Prevalence and Prognostic Value of Heart Failure Stages: An Elderly Inpatient Based Cohort Study

Prognostic implications of heart failure stages among Chinese community populations: insight from a nationwide population-based study

Background

In light of high burden of heart failure (HF) in China, studies of prognostic implication of HF stages are important. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between HF stages and mortality risk in Chinese community populations.

Methods

Nationwide representative populations aged ≥35 years (n = 23,284, mean age 56.9 years, women 53.2%) were enrolled from 2012 to 2016. According to the international HF guidelines, participants were divided into stage A, B and C, and those who did not qualify these stages were categorized as apparently-healthy group. Association between HF stages and all-cause, cardiovascular [CV] and non-CV death was evaluated using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional regression analysis.

Findings

During a median follow-up of 4.7 years (109,902.8 person-years), 1314 deaths occurred. Age-adjusted incidence rate of all-cause death was 5.3 in apparently-healthy, 7.8 in stage A, 8.6 in stage B and 24.6 in stage C groups per 1000 person-years. In reference to apparently-healthy group, adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause death was 1.90 (95% CI: 1.47-2.45), 2.43 (95% CI: 1.89-3.13) and 6.40 (95% CI: 4.56-8.99) for stage A, B and C. Advancing HF stages were associated with increasing risks for all-cause, CV and non-CV death (P-trend <0.05). For all-cause death, population attributable fraction due to stage A, B and C were 21.2%, 33.4% and 4.9%, accounting for 1,933,385, 3,045,993 and 446,867 deaths in China in 2018.

Interpretation

Advancing HF stages were associated with increasing risk mortality. Development and implementation of early screening and targeted interventions are urgently needed to reduce HF burdens in China.

Funding

This work was supported by the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (grant 2017-I2M-1-004), the Projects in the Chinese National Science & Technology Pillar Program during the Twelfth Five-year Plan Period (No.: 2011BAI11B01), and the Project Entrusted by the National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China (NHC2020-609).

Plasma levels of bone morphogenic protein-4 are downregulated in elderly hypertensive patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the association between plasma bone morphogenic protein-4 (BMP-4) levels and heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) or mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF) in elderly hypertensive patients.

METHODS

A total of 222 hypertensive individuals meeting the inclusion criteria were enrolled from October 2021 to July 2022. Data were collected including clinical characteristics, laboratory tests and echocardiogram measurements. Plasma BMP-4 levels were tested using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay analysis.

RESULTS

Among 222 elderly hypertensive patients, 149 were without HF, 59 had HFpEF, and 14 had HFmrEF. Plasma BMP-4 levels were strikingly downregulated in hypertensive patients with HFpEF/HFmrEF [median (25th, 75th percentile): 15.89 (7.69, 23.12) pg/mL vs. 19.67 (10.60, 33.04) pg/mL; P = 0.002]. After univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis, the risk of HFpEF/HFmrEF was declined in the 4th quartile BMP-4 group when compared with the 1st quartile BMP-4 group (odds ratio, 0.20, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.04 to 1.00; P = 0.050, P for trend = 0.025). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that BMP-4 ≤ 28.5 pg/mL exhibited a sensitivity of 95.9% and a specificity of 28.2% in HFpEF/HFmrEF diagnosis. Furthermore, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.619 (95% CI:0.540-0.698, P < 0.001). The corresponding AUC for brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) was 0.781 (95% CI: 0.710-0.852), P < 0.001. Adding BMP-4 to BNP increased the AUC to 0.790 (95% CI: 0.724-0.856), vs. BMP-4, P < 0.001; vs. BNP, P = 0.730, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma BMP-4 levels are downregulated in elderly hypertensive patients with HFpEF. BMP-4 is a promising biomarker for diagnosing HFpEF/HFmrEF during hypertension.

The Impact of the Duration of Cardiac Troponin I Elevation on the Clinical Prognosis as Well as Incidence of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation Respectively in Elderly Non-ST-Elevation Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients without PCI

Objective

This study aimed to investigate the impact of the duration of cardiac troponin I (TnI) elevation on the prognosis and incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in elderly patients with non-ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction (NSTE-AMI).

Methods

A total of 383 NSTE-AMI patients ≥75 years old were enrolled in this study and divided into two groups: in 194 cases, the duration of TnI elevation was ≥14 days (group 1), and in 189 cases, the duration of TnI elevation was <14 days (group 2). The patients were followed up for 60 months. The effect of TnI on prognosis was studied by cohort. The primary endpoint was a composite endpoint of cardiovascular death, reinfarction, ischemic stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure, and the secondary endpoint was all-cause death. A case–control study design was adopted to analyze the influencing factors of NOAF occurrence in Group 1 and Group 2.

Results

The median duration of follow-up was 26 months. Multivariate Cox’s regression analysis revealed that the duration of TnI elevation ≥14 days and diuretic use were independent variables of the major composite endpoint (p < 0.01 for both), and the left ventricular ejection fraction and the duration of TnI elevation ≥14 days were independent related variables of all-cause death (p < 0.05). The duration of TnI elevation ≥14 days was correlated with the occurrence of NOAF, but, in the multivariate logistic regression model, only uric acid and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein were independently associated with NOAF (p < 0.05).

Conclusion

The duration of TnI elevation ≥14 days was the independent correlation factor of the major composite endpoint and all-cause death; high sensitivity C-reactive protein and uric acid are independent risk factors for NOAF.