Effects of acute kidney injury on clinical outcomes in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding

Development and validation of a web-based nomogram for acute kidney injury in acute non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding patients

Background

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and serious complication in patients with acute non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB). Early prediction and intervention are crucial for improving patient outcomes.

Methods

Data for patients presenting with acute NVUGIB in this retrospective study were sourced from the MIMC-IV database. Patients were randomly allocated into training and validation cohorts for further analysis. Independent predictors for AKI were identified using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and multivariable logistic regression analyses in the training cohort. Based on the logistic regression results, a nomogram was developed to predict early AKI onset in acute NVUGIB patients, and implemented as a web-based calculator for clinical application. The nomogram's performance was evaluated through discrimination, using the C-index, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) to assess its clinical value.

Results

The study involved 1082 acute NVUGIB patients, with 406 developing AKI. A multivariable logistic regression identified five key AKI predictors: CKD, use of human albumin, chronic liver disease, glucose, and blood urea nitrogen. The nomogram was constructed based on independent predictors. The nomogram exhibited robust accuracy, evidenced by a C-index of 0.73 in the training cohort and 0.72 in the validation cohort. Calibration curves demonstrated satisfactory concordance between predicted and observed AKI occurrences. DCA revealed that the nomogram offered considerable clinical benefit within a threshold probability range of 7% to 54%.

Conclusion

Our nomogram is a valuable tool for predicting AKI risk in patients with acute NVUGIB, offering potential for early intervention and improved clinical outcomes.

A nomogram to predict in-hospital mortality of gastrointestinal bleeding patients in the intensive care unit

Background

Gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) is a common condition in clinical practice, and predictive models for patients with GIB have been developed. However, assessments of in-hospital mortality due to GIB in the intensive care unit (ICU), especially in critically ill patients, are still lacking. This study was designed to screen out independent predictive factors affecting in-hospital mortality and thus establish a predictive model for clinical use.

Methods

This retrospective study included 1,442 patients with GIB who had been admitted to the ICU. They were selected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) 1.0 database and divided into a training group and a validation group in a ratio of 7:3. The main outcome measure was in-hospital mortality. Least absolute shrinkage and section operator (LASSO) regression was used to screen out independent predictors and create a nomogram.

Results

LASSO regression picked out nine independent predictors: heart rate (HR), activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT), acute physiology score III (APSIII), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), cerebrovascular disease, acute kidney injury (AKI), norepinephrine, vasopressin, and dopamine. Our model proved to have excellent predictive value with regard to in-hospital mortality (the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.906 and 0.881 in the training and validation groups, respectively), as well as a good outcome on a decision curve analysis to assess net benefit.

Conclusion

Our model effectively predicts in-hospital mortality in patients with GIB, indicating that it may prove to be a valuable tool in future clinical practice.

Acute Kidney Injury after Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography-A Hospital-Based Prospective Observational Study

Background: Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) represents a major pivotal point in gastrointestinal endoscopy. Little is known about acute kidney injury (AKI) post-ERCP. This study analyses the incidence, risk factors, and prognosis of post-ERCP AKI. Methods: A total of 396 patients were prospectively studied. AKI was defined by an increase in serum creatinine (SCr) ≥ 0.3 mg/dL or by an increase in SCr ≥ 50% in the first 48 h post-ERCP. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the predictors of AKI and in-hospital mortality. A two-tailed p value < 0.05 was considered significant. Results: One hundred and three patients (26%) developed post-ERCP AKI. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 0.95, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.94−0.96, p < 0.001), nonrenal Charlson Comorbidity Index (Aor = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.05−1.35, p = 0.006), choledocholithiasis (aOR = 4.05, 95% CI: 1.98−8.29, p < 0.001), and bilirubin (aOR = 1.1, 95% CI: 1.05−1.15, p < 0.001) were associated with post-ERCP AKI. Post-ERCP AKI was associated with longer hospital stay (p < 0.001) and with increased in-hospital mortality (7.76% versus 0.36%, p < 0.001). Moderate-to-severe (stage 2 and 3) AKI was independently associated with in-hospital mortality (aOR = 6.43, 95% CI: 1.48−27.88, p < 0.013). Conclusions: Post-ERCP AKI represented an important complication associated with longer hospital stay. Moderate-to-severe post-ERCP AKI was an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality.

Comparison of risk scoring systems for upper gastrointestinal bleeding in patients after renal transplantation: a retrospective observational study in Hunan, China

Background

Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a common complication in renal transplant recipients. However, the risk stratification value of bleeding scoring systems in these patients is unclear, and data regarding risk factors are limited.

Methods

Clinical data of renal transplant recipients in The Third Xiangya hospital were collected. The predictive ability of Glasgow Blatchford score (GBS), pre-endoscopy Rockall score (pRS), and AIMS65 score were assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Risk factors of UGIB were analyzed using binary logistic regression analysis.

Results

A total of 220 patients were enrolled, of which 55 with UGIB. Endoscopy improved the overall survival rate of patients. Glasgow Blatchford score (AUROC 0.868) performed best at predicting UGIB patients who need intervention or death, with a threshold of 10, sensitivity and specificity were 82.4% and 70%, respectively. In terms of predicting mortality, the GBS score was comparable with AIMS65 score (p = 0.30) and pRS score (p = 0.42). Viral hepatitis, intravenous hormone usage, low platelet count, and low albumin level were significant factors associated with UGIB.

Conclusions

The Glasgow Blatchford score (AUROC 0.868) was best at predicting the need for intervention or death. However, their ability to predict mortality was limited, with AUROC less than 0.8. Our study also identified four independent risk factors for renal transplant recipients with UGIB.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-022-02426-3.

Effect of terlipressin on renal function in cirrhotic patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding

BACKGROUND

Renal dysfunction is a serious morbidity in cirrhotic patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (AUGIB). Terlipressin is the first-line treatment choice for acute variceal bleeding and hepatorenal syndrome (HRS). This study aimed to assess the effect of terlipressin on renal function in patients with liver cirrhosis and AUGIB.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 40 cirrhotic patients with AUGIB treated with terlipressin by an attending physician between January 2016 and June 2018. We analyzed the change of renal function parameters, including cystatin C (CysC) and creatinine (Cr), during the use of terlipressin and after terlipressin was stopped. We also identified the factors associated with renal function improvement in patients without active bleeding during the use of terlipressin.

RESULTS

During the use of terlipressin, CysC value was significantly reduced (1.3±0.8 vs. 1.1±0.7, P=0.001); Cr value was reduced, but the reduction was not statistically significant (68.8±24 vs. 65.5±23, P=0.817); the rate of CysC reduction was significantly higher in patients treated with terlipressin than those treated with somatostatin/octreotide (73.1% vs. 0%, P=0.005); the rate of Cr reduction was not significantly different between patients treated with terlipressin and somatostatin/octreotide (61.5% vs. 20%, P=0.148); no factor associated with CysC reduction was identified; higher hemoglobin, red blood cell, and platelet and lower prothrombin time and international normalized ratio at baseline were significantly associated with Cr reduction. After terlipressin was stopped, neither CysC nor Cr value was significantly reduced (P=0.852 and P=0.296).

CONCLUSIONS

Terlipressin may be beneficial on preventing renal function impairment in cirrhotic patients with AUGIB.

Incidence and mortality of renal dysfunction in cirrhotic patients with acute gastrointestinal bleeding: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) is a common complication in cirrhosis. Renal dysfunction may be crucial for the outcomes of cirrhotic patients with acute GIB. This study aimed to explore the incidence and mortality of renal dysfunction in cirrhotic patients with acute GIB.Methods: The PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases were searched. We pooled the incidence and mortality of renal dysfunction in cirrhotic patients using a random-effect model. Odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated.Results: Seventeen studies were included. The pooled incidence of renal dysfunction was 21% (95%CI = 16%-25%) in cirrhosis with acute GIB. In subgroup analyses, the pooled incidence of renal failure, acute kidney injury (AKI), and renal impairment were 21%, 25%, and 15%, respectively. The pooled mortality was 46% (95%CI = 37%-55%) in cirrhosis with acute GIB and renal dysfunction. In subgroup analyses, the pooled mortality in patients with renal failure, AKI, and renal impairment were 42%, 47%, and 49%, respectively. Renal dysfunction significantly increased the mortality of cirrhosis with acute GIB (OR = 4.92; 95%CI = 3.47-6.96; P < 0.001).Conclusion: Renal dysfunction is a common indicator for poor outcome of cirrhosis with acute GIB. Prevention of renal dysfunction in such patients should be further explored.

Prognostic Significance of Elevated Cardiac Troponin in Acute Gastrointestinal Bleeding

BACKGROUND

Acute gastrointestinal bleeding (AGIB) is responsible for over 140,000 hospitalizations annually. Cardiovascular-related deaths account for 30% of the patients surviving the initial episode of AGIB. The purpose of this study was to identify the impact of elevated troponin on short-term mortality and length of stay (LOS) of these patients.

METHODS

From July 2013 to July 2016, 290 patients admitted with a diagnosis of AGIB and who had cardiac troponin I measured within 24 h of presentation were retrospectively reviewed. Clinical variables including 30-day mortality, 30-day readmission and LOS were then compared between the groups of troponin elevation and no troponin elevation.

RESULTS

The overall 30-day mortality among patients with AGIB was 6.5% (19/290). Cardiac troponin was elevated in 10% of patients (29/290). Among patients with normal troponin, 5% (13/261) died within 30 days. In patients with troponin elevation, 21% died in the same period (6/29, P = 0.001). The LOS was also higher in patients with troponin elevation (6 vs. 5 days, P = 0.02). There was no difference in 30-day readmission among the two groups. Past history of coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, hypertension, aspirin use and elevated creatinine was more common in patients with troponin elevation. On multivariate analysis, troponin elevation on presentation is associated with increased mortality (odds: 5.50, CI: 1.73 - 17.47, P = 0.004).

CONCLUSION

In patients admitted to the inpatient service with AGIB, elevated troponin I on presentation is associated with high short-term mortality and longer hospital stay.