On the construction of a relative needs assessment scale

The validity of a social indicator approach to substance misuse needs assessment

Factors other than the magnitude of a community's drug- or alcohol-use-related problems may play a large role in resource allocation. Needs assessment approaches such as key informant interviews and household surveys can contribute to a more informed process. An additional approach to needs assessment, social indicator modeling, addresses the high cost of surveys and the potential subjectivity of key informant interviews. This paper discusses the history of social indicator approaches to needs assessment and reviews recent equitable distribution approaches. An equitable distribution model of alcohol- and other drug-use-related problems was created and validated. The drug model accounted for close to 50% of the variation in estimates of lifetime diagnosis of drug dependence or misuse. The alcohol model performed less successfully, accounting for 21% of the variation in lifetime diagnosis of alcohol-use-related problems.

Using social indicators to predict addiction

Because of cost and other constraints, states often find it difficult to estimate need for treatment of alcohol-related problems from routine surveys. The social undesirability of illegal drug use makes the assessment of need for treatment of their use even more difficult. This paper uses independently obtained treatment need estimates to provide parameters for short-term prediction. We obtained the parameters by regressing the proportions of people addicted to alcohol (or drugs) in counties on social-indicator-based relative treatment need estimates for alcohol (or drugs). In addition to integrating estimates coming from independent sources, our approach presents an important tool for planning and resource allocation.