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Li BB, Chen LJ, Lu SL, Lei B, Yu GL, Yu SP. C-reactive protein to albumin ratio predict responses to programmed cell death-1 inhibitors in hepatocellular carcinoma patients. World J Gastrointest Oncol 2024; 16:61-78. [PMID: 38292845 PMCID: PMC10824115 DOI: 10.4251/wjgo.v16.i1.61] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2023] [Revised: 10/26/2023] [Accepted: 12/11/2023] [Indexed: 01/11/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Over the years, programmed cell death-1 (PD-1) inhibitors have been routinely used for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment and yielded improved survival outcomes. Nonetheless, significant heterogeneity surrounds the outcomes of most studies. Therefore, it is critical to search for biomarkers that predict the efficacy of PD-1 inhibitors in patients with HCC. AIM To investigate the role of the C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CAR) in evaluating the efficacy of PD-1 inhibitors for HCC. METHODS The clinical data of 160 patients with HCC treated with PD-1 inhibitors from January 2018 to November 2022 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University were retrospectively analyzed. RESULTS The optimal cut-off value for CAR based on progression-free survival (PFS) was determined to be 1.20 using x-tile software. Cox proportional risk model was used to determine the factors affecting prognosis. Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.754, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) = 1.045-2.944, P = 0.033], CAR (HR = 2.118, 95%CI = 1.057-4.243, P = 0.034) and tumor number (HR = 2.932, 95%CI = 1.246-6.897, P = 0.014) were independent prognostic factors for overall survival. CAR (HR = 2.730, 95%CI = 1.502-4.961, P = 0.001), tumor number (HR = 1.584, 95%CI = 1.003-2.500, P = 0.048) and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (HR = 1.120, 95%CI = 1.022-1.228, P = 0.015) were independent prognostic factors for PFS. Two nomograms were constructed based on independent prognostic factors. The C-index index and calibration plots confirmed that the nomogram is a reliable risk prediction tool. The ROC curve and decision curve analysis confirmed that the nomogram has a good predictive effect as well as a net clinical benefit. CONCLUSION Overall, we reveal that the CAR is a potential predictor of short- and long-term prognosis in patients with HCC treated with PD-1 inhibitors. If further verified, CAR-based nomogram may increase the number of markers that predict individualized prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bai-Bei Li
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
- Key Laboratory of Early Prevention and Treatment for Regional High Frequency Tumor (Guangxi Medical University), Ministry of Education, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
- Guangxi Key Laboratory of Immunology and Metabolism for Liver Diseases, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Lei-Jie Chen
- Department of Gastroenterology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Nanning 410011, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Shi-Liu Lu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
- Key Laboratory of Early Prevention and Treatment for Regional High Frequency Tumor (Guangxi Medical University), Ministry of Education, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
- Guangxi Key Laboratory of Immunology and Metabolism for Liver Diseases, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Biao Lei
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
- Key Laboratory of Early Prevention and Treatment for Regional High Frequency Tumor (Guangxi Medical University), Ministry of Education, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
- Guangxi Key Laboratory of Immunology and Metabolism for Liver Diseases, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Gui-Lin Yu
- Department of Emergency, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
| | - Shui-Ping Yu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
- Key Laboratory of Early Prevention and Treatment for Regional High Frequency Tumor (Guangxi Medical University), Ministry of Education, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
- Guangxi Key Laboratory of Immunology and Metabolism for Liver Diseases, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China
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Wu S, Yuan X, Huang H, Li Y, Cui L, Lin D, Lu W, Feng H, Chen Z, Liu X, Tan J, Wang F. Nomogram incorporating Epstein-Barr virus DNA and a novel immune-nutritional marker for survival prediction in nasopharyngeal carcinoma. BMC Cancer 2023; 23:1217. [PMID: 38066499 PMCID: PMC10709872 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-023-11691-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2023] [Accepted: 11/28/2023] [Indexed: 12/18/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Since Immune response, nutritional status and Epstein-Barr Virus (EBV) DNA status have been confirmed to be relevant to the prognosis of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), we believe that the combination of these factors is of great value for improving the predictive ability. LA (lymphocytes × albumin), a novel indicator, had not been studied yet in NPC. We combined it with EBV DNA and used nomograms to increase the accuracy of prognosis. METHODS A total of 688 NPC patients were retrospectively reviewed and further divided into training and validation cohort randomly. Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to to distinguish the different survival outcomes. Multivariate Cox analyses were used to identify the independent prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Calibration curves, concordance indexes (C-indexes) and decision curve analyses (DCA) were used to evaluate the nomograms' predictive value. RESULTS Patients with low LA and positive EBV DNA correlated with poorer 5-year PFS and OS (all P < 0.005). In multivariate Cox analyses, LA and EBV DNA were both confirmed to be independent prognostic factors for PFS and OS (all P < 0.05). Prognostic nomograms incorporating LA and EBV DNA achieved ideal C-indexes of 0.69 (95% CI: 0.65-0.73) and 0.77 (95% CI: 0.71-0.82) in the prediction of PFS and OS. Otherwise, the calibration curves and DCA curves also revealed that our nomograms had pleasant predictive power. CONCLUSIONS LA is a novel and powerful biomarker for predicting clinical outcomes in NPC. Our nomograms based on LA and EBV DNA can predict individual prognosis more accurately and effectively.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuting Wu
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Jingxi Street, Baiyun District, Guangzhou, 510515, P.R. China
| | - Xiaofei Yuan
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Jingxi Street, Baiyun District, Guangzhou, 510515, P.R. China
| | - Haoran Huang
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Jingxi Street, Baiyun District, Guangzhou, 510515, P.R. China
| | - Yanfei Li
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Jingxi Street, Baiyun District, Guangzhou, 510515, P.R. China
| | - Linchong Cui
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Jingxi Street, Baiyun District, Guangzhou, 510515, P.R. China
| | - Danfan Lin
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Jingxi Street, Baiyun District, Guangzhou, 510515, P.R. China
| | - Wenxuan Lu
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Jingxi Street, Baiyun District, Guangzhou, 510515, P.R. China
| | - Huiru Feng
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Jingxi Street, Baiyun District, Guangzhou, 510515, P.R. China
| | - Zilu Chen
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Jingxi Street, Baiyun District, Guangzhou, 510515, P.R. China
| | - Xiong Liu
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Jingxi Street, Baiyun District, Guangzhou, 510515, P.R. China.
| | - Jiajie Tan
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Jingxi Street, Baiyun District, Guangzhou, 510515, P.R. China.
| | - Fan Wang
- Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Jingxi Street, Baiyun District, Guangzhou, 510515, P.R. China.
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Hua X, Long ZQ, Wang SF, Xu F, Wang MD, Chen JY, Zhang YL, Ni WQ, Gao YS. Prognostic significance of the novel nutrition-inflammation marker of lymphocyte-C-reactive protein ratio in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma receiving concurrent chemoradiotherapy. Front Nutr 2023; 10:1162280. [PMID: 37545573 PMCID: PMC10399231 DOI: 10.3389/fnut.2023.1162280] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2023] [Accepted: 06/27/2023] [Indexed: 08/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Recent studies indicate that the novel lymphocyte-C-reactive protein ratio (LCR) is strongly associated with the survival of various tumors, but its prognostic value in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is understudied. This study aimed to explore the relationship between LCR and overall survival (OS) in NPC and develop a predictive model. Methods A total of 841 NPC patients who received concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) between January 2010 and December 2014 were retrospectively enrolled and randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 589) and a validation cohort (n = 252), and 122 patients between January 2015 and March 2015 were included as an additional validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were performed to identify variables associated with OS and construct a predictive nomogram. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was evaluated and independently validated. Results The LCR score differentiated NPC patients into two groups with distinct prognoses (HR = 0.53; 95% CI: 0.32-0.89, P = 0.014). Multivariate analysis showed that age, T stage, N stage, EBV-DNA status, and LCR score were independently associated with OS, and a predictive nomogram was developed. The nomogram had a good performance for the prediction of OS [C-index = 0.770 (95% CI: 0.675-0.864)]. and outperformed the traditional staging system [C-index = 0.589 (95% CI: 0.385-0.792)]. The results were internally and additionally validated using independent cohorts. Conclusion The pretreatment LCR could independently predict the overall survival in NPC patients. A novel LCR-based prognostic model of an easy-to-use nomogram was established, and it outperformed the conventional staging system in terms of predictive power. Further external verification remains necessary.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xin Hua
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Medical School Affiliated Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai, China
| | - Zhi-Qing Long
- State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Diagnosis and Therapy, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China
| | - Si-Fen Wang
- State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Diagnosis and Therapy, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Guangzhou, China
| | - Fei Xu
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Medical School Affiliated Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai, China
| | - Meng-Di Wang
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Medical School Affiliated Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai, China
| | - Jia-Yi Chen
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Medical School Affiliated Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai, China
| | - Yu-Ling Zhang
- Department of Endocrinology, Jiangxi Provincial People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang Medical College, Nanchang, China
| | - Wei-Qiong Ni
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Medical School Affiliated Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai, China
| | - Yun-Sheng Gao
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Medical School Affiliated Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai, China
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Development and validation of a risk prediction model for overall survival in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a prospective cohort study in China. Cancer Cell Int 2022; 22:360. [PMCID: PMC9675189 DOI: 10.1186/s12935-022-02776-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/18/2022] [Accepted: 11/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is prevailing in Southern China, characterized by distinct geographical distribution. Aimed to predict the overall survival (OS) of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma, this study developed and validated nomograms considering demographic variables, hematological biomarkers, and oncogenic pathogens in China. Methods The clinicopathological and follow-up data of the nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients obtained from a prospective longitudinal cohort study in the Chongqing University Cancer Hospital between Jan 1, 2017 and Dec 31, 2019 (\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}
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\begin{document}$$\mathrm{n}=1635$$\end{document}n=1635). Cox regression model was used to tested the significance of all available variables as prognostic factors of OS. And independent prognostic factors were identified based on multivariable analysis to model nomogram. Concordance index (C-index), area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were measured to assess the model performance of nomogram. Results Data was randomly divided into a training cohort (1227 observers, about 70% of data) and a validation group (408 observers, about 30% of data). At multivariable analysis, the following were independent predictors of OS in NPC patients and entered into the nomogram: age (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.03), stage (stage IV vs. stage I–II, HR: 4.54), radiotherapy (Yes vs. No, HR: 0.43), EBV (\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}
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\begin{document}$$<1000$$\end{document}<1000, HR: 1.92), LAR (\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}
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\begin{document}$$>6.15$$\end{document}>6.15 vs.\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}
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\begin{document}$$\le 6.15$$\end{document}≤6.15, HR: 2.05), NLR (\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}
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\begin{document}$$>4.84$$\end{document}>4.84 vs. \documentclass[12pt]{minimal}
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\begin{document}$$\le 4.84$$\end{document}≤4.84 HR: 1.54), and PLR (\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}
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\begin{document}$$>206.33$$\end{document}>206.33 vs.\documentclass[12pt]{minimal}
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\begin{document}$$\le 206.33$$\end{document}≤206.33, HR: 1.79). The C-indexes for training cohort at 1-, 3- and 5-year were 0.73, 0.83, 0.80, respectively, in the validation cohort, the C-indexes were 0.74 (95% CI 0.63–0.86), 0.80 (95% CI 0.73–0.87), and 0.77 (95% CI 0.67–0.86), respectively. The calibration curve demonstrated that favorable agreement between the predictions of the nomograms and the actual observations in the training and validation cohorts. In addition, the decision curve analysis proved that the nomogram model had the highest overall net benefit. Conclusion A new prognostic model to predict OS of patients with NPC was developed. This can offer clinicians treatment making and patient counseling. Furthermore, the nomogram was deployed into a website server for use.
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