A Preliminary Study on the Relationship Between High-Resolution Computed Tomography and Pulmonary Function in People at Risk of Developing Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Prediction of disease severity in COPD: a deep learning approach for anomaly-based quantitative assessment of chest CT

OBJECTIVES

To quantify regional manifestations related to COPD as anomalies from a modeled distribution of normal-appearing lung on chest CT using a deep learning (DL) approach, and to assess its potential to predict disease severity.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Paired inspiratory/expiratory CT and clinical data from COPDGene and COSYCONET cohort studies were included. COPDGene data served as training/validation/test data sets (N = 3144/786/1310) and COSYCONET as external test set (N = 446). To differentiate low-risk (healthy/minimal disease, [GOLD 0]) from COPD patients (GOLD 1-4), the self-supervised DL model learned semantic information from 50 × 50 × 50 voxel samples from segmented intact lungs. An anomaly detection approach was trained to quantify lung abnormalities related to COPD, as regional deviations. Four supervised DL models were run for comparison. The clinical and radiological predictive power of the proposed anomaly score was assessed using linear mixed effects models (LMM).

RESULTS

The proposed approach achieved an area under the curve of 84.3 ± 0.3 (p < 0.001) for COPDGene and 76.3 ± 0.6 (p < 0.001) for COSYCONET, outperforming supervised models even when including only inspiratory CT. Anomaly scores significantly improved fitting of LMM for predicting lung function, health status, and quantitative CT features (emphysema/air trapping; p < 0.001). Higher anomaly scores were significantly associated with exacerbations for both cohorts (p < 0.001) and greater dyspnea scores for COPDGene (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Quantifying heterogeneous COPD manifestations as anomaly offers advantages over supervised methods and was found to be predictive for lung function impairment and morphology deterioration.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Using deep learning, lung manifestations of COPD can be identified as deviations from normal-appearing chest CT and attributed an anomaly score which is consistent with decreased pulmonary function, emphysema, and air trapping.

KEY POINTS

• A self-supervised DL anomaly detection method discriminated low-risk individuals and COPD subjects, outperforming classic DL methods on two datasets (COPDGene AUC = 84.3%, COSYCONET AUC = 76.3%). • Our contrastive task exhibits robust performance even without the inclusion of expiratory images, while voxel-based methods demonstrate significant performance enhancement when incorporating expiratory images, in the COPDGene dataset. • Anomaly scores improved the fitting of linear mixed effects models in predicting clinical parameters and imaging alterations (p < 0.001) and were directly associated with clinical outcomes (p < 0.001).

Early Diagnosis of High-Risk Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Based on Quantitative High-Resolution Computed Tomography Measurements

Purpose

Quantitative computed tomography (QCT) techniques, focusing on airway anatomy and emphysema, may help to detect early structural changes of COPD disease. This retrospective study aims to identify high-risk COPD participants by using QCT measurements.

Patients and Methods

We enrolled 140 participants from the Second Affiliated Hospital of Shenyang Medical College who completed inspiratory high-resolution CT scans, pulmonary function tests (PFTs), and clinical characteristics recorded. They were diagnosed Non-COPD by PFT value of FEV1/FVC >70% and divided into two groups according percentage predicted FEV1 (FEV1%), low-risk COPD group: FEV1% ≥ 95%, high-risk group: 80% < FEV1% < 95%. The QCT measurements were analyzed by the Student's t-test (or Mann-Whitney U-test) method. Then, feature candidates were identified using the LASSO method. Meanwhile, the correlation between QCT measurements and PFTs was assessed by the Spearman rank correlation test. Furthermore, support vector machine (SVM) was performed to identify high-risk COPD participants. The performance of the models was evaluated in terms of accuracy (ACC), sensitivity (SEN), specificity (SPE), F1-score, and area under the ROC curve (AUC), with p <0.05 considered statistically significant.

Results

The SVM based on QCT measurements achieved good performance in identifying high-risk COPD patients with 85.71% of ACC, 88.34% of SEN, 84.00% of SPE, 83.33% of F1-score, and 0.93 of AUC. Further, QCT measurements integration of clinical data improved the performance with an ACC of 90.48%. The emphysema index (%LAA-950) of left lower lung was negatively correlated with PFTs (P < 0.001). The airway anatomy indexes of lumen diameter (LD) were correlated with PFTs.

Conclusion

QCT measurements combined with clinical information could provide an effective tool for an early diagnosis of high-risk COPD. The QCT indexes can be used to assess the pulmonary function status of high-risk COPD.

Development of machine learning model to predict pulmonary function with low-dose CT-derived parameter response mapping in a community-based chest screening cohort

PURPOSE

To construct and evaluate the performance of a machine learning-based low dose computed tomography (LDCT)-derived parametric response mapping (PRM) model for predicting pulmonary function test (PFT) results.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 615 subjects from a community-based screening population (40-74 years old) with PFT parameters, including the ratio of the first second forced expiratory volume to forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC), the percentage of forced expiratory volume in the one second predicted (FEV1%), and registered inspiration-to-expiration chest CT scanning were enrolled retrospectively. Subjects were classified into a normal, high risk, and COPD group based on PFT. Data of 72 PRM-derived quantitative parameters were collected, including volume and volume percentage of emphysema, functional-small airways disease, and normal lung tissue. A machine-learning with random forest regression model and a multilayer perceptron (MLP) model were constructed and tested on PFT prediction, which was followed by evaluation of classification performance based on the PFT predictions.

RESULTS

The machine-learning model based on PRM parameters showed better performance for predicting PFT than MLP, with a coefficient of determination (R2 ) of 0.749 and 0.792 for FEV1/FVC and FEV1%, respectively. The Mean Squared Errors (MSE) for FEV1/FVC and FEV1% are 0.0030 and 0.0097 for the random forest model, respectively. The Root Mean Squared Errors (RMSE) for FEV1/FVC and FEV1% are 0.055 and 0.098, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for differentiating between the normal group and high-risk group were 34/40 (85%), 65/72 (90%), and 99/112 (88%), respectively. For differentiating between the non-COPD group and COPD group, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 8/9 (89%), 112/112 (100%), 120/121 (99%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The machine learning-based random forest model predicts PFT results in a community screening population based on PRM, and it identifies high risk COPD from normal populations with high sensitivity and reliably predicts of high-risk COPD.