Treatment with recombinant interferon-alpha 2a for patients with chronic hepatitis C: predictive factors for biochemical and virologic response. Osaka Liver Disease Study Group

A decade of trials of interferon-alpha for chronic hepatitis C. A meta-regression analysis

The most relevant randomized controlled trials of interferon-alpha (IFN) for naive patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) published in a decade, just before appearance of pegylated IFN trials in 2000, were included in this paper. Its purpose is to review the relationship between sustained biochemical response in active versus control group versus usual clinical variables as IFN regimens, cirrhosis, genotype and versus less frequently addressed variables as funding, methodological quality or location of principal author. Meta-analysis estimates of global treatment effect varied according to trial design: group 1=IFN versus placebo/no treatment, 32 RCTs, 2499 pts, OR 9.5 (6.3-14.2); group 2a=comparison of IFN schedules, 43 RCTs, 7454 pts, OR 1.6 (1.4-1.9); group 2b=IFN+other drugs versus standard IFN, 30 RCTs, 4737 pts, OR 2.0 (1.6-2.6). Fixed effects (arm-level) meta-regression on the complete data set (171 arms, 10,580 pts) revealed that sustained response was most likely in experimental arms of IFN+ribavirin or other drugs (OR 2.4), arms using yearly schedule (OR 2.0), trial principal author from Asia (OR 1.7), trial sample size >200 (OR 1.4) and arms enrolling less than 50% of cirrhotics (OR 1.3). Moreover, focus was on some significant interactions too, as the effect of trial's quality interacting to the recorded funding (more benefit if no-profit, less if for-profit) and the effect of trial funding interacting to the location of first author (more benefit if from Asia). Three main effects (experimental arm, cirrhosis, funding) and one interaction (funding*location of principal author) explained 31% of between study variability in a random-effect meta-regression. In a subgroup analysis on a data set including available information on HCV genotype (93 arms, around 7000 pts), meta-regression revealed that genotype 1 or 4 less than 50% per arm and specialistic journal were significant predictors of either biochemical (transaminases) or virological (HCV-RNA) sustained response, in a model including the same main effects identified in the complete data set analysis. Finally, although mostly captured by different IFN regimens along time, heterogeneity of effect in a large set of (not-pegylated) IFN trials was also explained by HCV genotype and variables of quality and reporting, such as trial's principal author from Asia.

Hepatitis C virus. The importance of viral heterogeneity

Although recent evidence indicates that the quasispecies nature of HCV constitutes a critical strategy for the virus to survive in the host, the mechanisms of viral persistence remain unknown. Similarly, the correlates of immune protection in a limited proportion of individuals who succeed in clearing HCV are still largely undefined. Understanding the mechanisms of sterilizing immunity is essential for devising preventive measures against HCV and unraveling how the virus eludes such immunity. As in other viral infections, the complex interactions between the virus and the host early in the course of HCV infection probably determine the outcome of the disease (i.e., resolution or persistence). The evidence now accumulated on HCV and other models of viral infection is compatible with the hypothesis that both cellular and humoral components are needed for definitive viral clearance. Nevertheless, detailed studies of the specific cellular and humoral immune responses during the incubation period and the acute phase of hepatitis C, in relation to the viral quasispecies evolution and the clinical outcome, are still lacking both in humans and in the chimpanzee model. Until such studies are performed, most ideas of viral clearance mechanisms remain hypothetical, and the immunologic basis of HCV clearance will continue to be inferred from associations rather than from causal relationships.

Clinical characteristics of patients with chronic hepatitis C showing biochemical remission, without hepatitis C virus eradication, as a result of interferon therapy. The Osaka Liver Disease Study Group

During long-term follow-up of patients chronically infected with the hepatitis C virus (HCV) and treated with interferon (IFN), we identified some who had persistent normalization of serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) but remained positive for HCV RNA. The aims of this study were to clarify the characteristics of these patients and to examine their clinical outcome after treatment. Nine hundred and ninety-eight patients treated with IFN were followed-up biochemically and virologically, and by liver ultrasound, for 13-95 months. A short-term biochemical sustained response, where ALT remained within the normal range for 6 months after the completion of IFN therapy, was found in 296 patients; in 240 of these patients serum HCV RNA remained undetectable during long-term follow-up. The rate of HCV RNA persistence was 7.09 times greater in short-term biochemical sustained responders with a high viral load than in those with a low viral load (P=0.0001, odds ratio [OR]=7.09), and 3. 70-fold lower in those treated with a large dose of IFN than in those treated with a small dose (P=0.02, OR=0.27). Thirty-three (59%) of 56 patients without HCV eradication showed continuous ALT normalization for 26-80 months after cessation of IFN therapy. Short-term biochemical sustained responders who were older (P=0.009, OR=10.43) and who were male (P=0.03, OR=6.98) had a significantly greater probability of maintaining a normal ALT level, even when serum HCV RNA was positive. When the incidence of HCC was investigated during long-term follow-up in patients without HCV eradication, it was found to be significantly lower in patients with persistently normal ALT levels than in those with abnormal ALT levels (P=0.03). Hence, when HCV is not eradicated as a result of IFN therapy, it may induce a long-term carrier state of HCV infection with normal ALT levels in older or male patients, in whom the cumulative incidence of HCC is markedly decreased.

Methodological issues in papers on IFN therapy: time for reappraisal

We conducted an analytical review of 194 full papers on interferon (IFN) therapy for chronic hepatitis C to evaluate current methodology (i.e. study design, criteria for evaluating the efficacy of therapy and predictors of response). Of the papers evaluated, 64 were randomized controlled trials (RCT), 40 were non-randomized controlled trials (NRCT) and 90 were observational studies (OS). The methodological analysis was focused mainly on clinical trials. The number of patients enrolled in RCT was higher compared with the number enrolled in NRCT. Uniform enrolment criteria were used in less than 50% of the trials. Only 20% of RCT and 2.5% of NRCT used criteria for defining sample size. The response rate was calculated on an intention-to-treat basis in 36 of the RCT and in 14 of the NRCT. The outcome of treatment and the criteria employed to define the response to treatment were found to be far from standardized. In 51.5% of the RCT and 42.5% of the NRCT, normalization of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level at the end of follow-up was the only marker of response studied. Only 57.6% of the trials considered histological evidence as an important outcome. Among the clinical trials, 71.1% evaluated predictors of good response to IFN therapy. In 51% of the OS, ALT normalization by the end of follow-up was the only criterion for defining response. In conclusion, to ensure a high level of reliability in comparing or combining the results of different studies, some basic general requirements must be followed when planning trials on antiviral therapy.

Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma and its incidence after interferon treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis C. Osaka Liver Disease Study Group

To elucidate the risk factors for liver carcinogenesis and to examine the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after interferon therapy, 1,022 chronic hepatitis C patients treated with interferon were followed by ultrasonography for 13 to 97 months (median 36 months). Sustained response with prolonged alanine aminotransferase normalization was found in 313 patients, transient response with alanine aminotransferase relapse after therapy in 304, and no response in 405. Forty-six developed HCC, of whom 5 were sustained responders, 9 were transient responders, and 32 were nonresponders. The cumulative incidence of HCC in transient responders was almost equal to that in sustained responders, and it was significantly higher in nonresponders than in sustained and transient responders (P=.0009). The seventh-year cumulative incidence rates of HCC in sustained responders, transient responders, and nonresponders were estimated to be 4.3%, 4.7%, and 26.1%, respectively. However, there was no significant difference in the cumulative incidence of HCC between patients with HCV subtype 1 and 2 (P=.14). Cox regression analysis showed that the risk of HCC development was not elevated in transient responders compared with sustained responders, but that the risk was 7.90-fold higher in nonresponders than in sustained responders (P=.008). Patients > or =55 years of age had a significantly higher risk ratio (4.65) than did those under 55 years of age (P=.006). The risk of HCC development in men was 4.35 times higher than the risk in women (P=.02). However, the degree of fibrosis was not a significant risk factor for the development of HCC (risk ratio, 3.16; P=.052). These results suggest that patients in the high-risk group of HCC after interferon therapy were those who showed no response, those who were older, and those who were male, and that such patients should be carefully followed using ultrasonography.

Interferon-alpha 2b therapy in low-activity hepatitis C: a pilot study

BACKGROUND

Many patients with chronic hepatitis C have long periods of normal or near-normal liver enzyme levels, even though histologic alterations have been confirmed. The recommendation today is not to treat this patient group.

METHODS

In a pilot study 23 hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA-positive patients with alanine aminotransferase (ALAT) levels less than 1.5 times upper normal limits for at least 6 months on more than three occasions and with histologic liver abnormalities compatible with chronic hepatitis C were treated with 3 MU of interferon-alpha 2b three times a week for 6 months.

RESULTS

Nine patients (39%) became HCV RNA-negative in serum during treatment, but only two (8.7%) remained so after 6 months' follow-up. Significantly more patients with genotype other than type 1 became HCV RNA-negative than patients with genotype 1 during treatment (P = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with low-activity chronic hepatitis C have a response to interferon-alpha treatment similar to that of patients with increased ALAT levels. Genotype seems to influence the rate of response.