The Shifting Paradigm of Prognostic Factors of Colorectal Liver Metastases: From Tumor-Centered to Host Immune-Centered Factors

An evaluation model of hepatic steatosis based on CT value and serum uric acid/HDL cholesterol ratio can predict intrahepatic recurrence of colorectal cancer liver metastasis

BACKGROUND

Intrahepatic recurrence is one of the main causes of treatment failure in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM). Hepatic steatosis was reported to provide fertile soil for metastasis. The effect of irinotecan-inducted hepatic steatosis on the progression of liver metastasis remains to be verified. Therefore, we aim to clarify the effect of hepatic steatosis on postoperative intrahepatic recurrence in CRLM and whether it is relevant to irinotecan-based chemotherapy.

METHODS

Data for a total of 284 patients undergoing curative surgical treatment for CRLMs were retrospectively reviewed between March 2007 and June 2018. Hepatic steatosis score (HSS) was established by combining Liver to Spleen CT ratio (LSR) and Uric acid to HDL-cholesterol ratio (UHR) to detect the presence of hepatic steatosis.

RESULTS

The evaluation model is consistent with pathological results and has high prediction ability and clinical application value. Patients with HSS high risk (HSS-HR) had significantly worse prognosis than those with HSS low risk (HSS-LR) (3-year intrahepatic RFS: 42.7% vs. 29.4%, P = 0.003; 5-year OS: 45.7% vs. 26.5%, P = 0.002). Univariate and multivariate analysis confirmed its essential role in the prediction of intrahepatic RFS. Besides, patients treated with preoperative irinotecan chemotherapy were more likely to end up with HSS-HR than those with non-irinotecan chemotherapy (63.3% vs. 21.8%, P < 0.001). Furthermore, irinotecan chemotherapy is relevant to worse prognosis in baseline HSS-HR patients.

CONCLUSION

In summary, patients with HSS-HR had significantly worse 5-year OS and 3-year intrahepatic RFS. Irinotecan chemotherapy is more likely to lead to HSS-HR and pre-existing hepatic steatosis may be a worse prognostic factor limiting patients underwent IRI-based chemotherapy.

Ranking as a Procedure for Selecting a Replacement Variable in the Score Predicting the Survival of Patients Treated with Curative Intent for Colorectal Liver Metastases

Background and Objectives: The issue of a missing variable precludes the external validation of many prognostic models. For example, the Liverpool score predicts the survival of patients undergoing surgical therapy for colorectal liver metastases, but it includes the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, which cannot be measured retrospectively. Materials and Methods: We aimed to find the most appropriate replacement for the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio. Survival analysis was performed on data representing 632 liver resections for colorectal liver metastases from 2000 to 2020. Variables associated with the Liverpool score, C-reactive protein, albumins, and fibrinogen were ranked. The rankings were performed in four ways: The first two were based on the Kaplan-Meier method (log-rank statistics and the definite integral IS between two survival curves). The next method of ranking was based on univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Results: The ranks were as follows: the radicality of liver resection (rank 1), lymph node infiltration of primary colorectal cancer (rank 2), elevated C-reactive protein (rank 3), the American Society of Anesthesiologists Classification grade (rank 4), the right-sidedness of primary colorectal cancer (rank 5), the multiplicity of colorectal liver metastases (rank 6), the size of colorectal liver metastases (rank 7), albumins (rank 8), and fibrinogen (rank 9). Conclusions: The ranking methodologies resulted in almost the same ranking order of the variables. Elevated C-reactive protein was ranked highly and can be considered a relevant replacement for the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio in the Liverpool score. These methods are suitable for ranking variables in similar models for medical research.

Multimodality liver directed treatment for colorectal liver metastasis: Array of complementary options can improve outcomes - A single centre experience from India

AIM

Complimentary use of Liver directed therapies (LDTs) with systemic chemotherapy has improved oncologic outcomes in colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM). We analysed institutional results of multimodality management.

Methods

Retrospective analysis of prospectively maintained database of CRLM patients managed with LDT including surgical resection, Ablation, Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) or Transarterial radioembolization (TARE) between November 2011 to March 2020. Management plan was decided in multidisciplinary meeting. Resectable tumours underwent surgical resection or ablation or both in some cases. Borderline resectable or unresectable disease was treated with down staging chemotherapy or TACE/TARE followed by resection or ablation. All patients received adjuvant chemotherapy. Factors influencing survival were analysed.

Results

Out of total 375 patients, surgery alone was done in 191 (50.93%) patients while surgery with other LDT in 26 patients (6.93%). Ablation alone was done in 100 (26.66%) whereas TACE/TARE were done as standalone treatment in 21 (5.6%) and 7 (1.86%) patients respectively. TACE + ablation was done in 28 (7.46%) and TARE + ablation was done in 2(0.53%) patients.5-year Overall Survival(OS) was 49.8% while Event free survival(EFS) was 21.4%. The median OS and EFS for surgical group was significantly better than non-surgical group (78 V/s 39 months; p<0.05 and 20 V/s 15 months p <0.005). The resectable (78 months) group had better median OS as compared to borderline resectable and Unresectable group (39 months and 29 months). Male gender, resectable disease and surgical intervention were associated with improved OS.

Conclusion

Although surgery remains the mainstay of treatment, complementary use of non-surgical LDT with systemic therapy offers possibility of good outcomes in advanced liver limited disease. Our experience highlights the impact of multidisciplinary care in optimizing CRLM treatment.

Survival after liver resection and liver transplantation for colorectal liver metastases: a comparative analysis stratified by metabolic tumor volume assessed by 18F-FDG PET/CT

BACKGROUND

Many patients undergoing resection for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) recur with poor survival. Overall survival (OS) following liver transplantation (LT) for CRLM is reported to be about 80% at 5 years. In this study, survival following resection versus transplantation for CRLM in patients with moderate (6-70 cm³) metabolic tumor volume (MTV) from the preoperative positron emission tomography (PET) was compared.

METHODS

Disease-free survival (DFS), OS and post recurrence survival (PRS) following resection (n = 18) and LT (n = 12) was compared by using the Kaplan Meier method and log rank test for patients with moderate MTV.

RESULTS

Patients undergoing LT had unresectable metastases, significantly lower age, higher tumor burden score and number of liver metastases, longer time from diagnosis to surgery, and more patients received neoadjuvant chemotherapy. OS at 5 years was 39% in the resection group and 83% in the LT group (P = 0.012). PRS was significantly improved in patients treated with LT compared to resection with 71% alive at 5 years from recurrence compared to 17% in the resection group (P = 0.017).

CONCLUSION

LT for selected patients seems to be superior to resection as treatment for CRLM for patients with moderate MTV.

Characterization of Biomarkers in Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases as a Prognostic Tool

BACKGROUND

Unfortunately, the majority of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRCLM) experience disease recurrence following hepatic surgery. The key challenge is therefore optimal patient selection, which currently relies on anatomical and clinical parameters. Exploring a potential molecular signature may be predictive for seeing a clinical benefit from CRCLM resection.

METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent CRCLM resection at our medical center between 2006 and 2016 were divided into cohorts of "good prognosis" (GP) or "poor prognosis" (PP) based on the time interval between their resection and disease recurrence. Proteomic analysis was performed on the surgical specimen and correlation analysis was carried out with demographics and clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Proteomic analysis revealed 99 differentially expressed proteins of which a third were associated with extracellular matrix (ECM) pathways as the matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs). Multivariate analysis yielded a statistically differential proteomic pattern between the cohort regardless of perioperative treatment.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate a different proteomic landscape in the cohort of patients who had a clinical benefit from CRCLM resection which appears to be correlated with ECM pathways. Further prospective studies are needed to define the role of ECM pathways in prognostics and patient selection for surgical procedures for CRCLM.

Periprocedural risk factors for incomplete radiofrequency ablation of liver metastases from colorectal cancer: a single-center retrospective analysis

OBJECTIVE

To explore independent risk factors for incomplete radiofrequency ablation (iRFA) of colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM) and evaluate adverse outcomes following iRFA.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Magnetic resonance imaging data of CRLM patients who received percutaneous RFA were randomized into training (70%) and validation set 1 (30%) data sets. An independent validation set 2 was derived from computed tomography scans. Uni- and multivariate analyses identified independent risk factors for iRFA. Area under the curve (AUC) values were used to evaluate the predictive model performance. Risk points were assigned to independent predictors, and iRFA was predicted according to the total risk score. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to assess new intrahepatic metastases (NIHM), unablated tumor progression, and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Multivariate regression determined as independent iRFA risk factors perivascular tumor location, subcapsular tumor location, tumor size ≥20 mm, and minimal ablative margin ≤5 mm. The AUC values of the model in the training set, validation set 1, and validation set 2 were 0.867, 0.772, and 0.820, respectively. The respective AUC values of the total risk score were 0.864, 0.768, and 0.817. During the 6-year follow-up, the cumulative OS was significantly shorter in the iRFA than in the complete RFA group, and NIHM (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.79; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.725, 4.513) and unablated tumor progression (HR = 3.473; 95% CI: 1.506, 8.007) were more severe.

CONCLUSIONS

Perivascular tumor location, subcapsular tumor location, tumor size ≥20 mm, and minimal ablative margin ≤5 mm were independent risk factors for iRFA. iRFA may be a potential predictor of NIHM, unablated tumor progression, and OS.

Histopathological and Immune Prognostic Factors in Colo-Rectal Liver Metastases

Simple Summary

Clinical management of colo-rectal liver metastasis would benefit from a refined stratification of patients in prognostic groups, in order to identify the best therapeutic option. Efforts are ongoing in the definition of parameters associated with clinical behaviors, which could help classifying patients in clinically relevant groups. Here we aimed at discussing the recent advances in this field, and we introduced current and new promising candidates, such as morphological tumor features and immune components, which have been showing significant association with survival. Some of these parameters are slowly reaching the clinic and further efforts are ongoing in the attempt to combine them in multiparametric scores.

Abstract

Prognostic studies are increasingly providing new tools to stratify colo-rectal liver metastasis patients into clinical subgroups, with remarkable implications in terms of clinical management and therapeutic choice. Here, the strengths and hurdles of current prognostic tools in colo-rectal liver metastasis are discussed. Alongside more classic histopathological parameters, which capture features related to the tumor component, such as tumor invasion, tumor growth pattern and regression score, we will discuss immune mediators, which are starting to be considered important features. Their objective quantification has shown significant results in prognostication studies, with most of the work focused on adaptive immune cells, namely T cells. As for macrophages, they are only starting to be appreciated and we will present recent advances in evaluation of macrophage morphological features. Deeper knowledge acquired by multiparametric analyses is rapidly uncovering the variety of immune players that should be assessed. The future projection is to implement deep-learning histopathological tools and to integrate histopathological and immune metrics in multiparametric scores, with the ultimate objective to achieve a deeper resolution of the tumor features and their relevance for colo-rectal liver metastasis.

Prognostic Factors of Radiofrequency Ablation plus Systemic Chemotherapy for Unresectable Colorectal Cancer with Liver Metastasis

INTRODUCTION

Survival outcomes in patients with unresectable colorectal cancer (CRC) liver metastasis treated by radiofrequency ablation (RFA) combined with systemic chemotherapy and correlation with potential prognostic factors were investigated. Material and Methods. A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 61 CRC patients with unresectable liver metastasis who underwent liver tumor-directed percutaneous RFA combined with conventional systemic chemotherapy between October 2013 and September 2018. Survival analyses were conducted using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the log-rank test was used to characterize differences in the median survival time and the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year overall survival rates of subgroups to identify prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Median overall survival and progression-free survival of all patients were 32 and 14 months, respectively. The cumulative survival rates at 1-, 3-, and 5-years were 93.2%; 44.5%, and 38.2%, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that pre-RFA serum CEA levels, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) status, number of liver lesions, the size of the largest lesion, and the total lesion size were prognostic factors. However, multivariate analysis demonstrated that only the number of liver lesions and the size of the largest lesion were independent prognostic factors for survival.

CONCLUSION

RFA plus systemic chemotherapy provides an encouraging survival outcome for patients with unresectable CRC liver metastasis. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the number and size of liver metastatic lesions are independent prognostic factors for survival.

ST2 and regulatory T cells in the colorectal adenoma/carcinoma microenvironment: implications for diseases progression and prognosis

ST2 (also known as IL1RL1) is the critical functional receptor for interleukin (IL)-33 in stimulating regulatory T cell (Treg) expansion and function in physiological and pathological conditions. We examined the correlation between ST2 cell expression and FoxP3 positive Tregs in both colorectal adenoma and cancer (CRC) microenvironment by real-time PCR, immunohistochemistry (IHC) and double immunofluorescences. The clinicopathological and prognostic significance of cellular ST2-positive cells and FoxP3-positive Tregs in patients with adenoma and CRC were evaluated. Real-time PCR results revealed increased expression levels of ST2 and FoxP3 mRNAs in both adenoma and CRC tissues as compared with control tissues. IHC analysis confirmed increased densities of ST2-positive cells in both the adenoma/CRC epithelium and stroma, which show a close positive linear association with the densities of FoxP3-positive Tregs in respective compartments. Pathological feature analysis showed that densities of ST2-positive cells in the tumor stroma were notably associated with degree of dysplastic grading in patients with adenoma, and disease stages and lymph node metastasis in patients with CRC. Kaplan-Meier survival curves suggested that CRC patients with high densities of ST2-positive cells in the stroma tend to have a shorter overall survival. We therefore concluded that increased densities of ST2-postive cells relate to Treg accumulation within the adenoma/CRC microenvironment, suggesting the IL-33/ST2 pathway as a potential contributor for immunosuppressive milieu formation that impact disease stage and prognosis in patients with CRC.

The progress of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease as the risk of liver metastasis in colorectal cancer

Introduction: The liver is the most common metastatic site of colorectal cancer (CRC), and the long-term survival rate of CRC patients who cannot resect liver metastatic lesions radically is extremely low. Early identification of risk factors for liver metastasis from CRC may be an effective strategy to reduce the incidence of liver metastasis. The incidence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing in parallel with an increasing prevalence of obesity and metabolic syndrome (MS), which has become one of the main causes of chronic liver disease worldwide.Areas covered: An overview of the related research progress of the association between NAFLD and colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM).Expert opinion: Certain research proves that there is a close relationship between NAFLD and CRC, and the presence of NAFLD can promote the formation and development of CRC. Although the effect of liver diseases on the incidence of liver metastasis in CRC has been noted in recent years, the results are inconsistent and haven't reached a unified conclusion. Therefore, the association between liver metastasis and NAFLD remains the main focal point in the evolution of CRC.

Macrophages in Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases

Tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs) provide a nurturing microenvironment for metastasis and are concomitantly key determinants of the efficacy of anticancer strategies. TAM represent an extremely heterogeneous population in terms of cell morphology, functions, and tissue localization. Colorectal liver metastases (CLM) display a high heterogeneity, responsible for a wide array of clinical presentations and responsiveness to treatments. In the era of precision medicine, there is a critical need of reliable prognostic markers to improve patient stratification, and, for their predominance in metastatic tissues, TAMs are emerging as promising candidates.

Systematic Review of the Prognostic Role of the Immune System After Surgery of Colorectal Liver Metastases

Background: The current prognostication of patient survival after surgery for colorectal liver metastases is based on clinical characteristics, but low accuracy makes it difficult to guide treatment for the individual patient. Rapidly evolving technologies have led to the expectation that biomarkers will be able to outperform the current clinical scoring systems and provide more effective personalised treatment. Two main topics prevail in cancer treatment, namely the role of the immune system and the prediction and prognostication by application of high-throughput methodology. The aim of this review is to examine the evidence for prognostic immunological and molecular markers studied in tumour tissue obtained at surgical resection for colorectal liver metastases.

Methods: First we analysed immunophenotypical protein markers, that are mainly studied by immunohistochemistry. Second, we review molecular markers by analysing high-throughput studies on tumour mRNA and microRNA expression.

Results: CD3, CD4, and CD8 are the most frequently studied protein markers. High intra-tumoural CD3+ T cell infiltration and low CXCR4 expression have the best association with favourable patient survival. Studies that analysed microRNA or mRNA expression data showed very little overlap in prognostic genes.

Conclusions: Patient prognostication after surgery for colorectal liver metastases by analysing the immune system remains difficult. Current data are based on diverse and heterogeneous patient populations which prohibits drawing firm conclusions.

Contribution of IL-33 to the Pathogenesis of Colorectal Cancer

The development of colorectal cancer (CRC) is not only determined by transformed cells per se, but also by factors existing in their immune microenvironment. Accumulating scientific evidence has revealed that interleukin (IL)-33, an IL-1 family member, plays an essential role in the regulation of immune response and is relevant in CRC pathogenesis. Data from both human and experimental studies demonstrated that IL-33 inhibits host anti-tumor immunity, remodels tumor stroma and enhances angiogenesis, thereby promoting the development of CRC. These pro-tumor effects of IL-33 are mainly mediated by IL-33 receptor ST2 (also known as IL-1RL1). Based on those findings, it is currently hypothesized that the IL-33/ST2 pathway is a potential biomarker and therapeutic target for colorectal tumorigenesis. Herein, we summarize the recent discoveries in understanding the critical role of the IL-33/ST2 pathway in contributing to the pathogenesis of colorectal tumorigenesis and discuss its potential implications for the future development of effective anti-tumor strategies.