Effect of Tumor Size on Long-Term Survival After Resection for Solitary Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

Comparing Survival Outcomes of Patients With LI-RADS-M Hepatocellular Carcinomas and Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinomas

BACKGROUND

There is a sparsity of data evaluating outcomes of patients with Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) (LR)-M lesions.

PURPOSE

To compare overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) between hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) meeting LR-M criteria and to evaluate factors associated with prognosis.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

SUBJECTS

Patients at risk for HCC with at least one LR-M lesion with histologic diagnosis, from 8 academic centers, yielding 120 patients with 120 LR-M lesions (84 men [mean age 62 years] and 36 women [mean age 66 years]).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

A 1.5 and 3.0 T/3D T₁ -weighted gradient echo, T₂ -weighted fast spin-echo.

ASSESSMENT

The imaging categorization of each lesion as LR-M was made clinically by a single radiologist at each site and patient outcome measures were collected.

STATISTICAL TESTS

OS, PFS, and potential independent predictors were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazard model. A P value of <0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

A total of 120 patients with 120 LR-M lesions were included; on histology 65 were HCC and 55 were iCCA. There was similar median OS for patients with LR-M HCC compared to patients with iCCA (738 days vs. 769 days, P = 0.576). There were no significant differences between patients with HCC and iCCA in terms of sex (47:18 vs. 37:18, P = 0.549), age (63.0 ± 8.4 vs. 63.4 ± 7.8, P = 0.847), etiology of liver disease (P = 0.202), presence of cirrhosis (100% vs. 100%, P = 1.000), tumor size (4.73 ± 3.28 vs. 4.75 ± 2.58, P = 0.980), method of lesion histologic diagnosis (P = 0.646), and proportion of patients who underwent locoregional therapy (60.0% vs. 38.2%, P = 0.100) or surgery (134.8 ± 165.5 vs. 142.5 ± 205.6, P = 0.913). Using multivariable analysis, nonsurgical compared to surgical management (HR, 4.58), larger tumor size (HR, 1.19), and higher MELD score (HR, 1.12) were independently associated with worse OS.

DATA CONCLUSION

There was similar OS in patients with LR-M HCC and LR-M iCCA, suggesting that LR-M imaging features may more closely reflect patient outcomes than histology.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 5.

Development and validation of an XGBoost model to predict 5-year survival in elderly patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after surgery: a SEER-based study

Background

Nomograms have been established to predict survival in postoperative or elderly intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) patients. There are no models to predict postoperative survival in elderly ICC patients. Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) can adjust the errors generated by existing models. This retrospective cohort study aimed to develop and validate an XGBoost model to predict postoperative 5-year survival in elderly ICC patients.

Methods

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program provided data on elderly ICC patients aged 60 years or older and undergoing surgery. The median follow-up time was 20 months. Totally 1,055 patients were classified as training (n=738) and testing (n=317) sets at a ratio of 7:3. The outcome was postoperative 5-year survival. Demographic, tumor-related and treatment-related variables were collected. Variables were screened using the XGBoost model. The predictive performance of the model was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and Kaplan-Meier curve. Cox regression analysis was conducted to estimate the risk of death in the predicted populations. The predictive abilities of the XGBoost model and the American Joint Commission on Cancer (AJCC) system (7th edition) were compared.

Results

The XGBoost model achieved an AUC of 0.811, a sensitivity of 0.573, a specificity of 0.890, and a PPV of 0.849 in the training set. In the testing set, the model had an AUC of 0.713, a sensitivity of 0.478, a specificity of 0.814, and a PPV of 0.726. The 5-year mortality risk of patients predicted to die was 2.91 times that of patients predicted to survive [hazard ratio (HR) =2.91, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.42-3.50]. The XGBoost model showed a better predictive performance than the AJCC staging system both in the training and testing sets. AJCC stage, multiple (satellite) tumors/nodules, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, more than one lobe invaded, direct invasion of adjacent organs, tumor size, and radiotherapy were relatively important features in survival prediction.

Conclusions

The XGBoost model exhibited some predictive capacity, which may be applied to predict postoperative 5-year survival for elderly ICC patients.

Anatomical Resection Improved the Outcome of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis of a Retrospective Cohort

Background

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is the second most common liver malignancy after hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), with a dismal prognosis and high heterogeneity. The oncological advantages of anatomical resection (AR) and nonanatomical resection (NAR) in HCC have been studied, but surgical strategies for ICC remain controversial with insufficient investigations.

Materials and Methods

From Jan 2013 to Dec 2016, 3880 consecutive patients were retrospectively reviewed from a single center. Patients with ICC undergoing AR or NAR have been enrolled according to inclusion and exclusion criteria. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed between two groups with a 1 : 1 ratio. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), and the secondary endpoints included disease-free survival (DFS), intraoperative patterns, postoperative morbidity, mortality, complications and recurrence. A prognostic nomogram was developed by a multivariate Cox proportion hazard model.

Results

After PSM, 99 paired cases were selected from 276 patients enrolled in this study. Patients in the AR group achieved better 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS (70%, 46%, and 34%, respectively) and DFS (61%, 21%, and 10%, respectively) than patients in the NAR group with statistical significance after PSM analysis. The postoperative complications and recurrence patterns were comparable between the two groups. Multivariate analysis identified NAR, tumor size >5 cm, multiple tumors, and poor differentiation as independent risk factors for OS (p < 0.05). Selected patients can benefit most from AR, according to subgroup analysis. A prognostic nomogram based on six independent risk factors for OS and factors with clinical significance was constructed to predict OS in ICC patients.

Conclusion

AR improved the long-term survival of ICC with comparable postoperative complications and similar recurrence patterns. AR is suggested in ICC patients with sufficient remnant liver volume. In addition to surgery strategy, malignant characteristics of tumors are risk factors for ICC prognosis.

Diffusion-weighted imaging as an imaging biomarker for assessing survival of patients with intrahepatic mass-forming cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Mass-forming cholangiocarcinoma is the most common form of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma and is associated with a worse prognosis. This study aimed to assess the role of diffusion-weighted imaging and other imaging features as prognostic markers to predict the survival of patients with intrahepatic mass-forming cholangiocarcinoma (IMCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study included patients with pathologically proven IMCC from January 2011 to January 2018. Two radiologists retrospectively reviewed various imaging findings and manually estimated the area of diffusion restriction. Patients were grouped according to their restriction area into (group 1) restriction ≥ 1/3 of the tumor and (group 2) restriction < 1/3 of the tumor. Statistical analysis was performed to assess the relationship between various imaging features and patients' survival.

RESULTS

Seventy-three patients were included in the study. IMCC patients with tumor size ≥ 5 cm had increased intrahepatic- and peritoneal metastases (p = 039 and p = 0.001 for reader 1 and p = 0.048 and p = 0.057 for reader 2). There was no significant relationship between the diffusion restriction area and tumor size, enhancement pattern, vascular involvement, lymph node metastasis, peritoneal- and distant metastasis. The number of deaths was significantly higher in patients with group 2 restriction (63.6% for group 1 vs. 96.6% for group 2; p = 0.001 for reader 1)(68.2% for group 1 vs. 89.7%% for group 2; p = 0.030 for reader 2). Patients with group 2 restriction had shorter 1- and 3-year survival rates and lower median survival time. Multivariable survival analysis showed two independent prognostic factors relating to poor survival outcomes: peritoneal metastasis (p = 0.04 for reader 1 and p = 0.041 for reader 2) and diffusion restriction < 1/3 (p = 0.011 for reader 1 and p = 0.042 for reader 2). Lymph node metastasis and intrahepatic metastasis were associated with shorter survival in the univariate analysis. However, these factors were non-significant in the multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

Restriction diffusion of less than 1/3 and peritoneal metastasis were associated with shorter overall survival of IMCC patients. Other features that might correlate with the outcome are suspicious lymph nodes and multifocal lesions.

Impact of cirrhosis on long-term survival outcomes of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The correlation between cirrhosis and the long-term oncological outcome in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is debatable, and this study aimed to explore the impact of cirrhosis on the long-term prognosis of patients with ICC.

METHODS

A total of 398 ICC patients were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2000 to 2018. The diagnosis of cirrhosis was based on the Ishak fibrosis score provided by the SEER database. Propensity score matching (PSM) and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) analysis were performed to minimize the potential confounders. Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were observed, and the Cox regression model was used to select potential factors that affect the prognosis of the patients with ICC.

RESULTS

Of the included patients, there were 142 patients and 256 patients in the cirrhotic and noncirrhotic groups, respectively. Additionally, 299 of 398 patients (75.1%) died following a median follow-up of 19 months (interquartile range [IQR], 7, 43). The OS and CSS indicated advantage trend in the noncirrhotic group than the cirrhotic group in either the original cohort (OS: 17 vs 12 months, p = 0.023; CSS: 26 vs 15 months, p = 0.004) or the PSM (OS: 17 vs 12 months, p = 0.52; CSS: 22 vs 14 months, p = 0.15) or IPTW (OS: 20 vs 13 months, p = 0.163; CSS: 22 vs 15 months, p = 0.059) cohorts. Subgroup analyses displayed that the prognosis of patients who experienced surgery for ICC in the noncirrhotic group was better than that of the cirrhotic group with regard to OS and CSS.

CONCLUSIONS

Collectively, it seems that the noncirrhotic patients have similar relative OS but better CSS compared with that of the cirrhotic patients.

Conditional cancer-specific survival after radical hepatectomy in patients with nonmetastatic intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To examine conditional survival (CS) in patients with non-metastatic intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (nmICC) after surgical treatment according to pT and pN stages.

METHODS

A total of 608 patients were included. Conditional three-year cancer-specific mortality estimates were obtained according to pT and pN stages. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was applied to predict factors affecting cancer-specific mortality (CSM).

RESULTS

According to substages based on pT and pN status, 109 patients (17.9%) with pT1aN0, 96 (15.8%) with pT1bN0, 205 (33.7%) with pT2N0, 82(13.5%) with pT3-5N0, and 116 (19.1%) with pTanyN1 were identified. Conditional CSM-free estimates increased from 75% to 87%, 66% to 70%, 53% to 86%, and 36 to 54% after three years of event-free follow-up in pT1b, pT2, pT3-4N0, and pTanyN1 patients, respectively, whereas it decreased from 87% to 79% in pT1aN0 patients. Based on multivariable analysis, patients with pT2N0 (hazard ratio [HR] 2.0 p < .01), pT3-4N0 (HR 2,7 p < .01), and pTanyN1-3 (HR 4.8 p < .01) had higher CSM than patients with pT1aN0 at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

CS varied across stage categories in nmICC patients after surgery, and it was important in individualized clinical counseling and decision-making for nmICC.