ethiopia: A Joinpoint regression analysis

BACKGROUND

Neonatal sepsis remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in neonates across all regions, including Africa. Compared to developed and some developing countries, there are relatively few epidemiological trends for neonatal sepsis and associated patterns with COVID-19 in Ethiopia. We modeled an epidemiological trend and pattern to aid in the monitoring of changes in neonatal sepsis.

METHODS

Retrospective data were collected from all admissions to the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) in Ethiopia at Jimma Medical Center between May 2019 and April 2022. We analyzed the monthly neonatal sepsis incidence, mortality, and case-fatality rates using STATA software. Finally, we modeled a monthly time series of neonatal sepsis incidence trends and patterns associated with the COVID-19-impacted period using Joinpoint software. For all analyses, a P value of 0.05 was considered statistically significant at the 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

In the 36 months, 6796 cases were admitted to the NICU, with a 9.5% (95% CI: 9.1, 10.0) incidence rate of neonatal sepsis. The overall admission mortality rate was 16.5% (95% CI: 13.6, 19.8), while sepsis-attributed mortality was 7.1% (95% CI: 5.8, 8.5). The data showed an unstable decreasing trend for three Joinpoints (August 2020, December 2020, and August 2021). Notably, a decrease in the incidence trend was observed from May 2019 to August 2020 (MPC, -4.1; 95% CI: -7.6, -0.5; P = 0.03), followed by a sharp increase (MPC, 23.7; 95% CI: -13.8, 77.7; P = 0.24) from August 2020 to December 2020. From December 2020 to August 2021, there was again a decreasing trend (MPC, -13.8; 95% CI: -23.3, -3.5; P = 0.01), followed by a slight increase from August 2021 to April 2022 (MPC, 4.2; 95% CI: -8.4, 18.6; P = 0.52). Finally, the study revealed an association between patterns of neonatal sepsis incidence trends and COVID-19, with a Joinpoint jump model comparability ratio (CR = 0.43) between pre- and COVID-19-impacted periods.

CONCLUSIONS

Neonatal sepsis was prevalent at Jimma Medical Center, but it was on an unstably declining trend. The current results suggest a potential temporal association between the intensity of COVID-19 containment measures and a change in the incidence trend and patterns of neonatal sepsis. However, the quantified contribution of a particular containment measure requires further investigation.

Linking Sepsis with chronic arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and socioeconomic factors in the United States: A scoping review

RATIONALE

Sepsis is a syndrome of life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host immune response to infection. Social risk factors including location and poverty are associated with sepsis-related disparities. Understanding the social and biological phenotypes linked with the incidence of sepsis is warranted to identify the most at-risk populations. We aim to examine how factors in disadvantage influence health disparities related to sepsis.

METHODS

A scoping review was performed for English-language articles published in the United States from 1990 to 2022 on PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus. Of the 2064 articles found, 139 met eligibility criteria and were included for review.

RESULTS

There is consistency across the literature of disproportionately higher rates of sepsis incidence, mortality, readmissions, and associated complications, in neighborhoods with socioeconomic disadvantage and significant poverty. Chronic arterial hypertension and diabetes mellitus also occur more frequently in the same geographic distribution as sepsis, suggesting a potential shared pathophysiology.

CONCLUSIONS

The distribution of chronic arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus, social risk factors associated with socioeconomic disadvantage, and sepsis incidence, are clustered in specific geographical areas and linked by endothelial dysfunction. Such population factors can be utilized to create equitable interventions aimed at mitigating sepsis incidence and sepsis-related disparities.

Presepsin: Hope in the Quest for the Holy Grail

How to cite this article: Samprathi A, Samprathi M, Reddy M. Presepsin: Hope in the Quest for the Holy Grail. Indian J Crit Care Med 2022;26(6):664-666.