Plant Genotype to Phenotype Prediction Using Machine Learning

Technological Development and Advances for Constructing and Analyzing Plant Pangenomes

A pangenome captures the genomic diversity for a species, derived from a collection of genetic sequences of diverse populations. Advances in sequencing technologies have given rise to three primary methods for pangenome construction and analysis: de novo assembly and comparison, reference genome-based iterative assembly, and graph-based pangenome construction. Each method presents advantages and challenges in processing varying amounts and structures of DNA sequencing data. With the emergence of high-quality genome assemblies and advanced bioinformatic tools, the graph-based pangenome is emerging as an advanced reference for exploring the biological and functional implications of genetic variations.

A comparative study of 11 non-linear regression models highlighting autoencoder, DBN, and SVR, enhanced by SHAP importance analysis in soybean branching prediction

To explore a robust tool for advancing digital breeding practices through an artificial intelligence-driven phenotype prediction expert system, we undertook a thorough analysis of 11 non-linear regression models. Our investigation specifically emphasized the significance of Support Vector Regression (SVR) and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) in predicting soybean branching. By using branching data (phenotype) of 1918 soybean accessions and 42 k SNP (Single Nucleotide Polymorphism) polymorphic data (genotype), this study systematically compared 11 non-linear regression AI models, including four deep learning models (DBN (deep belief network) regression, ANN (artificial neural network) regression, Autoencoders regression, and MLP (multilayer perceptron) regression) and seven machine learning models (e.g., SVR (support vector regression), XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting) regression, Random Forest regression, LightGBM regression, GPs (Gaussian processes) regression, Decision Tree regression, and Polynomial regression). After being evaluated by four valuation metrics: R2 (R-squared), MAE (Mean Absolute Error), MSE (Mean Squared Error), and MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error), it was found that the SVR, Polynomial Regression, DBN, and Autoencoder outperformed other models and could obtain a better prediction accuracy when they were used for phenotype prediction. In the assessment of deep learning approaches, we exemplified the SVR model, conducting analyses on feature importance and gene ontology (GO) enrichment to provide comprehensive support. After comprehensively comparing four feature importance algorithms, no notable distinction was observed in the feature importance ranking scores across the four algorithms, namely Variable Ranking, Permutation, SHAP, and Correlation Matrix, but the SHAP value could provide rich information on genes with negative contributions, and SHAP importance was chosen for feature selection. The results of this study offer valuable insights into AI-mediated plant breeding, addressing challenges faced by traditional breeding programs. The method developed has broad applicability in phenotype prediction, minor QTL (quantitative trait loci) mining, and plant smart-breeding systems, contributing significantly to the advancement of AI-based breeding practices and transitioning from experience-based to data-based breeding.

Boosting grapevine breeding for climate-smart viticulture: from genetic resources to predictive genomics

The multifaceted nature of climate change is increasing the urgency to select resilient grapevine varieties, or generate new, fitter cultivars, to withstand a multitude of new challenging conditions. The attainment of this goal is hindered by the limiting pace of traditional breeding approaches, which require decades to result in new selections. On the other hand, marker-assisted breeding has proved useful when it comes to traits governed by one or few genes with great effects on the phenotype, but its efficacy is still restricted for complex traits controlled by many loci. On these premises, innovative strategies are emerging which could help guide selection, taking advantage of the genetic diversity within the Vitis genus in its entirety. Multiple germplasm collections are also available as a source of genetic material for the introgression of alleles of interest via adapted and pioneering transformation protocols, which present themselves as promising tools for future applications on a notably recalcitrant species such as grapevine. Genome editing intersects both these strategies, not only by being an alternative to obtain focused changes in a relatively rapid way, but also by supporting a fine-tuning of new genotypes developed with other methods. A review on the state of the art concerning the available genetic resources and the possibilities of use of innovative techniques in aid of selection is presented here to support the production of climate-smart grapevine genotypes.

Exploring the potential of incremental feature selection to improve genomic prediction accuracy

BACKGROUND

The ever-increasing availability of high-density genomic markers in the form of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) enables genomic prediction, i.e. the inference of phenotypes based solely on genomic data, in the field of animal and plant breeding, where it has become an important tool. However, given the limited number of individuals, the abundance of variables (SNPs) can reduce the accuracy of prediction models due to overfitting or irrelevant SNPs. Feature selection can help to reduce the number of irrelevant SNPs and increase the model performance. In this study, we investigated an incremental feature selection approach based on ranking the SNPs according to the results of a genome-wide association study that we combined with random forest as a prediction model, and we applied it on several animal and plant datasets.

RESULTS

Applying our approach to different datasets yielded a wide range of outcomes, i.e. from a substantial increase in prediction accuracy in a few cases to minor improvements when only a fraction of the available SNPs were used. Compared with models using all available SNPs, our approach was able to achieve comparable performances with a considerably reduced number of SNPs in several cases. Our approach showcased state-of-the-art efficiency and performance while having a faster computation time.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of our study suggest that our incremental feature selection approach has the potential to improve prediction accuracy substantially. However, this gain seems to depend on the genomic data used. Even for datasets where the number of markers is smaller than the number of individuals, feature selection may still increase the performance of the genomic prediction. Our approach is implemented in R and is available at https://github.com/FelixHeinrich/GP_with_IFS/ .

Explainable deep learning in plant phenotyping

The increasing human population and variable weather conditions, due to climate change, pose a threat to the world's food security. To improve global food security, we need to provide breeders with tools to develop crop cultivars that are more resilient to extreme weather conditions and provide growers with tools to more effectively manage biotic and abiotic stresses in their crops. Plant phenotyping, the measurement of a plant's structural and functional characteristics, has the potential to inform, improve and accelerate both breeders' selections and growers' management decisions. To improve the speed, reliability and scale of plant phenotyping procedures, many researchers have adopted deep learning methods to estimate phenotypic information from images of plants and crops. Despite the successful results of these image-based phenotyping studies, the representations learned by deep learning models remain difficult to interpret, understand, and explain. For this reason, deep learning models are still considered to be black boxes. Explainable AI (XAI) is a promising approach for opening the deep learning model's black box and providing plant scientists with image-based phenotypic information that is interpretable and trustworthy. Although various fields of study have adopted XAI to advance their understanding of deep learning models, it has yet to be well-studied in the context of plant phenotyping research. In this review article, we reviewed existing XAI studies in plant shoot phenotyping, as well as related domains, to help plant researchers understand the benefits of XAI and make it easier for them to integrate XAI into their future studies. An elucidation of the representations within a deep learning model can help researchers explain the model's decisions, relate the features detected by the model to the underlying plant physiology, and enhance the trustworthiness of image-based phenotypic information used in food production systems.

The pursuit of genetic gain in agricultural crops through the application of machine-learning to genomic prediction

Current practice in agriculture applies genomic prediction to assist crop breeding in the analysis of genetic marker data. Genomic selection methods typically use linear mixed models, but using machine-learning may provide further potential for improved selection accuracy, or may provide additional information. Here we describe SelectML, an automated pipeline for testing and comparing the performance of a range of linear mixed model and machine-learning-based genomic selection methods. We demonstrate the use of SelectML on an in silico-generated marker dataset which simulated a randomly-sampled (mixed) and an unevenly-sampled (unbalanced) population, comparing the relative performance of various methods included in SelectML on the two datasets. Although machine-learning based methods performed similarly overall to linear mixed models, they performed worse on the mixed dataset and marginally better on the unbalanced dataset, being more affected than linear mixed models by the imposed sampling bias. SelectML can assist in the training, comparison, and selection of genomic selection models, and is available from https://github.com/darcyabjones/selectml.

Crop-saving with AI: latest trends in deep learning techniques for plant pathology

Plant diseases pose a major threat to agricultural production and the food supply chain, as they expose plants to potentially disruptive pathogens that can affect the lives of those who are associated with it. Deep learning has been applied in a range of fields such as object detection, autonomous vehicles, fraud detection etc. Several researchers have tried to implement deep learning techniques in precision agriculture. However, there are pros and cons to the approaches they have opted for disease detection and identification. In this survey, we have made an attempt to capture the significant advancements in machine-learning based disease detection. We have discussed prevalent datasets and techniques that have been employed as well as highlighted emerging approaches being used for plant disease detection. By exploring these advancements, we aim to present a comprehensive overview of the prominent approaches in precision agriculture, along with their associated challenges and potential improvements. This paper delves into the challenges associated with the implementation and briefly discusses the future trends. Overall, this paper presents a bird's eye view of plant disease datasets, deep learning techniques, their accuracies and the challenges associated with them. Our insights will serve as a valuable resource for researchers and practitioners in the field. We hope that this survey will inform and inspire future research efforts, ultimately leading to improved precision agriculture practices and enhanced crop health management.

Extraction of soybean plant trait parameters based on SfM-MVS algorithm combined with GRNN

Soybean is an important grain and oil crop worldwide and is rich in nutritional value. Phenotypic morphology plays an important role in the selection and breeding of excellent soybean varieties to achieve high yield. Nowadays, the mainstream manual phenotypic measurement has some problems such as strong subjectivity, high labor intensity and slow speed. To address the problems, a three-dimensional (3D) reconstruction method for soybean plants based on structure from motion (SFM) was proposed. First, the 3D point cloud of a soybean plant was reconstructed from multi-view images obtained by a smartphone based on the SFM algorithm. Second, low-pass filtering, Gaussian filtering, Ordinary Least Square (OLS) plane fitting, and Laplacian smoothing were used in fusion to automatically segment point cloud data, such as individual plants, stems, and leaves. Finally, Eleven morphological traits, such as plant height, minimum bounding box volume per plant, leaf projection area, leaf projection length and width, and leaf tilt information, were accurately and nondestructively measured by the proposed an algorithm for leaf phenotype measurement (LPM). Moreover, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Back Propagation Neural Network (BP), and Back Propagation Neural Network (GRNN) prediction models were established to predict and identify soybean plant varieties. The results indicated that, compared with the manual measurement, the root mean square error (RMSE) of plant height, leaf length, and leaf width were 0.9997, 0.2357, and 0.2666 cm, and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) were 2.7013%, 1.4706%, and 1.8669%, and the coefficients of determination (R2) were 0.9775, 0.9785, and 0.9487, respectively. The accuracy of predicting plant species according to the six leaf parameters was highest when using GRNN, reaching 0.9211, and the RMSE was 18.3263. Based on the phenotypic traits of plants, the differences between C3, 47-6 and W82 soybeans were analyzed genetically, and because C3 was an insect-resistant line, the trait parametes (minimum box volume per plant, number of leaves, minimum size of single leaf box, leaf projection area).The results show that the proposed method can effectively extract the 3D phenotypic structure information of soybean plants and leaves without loss which has the potential using ability in other plants with dense leaves.

Innovative Advances in Plant Genotyping

Over the past decade, advances in plant genotyping have been critical in enabling the identification of genetic diversity, in understanding evolution, and in dissecting important traits in both crops and native plants. The widespread popularity of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) has prompted significant improvements to SNP-based genotyping, including SNP arrays, genotyping by sequencing, and whole-genome resequencing. More recent approaches, including genotyping structural variants, utilizing pangenomes to capture species-wide genetic diversity and exploiting machine learning to analyze genotypic data sets, are pushing the boundaries of what plant genotyping can offer. In this chapter, we highlight these innovations and discuss how they will accelerate and advance future genotyping efforts.

Crop genomic selection with deep learning and environmental data: A survey

Machine learning techniques for crop genomic selections, especially for single-environment plants, are well-developed. These machine learning models, which use dense genome-wide markers to predict phenotype, routinely perform well on single-environment datasets, especially for complex traits affected by multiple markers. On the other hand, machine learning models for predicting crop phenotype, especially deep learning models, using datasets that span different environmental conditions, have only recently emerged. Models that can accept heterogeneous data sources, such as temperature, soil conditions and precipitation, are natural choices for modeling GxE in multi-environment prediction. Here, we review emerging deep learning techniques that incorporate environmental data directly into genomic selection models.

Application of crop wild relatives in modern breeding: An overview of resources, experimental and computational methodologies

Global agricultural industries are under pressure to meet the future food demand; however, the existing crop genetic diversity might not be sufficient to meet this expectation. Advances in genome sequencing technologies and availability of reference genomes for over 300 plant species reveals the hidden genetic diversity in crop wild relatives (CWRs), which could have significant impacts in crop improvement. There are many ex-situ and in-situ resources around the world holding rare and valuable wild species, of which many carry agronomically important traits and it is crucial for users to be aware of their availability. Here we aim to explore the available ex-/in- situ resources such as genebanks, botanical gardens, national parks, conservation hotspots and inventories holding CWR accessions. In addition we highlight the advances in availability and use of CWR genomic resources, such as their contribution in pangenome construction and introducing novel genes into crops. We also discuss the potential and challenges of modern breeding experimental approaches (e.g. de novo domestication, genome editing and speed breeding) used in CWRs and the use of computational (e.g. machine learning) approaches that could speed up utilization of CWR species in breeding programs towards crop adaptability and yield improvement.

Smart breeding driven by big data, artificial intelligence, and integrated genomic-enviromic prediction

The first paradigm of plant breeding involves direct selection-based phenotypic observation, followed by predictive breeding using statistical models for quantitative traits constructed based on genetic experimental design and, more recently, by incorporation of molecular marker genotypes. However, plant performance or phenotype (P) is determined by the combined effects of genotype (G), envirotype (E), and genotype by environment interaction (GEI). Phenotypes can be predicted more precisely by training a model using data collected from multiple sources, including spatiotemporal omics (genomics, phenomics, and enviromics across time and space). Integration of 3D information profiles (G-P-E), each with multidimensionality, provides predictive breeding with both tremendous opportunities and great challenges. Here, we first review innovative technologies for predictive breeding. We then evaluate multidimensional information profiles that can be integrated with a predictive breeding strategy, particularly envirotypic data, which have largely been neglected in data collection and are nearly untouched in model construction. We propose a smart breeding scheme, integrated genomic-enviromic prediction (iGEP), as an extension of genomic prediction, using integrated multiomics information, big data technology, and artificial intelligence (mainly focused on machine and deep learning). We discuss how to implement iGEP, including spatiotemporal models, environmental indices, factorial and spatiotemporal structure of plant breeding data, and cross-species prediction. A strategy is then proposed for prediction-based crop redesign at both the macro (individual, population, and species) and micro (gene, metabolism, and network) scales. Finally, we provide perspectives on translating smart breeding into genetic gain through integrative breeding platforms and open-source breeding initiatives. We call for coordinated efforts in smart breeding through iGEP, institutional partnerships, and innovative technological support.

The Global Assessment of Oilseed Brassica Crop Species Yield, Yield Stability and the Underlying Genetics

The global demand for oilseeds is increasing along with the human population. The family of Brassicaceae crops are no exception, typically harvested as a valuable source of oil, rich in beneficial molecules important for human health. The global capacity for improving Brassica yield has steadily risen over the last 50 years, with the major crop Brassica napus (rapeseed, canola) production increasing to ~72 Gt in 2020. In contrast, the production of Brassica mustard crops has fluctuated, rarely improving in farming efficiency. The drastic increase in global yield of B. napus is largely due to the demand for a stable source of cooking oil. Furthermore, with the adoption of highly efficient farming techniques, yield enhancement programs, breeding programs, the integration of high-throughput phenotyping technology and establishing the underlying genetics, B. napus yields have increased by >450 fold since 1978. Yield stability has been improved with new management strategies targeting diseases and pests, as well as by understanding the complex interaction of environment, phenotype and genotype. This review assesses the global yield and yield stability of agriculturally important oilseed Brassica species and discusses how contemporary farming and genetic techniques have driven improvements.