Improved Risk Stratification for Progression from Mild Cognitive Impairment to Alzheimer's Disease with a Multi-Analytical Evaluation of Amyloid-β Positron Emission Tomography

Diagnostic performance of molecular imaging methods in predicting the progression from mild cognitive impairment to dementia: an updated systematic review

PURPOSE

Epidemiological and logistical reasons are slowing the clinical validation of the molecular imaging biomarkers in the initial stages of neurocognitive disorders. We provide an updated systematic review of the recent advances (2017-2022), highlighting methodological shortcomings.

METHODS

Studies reporting the diagnostic accuracy values of the molecular imaging techniques (i.e., amyloid-, tau-, [18F]FDG-PETs, DaT-SPECT, and cardiac [123I]-MIBG scintigraphy) in predicting progression from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to dementia were selected according to the Preferred Reporting Items for a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) method and evaluated with the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. Main eligibility criteria were as follows: (1) ≥ 50 subjects with MCI, (2) follow-up ≥ 3 years, (3) gold standard: progression to dementia or diagnosis on pathology, and (4) measures of prospective accuracy.

RESULTS

Sensitivity (SE) and specificity (SP) in predicting progression to dementia, mainly to Alzheimer's dementia were 43-100% and 63-94% for [18F]FDG-PET and 64-94% and 48-93% for amyloid-PET. Longitudinal studies were lacking for less common disorders (Dementia with Lewy bodies-DLB and Frontotemporal lobe degeneration-FTLD) and for tau-PET, DaT-SPECT, and [123I]-MIBG scintigraphy. Therefore, the accuracy values from cross-sectional studies in a smaller sample of subjects (n > 20, also including mild dementia stage) were chosen as surrogate outcomes. DaT-SPECT showed 47-100% SE and 71-100% SP in differentiating Lewy body disease (LBD) from non-LBD conditions; tau-PET: 88% SE and 100% SP in differentiating DLB from Posterior Cortical Atrophy. [123I]-MIBG scintigraphy differentiated LBD from non-LBD conditions with 47-100% SE and 71-100% SP.

CONCLUSION

Molecular imaging has a moderate-to-good accuracy in predicting the progression of MCI to Alzheimer's dementia. Longitudinal studies are sparse in non-AD conditions, requiring additional efforts in these settings.

Early Detection of Dementia using Risk Classification in MCI: Outcomes of Shanghai Mild Cognitive Impairment Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of this study is to identify the risk factors and risk classification associated with the conversion from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia to facilitate early intervention and the design of clinical trials for AD.

METHODS

The study comprised a prospective cohort study of 400 subjects with MCI who had annual follow-ups for 3 years.

RESULTS

During an average follow-up period of 3.5 years, 109 subjects were diagnosed with all cause of dementia, of whom 104 subjects converted to Alzheimer's dementia and 5 subjects converted to other types of dementia. The cumulative conversion rate was 5.5% (95% CI: 3.4, 8.6), 16.3% (95% CI: 12.9, 21.1), and 31.0% (95% CI: 25.4, 36.5) in each of the first 3 follow-up years, respectively. The factors associated with a greater risk of conversion from MCI to AD included smoking status, ApoE4 carrier status, right hippocampal volume (rt. HV), left temporal lobe volume, and scores on the Revised Chinese version of the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive Subscale 13 (ADAS-Cog-C). The risk classification of the ADAS-Cog-C or Preclinical Alzheimer Cognitive Composite (PACC) score combined with the rt. HV showed a conversion difference among the groups at every annual follow-up.

CONCLUSION

A simple risk classification using the rt. HV and neuropsychological test scores, including those from the ADAS-Cog-C and PACC, could be a practicable and efficient approach to indentify individuals at risk of all-cause dementia.