Development and Validation of a Predictive Model for Early Refractoriness of Transarterial Chemoembolization in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Predicting Survival Using Whole-Liver MRI Radiomics in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma After TACE Refractoriness

PURPOSE

To develop a model based on whole-liver radiomics features of pre-treatment enhanced MRI for predicting the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing continued transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) after TACE-resistance.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data from 111 TACE-resistant HCC patients between January 2014 and March 2018 were retrospectively collected. At a ratio of 7:3, patients were randomly assigned to developing and validation cohorts. The whole-liver were manually segmented, and the radiomics signature was extracted. The tumor and liver radiomics score (TLrad-score) was calculated. Models were trained by machine learning algorithms and their predictive efficacies were compared.

RESULTS

Tumor stage, tumor burden, body mass index, alpha-fetoprotein, and vascular invasion were revealed as independent risk factors for survival. The model trained by Random Forest algorithms based on tumor burden, whole-liver radiomics signature, and clinical features had the highest predictive efficacy, with c-index values of 0.85 and 0.80 and areas under the ROC curve of 0.96 and 0.83 in the developing cohort and validation cohort, respectively. In the high-rad-score group (TLrad-score > - 0.34), the median overall survival (mOS) was significantly shorter than in the low-rad-score group (17 m vs. 37 m, p < 0.001). A shorter mOS was observed in patients with high tumor burden compared to those with low tumor burden (14 m vs. 29 m, p = 0.007).

CONCLUSION

The combined radiomics model from whole-liver signatures may effectively predict survival for HCC patients continuing TACE after TACE refractoriness. The TLrad-score and tumor burden are potential prognostic markers for TACE therapy following TACE-resistance.

Prognostic Value of Preoperative MRI-derived 3D Quantitative Tumor Arterial Burden in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Transarterial Chemoembolization

Purpose To investigate the association of tumor arterial burden (TAB) on preoperative MRI with transarterial chemoembolization refractoriness (TACER) and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Materials and Methods This retrospective study included patients with HCC who underwent repeated transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) treatments between January 2013 and December 2020. HCC was confirmed with pathology or imaging, and patients with other tumors, lost follow-up, or with a combination of other treatments were excluded. TACER was defined as viable lesions of more than 50% or increase in tumor number after two or more consecutive TACE treatments, continuous elevation of tumor markers, extrahepatic spread, or vascular invasion. TAB assessed with preoperative MRI was divided into high and low groups according to the median. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the predictors of TACER and PFS. Results A total of 355 patients (median age, 61 years [IQR, 54-67]; 306 [86.2%] men, 49 [13.8%] women) were included. During a median follow-up of 32.7 months, the high TAB group had significantly faster TACER and decreased PFS than the low TAB group (all log-rank P < .001). High TAB was the strongest independent predictor of TACER and PFS in multivariable Cox regression analyses (hazard ratio [HR], 2.23 [95% CI: 1.51, 3.29]; HR, 2.30 [95% CI: 1.61, 3.27], respectively), especially in patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A or a single tumor. The restricted cubic spline plot demonstrated that the HR of TACER and PFS continuously increased with increasing TAB. Conclusion High preoperative TAB at MRI was a risk factor for faster refractoriness and progression in patients with HCC treated with TACE. Keywords: Interventional-Vascular, MR Angiography, Hepatocellular Carcinoma, Transarterial Chemoembolization, Progression-free Survival, MRI Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2024.

Optimizing Survival Benefit by Surgical Resection by the Seven-Eleven Criteria in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage A/B Hepatocellular Carcinoma beyond the Milan Criteria

Introduction

Optimal treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) beyond the Milan criteria is in debate. We aimed to identify candidates for surgical resection (SR) in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC)-A/B HCC beyond the Milan criteria with survival benefit.

Methods

Patients with BCLC-A/B HCC beyond the Milan criteria at the National Taiwan University Hospital during 2005 and 2019 were screened, and those who received transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) or SR were consecutively included. The tumor burden was classified by the seven-eleven criteria into low (≤7), intermediate (7-11), or high (>11). Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used for outcome prediction.

Results

Overall, 474 patients who received SR (n = 247) and TACE (n = 227) were enrolled. Patients who underwent SR were significantly younger with better liver reserve. There were 76 (31%) and 129 (57%) deaths in the SR and TACE groups after a median follow-up of 3.9 and 2.1 years, respectively. The seven-eleven criteria could distinguish median overall survival (OS) among low (n = 149), intermediate (n = 203), and high (n = 122) tumor burden groups (7.7 vs. 6.9 vs. 2.8 years, respectively, p < 0.001). Patients receiving SR had a significantly higher median OS compared with TACE in those with intermediate (8.2 vs. 2.6 years, p < 0.001) and high (5.6 vs. 1.5 years, p = 0.001) tumor burden. After adjustment for age, sex, and liver reserve, SR was predictive for better OS in intermediate (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 0.45, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.27-0.75) and high tumor burden groups (aHR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.32-0.92). The survival benefit of SR especially confines to patients within 3 tumors.

Conclusions

In patients with BCLC-A/B HCC beyond the Milan criteria with tumor burden beyond the up-to-7 criteria but within 3 tumors, SR has better OS than TACE and should be considered in resectable patients.

Effects of Early TACE Refractoriness on Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Real-World Study

Purpose

To investigate the effect of early transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) refractoriness on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patient survival and to explore whether viable lesions > 50% after two consecutive TACE treatments negatively affect the prognosis of HCC patients.

Patients and Methods

From January 2014 to August 2017, 323 HCC patients who received TACE as the initial treatment were analyzed. TACE refractoriness was diagnosed according to the Japan Society of Hepatology 2021 version. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to create a 1:1 matched group (nonrefractoriness vs refractoriness). To determine survival outcomes and prognostic factors, the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards model were used.

Results

In total, 51.1% of patients developed early TACE refractoriness (n = 165). After PSM, 120 patients from each group were matched and analyzed. The median overall survival (OS) time of the early TACE refractoriness group was significantly shorter than that of the nonrefractory group [21 months (95% CI: 15.7–26.3) vs 34 months (95% CI: 27.5–40.5), p = 0.002]. Thirty-eight patients with viable lesions >50% after two consecutive TACE procedures were identified and matched with patients of non-refractoriness. No significant difference in median OS was observed [35 months (95% CI: 21.6–48.5) vs 31 months (95% CI: 25.4–36.6), p = 0.611]. Multivariate analysis revealed that the BCLC stage, tumor size, tumor capsule, tumor distribution, α-fetoprotein level (AFP), and early TACE refractoriness were independent risk factors for prognosis in HCC patients.

Conclusion

Early TACE refractoriness may shorten the OS of HCC patients. However, viable lesions >50% after two consecutive TACE treatments did not impair the survival of patients. It may be inappropriate to consider these patients as having developed TACE refractoriness.

Combined Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy and Immunotherapy Versus Transarterial Chemoembolization in Locally Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

Immunotherapy has achieved modest clinical activity in HCC patients. Propensity score matching analysis was conducted to compare the efficacy and safety of combined stereotactic SBRT-IO versus TACE in patients with locally advanced HCC in a tertiary center of Hong Kong. Patients with locally advanced HCC who were medically inoperable for, refractory to, or refused to curative surgical interventions were eligible. The primary outcome was PFS; the secondary outcomes were OS, ORR as per mRECIST version 1.1, and TRAEs. Matching pair analysis was performed to compare the clinical outcomes. A total of 226 patients were eligible. Approximately 16 patients in the SBRT-IO group were matched with 48 patients treated with TACE. The median tumor size was 10 cm (range: 2.9-19.6 cm) and 20.3% of the patients had portal vein invasion. The 12- and 24-month PFS were significantly better in the SBRT-IO group (93.3% vs 16.7% and 77.8% vs 2.1%, respectively, p <0.001); the 12- and 24-month OS were also better in the SBRT-IO arm (93.8% vs 31.3% and 80.4% vs 8.3%, respectively, p <0.001). The ORR was 87.5% (CR: 50%, PR: 37.5%) in SBRT-IO arm compared to 16.7% (CR: 2.4%, PR: 14.3%) in those receiving TACE alone (p <0.001). There were fewer ≥grade 3 TRAE (60.4% vs 18.8%, p = 0.004) and treatment discontinuations (25% vs 12.5%, p = 0.295) due to adverse events in the SBRT-IO arm. SBRT-IO had significant superior survival and less treatment toxicity than TACE in patients with locally advanced HCC. Our results provide rationale for studying this combination therapy in prospective randomized trials.

Tumor enhancement ratio with unenhanced imaging is an independent prognostic factor for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after transarterial chemoembolization

Objective

To investigative whether the odds tumor enhancement ratio (OTER) on cross-sectional imaging is a prognostic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Methods

This study involved 126 patients who underwent TACE from May 2015 to March 2019. The signal intensity/Hounsfield units (HU) was measured by placing regions of interest on the tumor and surrounding liver in unenhanced and arterial-phase contrast-enhanced cross-sectional images. The OTER was calculated as follows: OTER = (HU_TUMORart − HU_TUMORun)/ (HU_LIVERart − HU_LIVERun). Univariate analysis was performed to determine the factors associated with overall survival (OS). Variables with a P value of <0.10 were included in the multivariate Cox regression analysis.

Results

The median OS was 757 days. Tumors with a peripheral location, small size, and low OTER had better OS than those with a central location, large size, and high OTER. OS did not differ according to the extent of tumor involvement or tumor enhancement pattern. The OTER, tumor location, and size were included in the multivariate Cox regression analysis. A low OTER was the predictor of better OS.

Conclusion

A high OTER is a risk factor for poor OS in patients undergoing TACE. This should be taken into consideration before the procedure.