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Wang S, Huang H, Hou M, Xu Q, Qian W, Tang Y, Li X, Qian G, Ma J, Zheng Y, Shen Y, Lv H. Risk-prediction models for intravenous immunoglobulin resistance in Kawasaki disease: Risk-of-Bias Assessment using PROBAST. Pediatr Res 2023; 94:1125-1135. [PMID: 36964445 PMCID: PMC10444619 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-023-02558-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2022] [Revised: 01/01/2023] [Accepted: 02/10/2023] [Indexed: 03/26/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The prediction model of intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance in Kawasaki disease can calculate the probability of IVIG resistance and provide a basis for clinical decision-making. We aim to assess the quality of these models developed in the children with Kawasaki disease. METHODS Studies of prediction models for IVIG-resistant Kawasaki disease were identified through searches in the PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase databases. Two investigators independently performed literature screening, data extraction, quality evaluation, and discrepancies were settled by a statistician. The checklist for critical appraisal and data extraction for systematic reviews of prediction modeling studies (CHARMS) was used for data extraction, and the prediction models were evaluated using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST). RESULTS Seventeen studies meeting the selection criteria were included in the qualitative analysis. The top three predictors were neutrophil measurements (peripheral neutrophil count and neutrophil %), serum albumin level, and C-reactive protein (CRP) level. The reported area under the curve (AUC) values for the developed models ranged from 0.672 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.631-0.712) to 0.891 (95% CI: 0.837-0.945); The studies showed a high risk of bias (ROB) for modeling techniques, yielding a high overall ROB. CONCLUSION IVIG resistance models for Kawasaki disease showed high ROB. An emphasis on improving their quality can provide high-quality evidence for clinical practice. IMPACT STATEMENT This study systematically evaluated the risk of bias (ROB) of existing prediction models for intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance in Kawasaki disease to provide guidance for future model development meeting clinical expectations. This is the first study to systematically evaluate the ROB of IVIG resistance in Kawasaki disease by using PROBAST. ROB may reduce model performance in different populations. Future prediction models should account for this problem, and PROBAST can help improve the methodological quality and applicability of prediction model development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuhui Wang
- Department of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China
- Department of Pediatrics, Institute of Pediatric Research, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China
| | - Hongbiao Huang
- Department of Pediatrics, Institute of Pediatric Research, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China
| | - Miao Hou
- Department of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China
| | - Qiuqin Xu
- Department of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China
| | - Weiguo Qian
- Department of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China
| | - Yunjia Tang
- Department of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China
| | - Xuan Li
- Department of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China
| | - Guanghui Qian
- Department of Pediatrics, Institute of Pediatric Research, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China
| | - Jin Ma
- Department of Pharmacy, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China
| | - Yiming Zheng
- Department of Pediatrics, Institute of Pediatric Research, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China
| | - Yueping Shen
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Medical College of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215123, China.
| | - Haitao Lv
- Department of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China.
- Department of Pediatrics, Institute of Pediatric Research, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China.
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Sapountzi E, Fidani L, Giannopoulos A, Galli-Tsinopoulou A. Association of Genetic Polymorphisms in Kawasaki Disease with the Response to Intravenous Immunoglobulin Therapy. Pediatr Cardiol 2023; 44:1-12. [PMID: 35908117 DOI: 10.1007/s00246-022-02973-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/15/2022] [Accepted: 07/11/2022] [Indexed: 01/26/2023]
Abstract
Kawasaki disease (KD) is an acute febrile and systemic vasculitis disease mainly affecting children < 5 years old. Although the first case of KD was reported in 1967 and despite extensive research on KD since then, the cause of the disease remains largely unknown. The most common complications of KD are coronary artery lesions (CAL), which significantly increase the risk of coronary heart disease. The standard treatment for KD is high-dose intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) plus aspirin within 10 days from symptoms' appearance, which has been shown to decrease the incidence of CAL to 5-7%. Despite the benefits of IVIG, about 25% of the patients treated with IVIG develop resistance or are unresponsive to the therapy, which represents an important risk factor for CAL development. The cause of IVIG unresponsiveness has not been fully elucidated. However, the role of gene polymorphisms in IVIG response has been suggested. Herein, we comprehensively review genetic polymorphisms in KD that have been associated with IVIG resistance/unresponsiveness and further discuss available models to predict IVIG unresponsiveness.Kindly check and confirm inserted city in affiliation [1] is correctly identified.confirm.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Sapountzi
- Second Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, AHEPA University General Hospital, Thessaloníki, Greece.
| | - L Fidani
- Second Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, AHEPA University General Hospital, Thessaloníki, Greece
| | - A Giannopoulos
- Second Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, AHEPA University General Hospital, Thessaloníki, Greece
| | - A Galli-Tsinopoulou
- Second Department of Pediatrics, School of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, AHEPA University General Hospital, Thessaloníki, Greece
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Lu Z, Zheng Z, Xu Y, Wang C, Lin Y, Lin K, Fu L, Zhou H, Pi L, Che D, Gu X. The Associated of the Risk of IVIG Resistance in Kawasaki Disease with ZNF112 Gene and ZNF180 Gene in a Southern Chinese Population. J Inflamm Res 2022; 15:5053-5062. [PMID: 36081762 PMCID: PMC9448350 DOI: 10.2147/jir.s378080] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2022] [Accepted: 08/05/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Kawasaki disease (KD) was one of the most common primary vasculitis. IVIG resistance was associated with an increased risk of coronary artery aneurysm. Accumulating evidences demonstrated that inflammatory gene polymorphisms might play important roles in IVIG resistance, and zinc finger proteins were closely related to immune inflammation regulation, but the effect of ZNF112/rs8113807 and ZNF180/rs2571051 on IVIG resistance in KD patients has not been reported. Methods A total of 996 KD patients were recruited, and the assay of TaqMan-real-time polymerase chain reaction was used for ZNF112/rs8113807 and ZNF180/rs2571051 genotyping. Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated for estimating the relationship between the polymorphisms of the both SNPs (ZNF112/rs8113807 and ZNF180/rs2571051) and the risk of IVIG resistance. Results Both of the ZNF112/rs8113807 CC/TC genotype and the ZNF180/rs2571051 TT/CT genotype increased the risk of IVIG resistance in KD (rs8113807: CC vs TT: adjusted OR = 1.83, 95% CI = 1.06–3.16, p = 0.0293; CC/TC vs TT adjusted: OR = 1.49, 95% CI = 1.10–2.02, p = 0.0094. rs2571051: TT vs CC adjusted: OR = 2.64, 95% CI = 1.62–4.29, p < 0.0001; TT/CT vs CC adjusted: OR = 2.14, 95% CI = 1.37–3.37, p = 0.0009; TT vs CC/CT adjusted: OR = 1.66, 95% CI = 1.22–2.27, p = 0.0014). Furthermore, the combinative analysis of risk genotypes in ZNF112/rs8113807 and ZNF180/rs2571051 showed that patients with two unfavorable genotypes were more likely to increase risk of IVIG resistance than those who carried with zero or one unfavorable genotypes (adjusted: OR = 1.68, 95% CI = 1.24–2.27, p = 0.0008). Conclusion Our findings enriched the genetic background of IVIG resistance risk in the KD development and suggested that the ZNF112/rs8113807 C-carrier and the ZNF180/rs2571051 T-carrier were associated with increased risk of IVIG resistance in KD patients in Chinese southern population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhaojin Lu
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China
| | - Zepeng Zheng
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yufen Xu
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China
| | - Chenlu Wang
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yueling Lin
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China
| | - Kun Lin
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China
| | - LanYan Fu
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China
| | - Huazhong Zhou
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China
| | - Lei Pi
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China
| | - Di Che
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China
- Correspondence: Di Che, Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, 9 Jinsui Road, Guangzhou, 510623, Guangdong, People’s Republic of China, Tel/Fax +86-20-38076562, Email
| | - Xiaoqiong Gu
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China
- Xiaoqiong Gu, Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Department of Clinical Laboratory, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, 9 Jinsui Road, Guangzhou, 510623, Guangdong, People’s Republic of China, Tel/Fax +86-20-38076561, Email
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Yu H, Liu F, Chen K, Xu Y, Wang Y, Fu L, Zhou H, Pi L, Che D, Li H, Gu X. The EIF2AK4/rs4594236 AG/GG Genotype Is a Hazard Factor of Immunoglobulin Therapy Resistance in Southern Chinese Kawasaki Disease Patients. Front Genet 2022; 13:868159. [PMID: 35812738 PMCID: PMC9257007 DOI: 10.3389/fgene.2022.868159] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2022] [Accepted: 05/16/2022] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Kawasaki disease (KD) is an acute, self-limited vasculitis disorder of unknown etiology in children. Immunologic abnormalities were detected during the acute phase of KD, which reflected that the effect cells of the activated immune system markedly increased cytokine production. High-dose intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) therapy is effective in resolving inflammation from KD and reducing occurrence of coronary artery abnormalities. However, 10%–20% of KD patients have no response to IVIG therapy, who were defined as IVIG resistance. Furthermore, these patients have persistent inflammation and increased risk of developing coronary artery aneurysm (CAA). EIF2AK4 is a stress sensor gene and can be activated by pathogen infection. In addition, the polymorphisms of EIF2AK4 were associated with various blood vessel disorders. However, it remains unclear whether the EIF2AK4 gene polymorphisms were related to IVIG therapy outcome in KD patients. Methods:EIF2AK4/rs4594236 polymorphism was genotyped in 795 IVIG response KD patients and 234 IVIG resistant KD patients through TaqMan, a real-time polymerase chain reaction. The odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated to assess the strength of association between EIF2AK4/rs4594236 polymorphism and IVIG therapeutic effects. Results: Our results showed that the EIF2AK4/rs4594236 AG/GG genotype was significantly associated with increased risk to IVIG resistance compared to the AA genotype (AG vs. AA: adjusted ORs = 1.71, 95% CIs = 1.17–2.51, and p = 0.0061; GG vs. AA: adjusted ORs = 2.09, 95% CIs = 1.36–3.23, and p = 0.0009; AG/GG vs. AA: adjusted ORs = 1.82, 95% CIs = 1.27–2.63, and p = 0.0013; and GG vs. AA/AG: adjusted ORs = 1.45, 95% CI = 1.04–2.02, and p = 0.0306). Furthermore, the stratified analysis of age and gender in the KD cohort indicated that male patients carrying the rs4594236 AG/GG genotype tends to be more resistant to IVIG therapy than female patients. Conclusion: These results suggested that EIF2AK4/rs4594236 polymorphism might be associated with increased risk of IVIG resistance in southern Chinese KD patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hongyan Yu
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Research in Structural Birth Defect Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Fucheng Liu
- Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Kaining Chen
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Research in Structural Birth Defect Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yufen Xu
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Research in Structural Birth Defect Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yishuai Wang
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Research in Structural Birth Defect Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Lanyan Fu
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Research in Structural Birth Defect Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Huazhong Zhou
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Research in Structural Birth Defect Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Lei Pi
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Research in Structural Birth Defect Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Di Che
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Research in Structural Birth Defect Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Hehong Li
- Department of Radiology, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
- *Correspondence: Hehong Li, ; Xiaoqiong Gu,
| | - Xiaoqiong Gu
- Department of Clinical Biological Resource Bank, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Research in Structural Birth Defect Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
- Department of Blood Transfusion and Clinical Lab, Guangzhou Institute of Pediatrics, Guangzhou Women and Children’s Medical Center, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
- *Correspondence: Hehong Li, ; Xiaoqiong Gu,
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