1
|
Yang Z, Rongqing R, Yang Z, Yang H, Yin Y, Tian S, Wang Z, Hou Z. Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting deep venous thrombosis in patients with pelvic and acetabular fractures: a retrospective cohort study : Predictive model for pelvic/acetabular fractures. BMC Musculoskelet Disord 2023; 24:773. [PMID: 37784040 PMCID: PMC10544599 DOI: 10.1186/s12891-023-06879-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2023] [Accepted: 09/13/2023] [Indexed: 10/04/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE To construct a novel nomogram model that can predict DVT and avoid unnecessary examination. METHODS Patients admitted to the hospital with pelvis/acetabular fractures were included between July 2014 and July 2018. The potential predictors associated with DVT were analyzed using Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analysis. The predictive nomogram was constructed and internally validated. RESULTS 230 patients were finally enrolled. There were 149 individuals in the non-DVT group and 81 in the DVT group. Following analysis, we obtained the final nomogram model. The risk factors included age (OR, 1.037; 95% CI, 1.013-1.062; P = 0.002), body mass index (BMI) (OR, 1.253; 95% CI, 1.120-1.403; P < 0.001); instant application of anticoagulant after admission (IAA) (OR, 2.734; 95% CI, 0.847-8.829; P = 0.093), hemoglobin (HGB) (OR, 0.970; 95% CI, 0.954-0.986; P < 0.001), D-Dimer(OR, 1.154; 95% CI, 1.016-1.310; P = 0.027) and fibrinogen (FIB) (OR, 1.286; 95% CI, 1.024-1.616; P = 0.002). The apparent C-statistic was 0.811, and the adjusted C-statistic was 0.777 after internal validations, demonstrating good discrimination. Hosmer and Lemeshow's goodness of fit (GOF) test of the predictive model showed a good calibration for the probability of prediction and observation (χ2 = 3.285, P = 0.915; P > 0.05). The decision curve analysis (DCA) and Clinical impact plot (CIC) demonstrated superior clinical use of the nomogram. CONCLUSIONS An easy-to-calculate nomogram model for predicting DVT in patients with pelvic-acetabular fractures were developed. It could help clinicians to reduce DVT and avoid unnecessary examinations.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Zongyou Yang
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 139 Zi Qiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, P.R. China
- Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
- Key Laboratory of Intelligent Orthopaedic Equipment, National Health Commission (NHC), The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
| | - Ren Rongqing
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 139 Zi Qiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, P.R. China
| | - Zhizhou Yang
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 139 Zi Qiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, P.R. China
| | - Hucheng Yang
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 139 Zi Qiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, P.R. China
| | - Yingchao Yin
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 139 Zi Qiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, P.R. China
- Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
- Key Laboratory of Intelligent Orthopaedic Equipment, National Health Commission (NHC), The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
| | - Siyu Tian
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 139 Zi Qiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, P.R. China
- Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
- Key Laboratory of Intelligent Orthopaedic Equipment, National Health Commission (NHC), The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
| | - Zhihong Wang
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 139 Zi Qiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, P.R. China
- Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
- Key Laboratory of Intelligent Orthopaedic Equipment, National Health Commission (NHC), The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China
| | - Zhiyong Hou
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, No. 139 Zi Qiang Road, Shijiazhuang, 050051, Hebei, P.R. China.
- Orthopaedic Research Institute of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
- Key Laboratory of Intelligent Orthopaedic Equipment, National Health Commission (NHC), The Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Shi D, Bao B, Zheng X, Wei H, Zhu T, Zhang Y, Zhao G. Risk factors for deep vein thrombosis in patients with pelvic or lower-extremity fractures in the emergency intensive care unit. Front Surg 2023; 10:1115920. [PMID: 37066011 PMCID: PMC10097985 DOI: 10.3389/fsurg.2023.1115920] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/04/2022] [Accepted: 01/25/2023] [Indexed: 04/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction This study aimed to investigate the incidence of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in patients with pelvic or lower-extremity fractures in the emergency intensive care unit (EICU), explore the independent risk factors for DVT, and investigate the predictive value of the Autar scale for DVT in these patients. Methods The clinical data of patients with single fractures of the pelvis, femur, or tibia in the EICU from August 2016 to August 2019 were retrospectively examined. The incidence of DVT was statistically analyzed. Logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors for DVT in these patients. The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of the Autar scale for the risk of DVT. Results A total of 817 patients were enrolled in this study; of these, 142 (17.38%) had DVT. Significant differences were found in the incidence of DVT among the pelvic fractures, femoral fractures, and tibial fractures (P < 0.001). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed multiple injuries (OR = 2.210, 95% CI: 1.166-4.187, P = 0.015), fracture site (compared with tibia fracture group, femur fracture group OR = 4.839, 95% CI: 2.688-8.711, P < 0.001; pelvic fracture group OR = 2.210, 95% CI: 1.225-3.988, P = 0.008), and Autar score (OR = 1.198, 95% CI: 1.016-1.353, P = 0.004) were independent risk factors for DVT in patients with pelvic or lower-extremity fractures in the EICU. The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of the Autar score for predicting DVT was 0.606. When the Autar score was set as the cutoff value of 15.5, the sensitivity and specificity for predicting DVT in patients with pelvic or lower-extremity fractures were 45.1% and 70.7%, respectively. Discussion Fracture is a high-risk factor for DVT. Patients with a femoral fracture or multiple injuries have a higher risk of DVT. In the case of no contraindications, DVT prevention measures should be taken for patients with pelvic or lower-extremity fractures. Autar scale has a certain predictive value for the occurrence of DVT in patients with pelvic or lower-extremity fractures, but it is not ideal.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Dongcheng Shi
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Bingbo Bao
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Xianyou Zheng
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Haifeng Wei
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Tianhao Zhu
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yi Zhang
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Gang Zhao
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Sun W, Ai D, Yao Y, Ren K, Lu J, Sun H, Wu X, Jiang Q. The application of Caprini Risk Assessment Model in evaluation of deep vein thrombosis for patients with end-stage osteoarthritis before arthroplasty. BMC Musculoskelet Disord 2022; 23:767. [PMID: 35953802 PMCID: PMC9373495 DOI: 10.1186/s12891-022-05712-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2022] [Accepted: 07/29/2022] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) was a fatal complication of knee arthroplasty. We had neglected the risk factors of preoperative DVT although patients undergoing knee arthroplasty were at high risk for VTE. This study was to determine the risk factors for preoperative DVT and application of Caprini Risk Assessment Model (RAM) in patients with end-stage knee osteoarthritis (OA). Methods We retrospectively analyzed 1808 cases with end-stage knee OA undergoing primary knee arthroplasty from May 2015 to December 2020. Based on the results of ultrasonography in lower extremities, all patients were divided into non-DVT group and DVT group. Distribution of risk factors and risk levels were compared using χ2 test between two groups. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to determine the risk factors and relationship of risk levels and preoperative DVT. Results The incidence of preoperative DVT was 5.53% (n = 100). Distribution of the study population by risk level was low, 4.09%; moderate, 23.95%; high, 66.98%; and highest 4.98%. Female (P = 0.002), age (P = 0.012), swollen legs (P = 0.035) and history of blood clots (P < 0.001) was correlated with preoperative DVT. Difference among four risk levels was significant (P = 0.007). Patients with highest risk level had statistically significant association with preoperative DVT (P = 0.005, OR = 2.93, 95%CI [1.375–6.246]). Conclusion The incidence of preoperative DVT was 5.53% in end-stage knee OA patients. The gender (female) and age were independent risk factors for preoperative DVT. The risk group classification by Caprini RAM was significantly associated with preoperative DVT. The usage of Caprini RAM before knee arthroplasty may be beneficial for prophylaxis of DVT.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Wei Sun
- Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.,Department of Orthopedics, the Affiliated Jiangyin Hospital of Southeast University Medical College, Wuxi, China
| | - Dongmei Ai
- Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Nanjing, China
| | - Yao Yao
- State Key Laboratory of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, Division of Sports Medicine and Adult Reconstructive Surgery, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Nanjing, China.,Laboratory for Bone and Joint Disease, Model Animal Research Center (MARC), Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Kewei Ren
- Department of Orthopedics, the Affiliated Jiangyin Hospital of Southeast University Medical College, Wuxi, China
| | - Jun Lu
- State Key Laboratory of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, Division of Sports Medicine and Adult Reconstructive Surgery, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Nanjing, China.,Laboratory for Bone and Joint Disease, Model Animal Research Center (MARC), Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Huiqing Sun
- Department of Orthopedics, the Affiliated Jiangyin Hospital of Southeast University Medical College, Wuxi, China
| | - Xiaotao Wu
- Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China. .,The Spine Center, Department of Orthopedics, Zhong Da Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
| | - Qing Jiang
- State Key Laboratory of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, Division of Sports Medicine and Adult Reconstructive Surgery, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, The Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Nanjing, China. .,Laboratory for Bone and Joint Disease, Model Animal Research Center (MARC), Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Ashrafi Z, Ameri M, Khosravi A, Mirzaei M, Shaker M, Ebrahimi H. Comparison of Autar scale and Wells criteria in DVT risk assessment by nurses in patients with lower extremity trauma. JOURNAL OF VASCULAR NURSING 2022; 40:148-152. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jvn.2022.05.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2020] [Revised: 01/25/2022] [Accepted: 05/01/2022] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
|
5
|
Zhang Y, Liu J, Jia W, Tian X, Jiang P, Cheng Z, Li J. AGEs/RAGE blockade downregulates Endothenin-1 (ET-1), mitigating Human Umbilical Vein Endothelial Cells (HUVEC) injury in deep vein thrombosis (DVT). Bioengineered 2021; 12:1360-1368. [PMID: 33896376 PMCID: PMC8806329 DOI: 10.1080/21655979.2021.1917980] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
This study is aimed at identifying the roles of AGE/RAGE and ET-1 in deep vein thrombosis (DVT). Advanced glycation end products (AGEs) in glycated human serum albumin (M-HSA) were detected by ELISA. The viability of HUVECs was examined by CCK-8 assay. Flow cytometry was performed to detect cell apoptosis, followed by ELISA for the detection of inflammatory cytokine level and oxidative stress level in HUVECs. Immunofluorescence was performed to detect ET-1 and eNOS expression. The expression of specific proteins was assayed by western blot. As a result, decreased HUVEC viability was observed after stimulation with M-HSA, whereas RAGE inhibitor improved it. Cell apoptosis showed the opposite trend. Additionally, M-HSA-induced inflammatory cytokine release and oxidative stress of HUVECs were both alleviated by RAGE inhibitor. RAGE inhibitor also increased the levels of NO and eNOS while decreasing the level of ET-1 in M-HSA-stimulated HUVECs. Furthermore, decreased protein expression of Bax, cleaved-caspase3, RAGE, p65, ET-1 and iNOS was observed after treatment with RAGE inhibitor, in addition to increased protein expression of Bcl-2 and eNOS. In conclusion, blocking AGE/RAGE pathway downregulates ET-1, thereby mitigating HUVEC damage in DVT.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yunxin Zhang
- Department of Vascular Surgery, 1-7 Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Jianlong Liu
- Department of Vascular Surgery, 1-7 Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Wei Jia
- Department of Vascular Surgery, 1-7 Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Xuan Tian
- Department of Vascular Surgery, 1-7 Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Peng Jiang
- Department of Vascular Surgery, 1-7 Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Zhiyuan Cheng
- Department of Vascular Surgery, 1-7 Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Jinyong Li
- Department of Vascular Surgery, 1-7 Beijing Jishuitan Hospital, Beijing, China
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Chang W, Wang B, Li Q, Zhang Y, Xie W. Study on the Risk Factors of Preoperative Deep Vein Thrombosis (DVT) in Patients With Lower Extremity Fracture. Clin Appl Thromb Hemost 2021; 27:10760296211002900. [PMID: 33754840 PMCID: PMC7995307 DOI: 10.1177/10760296211002900] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective: The objective of this work is to discuss and analyze the related factors of lower extremity fracture complicated by preoperative deep vein thrombosis (DVT). Methods: A total of 11,891 patients with closed fractures of lower extremities were selected. By analyzing each patient’s gender, age, presence or absence of diabetes and hypertension, preoperative plasma D-dimer level, and color Doppler ultrasound of the lower extremity vein, the pertinent factors of the patients with lower extremity fractures complicated by preoperative DVT were analyzed. Results: A total of 578 with preoperative DVT were detected, displaying a total incidence of 4.86%. All patients were categorized into either the DVT group or non-DVT group. The results demonstrate that there were statistically significant differences between the 2 groups in age, the presence of diabetes and hypertension, the fracture site, and the preoperative plasma D-dimer level (P < 0.05). Logistic multivariate analysis revealed that age, the presence of diabetes, and the preoperative plasma D-dimer level of patients were independent risk factors for lower extremity fracture complicated by DVT. Conclusion: Age, the presence of diabetes, the fracture site, and increased D-dimer levels were found to be potential risk factors and indicators for preoperative DVT in patients with lower extremity fractures. In addition, the preoperative plasma D-dimer level has certain guiding significance for the prediction of venous thrombosis after lower extremity fracture, which is conducive to the early prediction and diagnosis of DVT, but it often must be followed with good clinic acumen and examinations.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Wenjie Chang
- 74738Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Jinan, China
| | - Bin Wang
- Laizhou Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Laizhou, China
| | - Qiwei Li
- 74738Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Jinan, China
| | - Yongkui Zhang
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, 159393Affiliated Hospital of Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Lixia District, Jinan City, Shandong Province, China
| | - Wenpeng Xie
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, 159393Affiliated Hospital of Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Lixia District, Jinan City, Shandong Province, China
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
Kolz JM, Aibinder WR, Adams RA, Cofield RH, Sperling JW. Symptomatic Thromboembolic Complications After Shoulder Arthroplasty: An Update. J Bone Joint Surg Am 2019; 101:1845-1851. [PMID: 31626009 DOI: 10.2106/jbjs.18.01200] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Venous thromboembolism (VTE) complications, including deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism, are dreaded complications of orthopaedic surgical procedures that can result in substantial morbidity and mortality. There is a paucity of data examining risk factors for VTE in shoulder arthroplasty. The purpose of the present study was to review the rate of symptomatic VTE, determine patient and operative risk factors for VTE, and report on complications associated with VTE following shoulder arthroplasty. METHODS Over a 16-year period, 5,906 patients underwent primary anatomic total shoulder arthroplasty, reverse total shoulder arthroplasty, or hemiarthroplasty. Symptomatic VTE events were identified in 24 shoulders within 90 days of surgery. Patient records were reviewed for surgical indication, patient and operative risk factors, and management of VTE. RESULTS The rate of symptomatic VTE following shoulder arthroplasty was 0.41%. There were no deaths resulting from VTE events. Compared with patients who did not have VTE, those with symptomatic VTE events were found to be older (74.75 versus 68.51 years; p = 0.0028) and more likely to have had arthroplasty for a traumatic indication (3.31% versus 0.33%; p < 0.001). Age of >70 years and arthroplasty for a traumatic indication were found to be independent risk factors on multivariate nominal logistic regression analysis, whereas body mass index, sex, operative time, and type of arthroplasty performed were not found to be independent risk factors. There were 11 readmissions resulting directly from the VTE events, and patients diagnosed with VTE as inpatients had longer hospital stays than outpatients (13.71 versus 1.94 days; p = 0.0002). CONCLUSIONS The risk of VTE following shoulder arthroplasty is low, and routine use of pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis may not be necessary. However, VTE complications can lead to substantial morbidity, longer hospital stays, readmission to the hospital, and further complications. Therefore, patients with multiple risk factors for VTE such as prior history of VTE, active malignancy, age of >70 years, or arthroplasty for traumatic indications should be considered for pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Therapeutic Level IV. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Joshua M Kolz
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota
| | | | - Robert A Adams
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota
| | - Robert H Cofield
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota
| | - John W Sperling
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota
| |
Collapse
|