A Novel Prognostic Nomogram for Patients With Recurrence of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma After Initial Surgery

Nomogram to predict prognosis of head and neck rhabdomyosarcoma patients in children and adolescents

Purpose

This study aims to explore the prognostic factors of head and neck rhabdomyosarcoma (HNRMS) in children and adolescents and construct a simple but reliable nomogram model for estimating overall survival (OS) of patients.

Methods

Data of all HNRMS patients during 2004-2018 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result database. Kaplan-Meier method was performed to calculate OS stratified by subgroups and comparison between subgroups was completed by log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox regressions analysis were employed for identifying independent predictors, which subsequently were used for a predictive model by R software, and the efficacy of the model was evaluated by applying receiver operating curve (ROC), calibration and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

A total of 446 patients were included in the study. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rate of the whole cohort was 90.6%, 80.0%, and 75.5%, respectively. The results of univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that the primary site in parameningeal region, alveolar RMS histology, M1 stage, IRS stage 4, surgery, and chemotherapy were significant prognostic factors (all P<0.05). The performance of nomogram model was validated by discrimination and calibration, with AUC values of 1, 3, and 5 years OS of 0.843, 0.851, and 0.890, respectively.

Conclusion

We constructed a prognostic nomogram model for predicting the OS in HNRMS patients in children and adolescents and this model presented practical and applicable clinical value to predict survival when choosing treatment strategies.

Predicting very early recurrence in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after curative hepatectomy using machine learning radiomics based on CECT: A multi-institutional study

BACKGROUND

Even after curative resection, the prognosis for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) remains disappointing due to the extremely high incidence of postoperative recurrence.

METHODS

A total of 280 iCCA patients following curative hepatectomy from three independent institutions were recruited to establish the retrospective multicenter cohort study. The very early recurrence (VER) of iCCA was defined as the appearance of recurrence within 6 months. The 3D tumor region of interest (ROI) derived from contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) was used for radiomics analysis. The independent clinical predictors for VER were histological stage, AJCC stage, and CA199 levels. We implemented K-means clustering algorithm to investigate novel radiomics-based subtypes of iCCA. Six types of machine learning (ML) algorithms were performed for VER prediction, including logistic, random forest (RF), neural network, bayes, support vector machine (SVM), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Additionally, six clinical ML (CML) models and six radiomics-clinical ML (RCML) models were developed to predict VER. Predictive performance was internally validated by 10-fold cross-validation in the training cohort, and further evaluated in the external validation cohort.

RESULTS

Approximately 30 % of patients with iCCA experienced VER with extremely discouraging outcome (Hazard ratio (HR) = 5.77, 95 % Confidence Interval (CI) = 3.73-8.93, P < 0.001). Two distinct iCCA subtypes based on radiomics features were identified, and subtype 2 harbored a higher proportion of VER (47.62 % Vs 25.53 %) and significant shorter survival time than subtype 1. The average AUC values of the CML and RCML models were 0.744 ± 0.018, and 0.900 ± 0.014 in the training cohort, and 0.769 ± 0.065 and 0.929 ± 0.027 in the external validation cohort, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Two radiomics-based iCCA subtypes were identified, and six RCML models were developed to predict VER of iCCA, which can be used as valid tools to guide individualized management in clinical practice.

Case report: A report of the complete pathological response of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after conversion therapy

Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is a rare disease with poor prognosis, and surgery remains the only curative treatment option. However, surgery is inappropriate for the majority of patients with CCA. Conversion therapy may provide opportunities for the surgical treatment of these patients. Herein, we describe a patient with intrahepatic CCA who was first treated with albumin-bound paclitaxel, cisplatin, and gemcitabine in combination with camrelizumab. The patient then successfully underwent surgery and achieved pathological complete remission. This report can serve as a reference for clinicians regarding conversion therapy for intrahepatic CCA.

The Efficacy and Safety of Hepatic Arterial Infusion Chemotherapy Based on FOLFIRI for Advanced Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma as Second-Line and Successive Treatment: A Real-World Study

OBJECTIVE

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) is a primary liver malignancy with a poor prognosis and limited treatment. Cisplatin with gemcitabine is used as the standard first-line chemotherapy regimen; however, there is still no robust evidence for second-line and successive treatments. Although preliminary evidence suggests a vital role of precision therapy or immunotherapy in a subset of patients, the gene alteration rate is relatively low. Herein, we explored the second-line and successive treatments using hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) based on FOLFIRI after the failure of gemcitabine and platinum combined with target and immunotherapy in refractory CCAs.

METHODS

Advanced patients with iCCAs confirmed by diagnostic pathology, who progressed at least on a gemcitabine/platinum doublet and/or other systemic chemotherapy combined with target therapy and immune checkpoint inhibitor, were included. All patients received infusional 5-fluorouracil/leucovorin with irinotecan (FOLFIRI) via HAIC until progression or unacceptable toxicity. The primary objective was the feasibility of treatment, with secondary objectives of disease control rate (DCR) and 6-month survival rate.

RESULTS

A total of 9 iCCA patients treated between Dec 2020 and May 2021 were enrolled; 2 patients suffered from distant metastasis, while 7 had local lymph node metastasis and portal vein or hepatic vein invasion. HAIC was delivered as second-line therapy in 6/9 patients, while a third or successive therapy in 3/9 patients. The patients accepted an average of 2.90 ± 1.69 cycles of HAIC. The objective response rate was 22.2%; the disease control rate was 55.5% (5/9); median progression-free survival was 5 months; and 6-month survival rate was 66.7% (6/9).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results provide preliminary evidence that HAIC based on FOLFIRI regimen is efficient and safe in some patients progressing after previous treatment. Therefore, HAIC may be a promising and valuable complementary therapy for advanced CCAs as a second-line and successive therapy. Otherwise, the combination of HAIC with precision medicine may improve clinical benefits (clinical registration number: 2021BAT4857).

A Nomogram Model to Predict Early Recurrence of Patients With Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma for Adjuvant Chemotherapy Guidance: A Multi-Institutional Analysis

Background

The influence of different postoperative recurrence times on the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the independent risk factors and establish a nomogram prediction model of early recurrence (recurrence within 1 year) to screen patients with ICC for ACT.

Methods

Data from 310 ICC patients who underwent radical resection between 2010 and 2018 at eight Chinese tertiary hospitals were used to analyze the risk factors and establish a nomogram model to predict early recurrence. External validation was conducted on 134 patients at the other two Chinese tertiary hospitals. Overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) were estimated by the Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariate analysis was conducted to identify independent risk factors for prognosis. A logistic regression model was used to screen independent risk variables for early recurrence. A nomogram model was established based on the above independent risk variables to predict early recurrence.

Results

ACT was a prognostic factor and an independent affecting factor for OS and RFS of patients with ICC after radical resection (p < 0.01). The median OS of ICC patients with non-ACT and ACT was 14.0 and 15.0 months, and the median RFS was 6.0 and 8.0 months for the early recurrence group, respectively (p > 0.05). While the median OS of ICC patients with non-ACT and ACT was 41.0 and 84.0 months, the median RFS was 20.0 and 45.0 months for the late recurrence group, respectively (p < 0.01). CA19-9, tumor size, major vascular invasion, microvascular invasion, and N stage were the independent risk factors of early recurrence for ICC patients after radical resection. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.777 (95% CI: 0.713~0.841) and 0.716 (95%CI: 0.604~0.828) in the training and testing sets, respectively.

Conclusion

The nomogram model established based on the independent risk variables of early recurrence for curatively resected ICC patients has a good prediction ability and can be used to screen patients who benefited from ACT.

A prognostic model in patients with advanced biliary tract cancer receiving first-line chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Standard treatment of advanced biliary tract cancer (aBTC) is represented by first-line chemotherapy (CT1). However, some patients do not gain any benefit from CT1, contributing to the overall dismal prognosis of aBTC. The present study aimed to devise a prognostic model in aBTC patients receiving CT1.

METHODS

A large panel of clinical, laboratory, and pathology variables, available before the start of CT1, were retrospectively assessed in a multi-centric cohort to determine their prognostic value on univariate and multivariate regression analysis. The variables that showed a significant correlation with overall survival (OS) were computed in a three-tier prognostic score. External validation of the prognostication performance was carried out.

RESULTS

Clinical histories of 935 patients (median OS 10.3 months), with diagnosis dates ranging from 2001 to 2017, were retrieved from 14 institutions. According to multivariate analysis, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, carbohydrate antigen 19.9, albumin levels, and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio were strongly associated with OS (p <0.01). The prognostic score could generate a highly significant stratification (all between-group p values ≤0.001) into groups of favorable (comprising 51.5% of the sample), intermediate (39.2%), and poor prognosis (9.3%): median OS was 12.7 (CI_95% 11.0-14.4), 7.1 (CI_95% 5.8-8.4), and 3.2 months (CI_95% 1.7-4.7), respectively. This OS gradient was replicated in the validation set (129 patients), with median OS of 12.7 (CI_95% 11.0-14.3), 7.5 (CI_95% 6.1-8.9), and 1.4 months (CI_95% 0.1-2.7), respectively (all between-group p values ≤0.05).

CONCLUSION

A prognostic score, derived from a limited set of easily-retrievable variables, efficiently stratified a large population of unselected aBTC patients undergoing CT1. This tool could be useful to clinicians, to ascertain the potential benefit from CT1 at the start of treatment.

Significant Response to Camrelizumab Plus Targeted Drugs in Recurrent Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: a Case Report and Literature Review

Purpose

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma is the second most common primary liver cancer, and is associated with a poor prognosis and rising incidence rate.

Methods

Here, we reported the case of a middle-aged Asian male who presented with a 9.5-cm liver lesion and was diagnosed with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.

Results

The patient experienced recurrence three times, twice following radical resection and standard adjuvant chemotherapy and once following camrelizumab plus apatinib, after which the tumor progressed with elevated CA 19.9 level. After tissue biopsy for next-generation sequencing, apatinib was replaced by lenvatinib, and the patient achieved disease control again, with a progression-free survival of 10 months.

Conclusion

Combined immunotherapy and targeted therapy regimens are a promising approach for refractory intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. Further well-designed prospective clinical trials are needed to confirm the efficacy and safety. Since intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma is characterized by high heterogeneity and with complex crosstalk among oncogenic pathways, further exploration is required to more deeply understand the mechanism of action of this treatment approach and guide individualized treatment selection.

A Novel Nomogram Based on Hepatic and Coagulation Function for Evaluating Outcomes of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma After Curative Hepatectomy: A Multi-Center Study of 653 Patients

Background and Aims

Hepatic and coagulation function are routine laboratory tests prior to curative hepatectomy. The prognostic value of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) to platelet ratio (GPR) and international normalized ratio (INR) in surgically treated patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains unclear.

Methods

ICC patients received curative hepatectomy in two west China centers were included. Time-dependent ROC curves were conducted to compare established indexes with prognostic value for ICC. GPR-INR score was introduced and evaluated using the Time-dependent AUC curve and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. A novel nomogram based on the GPR-INR score was proposed; Harrell’s C-index, calibration curve and decision curve analysis were used to assess this nomogram.

Results

A total of 653 patients were included. The areas under ROC curves of GPR and INR in OS and RFS were superior to other indexes. Patients with a high GPR-INR score (1,2) presented significantly decreased overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS); GPR-INR sore, along with several clinicopathological indexes were selected into the nomogram, the calibration curve for OS probability showed good coincidence between the nomogram and the actual surveillance. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.708 (derivation set) and 0.746 (validation set), which was more representative than the C-indexes of the GPR-INR score (0.597, 0.678). In decision curve analysis, the net benefits of the nomogram in derivation and validation set were higher than Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging (BCLC) classification and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM 8^th staging system.

Conclusions

The proposed nomogram generated superior discriminative ability to established staging systems; it is profitable to applicate this nomogram in clinical practice.

Influence of Lymphangio (L), Vascular (V), and Perineural (Pn) Invasion on Recurrence and Survival of Resected Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

(1) Background: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is a rare malignancy. Besides tumor, nodal, and metastatic status, the UICC TNM classification describes further parameters such as lymphangio- (L0/L1), vascular (V0/V1/V2), and perineural invasion (Pn0/Pn1). The aim of this study was to analyze the influence of these parameters on recurrence and survival. (2) Methods: All surgical explorations for patients with ICC between January 2008 and June 2018 were collected and further analyzed in our institutional database. Statistical analyses focused on perineural, lymphangio-, and vascular invasion examined histologically and their influence on tumor recurrence and survival. (3) Results: Of 210 patients who underwent surgical exploration, 150 underwent curative-intended resection. Perineural invasion was present in 41, lymphangioinvasion in 21, and vascular invasion in 37 patients (V1 n = 34, V2 n = 3). Presence of P1, V+ and L1 was significantly associated with positivity of each other of these factors (p < 0.001, each). None of the three parameters showed direct influence on tumor recurrence in general, but perineural invasion influenced extrahepatic recurrence significantly (p = 0.019). Whereas lymphangio and vascular invasion was neither associated with overall nor recurrence-free survival, perineural invasion was significantly associated with a poor 1-, 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) of 80%, 35%, and 23% for Pn0 versus 75%, 23%, and 0% for Pn1 (p = 0.027). Concerning recurrence-free survival (RFS), Pn0 showed a 1-, 3- and 5-year RFS of 42%, 18%, and 16% versus 28%, 11%, and 0% for Pn1, but no significance was reached (p = 0.091). (4) Conclusions: Whereas lymphangio- and vascular invasion showed no significant influence in several analyses, the presence of perineural invasion was associated with a significantly higher risk of extrahepatic tumor recurrence and worse overall survival.