Practises and controversies in the management of asymptomatic aneurysms: Results of an international survey

Cost-effectiveness analysis on small (< 5 mm) unruptured intracranial aneurysm follow-up strategies

OBJECTIVE

Unruptured intracranial aneurysms are frequently detected during routine clinical diagnostic processes. A significant portion are small aneurysms less than 5 mm in diameter. While follow-up of patients with small aneurysms has been advocated, the cost-effectiveness of such care and the optimal follow-up interval remain unknown. This study aimed to explore the most cost-effective follow-up interval for small (< 5 mm) unruptured intracranial aneurysms.

METHODS

A decision analysis study was performed using a Markov model with Monte Carlo simulations to simulate patients undergoing follow-up by MRA at different time intervals (1-, 2-, 3-, 5-, and 7-year intervals) for small (< 5 mm) unruptured intracranial aneurysms. Input data for the model were extracted from the current literature, primarily meta-analyses. Probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the robustness of the model.

RESULTS

Given the current literature and the model in this study, following up every 2 years with noninvasive imaging is the most cost-effective strategy (cost $126,996, effectiveness 21.9 quality-adjusted life-years), showing the highest net monetary benefit. The conclusion remains robust in probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses. As the annual growth risk of small aneurysms and annual rupture risk of growing aneurysms increase, following up every year is optimal. When the cost for follow-up with MRA is less than $2223, following up every year is cost-effective.

CONCLUSIONS

The most cost-effective follow-up strategy for small (< 5 mm) unruptured aneurysms using MRA is following up every 2 years. More frequent follow-up strategies or prompt preventive treatment would be more appropriate in patients with higher risk factors for growth and aneurysm rupture.

Current decision support tools fail to agree or predict therapeutic decisions in a single cohort of unruptured intracranial aneurysms

BACKGROUND

There is limited evidence to direct the management of unruptured intracranial aneurysms. Models extrapolated from existing data have been proposed to guide treatment recommendations. The aim of this study is to assess whether a consensus-based treatment score (UIATS) or rupture rate estimation model (PHASES) can be used to benchmark UK multi-disciplinary team (MDT) practice.

METHODS

Prospective data was collected on a consecutive series of all patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) presenting to a major UK neurovascular centre between 2012 and 2015. The agreement between the UIATS and PHASES scores, and their sensitivity and specificity in predicting the real-world MDT outcome were calculated and compared.

RESULTS

A total of 366 patients (456 aneurysms) were included in the analysis. The agreement between UIATS and MDT recommendation was low (weighted kappa 0.26 [95% CI 0.19, 0.32]); sensitivity and specificity were also low at 36% and 52% respectively. Groups that the MDT allocated to treatment, equipoise or no treatment had significantly different PHASES scores (p = 0.004). There was no significant difference between the two scores when predicting patients for whom MDT outcome was to recommend aneurysm treatment, but the UIATS score was superior in predicting patients who received an MDT recommendation of 'treatment-equipoise', or 'not-for-treatment' (AUC of 0.73 compared to 0.59 for PHASES).

CONCLUSIONS

The models studied failed to agree with the consensus view of multi-disciplinary team in a major neurovascular centre. We conclude that decision support tools such as the UIATS and PHASES scores should not be blindly introduced in respective institutions without prior internal validation, as they may not represent the local reality.

Management of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms

Unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) are common and are being detected with increasing frequency given the improved quality and higher frequency of cross-sectional imaging. The long-term natural history of UIAs remains poorly understood. To date, there is relative lack of clear guidelines for selection of patients with UIAs for treatment. Surveillance imaging for untreated UIAs is frequently performed, but frequency, duration, and modality of surveillance imaging need clearer guidelines. The authors review the current evidence on prevalence, natural history, role of treatment, and surveillance and screening imaging and highlight the areas for further research.

Current Management of Small Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms in the United States: Results of a National Survey

OBJECTIVE

To understand how physicians in the United States manage patients with small unruptured intracranial aneurysms and factors that influence the management.

METHODS

An online survey questionnaire was designed through SurveyMonkey and distributed electronically to The Society of Interventional Surgery, American Association of Neurological Surgeons/Congress of Neurological Surgeons Joint Section of Cerebrovascular Surgery, American Academy of Neurology, and Massachusetts Neurologic Association. All participations were voluntary and anonymous.

RESULTS

Among all the participants, 53.8% of them were neurosurgeons, 33.0% were neurointerventional radiologists, and 13.2% were neurologists. For management of aneurysms 2-4 mm, 87.8% of respondents favored routine surveillance with imaging follow-up, 3.8% preferred routine treatment, and 8.5% recommended routine treatment or follow-up only for high risk patients. In total, 25.5% preferred annual follow-up, and 67.9% liked follow-up once in a year and then space out at various intervals. For aneurysms between 5 and 7 mm, 73.6% supported routine treatment, 20.8% favored surveillance with imaging follow-up, and 5.7% recommended treating or follow-up only high-risk groups. In total, 58.5% preferred annual follow-up, whereas 34.9% liked follow-up once in a year and then space out at various intervals. For routine follow-up, 64.1% of the physicians chose magnetic resonance angiography without contrast, and 40.6% preferred computed tomography angiography.

CONCLUSIONS

For aneurysms 2-4 mm, majority of the physicians preferred regular follow-up, whereas for aneurysms 5-7 mm, the majority favor treatment. There remains heterogeneity in practice among physicians in the United States regarding follow-up strategies for small unruptured aneurysms. Further studies are needed to evaluate the optimal management strategy, follow-up frequency and duration of imaging for small unruptured intracranial aneurysms.

A data-driven model to identify high-risk aneurysms and guide management decisions: the Rupture Resemblance Score

OBJECTIVE

Previous studies have found that ruptured intracranial aneurysms (RIAs) have distinct morphological and hemodynamic characteristics, including higher size ratio and oscillatory shear index and lower wall shear stress. Unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) that possess similar characteristics to RIAs may be at a higher risk of rupture than those UIAs that do not. The authors previously developed the Rupture Resemblance Score (RRS), a data-driven computer model that can objectively gauge the similarity of UIAs to RIAs in terms of morphology and hemodynamics. The authors aimed to explore the clinical utility of RRS in guiding the management of UIAs, especially for challenging cases such as small UIAs.

METHODS

Between September 2018 and June 2019, the authors retrospectively collected consecutive challenging cases of incidentally identified UIAs that were discussed during their weekly multidisciplinary neurovascular conference. From patient 3D digital subtraction angiography, they reconstructed the aneurysm geometry and performed computer-assisted 3D morphology analysis and computational fluid dynamics simulation. They calculated RRS for every UIA case and compared it against the treatment decision made at the neurovascular conference as well as the recommendation based on the unruptured intracranial aneurysm treatment score (UIATS).

RESULTS

Forty-seven patients with 79 UIAs, 90% of which were < 7 mm in size, were included in this study. The mean RRS (range 0.0-1.0) was 0.24 ± 0.31. At the conferences, treatment was endorsed for 45 of the UIAs (57%). These cases had significantly higher RRSs than the 34 cases suggested for observation (0.33 ± 0.34 vs 0.11 ± 0.19, p < 0.001). The UIATS-based recommendations were "observation" for 24 UIAs (30%), "treatment" for 21 UIAs (27%), and "not definitive" for 34 UIAs (43%). These "not definitive" cases were stratified by RRS based on similarity to RIAs.

CONCLUSIONS

Although not a rupture predictor, RRS is a data-driven model that gauges the similarity of UIAs to RIAs in terms of morphology and hemodynamics. In cases in which the UIATS-based recommendation is not definitive, RRS provides additional stratification to assist the identification of high-risk UIAs. The current study highlights the clinical utility of RRS in a real-world setting as an adjunctive tool for the management of UIAs.

Management of Tiny Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms: A Comparative Effectiveness Analysis

Importance

Unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) are relatively common in the general population and are being increasingly diagnosed; a significant proportion are tiny (≤3 mm) aneurysms. There is significant heterogeneity in practice and lack of clear guidelines on the management of incidental, tiny UIAs. It is important to quantify the implications of different management strategies in terms of health benefits to patients.

Objective

To evaluate the effectiveness of routine treatment (aneurysm coiling) vs 3 strategies for imaging surveillance compared with no preventive treatment or routine follow-up of tiny UIAs.

Design, Setting, and Participants

A decision-analytic model-based comparative effectiveness analysis was conducted from May 1 to June 30, 2017, using inputs from the medical literature. PubMed searches were performed to identify relevant literature for all key model inputs, each of which was derived from the clinical study with the most robust data and greatest applicability. Analysis included 10 000 iterations simulating adult patients with incidental detections of UIAs 3 mm or smaller and no history of subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Interventions

The following 5 management strategies for tiny UIAs were evaluated: annual magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) screening, biennial MRA screening, MRA screening every 5 years, aneurysm coiling and follow-up, and no treatment or preventive follow-up.

Main Outcomes and Measures

A Markov decision model for lifetime rupture was constructed from a societal perspective per 10 000 patients with incidental, tiny UIAs. Outcomes were assessed in terms of quality-adjusted life-years. Probabilistic, 1-way, and 2-way sensitivity analyses were performed.

Results

In this analysis of 10 000 iterations simulating adult patients with a mean age of 50 years, the base-case calculation shows that the management strategy of no treatment or preventive follow-up has the highest health benefit (mean [SD] quality-adjusted life-years, 19.40 [0.31]). Among the management strategies that incorporate follow-up imaging, MRA every 5 years is the best strategy with the next highest effectiveness (mean [SD] quality-adjusted life-years, 18.05 [0.62]). The conclusion remains robust in probabilistic and 1-way sensitivity analyses. No routine follow-up remains the optimal strategy when the annual growth rate and risk of rupture of growing aneurysms are varied. When the annual risk of rupture of nongrowing UIAs is less than 1.7% (0.23% in base case scenario), no follow-up is the optimal strategy. If annual risk of rupture is more than 1.7%, coiling should be performed directly.

Conclusions and Relevance

Given the current literature, no preventive treatment or imaging follow-up is the most effective strategy in patients with aneurysms that are 3 mm or smaller, resulting in better health outcomes. More aggressive imaging surveillance for aneurysm growth or preventive treatment should be reserved for patients with a high risk of rupture. Given these findings, it is important to critically evaluate the appropriateness of current clinical practices, and potentially determine specific guidelines to reflect the most effective management strategy for patients with incidental, tiny UIAs.

Cost-Effectiveness of Computed Tomography Angiography in Management of Tiny Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms in the United States

Background and Purpose—

Our study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of computed tomography angiography (CTA) for surveillance of tiny unruptured intracranial aneurysms and the impact of CTA radiation-induced brain tumor on the overall effectiveness of CTA.

Methods—

A Markov decision model was constructed from a societal perspective starting with patients 30-, 40-, or 50-year-old, with incidental detection of unruptured intracranial aneurysm ≤3 mm and no prior history of subarachnoid hemorrhage. Five different management strategies were assessed (1) annual CTA surveillance, (2) biennial CTA, (3) CTA follow-up every 5 years, (4) coiling and subsequent magnetic resonance imaging follow-up, and (5) annual CTA surveillance for the first 2 years, followed by every 5-year CTA follow-up. Probabilistic, 1-way, and 2-way sensitivity analyses were performed.

Results—

The base case calculation shows every 5-year CTA follow-up to be the most cost-effective strategy, and the conclusion remains robust in probabilistic sensitivity analysis. It remains the dominant strategy when the annual rupture risk of nongrowing unruptured intracranial aneurysms is smaller than 2.66% or the rupture risk in growing aneurysms is <57.4%. The radiation-induced brain cancer risk is relatively low, and sensitivity analysis shows that the radiation-induced cancer risk does not influence the conclusions unless the risk exceeds 663-fold of the base case values.

Conclusions—

Given the current literature, every 5-year CTA imaging follow-up is the cost-effective strategy in patients with aneurysms ≤3 mm, resulting in better health outcomes and lower healthcare spending. Patients with aneurysms at high risk of rupture might need more aggressive management.

Management of Small Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms: A Survey of Neuroradiologists

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The long-term history and management of unruptured intracranial aneurysms is not well understood. Our aim was to determine current practice patterns in the management of unruptured intracranial aneurysms, especially regarding imaging surveillance for conservatively managed aneurysms of this type.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

An on-line survey was designed to examine physician practice and preference regarding the management of small unruptured intracranial aneurysms (≤7 mm in diameter). The survey was circulated to members of the American Society of Neuroradiology. Participation was voluntary, and all responses were anonymous.

RESULTS

A total of 227 individual survey responses were obtained and included in the analysis with 54.6% (124/227) from diagnostic neuroradiologists (practicing >50% neuroradiology) and one-third (29%) from neurointerventional radiologists. One hundred seventy-three of 227 responded that routine, periodic imaging surveillance would be appropriate for conservatively managed unruptured intracranial aneurysms, and 84% of respondents recommended surveillance frequency of at least once a year. Fifty-nine percent favored indefinite, life-long follow-up for small unruptured intracranial aneurysms, and a similar number of respondents favored noncontrast MR angiography for aneurysm follow-up. Significant heterogeneity was found in size measurements used to assess aneurysms and criteria used to define growth on surveillance imaging.

CONCLUSIONS

The natural history of intracranial aneurysms is not well-understood. A large proportion of incidentally detected, unruptured aneurysms are small (<7 mm). The survey results show significant heterogeneity in practice even among neuroradiologists and underlies the need to standardize imaging practice. Further studies are needed to assess the optimal frequency and duration of surveillance imaging for unruptured intracranial aneurysms. The criteria used to measure aneurysms and define growth on imaging also need to be standardized.

A survey of intracranial aneurysm treatment practices among United States physicians

Background

Recent surveys have failed to examine cerebrovascular aneurysm treatment practices among US physicians.

Objective

To survey physicians who are actively involved in the care of patients with cerebrovascular aneurysms to determine current aneurysm treatment preferences.

Methods

A 25-question SurveyMonkey online survey was designed and distributed electronically to members of the Society of NeuroInterventional Surgery, Society of Vascular and Interventional Neurology, and the American Association of Neurological Surgeons/Congress of Neurological Surgeons Combined Cerebrovascular Section.

Results

211 physicians completed the survey. Most respondents recommend endovascular treatment as the first-line management strategy for most ruptured (78%) and unruptured (71%) aneurysms. Thirty-eight per cent of respondents indicate that they routinely treat all patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage regardless of grade. Most physicians use the International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms data for counseling patients on natural history risk (80%); a small minority (11%) always or usually recommend treatment of anterior circulation aneurysms of <5 mm. Two-thirds of respondents continue to recommend clipping for most middle cerebral artery aneurysms, while most (51%) recommend flow diversion for wide-necked internal carotid artery aneurysms. Follow-up imaging schedules are highly variable. Neurosurgeons at academic institutions and those practicing longer were more likely to recommend clipping surgery for aneurysms (p<0.05).

Conclusions

This survey demonstrates considerable variability in patient selection for intracranial aneurysm treatment, preferred treatment strategies, and follow-up imaging schedules among US physicians.