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Guillén S, Possas A, Valero A, Garre A. Optimal experimental design (OED) for the growth rate of microbial populations. Are they really more "optimal" than uniform designs? Int J Food Microbiol 2024; 413:110604. [PMID: 38310711 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijfoodmicro.2024.110604] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2023] [Revised: 11/29/2023] [Accepted: 01/21/2024] [Indexed: 02/06/2024]
Abstract
Secondary growth models from predictive microbiology can describe how the growth rate of microbial populations varies with environmental conditions. Because these models are built based on time and resource consuming experiments, model-based Optimal Experimental Design (OED) can be of interest to reduce the experimental load. In this study, we identify optimal experimental designs for two common models (full Ratkowsky and Cardinal Parameters Model (CPM)) for a different number of experiments (10-30). Calculations are also done fixing one or more model parameters, observing that this decision strongly affects the layout of the OED. Using in silico experiments, we conclude that OEDs are more informative than conventional (equidistant) designs with the same number of experiments. However, OEDs cluster the experiments near the growth limits (Xmin and Xmax) resulting in impractical designs with aggregated experimental runs ~10 times longer than conventional designs. To mitigate this, we propose a novel optimality criterion (i.e., the objective function) that accounts for the aggregated time. The novel criterion provides a reduction in parameter uncertainty with respect to the conventional design, without an increase in the experimental load. These results underline that an OED is only based on information theory (Fisher information), so the results can be impractical when actual experimental limitations are considered. The study also emphasizes that most OED schemes identify where to measure, but do not give an indication on how many experiments should be made. In this sense, numerical simulations can estimate the parameter uncertainty that would be obtained for a particular experimental design (OED or not). These results and methodologies (available in Open Code) can guide the design of future experiments for the development of secondary growth models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Silvia Guillén
- Department of Agronomical Engineering & Institute of Plant Biotechnology, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Murcia, Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203, Spain; Departamento de Producción Animal y Ciencia de los Alimentos, Instituto Agroalimentario de Aragón - IA2 - (Universidad de Zaragoza-CITA), Zaragoza, Spain
| | - Aricia Possas
- Departamento de Bromatología y Tecnología de los Alimentos, UIC Zoonosis y Enfermedades Emergentes ENZOEM, ceiA3, Universidad de Córdoba, Campus Rabanales, 14014 Córdoba, Spain
| | - Antonio Valero
- Departamento de Bromatología y Tecnología de los Alimentos, UIC Zoonosis y Enfermedades Emergentes ENZOEM, ceiA3, Universidad de Córdoba, Campus Rabanales, 14014 Córdoba, Spain
| | - Alberto Garre
- Department of Agronomical Engineering & Institute of Plant Biotechnology, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Murcia, Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203, Spain.
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González-Tejedor GA, Garre A, Iguaz A, Wong-Zhang R, Fernández PS, Possas A. Dynamic Thermal Treatments in Green Coconut Water Induce Dynamic Stress Adaptation of Listeria innocua That Increases Its Thermal Resistance. Foods 2023; 12:4015. [PMID: 37959134 PMCID: PMC10650898 DOI: 10.3390/foods12214015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/29/2023] [Revised: 10/23/2023] [Accepted: 10/27/2023] [Indexed: 11/15/2023] Open
Abstract
The global coconut water market is projected to grow in the upcoming years, attributed to its numerous health benefits. However, due to its susceptibility to microbial contamination and the limitations of non-thermal decontamination methods, thermal treatments remain the primary approach to ensure the shelf-life stability and the microbiological safety of the product. In this study, the thermal inactivation of Listeria innocua, a Listeria monocytogenes surrogate, was evaluated in coconut water and in tryptone soy broth (TSB) under both isothermal (50-60 °C) and dynamic conditions (from 30 to 60 °C, with temperature increases of 0.5, 1 and 5 °C/min). Mathematical models were used to analyse the inactivation data. The Geeraerd model effectively described the thermal inactivation of L. innocua in both TSB and coconut water under isothermal conditions, with close agreement between experimental data and model fits. Parameter estimates and analysis revealed that acidified TSB is a suitable surrogate medium for studying the thermal inactivation of L. innocua in coconut water, despite minor differences observed in the shoulder length of inactivation curves, likely attributed to the media composition. The models fitted to the data obtained at isothermal conditions fail to predict L. innocua responses under dynamic conditions. This is attributed to the stress acclimation phenomenon that takes place under dynamic conditions, where bacterial cells adapt to initial sub-lethal treatment stages, leading to increased thermal resistance. Fitting the Bigelow model directly to dynamic data with fixed z-values reveals a three-fold increase in D-values with lower heating rates, supporting the role of stress acclimation. The findings of this study aid in designing pasteurization treatments targeting L. innocua in coconut water and enable the establishment of safe, mild heat treatments for refrigerated, high-quality coconut water.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gerardo A. González-Tejedor
- Sistema Nacional de Investigación (SNI), Senacyt, Ciudad de Panamá, Panama;
- Centro de Producción e Investigaciones Agroindustriales, Universidad Tecnológica de Panamá, Ciudad de Panamá, Panama;
| | - Alberto Garre
- Departamento de Ingeniería Agronómica, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, 30202 Cartagena, Spain; (A.G.); (A.I.)
| | - Asunción Iguaz
- Departamento de Ingeniería Agronómica, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, 30202 Cartagena, Spain; (A.G.); (A.I.)
| | - Ricardo Wong-Zhang
- Centro de Producción e Investigaciones Agroindustriales, Universidad Tecnológica de Panamá, Ciudad de Panamá, Panama;
| | - Pablo S. Fernández
- Departamento de Ingeniería Agronómica, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, 30202 Cartagena, Spain; (A.G.); (A.I.)
| | - Arícia Possas
- Department of Food Science and Technology, UIC Zoonosis y Enfermedades Emergentes ENZOEM, CeiA3, Universidad de Córdoba, 14014 Córdoba, Spain
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Pleva D, Garre A, Escámez PSF. Training in modern statistical methodologies and software tools for the definition and analysis of (stochastic) quantitative microbial risk assessment models with a comparison between the Hungarian and Spanish food supply chains. EFSA J 2023; 21:e211014. [PMID: 38047122 PMCID: PMC10687755 DOI: 10.2903/j.efsa.2023.e211014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Human pathogenic Salmonella enterica strains have been infecting people since historical times. The original human pathogens, typhoid Salmonella strains (e.g. S. Typhi) played a huge role in the previous centuries but nowadays in the developed world the number of cases or outbreaks caused by these serotypes deceased due to the development of personal and public hygiene. Nowadays in these regions the animal-borne zoonotic serotypes (e.g. S. Enteritidis) became more important because of their high prevalence in intensive animal husbandry. But these bacteria can also appear in fruits and vegetables. The fellow joined the scientific work of the Polytechnic University of Cartagena, Spain about the safety of plant-based products, where he could gain experience in microbiological laboratory exercises and theoretical calculations of statistics and modelling. The activities in the laboratory were part of the research lines already established at the host institution, being based on the protocols they have already implemented. Nonetheless, the fellow had the opportunity to design his own experiment, do the experimental work required and analysed the data within the context of a qualitative microbiological risk assessment. The main focus was on the heat resistance of two strains of zoonotic Salmonella spp. at different temperatures. Experiments were done using a reference strain and an extremely resistant variant to evaluate this rare phenotype. The experiments were executed using a Mastia thermoresistometer, a device patented by the host institution that provides more control when studying thermal treatments than traditional methods. The data was analysed using the principles of predictive microbiology, using the D-value as an estimate of heat resistance that provides insight into the bacterial behaviour. For this, the fellow used the bioinactivation software, developed within the host group. Through the work and results the fellow learned the principles of quantitative microbiological risk assessment (QMRA) and predictive microbiology, which was the aim for the EU-FORA programme.
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Georgalis L, Yeak KYC, Tsimpou C, Fernandez PS, Wells-Bennik M, Garre A. Disentangling the contributions of initial heterogeneities and dynamic stress adaptation to nonlinearities in bacterial survival curves. Food Res Int 2023; 173:113385. [PMID: 37803723 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodres.2023.113385] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/30/2023] [Revised: 08/11/2023] [Accepted: 08/16/2023] [Indexed: 10/08/2023]
Abstract
The deviations from log-linearity that are often observed in bacterial survivor curves can be explained using different arguments, both biological and experimental. In this study, we used Bacillus subtilis as a model organism to demonstrate that the generally accepted vitalistic arguments (initial heterogeneities in the stress resistance of the cells in the population) may fail to describe microbial inactivation in some situations. In this sense, we showed how dynamic stress acclimation during an isothermal treatment provides an alternative explanation for survivor curves with an upwards curvature. We also provided an innovative experimental approach based on preadaptation experiments to evaluate which hypothesis is more suitable for the bacterial response. Furthermore, we used our experimental results to define bounds for the possible stress acclimation that may take place during dynamic treatments, concluding that the magnitude of stress acclimation may be larger for dynamic treatments than for isothermal experiments. We also evaluated the contribution of the SigB general stress response system to heat resistance by comparing the heat survival of wt and the ΔsigB mutant. Both strains survived better in 51, 52.5 and 55 °C when cells were pre-adapted at 48 °C than non-pre-adapted cells. However, ΔsigB was less resistant to heat than wt due to the missing SigB general stress system. Although these conclusions were based on B. subtilis as a model organism, this study can be the first step towards the development of a novel methodology able to estimate dynamic effects using only isothermal experiments. This would improve the models developed within the predictive microbiology community, improving our ability to predict microbial inactivation during industrial treatments, which are most often dynamic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Leonidas Georgalis
- Department of Agronomical Engineering & Institute of Plant Biotechnology, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Murcia, Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203, Spain
| | - Kah Yen Claire Yeak
- NIZO, Kernhemseweg 2, 6718 ZB Ede, the Netherlands; Food Microbiology, Wageningen University and Research, 6700 EV Wageningen, the Netherlands
| | - Christina Tsimpou
- Department of Agronomical Engineering & Institute of Plant Biotechnology, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Murcia, Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203, Spain
| | - Pablo S Fernandez
- Department of Agronomical Engineering & Institute of Plant Biotechnology, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Murcia, Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203, Spain
| | | | - Alberto Garre
- Department of Agronomical Engineering & Institute of Plant Biotechnology, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Murcia, Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203, Spain.
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Different model hypotheses are needed to account for qualitative variability in the response of two strains of Salmonella spp. under dynamic conditions. Food Res Int 2022; 158:111477. [DOI: 10.1016/j.foodres.2022.111477] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2022] [Revised: 06/01/2022] [Accepted: 06/04/2022] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
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Impact of Heating Rates on Alicyclobacillus acidoterrestris Heat Resistance under Non-Isothermal Treatments and Use of Mathematical Modelling to Optimize Orange Juice Processing. Foods 2021; 10:foods10071496. [PMID: 34203239 PMCID: PMC8304110 DOI: 10.3390/foods10071496] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2021] [Revised: 06/14/2021] [Accepted: 06/19/2021] [Indexed: 12/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Alicyclobacillus acidoterrestris is a spoilage microorganism responsible for relevant product and economic losses in the beverage and juice industry. Spores of this microorganism can survive industrial heat treatments and cause spoilage during posterior storage. Therefore, an effective design of processing treatments requires an accurate understanding of the heat resistance of this microorganism. Considering that industrial treatments are dynamic; this understanding must include how the heat resistance of the microorganism is affected by the heating rate during the heating and cooling phases. The main objective of this study was to establish the effect of heating rates and complex thermal treatments on the inactivation kinetics of A. acidoterrestris. Isothermal experiments between 90 and 105 °C were carried out in a Mastia thermoresistometer, as well as four different dynamic treatments. Although most of the inactivation takes place during the holding phase, our results indicate the relevance of the heating phase for the effectiveness of the treatment. The thermal resistance of A. acidoterrestris is affected by the heating rate during the heating phase. Specifically, higher heating rates resulted in an increased microbial inactivation with respect to the one predicted based on isothermal experiments. These results provide novel information regarding the heat response of this microorganism, which can be valuable for the design of effective heat treatments to improve product safety and stability. Moreover, it highlights the need to incorporate experimental data based on dynamic treatments in process design, as heating rates can have a very significant effect on the thermal resistance of microorganisms.
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Clemente-Carazo M, Cebrián G, Garre A, Palop A. Variability in the heat resistance of Listeria monocytogenes under dynamic conditions can be more relevant than that evidenced by isothermal treatments. Food Res Int 2020; 137:109538. [PMID: 33233166 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodres.2020.109538] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2020] [Revised: 07/06/2020] [Accepted: 07/09/2020] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
Abstract
Heterogeneity in the response of microbial cells to environmental conditions is inherent to every biological system and can be very relevant for food safety, potentially being as important as intrinsic and extrinsic factors. However, previous studies analyzing variability in the microbial response to thermal treatments were limited to data obtained under isothermal conditions, whereas in the reality, environmental conditions are dynamic. In this article we analyse both empirically and through mathematical modelling the variability in the microbial response to thermal treatments under isothermal and dynamic conditions. Heat resistance was studied for four strains of Listeria monocytogenes (Scott A, CECT 4031, CECT 4032 and 12MOB052), in three different matrices (buffered peptone water, pH 7 Mcllvaine buffer and semi-skimmed milk). Under isothermal conditions, between-strain and between-media variability had no impact in the heat resistance, whereas it was very relevant for dynamic conditions. Therefore, the differences observed under dynamic conditions can be attributed to the variability in the ability for developing stress acclimation. The highest acclimation was observed in strain CECT 4031 (10-fold increase of the D-value), while the lowest acclimation was observed in strain CECT 4032 (50% increase of the D-value). Concerning the different media, acclimation was higher in buffered peptone water and semi-skimmed milk than in Mcllvaine buffer of pH 7.0. To the knowledge of the authors, this is the first research work that specifically analyses the variability of microbial adaptation processes that take place under dynamic conditions. It highlights that microbial heat resistance under dynamic conditions are sometimes determined by mechanisms that cannot be observed when cells are treated in isothermal conditions (e.g. acclimation) and can also be affected by variability. Consequently, empirical evidence on variability gathered under isothermal conditions should be extrapolated with care for dynamic conditions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marta Clemente-Carazo
- Dpto. Ingeniería Agronómica, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Campus de Excelencia Internacional Regional "Campus Mare Nostrum", Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería Agronómica, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Spain
| | - Guillermo Cebrián
- Tecnología de los Alimentos, Facultad de Veterinaria de Zaragoza, Instituto Agroalimentario de Aragón - IA2 - (Universidad de Zaragoza-CITA), Zaragoza, Spain
| | - Alberto Garre
- Food Microbiology, Wageningen University & Research, P.O. Box 17, 6700 AA, Wageningen, the Netherlands
| | - Alfredo Palop
- Dpto. Ingeniería Agronómica, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Campus de Excelencia Internacional Regional "Campus Mare Nostrum", Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería Agronómica, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Spain.
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Velasco-Hernández A, Saucedo-Veloz C, Ramírez-Guzmán ME, Chávez-Franco SH, Valle-Guadarrama S, Saucedo-Reyes D. Effect of moderate thermal treatments on the inactivation of a strain of Listeria monocytogenes and physicochemical properties of soursop pulp. FOOD SCI TECHNOL INT 2020; 26:535-548. [PMID: 32223432 DOI: 10.1177/1082013220913357] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Soursop (Annona muricata L.) is a commercially important tropical fruit, whether fresh or processed as a pasteurized or frozen pulp used to prepare juice, drinks, nectar, ice cream, popsicles, and desserts. Besides preserving quality, another preoccupation in the processing of fruit pulps is product safety. Several studies show the association between pulp processing and the development of various microorganisms; however, few have focused on the association between L. monocytogenes and the pulp of sour fruits. The objective was to evaluate the effect of moderate thermal treatments on the inactivation of L. monocytogenes and the physicochemical properties in soursop pulp in order to determine the best processing conditions that will allow to maintain quality as well as to achieve an adequate level of safety. Thermal inactivation kinetics were obtained for L. monocytogenes inoculated in soursop pulp at five levels of temperature (50, 52.5, 55, 57.5, and 60 ℃) and different exposure times (0-60 min). The survival curves did not suggest a log-linear relationship, and were, consequently, fitted to the modified Gompertz equation. The results indicated that the modified Gompertz equation provided an acceptable goodness of fit. Five-log10 cycles reductions of L. monocytogenes were achieved at 50 ℃/60 min, 52.5 ℃/16 min, 55 ℃/10 min, 57.5 ℃/5 min, and 60 ℃/1.25 min. These 5-log10 treatments applied to the soursop pulp indicated that the soursop pulp showed changes in the color parameters and a decrease in the content of total sugars, reducing sugars, ascorbic acid, total phenols, and pH.
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Garre A, Espín JF, Huertas JP, Periago PM, Palop A. Limonene nanoemulsified with soya lecithin reduces the intensity of non-isothermal treatments for inactivation of Listeria monocytogenes. Sci Rep 2020; 10:3656. [PMID: 32107438 PMCID: PMC7046608 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-60571-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/03/2019] [Accepted: 02/13/2020] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Consumers' demands for ready-to-eat, fresh-like products are on the rise during the last years. This type of products have minimal processing conditions that can enable the survival and replication of pathogenic microorganisms. Among them, Listeria monocytogenes is of special concern, due to its relatively high mortality rate and its ability to replicate under refrigeration conditions. Previous research works have shown that nanoemulsified essential oils in combination with thermal treatments are effective for inactivating L. monocytogenes. However, previous research works were limited to isothermal conditions, whereas actual processing conditions in industry are dynamic. Under dynamic conditions, microorganism can respond unexpectedly to the thermal stress (e.g. adaptation, acclimation or increased sensitivity). In this work, we assess the combination of nanoemulsified D-limonene with thermal treatments under isothermal and dynamic conditions. The nanoemulsion was prepared following an innovative methodology using soya lecithin, a natural compound as well as the essential oil. Under isothermal heating conditions, the addition of the antimicrobial enables a reduction of the treatment time by a factor of 25. For time-varying treatments, dynamic effects were relevant. Treatments with a high heating rate (20 °C/min) are more effective than those with a slow heating rate (1 °C/min). This investigation demonstrates that the addition of nanoemulsified D-limonene can greatly reduce the intensity of the thermal treatments currently applied in the food industry. Hence, it can improve the product quality without impacting its safety.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alberto Garre
- Food Microbiology, Wageningen University & Research, P.O. Box 17, 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands
| | - Jennifer F Espín
- Dpto. Ingeniería Agronómica, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Campus de Excelencia Internacional Regional "Campus Mare Nostrum", Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería Agronómica, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Cartagena, Spain
| | - Juan-Pablo Huertas
- Dpto. Ingeniería Agronómica, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Campus de Excelencia Internacional Regional "Campus Mare Nostrum", Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería Agronómica, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Cartagena, Spain
| | - Paula M Periago
- Dpto. Ingeniería Agronómica, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Campus de Excelencia Internacional Regional "Campus Mare Nostrum", Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería Agronómica, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Cartagena, Spain
| | - Alfredo Palop
- Dpto. Ingeniería Agronómica, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Campus de Excelencia Internacional Regional "Campus Mare Nostrum", Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería Agronómica, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Cartagena, Spain.
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Garre A, Clemente Carazo M, Fernández PS, Lindqvist R, Egea JA. Response to the letter to Editor for “Bioinactivation FE: A free web application for modelling isothermal and dynamic microbial inactivation”. Food Res Int 2019; 122:692-694. [DOI: 10.1016/j.foodres.2018.08.083] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/21/2018] [Accepted: 08/26/2018] [Indexed: 10/28/2022]
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Garre A, González-Tejedor GA, Aznar A, Fernández PS, Egea JA. Mathematical modelling of the stress resistance induced in Listeria monocytogenes during dynamic, mild heat treatments. Food Microbiol 2019; 84:103238. [PMID: 31421752 DOI: 10.1016/j.fm.2019.06.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2019] [Revised: 06/03/2019] [Accepted: 06/03/2019] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
Modelling of stress acclimation induced by thermal inactivation of Listeria monocytogenes under dynamic conditions is analyzed in this work. A mathematical model that separates the effect of the instantaneous temperature from the one of stress acclimation, was used. The model was trained using isothermal inactivation experiments, and one biphasic dynamic treatment with a heating rate of 1 °C/min and a holding phase of 60 °C. These experiments were performed in laboratory media (Tryptic Soy Broth; TSB). The model parameters estimated through these experiments (D55=12.87±0.82min, z=4.58±0.04°C, a=0.11±0.01min-1, E=0.50±0.01°C and c=1.23±0.03) were successfully used to predict the microbial inactivation for another seven inactivation profiles, with and without a holding phase. Moreover, similar experiments were performed using milk as heating media, obtaining a good agreement between the model predictions and the empirical observations. The results of this study are compatible with the hypothesis that L. monocytogenes is able to develop a physiological response during dynamic treatments that increases its thermal resistance. Also, that the model used can be used to predict microbial inactivation of this microorganism taking into consideration stress acclimation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alberto Garre
- Departamento de Ingeniería de Alimentos y del Equipamiento Agrícola, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena (ETSIA), Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203, Cartagena, Spain
| | - Gerardo A González-Tejedor
- Departamento de Ingeniería de Alimentos y del Equipamiento Agrícola, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena (ETSIA), Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203, Cartagena, Spain
| | - Arantxa Aznar
- Departamento de Ingeniería de Alimentos y del Equipamiento Agrícola, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena (ETSIA), Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203, Cartagena, Spain
| | - Pablo S Fernández
- Departamento de Ingeniería de Alimentos y del Equipamiento Agrícola, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena (ETSIA), Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203, Cartagena, Spain
| | - Jose A Egea
- Centro de Edafología y Biología Aplicada del Segura (CEBAS-CSIC), Campus Universitario de Espinardo, E-30100, Murcia, Spain.
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Garre A, Egea JA, Esnoz A, Palop A, Fernandez PS. Tail or artefact? Illustration of the impact that uncertainty of the serial dilution and cell enumeration methods has on microbial inactivation. Food Res Int 2019; 119:76-83. [PMID: 30884713 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodres.2019.01.059] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2018] [Revised: 01/20/2019] [Accepted: 01/23/2019] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
The estimation of the concentration of microorganisms in a sample is crucial for food microbiology. For instance, it is essential for prevalence studies, challenge tests (growth and/or inactivation studies) or microbial risk assessment. The application of serial dilutions followed by viable counts in Petri dishes is probably the most extended experimental methodology for this purpose. However, this enumeration technique is also a source of uncertainty. In this article, the uncertainty of the serial dilution and viable count methodology related to the sampling error is analyzed, as well as the approximation of the microbial concentration by the number of colonies in a Petri dish. We analyze from a theoretical point of view (statistical analysis) the application of the binomial and Poisson models, demonstrating that the Poisson distribution increases the variance when used to model individual serial dilutions. On the other hand, the binomial model produces unbiased results. Therefore, the Poisson distribution is only applicable when it is a good approximation of the binomial distribution, so the use of the latter is recommended. The relevance of this uncertainty is demonstrated by Monte Carlo simulations of a generic microbial inactivation experiment, where the only source of uncertainty/variability considered is the one generated by serial plating and viable cell enumeration. Due to both the uncertainty of the methodology and the omission of zero-count plates because of the log-transformation, the simulated survival curve can have a tail. Therefore, this phenomenon, which is usually attributed to biological variability, can be to some extent an artefact of the experimental design and/or methodology.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alberto Garre
- Departamento de Ingeniería de Alimentos y del Equipamiento Agrícola, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena (ETSIA), Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203 Cartagena, Spain
| | - Jose A Egea
- Centro de Edafología y Biología Aplicada del Segura (CEBAS-CSIC), Campus Universitario de Espinardo, E-30100, Murcia, Spain
| | - Arturo Esnoz
- Departamento de Ingeniería de Alimentos y del Equipamiento Agrícola, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena (ETSIA), Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203 Cartagena, Spain
| | - Alfredo Palop
- Departamento de Ingeniería de Alimentos y del Equipamiento Agrícola, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena (ETSIA), Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203 Cartagena, Spain
| | - Pablo S Fernandez
- Departamento de Ingeniería de Alimentos y del Equipamiento Agrícola, Instituto de Biotecnología Vegetal, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena (ETSIA), Paseo Alfonso XIII, 48, 30203 Cartagena, Spain.
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