A scoring system for prediction of lateral neck node metastasis from papillary thyroid cancer

Prediction model for cervical lymph node metastasis in human papillomavirus-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a risk scoring system based on clinical and imaging findings to predict lymph node metastasis from HPV-related oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas.

METHODS

This study population who had undergone neck dissections or lymph node biopsies in patients with HPV+ OPSCC was obtained from a historical cohort from two tertiary referral hospitals. The training set from one hospital included 455 lymph nodes from 82 patients, and the test set from the other hospital included 150 lymph nodes from 42 patients. The baseline clinical and imaging findings on pretreatment CT or MR were investigated and the reference standards were the histopathologic results. A risk scoring system was constructed based on logistic regression and validated both internally and externally.

RESULTS

A 7-point risk scoring system was developed based on the following variables: central necrosis, infiltration of adjacent planes, lymph node level, and the maximal axial diameter of the lymph node. This risk scoring system showed good discriminative ability for metastasis in the training set (C-statistic 0.952; 95% CI, 0.931-0.972) and test set (C-statistic 0.968, 95% CI, 0.936-0.999) and good calibration ability in the training set (p = 0.723) and test set (p = 0.253).

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated a reliable risk scoring system that predicts lymph node metastasis from HPV+ OPSCCs based on the clinical data and pretreatment imaging findings. We expect this risk scoring system to be a useful guide for better decision-making in practice.

KEY POINTS

• It is important to diagnose lymph node metastasis from HPV+ OPSCC for treatment planning; however, there has been little research on that. • We developed and externally validated a new scoring system for stratifying the risk of lymph node metastasis from HPV+ OPSCC based on clinical and imaging data. • A predictive model combining both clinical and imaging data showed high diagnostic accuracy and efficiency for lymph node metastasis from HPV+ OPSCC.

A Scoring System for Prediction of Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients with Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

An accurate and comprehensive assessment of lymph node metastasis in patients with head and neck squamous cell cancer is crucial in daily practice. This study constructed a predictive model with a risk scoring system based on CT characteristics of lymph nodes and tumors for patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma to stratify the risk of lymph node metastasis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data included 476 cervical lymph nodes from 191 patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma from a historical cohort. We analyzed preoperative CT images of lymph nodes, including diameter, ratio of long-to-short axis diameter, necrosis, conglomeration, infiltration to adjacent soft tissue, laterality and T-stage of the primary tumor. The reference standard comprised pathologic results. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to develop the risk scoring system. Internal validation was performed with 1000-iteration bootstrapping.

RESULTS

Shortest axial diameter, ratio of long-to-short axis diameter, necrosis, and T-stage were used to develop a 9-point risk scoring system. The risk of malignancy ranged from 7.3% to 99.8%, which was positively associated with increased scores. Areas under the curve of the risk scoring systems were 0.886 (95% CI, 0.881-0.920) and 0.879 (95% CI, 0.845-0.914) in internal validation. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test indicated that the risk scoring system was well-calibrated (P = .160).

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a comprehensive and simple risk scoring system using CT characteristics in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma to stratify the risk of lymph node metastasis. It could facilitate decision-making in daily practice.

Oncologic outcomes in patients with 1-cm to 4-cm differentiated thyroid carcinoma according to extent of thyroidectomy

BACKGROUND

Recent guidelines advocate unilateral thyroidectomy for low-risk 1-cm to 4-cm differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). This study was designed to examine the association between the extent of thyroidectomy and oncologic outcomes in patients with 1-cm to 4-cm DTC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From April 1978 to December 2011, 16 057 patients with DTC underwent thyroidectomy at Yonsei University Hospital. Among them, 5266 (32.8%) patients were classified as having 1-cm to 4-cm DTC and were enrolled in this study. Clinicopathologic features and prognostic results (disease-free survival [DFS] and disease-specific survival [DSS] rates) were analyzed by retrospective medical record review. The mean follow-up duration was 57.3 ± 58.1 months.

RESULTS

Of tumor subtypes in the study group, papillary thyroid carcinoma was the most common (97.5%) and follicular thyroid carcinoma occurred at a rate of 2.5%. In this study, the mean tumor size was 1.84 ± 0.74 cm. Patients had extrathyroidal extension (69.3%), multiplicity (35.1%), bilaterality (26.4%), central lymph node metastasis (53.0%), and lateral neck node metastases (19.9%). Of the 5266 patients, 4292 (81.5%) underwent total thyroidectomy and 974 (18.5%) had lobectomies. Recurrence rates in the total thyroidectomy and lobectomy groups were 5.7% and 9.4%, respectively. The lobectomy group had lower DFS (P = .007) and higher DSS (P = .034) than the total thyroidectomy group. A multivariate analysis for DFS revealed that tumor size, N classification, and extent of thyroidectomy were independent risk factors. On multivariate analysis, independent risk factors for DSS were age, sex, tumor size, and M classifications.

CONCLUSION

Although extent of thyroidectomy does not affect DSS, total thyroidectomy is beneficial for reducing recurrence in patients with 1-cm to 4-cm DTC. However, if such tumors have such low-risk features as being unifocal, intrathyroidal, and lymph node metastasis-negative, extent of thyroidectomy does not affect oncologic outcome and lobectomy may be sufficient.

A Clinical Decision Support System Using Ultrasound Textures and Radiologic Features to Distinguish Metastasis From Tumor-Free Cervical Lymph Nodes in Patients With Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

This study investigated the potential of a clinical decision support approach for the classification of metastatic and tumor-free cervical lymph nodes (LNs) in papillary thyroid carcinoma on the basis of radiologic and textural analysis through ultrasound (US) imaging.

METHODS

In this research, 170 metastatic and 170 tumor-free LNs were examined by the proposed clinical decision support method. To discover the difference between the groups, US imaging was used for the extraction of radiologic and textural features. The radiologic features in the B-mode scans included the echogenicity, margin, shape, and presence of microcalcification. To extract the textural features, a wavelet transform was applied. A support vector machine classifier was used to classify the LNs.

RESULTS

In the training set data, a combination of radiologic and textural features represented the best performance with sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and area under the curve (AUC) values of 97.14%, 98.57%, 97.86%, and 0.994, respectively, whereas the classification based on radiologic and textural features alone yielded lower performance, with AUCs of 0.964 and 0.922. On testing the data set, the proposed model could classify the tumor-free and metastatic LNs with an AUC of 0.952, which corresponded to sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of 93.33%, 96.66%, and 95.00%.

CONCLUSIONS

The clinical decision support method based on textural and radiologic features has the potential to characterize LNs via 2-dimensional US. Therefore, it can be used as a supplementary technique in daily clinical practice to improve radiologists' understanding of conventional US imaging for characterizing LNs.

Differentiation between metastatic and tumour-free cervical lymph nodes in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma by grey-scale sonographic texture analysis

PURPOSE

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is the most common thyroid cancer, and cervical lymph nodes (LNs) are the most common extrathyroid metastatic involvement. Early detection and reliable diagnosis of LNs can lead to improved cure rates and management costs. This study explored the potential of texture analysis for texture-based classification of tumour-free and metastatic cervical LNs of PTC in ultrasound imaging.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A total of 274 LNs (137 tumour-free and 137 metastatic) were explored using the texture analysis (TA) method. Up to 300 features were extracted for texture analysis in three normalisations (default, 3sigma, and 1-99%). Linear discriminant analysis was employed to transform raw data to lower-dimensional spaces and increase discriminative power. The features were classified by the first nearest neighbour classifier.

RESULTS

Normalisation reflected improvement on the performance of the classifier; hence, the features under 3sigma normalisation schemes through FFPA (fusion Fisher plus the probability of classification error [POE] + average correlation coefficients [ACC]) features indicated high performance in classifying tumour-free and metastatic LNs with a sensitivity of 99.27%, specificity of 98.54%, accuracy of 98.90%, positive predictive value of 98.55%, and negative predictive value of 99.26%. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.996.

CONCLUSIONS

TA was determined to be a reliable method with the potential for characterisation. This method can be applied by physicians to differentiate between tumour-free and metastatic LNs in patients with PTC in conventional ultrasound imaging.

Role of prophylactic central compartment lymph node dissection in clinically N0 differentiated thyroid cancer patients: analysis of risk factors and review of modern trends

In the last years, especially thanks to a large diffusion of ultrasound-guided FNBs, a surprising increased incidence of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), "small" tumors and microcarcinomas have been reported in the international series. This led endocrinologists and surgeons to search for "tailored" and "less aggressive" therapeutic protocols avoiding risky morbidity and useless "overtreatment". Considering the most recent guidelines of referral endocrine societies, we analyzed the role of routine or so-called prophylactic central compartment lymph node dissection (RCLD), also considering its benefits and risks. Literature data showed that the debate is still open and the surgeons are divided between proponents and opponents of its use. Even if lymph node metastases are commonly observed, and in up to 90% of DTC cases micrometastases are reported, the impact of lymphatic involvement on long-term survival is subject to intensive research and the best indications of lymph node dissection are still controversial. Identification of prognostic factors for central compartment metastases could assist surgeons in determining whether to perform RLCD. Considering available evidence, a general agreement to definitely reserve RCLD to "high-risk" cases was observed. More clinical researches, in order to identify risk factors of meaningful predictive power and prospective long-term randomized trials, should be useful to validate this selective approach.

Application of Computer-Aided Diagnosis to the Sonographic Evaluation of Cervical Lymph Nodes

We initiated an observer study to evaluate a computerized system developed in our previous study for automatic extraction of 10 features and estimation of the malignancy probability of cervical nodes in sonograms. In the present study, five expert radiologists and five resident radiologists interpreted the sonograms of 178 nodes. The malignancy rating and patient management recommendation (biopsy or follow-up) were made without and then with the computer aid. Under these two reading conditions, the performances of radiologists and agreement among a group of radiologists were evaluated by using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and the κ statistic, respectively. With the computer aid, the performances of radiologists improved significantly, as indicated by the increase in the area under the ROC curve (Az) from 0.843 to 0.896 (p = 0.031) and from 0.705 to 0.822 (p < 0.001), for the expert and resident groups, respectively. Agreement among all 10 radiologists improved from slight to moderate as indicated by an increase in the κ value from 0.195 to 0.421 (p < 0.001). The average performance of residents with aid (Az = 0.822) was close to that of experts without aid (Az = 0.843). Results indicate that computer-aided diagnosis is useful to improve radiologist performance (especially that of inexperienced radiologists) in the ultrasonographic evaluation of cervical nodes and to reduce variability among radiologists.

Risk factors for central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma: A National Cancer Data Base (NCDB) study

BACKGROUND

There is no consensus regarding prophylactic central lymph node dissection (pCLND) in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). Identification of risk factors for central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with PTC could assist surgeons in determining whether to perform selective pCLND.

METHODS

The National Cancer database was queried from 1998 to 2011 for patients with clinical staging T1-4cN0M0 PTC. All patients underwent near, sub-, or total thyroidectomy with or without pCLND. Univariate and multivariable logistic regressions were performed on the following clinical variables: age, sex, race and tumor size as risk factors for pathologic CLNM (pN1a).

RESULTS

In 39,562 patients with T1-4cN0M0 PTC, 61% underwent pCLND. Patients with age >45 years, African American race, tumor size ≤ 1 cm, unifocal tumors, follicular variant PTC, no insurance, and treatment at community cancer facilities were less likely to have pCLND (P < .001). In the pCLND group, 15.6% of patients had CLNM. On adjusted multivariable logistic regression, age ≤ 45 years, Asian race, male sex, and larger tumors were statistically significantly associated with CLNM.

CONCLUSION

Age ≤ 45 years, Asian race, male sex, and larger tumors are associated with the presence of CLNM, which allows for selective pCLND in PTC.

Thyroidectomy without lateral neck dissection for papillary thyroid carcinoma with lateral neck lymph node metastases and negative intraoperative frozen section

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to investigate the outcomes of patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) with lateral neck metastasis according to their permanent pathology report but negative frozen section findings who did not undergo lateral neck dissection.

METHODS

Between September 2009 and December 2011, 575 patients at Gangnam Severance Hospital (Seoul, Korea) underwent frozen section analysis for a suspicious lateral neck lymph node. In 16 patients, the intraoperative findings were negative, but lateral neck metastasis was diagnosed on the basis of permanent pathology findings. The outcomes of these patients who underwent thyroidectomy but not lateral neck dissection were retrospectively investigated.

RESULTS

One patient underwent a subsequent lateral neck dissection. After a mean (SD) follow-up period of 42.1 (8.5) months, none of the patients had distant metastasis.

CONCLUSION

Total thyroidectomy with subsequent lateral neck dissection is not necessary in patients with PTC who are diagnosed with lateral neck metastasis according to their permanent pathology report but have negative intraoperative frozen section findings.

Overcoming the limitations of fine needle aspiration biopsy: detection of lateral neck node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma

PURPOSE

Ultrasound (US) and US-guided fine needle aspiration biopsies (FNAB) are considered the modalities of choice for assessing lymph nodes suspected of containing metastases, but the sensitivity of FNAB varies and is specific to the operator. We analyzed the risk of FNAB providing false negative results of lateral neck node metastasis, and evaluated diagnostic accuracy of FNAB, in patients with papillary thyroid cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

FNAB was performed in 242 patients suspected of having lateral neck node metastasis on preoperative imaging. Thyroglobulin in the fine-needle aspirate washout (FNA wash-out Tg) and computed tomography enhancement (Hounsfield units) were measured. Patients with negative results on FNAB were examined by intraoperative frozen section. The false negative and true negative groups were compared.

RESULTS

Of the 242 patients, 130 were confirmed as having lateral neck node metastases. In 74 patients, the metastasis was identified by FNAB. False positive results were observed in 2 patients (0.8%) and false negatives in 58 (44.6%). Risk analysis showed that patient age <45 years (p=0.006), tumor size >1 cm (p=0.008) and elevated FNA wash-out Tg (p=0.004) were significantly associated with false negative results on FNAB. The accuracy of FNAB increased significantly when combined with FNA wash-out Tg (p=0.003).

CONCLUSION

To reduce the false negative rate of FNAB, patient age (<45 years), tumor size (>1 cm) and FNA wash-out Tg (>34.8 ng/mL) should be considered in preoperative planning. Accuracy may be improved by combining the results of FNAB and FNA wash-out Tg.

Tuberculosis cervical lymphadenopathy mimics lateral neck metastasis from papillary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) lymphadenitis is a frequent cause of lymphadenopathy in areas in which TB is endemic. Cervical lymphadenopathy in TB can mimic lateral neck metastasis (LNM) from papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). This study evaluated the clinicopathological features of patients with PTC and TB lateral neck lymphadenopathy.

METHODS

Of the 9098 thyroid cancer patients who underwent thyroid cancer surgery at the Thyroid Cancer Center of Gangnam Severance Hospital between January 2009 and April 2013, 28 had PTC and showed TB lymphadenopathy of the lateral neck node. The clinicopathological features of these 28 patients were evaluated.

RESULTS

Preoperatively, all 28 patients were diagnosed with PTC and showed cervical lymphadenopathy. All had radiological characteristics suspicious of metastasis in lateral neck nodes. Based upon the results from intraoperative frozen sections, lymph node dissection (LND) was not performed on 19 patients. Seven of eight patients who underwent LND had metastasis combined with tuberculous lymphadenopathy, with the remaining patient negative for LNM.

CONCLUSIONS

Intraoperative sampling and frozen sectioning of lymph nodes suspicious of metastasis can help avoid unnecessary LND for tuberculous lymphadenopathy.

Solitary lateral neck node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma

Background

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is associated with a high incidence of regional node metastasis, but the patterns of lateral neck node metastasis (LNM) vary. Occasionally, a solitary LNM (SLNM) is seen in PTC patients. We therefore assessed whether selective single level node dissection is appropriate in PTC patients with SLNM.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 241 PTC patients who underwent total thyroidectomy with central neck dissection plus ipsilateral internal jugular node dissection (level II to IV) between January 2010 and December 2011. Of these patients, 51 had SLNM and 190 had multiple LNM (MLNM). The clinicopathologic characteristics of the two groups were compared.

Results

Age, gender ratio, and numbers of lateral neck nodes harvested (29.4 ± 11.0 versus 30.3 ± 9.5; P = 0.574) were similar in the SLNM and MLNM groups. Mean primary tumor size was significantly smaller in the SLNM than in the MNLM group (1.03 cm versus 1.35 cm; P = 0.037). The proportion of patients with primary tumor ≤ 1 cm was significantly greater in the SLNM group (60.8% versus 38.4%; P = 0.006), whereas the proportion with maximal node size ≤ 0.7 cm (28.9% versus 73.3%; P <0.001) and the proportion with capsular invasion (62.7% versus 83.7%, P = 0.002) were significantly lower in the SLNM than in the MLNM group.

Conclusions

Selective single level neck dissection can be considered as an alternative to systemic lateral neck dissection in PTC patients with SLNM, maximal metastatic node size ≤ 0.7 cm, and no extrathyroidal invasion.

Management of well-differentiated thyroid cancer

This review provides an overview of current guideline recommendations for the clinical evaluation and surgical management of well-differentiated thyroid cancer, and further examines the evidence for controversial topics such as the minimum degree of primary resection, the role of elective central neck dissection, and the extent of lateral neck dissection. Well-differentiated thyroid cancer comprises the majority of thyroid cancers, about 90%, and includes both papillary and follicular carcinomas. Despite convergence of the medical community in establishing treatment guidelines under the American Thyroid Association, there still remain many areas of disagreement.

Papillary thyroid carcinoma involving cervical neck lymph nodes: correlations with lymphangiogenesis and ultrasound features

Stratification of risk factors for cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM) in thyroid papillary carcinoma is important for providing standards for post-operative adjuvant radio-iodine therapy and for patient prognosis. We investigated pathological factors based on the lymphatic vessel system and radiological features associated with tumor with cervical neck LNM. Among patients who had undergone thyroidectomy confirmed to be papillary thyroid carcinoma, we selected 126 age-sex matched paired patients without cervical LNM (group 1) and with LNM (group 2) to evaluate risk factors. Pathological factors evaluated were size, multiplicity, and extra thyroid extension state, based on the pathological reports using stored data. The lymphatic vessel density (LVD) of each tumor was evaluated by staining for VEGFR-3 and D2-40 and correlated with cervical LNM state. Malignant ultrasound features were evaluated to compare the differences between these two groups. Larger tumor size, multiplicity, extrathyroid extension were more common in group 2 (p<0.05). The median percentage of VEGFR-3 for group 1 was 20 (range 0-30) and D2-40 was 13 (range 7-23) while for group 2, VEGFR-3 was 80 (70-90) and D2-40 was 78 (54-114). LVD measured by intratumoral D2-40 staining was 20.6% and 79.4% for group 1 and group 2, respectively. Intra-tumoral lymphatics measured by D2-40 stain had a strong correlation with cervical LNM (Odds 1.230, CI 1.01.-1.499 p value 0.040). Ultrasound (US) features had no significant differences between the two groups although calcifications tended to be higher in group 2 (84% vs. 76% p=0.264). Lymphatic vessel density and nodule echogenicity were not associated with LNM. Intratumoral lymphangiogenesis was most strongly associated with LNM and thus, could be a useful predictive marker for cervical LNM.